hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:32

1) The traders who open positions according to my recommendations (refer to Daily-181108), can close them with the total profit of about 1000 pips.
2) Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. At the same time in the framework of alternate scenarios (refer to Figures 2, 4, 6, 8) the preceding trend preserves its direction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12837.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12838.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) is completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels.
The price didn’t reach targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12839.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12840.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag -- of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.53..1.55 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12841.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12842.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several contradictory variants of counting a pair of which is shown in the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the US dollar the strengthening of the Japanese yen will continue as well. To confirm this supposition the price has to build up a downward impulse or diagonal triangle 5 of (A) of .
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12843.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32549_12844.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.16..1.12 levels.
The price didn’t reach targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comNovember 21, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:32

Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. But in the framework of alternate scenarios (refer to Figures 2,4,6,8) the preceding trend preserves its direction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12867.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12868.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out further downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12869.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12870.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag -- of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.53..1.55 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out further downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12871.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12872.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several rather contradictory variants of counting a pair of which is shown on the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the USD the strengthening of the Japanese yen will continue as well. To confirm this supposition the price has to build up a downward impulse or diagonal triangle 5 of (A) of .
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12873.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32560_12874.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels.
The price didn’t reach targets projected earlier doesn’t rule out the continuation of the uptrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comNovember 24, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:33

Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. In the framework of alternate scenarios the beginning of the ending wave of this trend is expected in the near term that may provide a good opportunity for opening positions in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12884.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12885.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12886.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12887.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12888.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12889.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag -- of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the1.53..1.60 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario. The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario. The fact that MACD 5-34-5 entered positive territory is an additional argument in the favor of the completion of the fourth wave iv of the supposed impulse (v) of of Y in the near term.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12890.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12891.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12892.gif
Figure 9. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several contradictory variants of counting a pair of which is given in the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the USD the strengthening of the Japanese yen will continue as well. To confirm this supposition the price has to build up a downward impulse or diagonal triangle 5 of (A) of .
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12893.gif
Figure 10. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12894.gif
Figure 11. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32572_12895.gif
Figure 12. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the uptrend in the framework of the alternate scenario. The fact that MACD 5-34-5 entered the negative territory is an additional argument in the favor of the completion of the fourth (iv) of the supposed impulse of C of (Y) in the near term.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comNovember 25, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:34

1) It isn’t ruled out that another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completed. If the supposition is true a durable correction – horizontal or with an inclination against the dollar might develop.
2) the traders who chose the most risky way of play of placing orders in advance (см. Brief course on Elliott Wave Principle. Part 3. ) according to the alternate scenario (см. Daily-251108 ), it is better to close positions with a small profit and with the minimum losses before the wave counting is cleared up.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12907.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12908.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels. The developing upward impulse or may be the beginning of a durable correction (X).
The alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled but its chances decreased considerably.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12909.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12910.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag -- of Y might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed in the price fixes above the 1.53..1.60 levels. The developing upward impulse (i) or (a) may be the beginning of a durable correction XX.
The alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet but its chances decreased considerably.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12911.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12912.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is given on the charts. At the moment both of them point to the weakening of the USD in the nearest future (the decline of USD/JPY), synchronous with the European currencies.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenarios may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12913.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32586_12914.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels. The developing downward impulse or may be the beginning of a durable correction (XX).
The alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled but its chances decreased considerably.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comNovember 26, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:35

It isn’t ruled out that another round of the US dollar’s strengthening is completed. If the supposition is true a durable correction – horizontal or with an inclination against the dollar might develop.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12938.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12939.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels. The developing upward impulse or may be the beginning of a durable correction (X).
The possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of EUR/USD) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12940.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12941.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag -- of Y is completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.53..1.60 levels. The developing upward impulse (i) or (a) may be the beginning of a durable correction XX.
The possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of GBP/USD) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12942.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12943.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is given in the charts. At the moment they both point to possible weakening of the USD (the decline of USD/JPY), synchronous with the European currencies in the nearest future.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenarios may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12944.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32604_12945.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels. The developing downward impulse or may be the beginning of a durable correction (XX).
The possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the rise of USD/CHF) as the alternate scenario, considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comNovember 27, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

3

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:46 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:36

1) For the last several days there were several letters in which wave analysts pay attention to the fact that the terminus of the wave ii of (i) of of GBP/USD went beyond the beginning of the impulse (i) (refer to Figure 4, below).
I would like to note that there is no breach of the rules here. The relative position of the main waves of a pattern is determined by their terminuses, while the component parts of the main waves can enter the «forbidden» territory. I wrote about this in 2004 году (refer to Some explanations) and mentioned in my book (page 197).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12963.gif
Figure i1. Wave counting draft on the doubtful section of GBP/USD.

Please note that in this case the terminus of wave of ii and not the terminus of wave ii itself went beyond the beginning of wave i. from my pint of view such an intersection of waves is quite acceptable.
2) Forecast for December will be released this weekend.
3) It isn’t ruled out that another round of the US dollar’s strengthening is completed. If the supposition is true a durable correction – horizontal or with an inclination against the dollar might develop.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12964.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12965.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels. The developing uptrend may be the beginning of a durable correction (X).
At the same time the possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of EUR/USD)as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12966.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12967.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag -- of Y is completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.53..1.60 levels. The developing uptrend may be the beginning of a durable correction XX.
At the same time the possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of GBP/USD) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12968.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12969.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is given in the charts. At the moment they both point to the US dollar’s weakening (the decline of USD/JPY), synchronous with the European currencies.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenarios can be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12970.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/13/32621_12971.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) is completed. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels. The developing downtrend may be the beginning of a durable correction (XX).
At the same time the possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the rise of USD/CHF) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly Wave Analysis, November 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comNovember 28, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:47 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:36

1) The forecast for December was released on Sunday morning.
2) Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32643_13024.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the downtrend at the moment is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5, not a zigzag. A pair of variant of possible ending of the supposed impulse are shown in the Figure.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32643_13025.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

It isn’t ruled out that the downtrend at the moment is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)(v), not a zigzag. A variant of possible ending of the supposed impulse is shown in the Figure.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32643_13026.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variant of counting a pair of which is given on the carts. Scenario synchronous with the European currencies is presented on the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32643_13027.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle ----, not an impulse. A variant of possible ending of the supposed diagonal triangle is shown in the Figure.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 1, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:24 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:39

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13041.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13042.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5, not a zigzag. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 4 is developing.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13043.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13044.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Probably the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)(v), not a zigzag. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave (iv) is developing.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13045.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13046.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting the most probable of which is given on charts. If the supposition is true correction B of (B) of is close to the completion.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13047.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32658_13048.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle ----, and not an impulse. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave is developing.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 2, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:26 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:40

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. Here the clarifications of the details are given.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32670_13084.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32670_13085.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. In this case it isn’ ruled out that at the moment wave 4 is developing.
The alternate scenario supposes that the price decline in the nearest future will complete wave 5 and the whole impulse.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32670_13086.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32670_13087.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). In this case it isn’ t ruled out that at the moment wave (iv) is developing.
The alternate scenario supposