hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:52

The US dollar’s strengthening continues. Possible scenarios of the nearest events are considered inthis forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14065.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14066.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
At the same time the alternate variant doesn’t rule out that wave (iv) has completed already having assumed the shape of a double three.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14067.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14068.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly skewed triangle XX.is developing. Without canceling the variant considered yesterday (refer to Daily-040109), it should be noted that one of the possible scenarios assumes that this triangle is completed already.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14069.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14070.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). Without cancelling the variant considered yesterday (refer to Daily-040109), it should be noted that one of possible scenarios assumes that wave (B) is completed yet.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14071.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33254_14072.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly about the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
At the same time the alternate variant doesn’trule out that wave (iv) is completed having assumed the shape of a double three.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 5, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-28 14:45 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:53

The US dollar’s strengthening continues. Possible variants of scenarios of the nearest events are considered in this forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14098.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14099.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
At the same time the alternate variant doesn’t rule out that wave (iv) is completed, having assumed the shape of a double three. There remains for us one of these variants.
2. GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14100.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14101.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly skewed triangle XX,is developing as a particular case of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14102.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14103.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14104.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33267_14105.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price os developing wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
At the same time the alternate variant doesn’t rule out that wave (iv) is completed having assumed the shape of a double three. There remains to expect the confirmation of one of these variants.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 6, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-28 14:46 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:53

After the completion of the current correction most likely a new round of the US dollar’s strengthening will begin. Possible scenarios of the nearest events are considered in this forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14143.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14144.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price develops wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the casecombined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14145.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14146.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly skewed triangle XX,is developing as a particular case of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14147.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14148.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14149.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33286_14150.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 9, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-28 14:50 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:54

Yesterday the currency pairs under consideration moved mixed. EUR andCHF weakened against the USD butrelatively modest price movement of the pound and yen so far doesn’t allow to speak of the beginning of a new round of the US dollar’s strengthening. Possible scenarios of the nearest events are considered in this forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33299_14169.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Yesterday the price broke the geometry of the supposed triangle that may speak either ofthe completion of the extended correction or of an increase in its duration. As the local strengthening of the dollar has covered not all the currency pairs under consideration the second variant given in the Figure is more probable.
Thus supposedly the price continues developing wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction of a big size (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined withthe depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33299_14170.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly skewed triangle XX,is developing as a particular case of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33299_14171.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33299_14172.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Yesterday the price completed the supposed skewed triangle. But as the local strengthening of the dollar has covered not all the currency pairs under consideration most likely the duration of the correction itself is increasing that is reflected in the given Figure.
Thus supposedly the price continues developing wave (iv) in the form of an extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth andshape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 10, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-28 15:01 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:55

The US dollar andJapanese yen began to strengthen their positions against the currencies under consideration. Possible scenarios are considered inthis forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14198.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14199.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14200.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14201.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly skewed triangle XX is completed. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of zigzag wave Z.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14202.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14203.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14204.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33322_14205.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a skewed triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and the shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 11, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 07:44 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:55

The US dollar andJapanese yen continue strengthening their positions against the currencies under consideration, butso far it happens withinan almost horizontal correction. Possible scenarios are considered inthis forecast.
1. EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14229.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14230.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14231.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14232.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly skewed triangle XX is completed. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of zigzag wave Z.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14233.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14234.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). We have to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14235.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33338_14236.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a skewed triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 12, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 07:45 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:56

Supposedly the long-lasting correction has enteredits ending stage. Possible scenarios are considered in this forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14252.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14253.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14254.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14255.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly skewed triangle XX is completed. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of zigzag wave Z after the completion of a short- term correction (ii) of of Z.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14256.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14257.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). We have to expect the confirmation ofits completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14258.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33351_14259.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a skewed triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 13, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 10:54 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:57

Supposedly the long-standing correction has enteredits ending stage. Possible scenarios are considered inthis forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14292.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14293.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined withthe depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the developmentof downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv), but one of the variants of counting allows that running triangle (iv) has already completed.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14294.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14295.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly corrective wave (ii) of of Z is completed. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag structure.
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14296.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14297.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14298.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33368_14299.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the price is developing wave (iv) in the form of a skewed triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction(ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price ahs to build up its ending wave e of (iv) , but one of the variants of counting allows that skewed triangle (iv) is completed.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 16, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:04 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:58

Yesterday the euro broke the geometry of the supposed horizontal triangle. It may mean either the beginning of a new round of the US dollar’s strengthening or increasing of the duration of the extended correction. That’s why withoutcanceling yesterday’s variants of counting (refer to Daily-160209), we will consider today possible and quite real alternates.
1. EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33381_14318.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price may be developing wave (iv) in the form of a skewed triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33381_14319.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Possibly corrective wave (ii) of of Z is assuming the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction after the completion of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33381_14320.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of a horizontal triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book) or a double/triple three. There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33381_14321.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

the price might be developing wave (iv) in the form of a skewed triangle as a particular triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
To complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 17, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:07 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:00

It isn’truled out that the current large correction continues developing. Variants of possible price movement of the currency pairs under consideration are given in this forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14343.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14344.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price might be developing wave (iv) in the form of a skewed triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined withthe depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of downward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed skewed triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14345.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14346.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Corrective wave (ii) of of Z might be assuming the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction after the completion of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14347.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14348.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14349.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t ruled out that the price is developing wave (B) in the form of a horizontal triangle or a triple three as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book).
But so farthe variant of developing of wave (B) in the form of a flat (alternation of waves— Simple-Complicated-Most Complicated; refer to table 4-2 of my book) or a double three isn’t ruled out. There remains for us to expect the confirmation of its completion.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14350.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33390_14351.gif
Figure 9. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price might be developing wave (iv) in the form of a running (or barrier) triangle as a particular case of the extended correction (refer to section 3.8. of my book). If this is the case combined with the depth and shape of the preceding correction (ii) it may speak indirectly of the development of upward impulse or A, and not a zigzag.
In order to complete the supposed horizontal triangle (iv) the price has to build up its ending wave e of (iv).
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 18, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:10 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:01

Wave counting doesn’trule out the trend reversal in the near term. Possible variants are given in this forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14394.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14395.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The trend is ripe of upward reversal. A pair of possible variants of the completion of the current trend are shown in the Figures above.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14396.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14397.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Corrective wave (ii) of of Z might be assuming the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue inthe form of a zigzag construction after the completion of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14398.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14399.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The price approaches the level of the top of wave A of (B), which might serve as the area of the trend reversal. A pair of possible variants of the completion of the current trend are shown in the Figures above.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14400.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33432_14401.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The trend is ripe of downward reversal. A pair of variants of the completion of the current trend are shown in the Figures above.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 19, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:32 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:01

Dear wavers!
In connection with my decision to quit Alpari the next week will end the five year cycle of my publications. To avoid false rumours I’d like to inform you that I’m quitting at my own wish, further fate of the column «Wave Analysis» on the website of Alpari is unknown for me.
I’m ready to discuss serious job offers.
Best regards,
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
Wave counting has little changes for the last day and doesn’t rule out a trend reversal in the near term. Possible variants are given in this forecast.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14418.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14419.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price trend is ripe of upward reversal. A pair of possible variants of the completion of the current trend are shown in the Figures above.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14420.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14421.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Corrective wave (ii) of of Z might be assuming the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction after the completion of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14422.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14423.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The price approaches the level of the top of wave A of (B), that might serve as the area of the price trend reversal. A pair of possible variants of the completion of the current trend are shown in the Figures.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14424.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33447_14425.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The trend is ripe for downward reversal. A pair of variants of the completion of the current trend are shown in the Figures.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 20, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:35 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:02

Wave counting doesn’t rule out that the reversal of the local trend has already taken place. However the alternate scenario isn’t cancelled yet and has the right to exist. There remains for us to expect the confirmation of one of the variants.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33500_14458.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33500_14459.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The expected upward trend reversal has taken place. But it isn’t clear how deep the new trend will continue its movement. A pair of possible scenarios is shown in the Figures above.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33500_14460.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Corrective wave (ii) of of Z might be assuming the shape of flat or a double three. If the supposition is true progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction after the completion of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33500_14461.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33500_14462.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The expected downward trend reversal has taken place. However so far it isn’t clear how deep the new trend will continue its movement. A pair of possible scenarios are shown in the Figures.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33500_14463.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33500_14464.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The expected downward trend reversal has taken place. But so far it isn’t clear how deep the new trend will continue its movement. A pair of possible scenarios are shown in the Figures.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 23, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:36 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:03

Yesterday’s strengthening of the US dollar added intrigue to the confrontation of two most probable scenarios. There remains for us to expect the confirmation of one of the variants.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33516_14479.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33516_14480.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Critical and confirmatory levels for both variants have been marked but the price may fluctuate between them for a long time giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33516_14481.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Corrective wave (ii) of of Z may be assuming the shape of a flat (or a double three). If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction after the completion of wave (ii).
3. USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33516_14482.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33516_14483.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Yesterday the price broke the critical level having redrawn the top of the supposed wave C of (B). But this only increases chances of downward reversal of the price in the near term. A pair of possible scenarios is shown in the Figures above.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33516_14484.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33516_14485.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Critical and confirmatory levels for both variants have been marked butthe price may fluctuate between them for a long time giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 24, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:38 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:03

The wave counting of the European currencies almost hasn’t changed – the confrontation of two most probable scenarios continues. But the yen started to lose grounds, having marked new borders.
1. EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14501.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14502.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price is fluctuating between the critical and confirmatory levels giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants.
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14503.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Corrective wave (ii) of of Z might be assuming the shape of a flat with a diagonal triangle as the ending wave (or a double three). If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction after the completion of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14504.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14505.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14506.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The yen managed to overcome the 95, level that corresponds to the top of the supposed wave A of (B), and now up to the 100 mark, there is a stockade of resistance level before it — 97, 98, 99 and 100, on each of which it may complete its surge.
As the supposed wave (c) of of C of (B), having broken the 95, level started to develop an upward extension we can’t speak of an immediate downward trend reversal — extension must be fully completed with waves. If the correlation of waves of the supposed impulse (c) of of C of (B) preserves its ending should be expected in the area of the 98..99 marks.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14507.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33525_14508.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price fluctuates between the critical and confirmatory levels giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants.
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 25, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:40 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:04

The wave counting of the European currencies almost hasn’t changed — the confrontation of two most probable scenarios continues. While the pair USD/JPY А is now facing a choice – either to continue upward extension or to reverse down at once.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14520.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14521.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price continues to fluctuate between the critical and confirmatory levels giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants. On some grounds at the moment the second scenario prevails (Figure 2).
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14522.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Wave (ii) of of Z might be completed in the form of a flat. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction. The nearest critical level in this case may be the ending of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14523.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14524.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14525.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14526.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt, extension.

The price has reached the lower border of the projected area (refer to Daily-25.02.09), having almost completed to build wave v of (c) of . And now it has only two most probable scenarios: either to reverse down at once or to continue developing wave v of (c) of in the form of upward extension ----. Taking into consideration vigor with which the price rushes up the second variant seems to be preferable.
In the first case the critical level will be the ending of wave v of (c) of , the confirmatory level will be the ending of wave iv of (c) of .
In the second case, vice versa the critical level will be the ending of wave iv of (c) of , and the confirmatory level will be the ending of wave of v of (c) of (but only after wave of v of (c) of !) is developed.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14527.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33532_14528.gif
Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The price continues to move between the critical and the confirmatory levels giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants. On some grounds at the moment the second scenario is preferred (Figure 9).
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 26, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:42 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:05

With this forecast I’m completing my five year cycle of publications on the theory and practice of wave analysis on the website of the Company Group Alpari. At parting I would like to express my sincere gratitude to the Founders:
PETROV Gleb — the founder of the company and the first President of Alpari,
DASHIN Andrey — the President of Alpari,
and, especially to, VEDIKHIN Andrey — the Vice-President ofAlpari
for their support in creating the Wave Analysis column, in publishing the book «Elliott’s Code: Wave Analysis of FOREX» and the brochure «Brief course on Elliott Wave Principle».
Best regards,
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
Introduction
The wave counting of the European currencies almost hasn’t changed— the confrontation of two most probable scenarios continues. The pair USD/JPY is now facing a choice – either to continue the trend that has begun or to keep developing the upward extension.
1.EUR/USD
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14541.gif



http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14542.gif


The price continues to fluctuate between the critical and the confirmatory levels giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants. On some grounds at the moment the second scenario prevails (Figure 2).
2.GBP/USDhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14543.gif


Wave (ii) of of Z might be completed in the form of a flat. If this is the case progressive downward price movement will continue in the form of a zigzag construction. The nearest critical level in this case may be the ending of wave (ii).
3.USD/JPYhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14544.gif



http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14545.gif



http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14546.gif


The price has reached the projected area and approached its upper border (refer to Daily-25.02.09), having completed the development of wave v of (c) of and having market the downward trend reversal. It still has two most probable scenarios: to continue the downtrend or to keep developing wave v of (c) of in the form of an upward extension ----.
But taking into consideration the completeness of impulse (c) of with the main waves and their correct mutual proportions and also approximate equality of the legs of zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of , scenario with a reversal and the beginning of downtrend seems to me more probable at the moment. At the same time the alternate with an extension in wave v of (c) of still remains.
I think that critical and confirmatory levels for each of scenarios plotted on the charts will help to make the right choice of one of the variant in due time.
4.USD/CHFhttp://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14547.gif



http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/15/33547_14548.gif


The price continues to move between the critical and the confirmatory levels giving alternately a small advantage to one of the variants. On some grounds at the moment the second scenario prevails (Figure 8).
Note
Givenpossible trading plans arepurely informational   purpose only   and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]Introduction (Annual WA for 2009 )[*]EUR/USD Annual 2009[*]GBP/USD Annual 2009[*]USD/JPY Annual2009[*]USD/CHF Annual 2009[*]The Decline of the Canadian Dollar Continues (USD/CAD) [*]Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, February 2009[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comFebruary 27, 2009When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:44 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:09

February 2009[*]February 27 » Words of gratitude[*]February 26 » Daily Wave Analysis February 26, 2009[*]February 25 » The area of special attention – USD/JPY (Daily Wave Analysis February 25, 2009)[*]February 24 » Daily Wave Analysis February 24, 2009[*]February 23 » Daily Wave Analysis February 23, 2009[*]February 20 » Last week of my releases (Daily Wave Analysis February 20, 2009)[*]February 19 » Daily Wave Analysis February 19, 2009[*]February 18 » Daily Wave Analysis February 18, 2009[*]February 17 » Daily Wave Analysis February 17, 2009[*]February 16 » Daily Wave Analysis February 16, 2009[*]February 13 » The ending stage of the correction (Daily Wave Analysis February 13, 2009)[*]February 12 » Daily Wave Analysis February 12, 2009[*]February 11 » Daily Wave Analysis February 11, 2009[*]February 10 » Daily Wave Analysis February 10, 2009[*]February 09 » Daily Wave Analysis February 9, 2009[*]February 06 » Daily Wave Analysis February 6, 2009[*]February 05 » Daily Wave Analysis February 5, 2009[*]February 04 » Daily Wave Analysis February 4, 2009[*]February 03 » Daily Wave Analysis February 3, 2009[*]February 02 » Daily Wave Analysis February 2, 2009January 2009[*]January 30 » Daily Wave Analysis January 30, 2009 (+ USD/CAD)[*]January 29 » Daily Wave Analysis January 29, 2009[*]January 28 » Daily Wave Analysis January 28, 2009 (+ USD/CAD)[*]January 27 » Daily Wave Analysis January 27, 2009 (+ USD/CAD)[*]January 26 » Daily Wave Analysis January 26, 2009[*]January 23 » Daily Wave Analysis January 23, 2009 (+ USD/CAD)[*]January 22 » Daily Wave Analysis January 22, 2009 (+ USD/CAD)[*]January 21 » Daily Wave Analysis January 21, 2009[*]January 20 » Daily Wave Analysis January 20, 2009[*]January 19 » Daily Wave Analysis January 19, 2009December 2008[*]December 30 » Daily Wave Analysis December 30, 2008[*]December 29 » Daily Wave Analysis December 29, 2008[*]December 26 » Daily Wave Analysis December 26, 2008[*]December 24 » Christmas Eve (Daily Wave Analysis December 24, 2008)[*]December 23 » Daily Wave Analysis December 23, 2008[*]December 22 » Daily Wave Analysis December 22, 2008[*]December 19 » Daily Wave Analysis December 19, 2008[*]December 18 » Daily Wave Analysis December 18, 2008[*]December 17 » Daily Wave Analysis December 16, 2008[*]December 16 » Daily Wave Analysis December 16, 2008[*]December 15 » Daily Wave Analysis December 15, 2008[*]December 12 » Daily Wave Analysis December 12, 2008[*]December 11 » Daily Wave Analysis December 11, 2008[*]December 10 » Daily Wave Analysis December 10, 2008[*]December 09 » Daily Wave Analysis December 9, 2008[*]December 08 » Daily Wave Analysis December 8, 2008[*]December 05 » Daily Wave Analysis December 5, 2008[*]December 04 » Daily Wave Analysis December 4, 2008[*]December 03 » Daily Wave Analysis December 3, 2008[*]December 02 » Daily Wave Analysis December 2, 2008[*]December 01 » Daily Wave Analysis December 1, 2008November 2008[*]November 28 » No breaches of the rules (Daily Wave Analysis November 28, 2008)[*]November 27 » Daily Wave Analysis November 27, 2008[*]November 26 » Daily Wave Analysis November 26, 2008[*]November 25 » Daily Wave Analysis November 25, 2008[*]November 24 » Daily Wave Analysis November 24, 2008[*]November 21 » About 1000 pips for 4 days (Daily Wave Analysis November 21, 2008)[*]November 20 » Daily Wave Analysis November 20, 2008[*]November 19 » Daily Wave Analysis November 19, 2008[*]November 18 » The dollar doesn’t give up (Daily Wave Analysis November 18, 2008)[*]November 17 » Daily Wave Analysis November 17, 2008[*]November 14 » Possible beginning of a long-lasting correction (Daily Wave Analysis November 14, 2008)[*]November 13 » About 2000 pips for 4 days (Daily Wave Analysis November 13, 2008)[*]November 12 » Daily Wave Analysis November 12, 2008[*]November 11 » Cunning of the market (Daily Wave Analysis November 11, 2008)[*]November 10 » Daily Wave Analysis November 10, 2008[*]November 07 » Possible correction of about 400 pips (Daily Wave Analysis November 7, 2008)[*]November 06 » Daily Wave Analysis November 6, 2008[*]November 05 » Daily Wave Analysis November 5, 2008[*]November 04 » More than 2000 pips for 4 days (Daily Wave Analysis November 4, 2008)[*]November 03 » Daily Wave Analysis November 3, 2008October 2008[*]October 31 » Daily Wave Analysis October 31, 2008[*]October 30 » Daily Wave Analysis October 30, 2008[*]October 29 » Daily Wave Analysis October 29, 2008[*]October 28 » Daily Wave Analysis October 28, 2008[*]October 27 » Daily Wave Analysis October 27, 2008[*]October 24 » About possible depth of the decline of currencies (Daily Wave Analysis October 24, 2008)[*]October 23 » Daily Wave Analysis October 23, 2008[*]October 22 » Daily Wave Analysis October 22, 2008 (+ USD/CAD)[*]October 21 » Daily Wave Analysis October 20, 2008[*]October 20 » Daily Wave Analysis October 20, 2008[*]October 17 » Daily Wave Analysis October 17, 2008[*]October 16 » Daily Wave Analysis October 16, 2008 (+ USD/CAD)[*]October 15 » Daily Wave Analysis October 15, 2008[*]October 14 » Daily Wave Analysis October 14, 2008[*]October 13 » Daily Wave Analysis October 13, 2008[*]October 10 » Daily Wave Analysis October 10, 2008[*]October 09 » Daily Wave Analysis October 9, 2008[*]October 08 » Daily Wave Analysis October 8, 2008[*]October 07 » Daily Wave Analysis October 7, 2008 (+ USD/CAD)[*]October 06 » Daily Wave Analysis October 6, 2008[*]October 03 » Daily Wave Analysis October 3, 2008[*]October 02 » Daily Wave Analysis October 2, 2008[*]October 01 » Daily Wave Analysis October 1, 2008September 2008[*]September 30 » Possible beginning of the local strengthening of the US dollar (Daily Wave Analysis September 30, 2008)[*]September 29 » Daily Wave Analysis September 29, 2008[*]September 26 » Daily Wave Analysis September 26, 2008[*]September 25 » Daily Wave Analysis September 25, 2008[*]September 24 » Daily Wave Analysis September 24, 2008[*]September 23 » Daily Wave Analysis September 23, 2008[*]September 22 » Daily Wave Analysis September 22, 2008[*]September 05 » Daily Wave Analysis September 3, 2008 (+ EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD)[*]September 04 » Daily Wave Analysis September 4, 2008[*]September 03 » Daily Wave Analysis September 3, 2008[*]September 02 » Daily Wave Analysis September 2, 2008[*]September 01 » Daily Wave Analysis September 1, 2008August 2008[*]August 29 » Daily Wave Analysis August 29, 2008[*]August 28 » Daily Wave Analysis August 28, 2008[*]August 27 » Daily Wave Analysis August 27, 2008[*]August 26 » Daily Wave Analysis August 26, 2008[*]August 25 » Daily Wave Analysis August 25, 2008[*]August 22 » Daily Wave Analysis August 22, 2008[*]August 21 » Daily Wave Analysis August 21, 2008[*]August 20 » Daily Wave Analysis August 20, 2008[*]August 19 » Daily Wave Analysis August 19, 2008 (+ USD/CAD)[*]August 18 » Possible beginning of a new stage of the US dollar’s weakening (Daily Wave Analysis August 18, 2008)[*]August 15 » Daily Wave Analysis August 15, 2008[*]August 14 » Daily Wave Analysis August 14, 2008[*]August 13 » Daily Wave Analysis August 13, 2008[*]August 12 » Daily Wave Analysis August 12, 2008[*]August 11 » Daily Wave Analysis August 11, 2008July 2008[*]July 25 » 2000 pips in 10 days (Daily Wave Analysis July 25, 2008)[*]July 24 » Daily Wave Analysis July 24, 2008[*]July 23 » Daily Wave Analysis July 23, 2008[*]July 22 » Daily Wave Analysis July 22, 2008[*]July 21 » Daily Wave Analysis July 21, 2008 (+ GBP/JPY)[*]July 18 » Daily Wave Analysis July 18, 2008[*]July 17 » Daily Wave Analysis July 17, 2008[*]July 16 » Forming of the local trend reversal (Daily Wave Analysis July 16, 2008)[*]July 15 » Daily Wave Analysis July 15, 2008[*]July 14 » Daily Wave Analysis July 14, 2008[*]July 11 » Daily Wave Analysis July 11, 2008[*]July 10 » Daily Wave Analysis July 10, 2008[*]July 09 » Daily Wave Analysis July 9, 2008[*]July 08 » Daily Wave Analysis July 8, 2008[*]July 07 » Daily Wave Analysis July 7, 2008[*]July 04 » Daily Wave Analysis July 4, 2008[*]July 03 » Expectation of a reversal (Daily Wave Analysis July 3, 2008)[*]July 02 » Waiting period (Daily Wave Analysis July 2, 2008)[*]July 01 » Daily Wave Analysis July 1, 2008June 2008[*]June 30 » Daily Wave Analysis June 30, 2008[*]June 27 » Daily Wave Analysis June 27, 2008[*]June 26 » Daily Wave Analysis June 26, 2008[*]June 25 » Daily Wave Analysis June 25, 2008[*]June 24 » Daily Wave Analysis June 24, 2008[*]June 23 » Alternative but quite possible scenarios (Daily Wave Analysis June 23, 2008)[*]June 20 » Daily Wave Analysis June 20, 2008[*]June 19 » Daily Wave Analysis June 19, 2008[*]June 18 » June 18 – Phi Day, the holiday of wavers (Daily Wave Analysis June 18, 2008)[*]June 17 » Daily Wave Analysis June 17, 2008[*]June 16 » Daily Wave Analysis June 16, 2008[*]June 13 » Daily Wave Analysis June 13, 2008[*]June 12 » Planning mid-term transactions (Daily Wave Analysis June 12, 2008)[*]June 11 » Daily Wave Analysis June 11, 2008[*]June 10 » Daily Wave Analysis June 10, 2008[*]June 09 » Daily Wave Analysis June 9, 2008[*]June 06 » Waiting for another stage of the weakening of the USD(Daily Wave Analysis June 6, 2008)[*]June 05 » Waiting for the news from Europe (Daily Wave Analysis June 5, 2008)[*]June 04 » Daily Wave Analysis June 4, 2008[*]June 03 » Daily Wave Analysis June 3, 2008[*]June 02 » Another bifurcation point (Daily Wave Analysis June 2, 2008)May 2008[*]May 30 » Daily Wave Analysis May 30, 2008[*]May 29 » Daily Wave Analysis May 29, 2008[*]May 28 » Daily Wave Analysis May 28, 2008 (+ EWI)[*]May 27 » Daily Wave Analysis May 27, 2008[*]May 26 » Daily Wave Analysis May 26, 2008[*]May 23 » Daily Wave Analysis May 23, 2008[*]May 22 » Daily Wave Analysis May 21, 2008[*]May 21 » The third in the third? (Daily Wave Analysis May 21, 2008)[*]May 20 » The last defense line of the Canadian dollar (Daily Wave Analysis May 20, 2008 + USD/CAD)[*]May 19 » Diagonal triangle in a wedge (Daily Wave Analysis May 19, 2008 + USD/CAD)[*]May 16 » Synchronism of alternate scenarios (Daily Wave Analysis May 16, 2008 + USD/CAD)[*]May 15 » Daily Wave Analysis May 15, 2008[*]May 14 » Daily Wave Analysis May 14, 2008[*]May 13 » Alternate scenarios gain weight (Daily Wave Analysis May 13, 2008)[*]May 12 » Daily Wave Analysis May 12, 2008[*]May 09 » Daily Wave Analysis May 9, 2008[*]May 08 » GBP/USD. Truncated triangle? (Daily Wave Analysis May 8, 2008)[*]May 07 » Daily Wave Analysis May 7, 2008 (+ USD/CAD)[*]May 06 » Daily Wave Analysis May 6, 2008[*]May 05 » Daily Wave Analysis May 5, 2008[*]May 01 » Daily Wave Analysis May 1, 2008April 2008[*]April 30 » GBP/USD. Wedge or zigzag? Flat or triangle? Daily Wave Analysis April 30, 2008[*]April 29 » Daily Wave Analysis April 29, 2008[*]April 28 » Daily Wave Analysis April 28, 2008[*]April 25 » Correction continues (Daily Wave Analysis April 25, 2008)[*]April 24 » EUR/USD. Skewed or diagonal triangle? (Daily Wave Analysis April 24, 2008)[*]April 23 » Daily Wave Analysis April 23, 2008[*]April 22 » Daily Wave Analysis April 22, 2008[*]April 21 » Daily Wave Analysis April 21, 2008[*]April 17 » Daily Wave Analysis April 17, 2008[*]April 16 » Daily Wave Analysis April 16, 2008[*]April 15 » Daily Wave Analysis April 15, 2008[*]April 14 » Daily Wave Analysis April 14, 2008[*]April 11 » Daily Wave Analysis April 11, 2008[*]April 10 » Daily Wave Analysis April 10, 2008[*]April 09 » Daily Wave Analysis April 9, 2008[*]April 08 » Daily Wave Analysis April 8, 2008[*]April 07 » Daily Wave Analysis April 7, 2008[*]April 04 » Daily Wave Analysis April 4, 2008[*]April 03 » Another bifurcation point (Daily Wave Analysis April 3, 2008)[*]April 02 » Daily Wave Analysis April 2, 2008[*]April 01 » Daily Wave Analysis April 1, 2008March 2008[*]March 31 » Daily Wave Analysis March 31, 2008[*]March 28 » Daily Wave Analysis March 28, 2008[*]March 27 » EUR/USD – zigzag or impulse? (Daily Wave Analysis March 27, 2008)[*]March 26 » Daily Wave Analysis March 26, 2008[*]March 25 » Daily Wave Analysis March 25, 2008[*]March 24 » Daily Wave Analysis March 24, 2008[*]March 21 » Daily Wave Analysis March 21, 2008[*]March 20 » Daily Wave Analysis March 20, 2008[*]March 19 » Daily Wave Analysis March 19, 2008[*]March 18 » Daily Wave Analysis March 18, 2008[*]March 17 » Daily Wave Analysis March 17, 2008[*]March 14 » Daily Wave Analysis March 14, 2008[*]March 13 » Daily Wave Analysis March 13, 2008[*]March 12 » Daily Wave Analysis March 12, 2008[*]March 11 » Daily Wave Analysis March 11, 2008[*]March 10 » Daily Wave Analysis March 10, 2008[*]March 07 » Daily Wave Analysis March 7, 2008[*]March 06 » Daily Wave Analysis March 6, 2008[*]March 05 » Daily Wave Analysis March 5, 2008[*]March 04 » Daily Wave Analysis March 4, 2008[*]March 03 » Daily Wave Analysis March 3, 2008February 2008[*]February 29 » Daily Wave Analysis February 29, 2008[*]February 28 » Daily Wave Analysis February 28, 2008[*]February 27 » Daily Wave Analysis February 27, 2008[*]February 26 » Daily Wave Analysis February 26, 2008[*]February 25 » Daily Wave Analysis February 25, 2008[*]February 22 » Daily Wave Analysis February 22, 2008[*]February 21 » Daily Wave Analysis February 21, 2008[*]February 20 » Daily Wave Analysis February 20, 2008[*]February 19 » Daily Wave Analysis February 19, 2008[*]February 18 » Mathematical modeling within EWA (Daily Wave Analysis February 18, 2008)[*]February 15 » Daily Wave Analysis February 15, 2008[*]February 14 » Daily Wave Analysis February 14, 2008[*]February 13 » Daily Wave Analysis February 13, 2008[*]February 12 » Daily Wave Analysis February 12, 2008[*]February 11 » Daily Wave Analysis February 11, 2008[*]February 08 » More than 1000 pips of profit for a week (Daily Wave Analysis February 8, 2008)[*]February 07 » Daily Wave Analysis (February 7, 2008)[*]February 06 » Daily Wave Analysis (February 6, 2008)[*]February 05 » Daily Wave Analysis (February 5, 2008)[*]February 04 » Daily Wave Analysis (February 4, 2008)[*]February 01 » Daily Wave Analysis (February 1, 2008)January 2008[*]January 31 » Daily Wave Analysis (January 31, 2008)[*]January 30 » Waiting for the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision (January 29, 2008)[*]January 29 » January 29, 2008[*]January 28 » January 28, 2008[*]January 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 25, 2008[*]January 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 24, 2008[*]January 23 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 23, 2008[*]January 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 22, 2008[*]January 21 » Alternative diagonal triangle USD/JPY (Daily Wave Analysis, January 21)December 2007[*]December 29 » Results for December in brief and forecast for the beginning of the year 2008[*]December 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 14, 2007[*]December 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 13, 2007[*]December 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 12, 2007[*]December 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 11, 2007[*]December 10 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 10, 2007[*]December 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 7, 2007[*]December 06 » Bifurcation Point (Daily Wave Analysis, December 6, 2007)[*]December 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 5, 2007[*]December 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 4, 2007[*]December 03 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 3, 2007November 2007[*]November 30 » Correction Continues (Daily Wave Analysis, November 30, 2007)[*]November 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 29, 2007[*]November 28 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 28, 2007[*]November 27 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 27, 2007[*]November 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 26, 2007[*]November 23 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 23, 2007[*]November 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 22, 2007[*]November 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 21, 2007[*]November 20 » Short-term Trading (Daily Wave Analysis, November 20, 2007)[*]November 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 19, 2007[*]November 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 16, 2007[*]November 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 15, 2007[*]November 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 14, 2007[*]November 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 13, 2007[*]November 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 12, 2007[*]November 09 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 9, 2007[*]November 08 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 8, 2007[*]November 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 7, 2007[*]November 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 6, 2007[*]November 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 2, 2007[*]November 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 1, 2007October 2007[*]October 31 » Well, it's Halloween (Daily Wave Analysis, October 31, 2007)[*]October 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 30, 2007[*]October 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 29, 2007[*]October 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 26, 2007[*]October 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 25, 2007[*]October 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 24, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]October 23 » Daily Wave Analysis for 23.10.07[*]October 22 » Daily Wave Analysis for 22.10.07[*]October 19 » Before a shot (Daily Wave Analysis for 19.10.07)[*]October 18 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 18, 2007[*]October 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 17, 2007[*]October 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 16, 2007[*]October 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 15, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]October 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 12, 2007[*]October 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 11, 2007[*]October 10 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 10, 2007[*]October 09 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 9, 2007[*]October 08 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 8, 2007[*]October 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 5, 2007[*]October 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 4, 2007[*]October 03 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 3, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]October 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 2, 2007[*]October 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 1, 2007September 2007[*]September 28 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 28, 2007[*]September 27 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 27, 2007[*]September 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 26, 2007[*]September 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 25, 2007[*]September 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 24, 2007[*]September 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 21, 2007[*]September 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 20, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]September 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 19, 2007[*]September 18 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 18, 2007[*]September 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 17, 2007[*]September 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 14, 2007[*]September 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 13, 2007[*]September 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 12, 2007[*]September 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 11, 2007[*]September 10 » USD Local Weakening (Daily Wave Analysis, September 10, 2007)[*]September 07 » Possible Starting Point of a New Trend (Daily Wave Analysis, September 7, 2007)[*]September 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 6, 2007[*]September 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 5, 2007[*]September 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 4, 2007[*]September 03 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 3, 2007August 2007[*]August 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, August 17, 2007[*]August 16 » The Deeper the Falling, the Higher the Rebound (Daily Wave Analysis, August 16, 2007 + EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY)July 2007[*]July 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 17, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]July 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 16, 2007[*]July 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 13, 2007[*]July 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 12, 2007[*]July 11 » Important Bifurcation Point, Scenario May Change (Daily Wave Analysis, July 11, 2007)[*]July 10 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 10, 2007[*]July 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 6, 2007[*]July 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 5, 2007[*]July 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 4, 2007[*]July 03 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 3, 2007[*]July 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, July 2, 2007June 2007[*]June 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 29, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]June 28 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 28, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]June 27 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 27, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]June 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 26, 2007[*]June 25 » Possible Change of the Scenario (Daily Wave Analysis, June 25, 2007 + EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY)[*]June 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 22, 2007[*]June 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 21, 2007[*]June 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 20, 2007[*]June 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 19, 2007 (+ GBP/JPY)[*]June 18 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 18, 2007[*]June 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 15, 2007[*]June 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 14, 2007 (+ EUR/JPY)[*]June 13 » Another Bifurcation Point (Daily Wave Analysis, June 13, 2007)[*]June 08 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 8, 2007[*]June 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 7, 2007[*]June 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 6, 2007[*]June 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 5, 2007[*]June 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 4, 2007[*]June 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, June 1, 2007May 2007[*]May 31 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 31, 2007[*]May 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 30, 2007[*]May 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 29, 2007[*]May 28 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 28, 2007[*]May 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 25, 2007[*]May 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 24, 2007[*]May 23 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 23, 2007[*]May 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 22, 2007[*]May 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 21, 2007[*]May 18 » The choice has been made? (Daily Wave Analysis, May 18, 2007)[*]May 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 17, 2007[*]May 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 16, 2007[*]May 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 15, 2007[*]May 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 14, 2007[*]May 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 11, 2007[*]May 10 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 10, 2007[*]May 08 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 8, 2007[*]May 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 7, 2007[*]May 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 4, 2007[*]May 03 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 3, 2007[*]May 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, May 2, 2007April 2007[*]April 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 30, 2007[*]April 25 » Finishing strokes (Daily Wave Analysis, April 25, 2007)[*]April 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 24, 2007[*]April 23 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 23, 2007[*]April 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 19, 2007[*]April 18 » Final straight (Daily Wave Analysis, April 18, 2007)[*]April 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 17, 2007[*]April 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 16, 2007[*]April 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 13, 2007[*]April 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 6, 2007March 2007[*]March 29 » Correction is Nearing to its Completion (Daily Wave Analysis, March 29, 2007)[*]March 27 » Daily Wave Analysis (March 27, 2007)[*]March 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, March 2, 2007 (+ GBP/CHF)[*]March 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, March 1, 2007February 2007[*]February 28 » Projecting Possible Point of Trend Reverse (Daily Wave Analysis, February 28, 2007 (+ GBP/CHF))[*]February 27 » Wave Picture Clears Up (Additional EWA, 17:00 (Moscow time), February 27, 2007)[*]February 27 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 27, 2007[*]February 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 26, 2007[*]February 23 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 23, 2007[*]February 22 » The Wedge is the Staff of Life (Additional Daily Wave Analysis, February 22, 2007, 14:20 GMT+3)[*]February 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 22, 2007[*]February 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 21, 2007 (+ GBP/CHF)[*]February 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 20, 2007[*]February 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 19, 2007[*]February 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 16, 2007[*]February 15 » Go on? (Daily Wave Analysis, February 15, 2007)[*]February 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 14, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]February 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 13, 2007[*]February 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 12, 2007 (+ USD/CAD)[*]February 09 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 9, 2007[*]February 08 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 8, 2007[*]February 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 7, 2007[*]February 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 6, 2007[*]February 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 5, 2007[*]February 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 2, 2007[*]February 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, February 1, 2007January 2007[*]January 31 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 31, 2007[*]January 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 30, 2007[*]January 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 29, 2007[*]January 26 » Possible Change of Scenarios (Daily Wave Analysis, January 26, 2007)[*]January 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 25, 2007[*]January 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 24, 2007[*]January 23 » Possible Play within the Channel (Addition, 23.01.07, 15:40 Moscow time)[*]January 23 » Unity and Struggle of Opposites (Daily Wave Analysis, January 23, 2007)[*]January 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 22, 2007[*]January 19 » Truncated Triangle? (Daily Wave Analysis, January 19, 2007)[*]January 18 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 18, 2007[*]January 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 17, 2007[*]January 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 16, 2007[*]January 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 15, 2007December 2006[*]December 29 » Results for 2006 (EWA)[*]December 28 » December Results (EWA)[*]December 27 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 27, 2006[*]December 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 26, 2006[*]December 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 22, 2006[*]December 21 » A Few Words about the Key Pulse Points (Daily Wave Analysis, December 21, 2006 + USD/CAD)[*]December 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 20, 2006[*]December 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 19, 2006 (+ USD/CAD)[*]December 18 » A Few Words About Alternation (Daily Wave Analysis, December 18, 2006 + USD/CAD)[*]December 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 15, 2006 (+ USD/CAD)[*]December 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 14, 2006 (+ USD/CAD)[*]December 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 13, 2006[*]December 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 12, 2006[*]December 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 11, 2006[*]December 08 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 8, 2006[*]December 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 7, 2006[*]December 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 6, 2006[*]December 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 5, 2006[*]December 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 4, 2006[*]December 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, December 1, 2006November 2006[*]November 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 30, 2006[*]November 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 29, 2006 (+ H&Sh)[*]November 28 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 28, 2006 (+ EUR/JPY)[*]November 22 » Elliott's Code (Daily Wave Analysis, November 22, 2006)[*]November 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 21, 2006[*]November 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 20, 2006[*]November 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 17, 2006[*]November 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 16, 2006[*]November 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 15, 2006[*]November 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 14, 2006[*]November 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 13, 2006[*]November 10 » A Day of Alternate Scenarios (Daily Wave Analysis, November 10, 2006)[*]November 09 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 9, 2006[*]November 08 » Alternate Scenarios Gain Momentum (Daily Wave Analysis, November 8, 2006)[*]November 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 7, 2006[*]November 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 6, 2006[*]November 03 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 3, 2006[*]November 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 2, 2006[*]November 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, November 1, 2006October 2006[*]October 31 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 31, 2006[*]October 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 30, 2006 (~ 30 Figures of GBP/JPY)[*]October 27 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 27, 2006[*]October 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 26, 2006[*]October 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 25, 2006[*]October 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 24, 2006[*]October 23 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 23, 2006[*]October 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 20, 2006[*]October 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 19, 2006[*]October 18 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 18, 2006[*]October 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 17, 2006[*]October 16 » Completion of wave structure (Daily Wave Analysis, October 16, 2006)[*]October 13 » Friday, 13 (Daily Wave Analysis, October 13, 2006)[*]October 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 12, 2006[*]October 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 11, 2006[*]October 10 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 10, 2006[*]October 09 » Another Bifurcation Point (Daily Wave Analysis, October 9, 2006)[*]October 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 6, 2006[*]October 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 5, 2006[*]October 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 4, 2006[*]October 03 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 3, 2006[*]October 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, October 2, 2006September 2006[*]September 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 29, 2006 (+ USD/CAD)[*]September 28 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 28, 2006[*]September 27 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 27, 2006[*]September 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 26, 2006[*]September 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 25, 2006[*]September 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 22, 2006[*]September 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 21, 2006[*]September 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 20, 2006[*]September 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 19, 2006[*]September 18 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 18, 2006[*]September 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 15, 2006[*]September 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 14, 2006[*]September 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 13, 2006[*]September 12 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 12, 2006[*]September 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 11, 2006[*]September 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 5, 2006[*]September 04 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 4, 2006[*]September 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, September 1, 2006August 2006[*]August 31 » Daily Wave Analysis, August 31, 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2006[*]April 10 » Daily Wave Analysis, April 10, 2006[*]April 07 » Is it change of the trend? 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(Daily Wave Analysis, February 1, 2006)January 2006[*]January 31 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 31, 2006[*]January 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 30, 2006[*]January 27 » Again Robert Balan's 100% Barrier (Daily Wave Analysis, January 27, 2006)[*]January 26 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 26. 2006[*]January 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 25. 2006[*]January 24 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 24. 2006[*]January 23 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 23. 2006[*]January 20 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 20. 2006[*]January 19 » Dynamic Balance Point (Daily Wave Analysis, January 19. 2006)[*]January 18 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 18. 2006[*]January 17 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 17. 2006[*]January 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, January 16. 2006[*]January 13 » Robert Balan's 100% barrier (Daily Wave Analysis, January 13, 2006)[*]January 12 » The third impulse wave... (EWA, January 12. 2006)[*]January 11 » Daily Wave Analysis, January, 11.[*]January 10 » Daily Wave Analysis, January, 10.[*]January 09 » Daily Wave Analysis, January, 9.December 2005[*]December 23 » Happy Christmas and Happy New Year! (Daily Wave Analysis, December, 23)[*]December 22 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 22. 2005 (+ USD/CAD, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY)[*]December 21 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 21. 2005[*]December 20 » Anticipating Trend Change Confirmation (DWA, December, 20. 2005)[*]December 19 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 19. 2005[*]December 16 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 16. 2005[*]December 15 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 15. 2005[*]December 14 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 14. 2005[*]December 13 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 13. 2005[*]December 12 » Global Price Reverse Against USD May Have Been Formed Already (DWA, December, 12. 2005)[*]December 09 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 9. 2005[*]December 08 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 8. 2005[*]December 07 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 7. 2005[*]December 06 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 6. 2005[*]December 05 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 5. 2005[*]December 02 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 2. 2005[*]December 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, December, 1. 2005November 2005[*]November 30 » Daily Wave Analysis, November, 30. 2005[*]November 29 » Daily Wave Analysis, November, 29. 2005[*]November 28 » Daily Wave Analysis, November, 28. 2005[*]November 25 » Daily Wave Analysis, November, 25. 2005[*]November 01 » Daily Wave Analysis, November, 1. 2005

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:12

Introduction

Price is expected to prepare to test strong resistance to form the final movement in favor of the dollar. Possible scenarios are described in this forecast.

This month interest rates may be changed in some backbone countries that may have impact on currency pair movement (refer to Table 1 below).
Country Interest Rate Current Value Previous Change Next Meeting USA Federal Funds 3.75% September, 20. 2005 (+0.25%) November, 1. 2005 USA Discount Rate 4.75% September, 20. 2005 (+0.25%) November, 1. 2005 Eurozone Refinancing Tender 2.00% June, 5. 2003 (-0.5%) November, 3. 2005 Eurozone Deposit Rate 1.00% June, 5. 2003 (-0.5%) November, 3. 2005 Eurozone Marginal Lending Rate 3.00% June, 5. 2003 (-0.5%) November, 3. 2005 Great Britain Repo Rate 4.50% August, 4. 2005 (-0.25%) November, 9-10. 2005 Switzerland 3 month LIBOR Range 0.25% - 1.25% September, 16. 2004 (+0.25%) December, 15. 2005 Canada Overnight Rate Target 3.0% October, 18. 2005 (+0.25%) December, 6. 2005 Canada Bank Rate 3.25% October, 18. 2005 (+0.25%) December, 6. 2005 Australia Cash Rate 5.50% March, 1. 2005 (+0.25%) November, 1. 2005 Japan Discount Rate 0.10% September, 18. 2001 (-0.15%) October, 31. 2005 Japan Overnight Call Rate Target 0.00% September, 19. 2001 (-0.25%) October, 31. 2005
Table 1.

Note

It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.

Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.



Reference

[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”... [*]USDCHF (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)[*]EURUSD (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)[*]GBPUSD (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)[*]USDJPY (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comOctober, 29, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.








Current wave analysis.

Global downtrend is expected to be completed (the wave of a several-months zigzag) and correction , wave is supposed to be forming now. It may assume the shape of an upward triple zigzag.

Currently CHF does not manage to test strong resistance at 1.3000-1.3050 (Figures C2 and C3 below). This level is expected to be tested in November-December and new targets will be placed. For more information refer to figures E2 and E3 below.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0510/051029190405.gif

Figure C2. Wave analysis on the daily chart. The main scenario.

According to the main variant, shown in Figure C2, correction (the wave) is expected to be completed. In this case in November upward impulse movement till completion of projected A or W zigzag may be expected. The and (Х) waves highs are critical levels.

At the same time projected (с) of diagonal triangle, as final wave pattern, can be a triple zigzag, so further correction development is possible (alternative variant is shown in Figure C3, below).
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0510/051029190458.gif

Figure C3. Wave analysis on the daily chart. Alternative scenario.

As an alternative to the main variant the wave may assume a shape of a horizontal triangle or other extended correction. The (Х) wave high is the critical level.

For more information refer to Daily Wave Analysis.


Reference

* …“Imaginary Skewer”...
[*]EURUSD (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)[*]GBPUSD (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)[*]USDJPY (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comOctober, 29, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 07:43 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 09:13

Current wave analysis.

As there is no single synthesized chart on euro before 1998, the mirror image of CHF is used here as approximate scenario.

Global uptrend is expected to be completed (the wave of a several-months zigzag) and correction wave is supposed to be forming now. It may assume the shape of a triple zigzag.

Currently the euro does not manage to test strong resistance at 1.1900-1.1850 (Figures E2 and E3 below). This level is expected to be tested in November-December and new targets will be placed. For more information refer to figures E2 and E3 below.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0510/051029190713.gif

Figures E2. Wave analysis on the daily chart. The main scenario.

According to the main variant, shown in Figure E2, correction (the wave) is expected to be completed. In this case in November downward impulse movement till completion of projected A or W zigzag may be expected. The and (Х) waves highs are critical levels.

At the same time projected (с) of diagonal triangle, as final wave pattern, can be a triple zigzag, so further correction development is possible (alternative variant is shown in Figure E3, below).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0510/051029190805.gif

Figure E3. Wave analysis on the daily chart. Alternative variant.

As an alternative to the main variant the wave may assume a shape of a horizontal triangle or other extended correction. The (Х) wave high is the critical level.

For more information refer to Daily Wave Analysis.


Reference

* …“Imaginary Skewer”...
[*]USDCHF (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)[*]GBPUSD (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)[*]USDJPY (Monthly Wave Analysis, November, 2005)
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comOctober, 29, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 07:42 编辑 ]
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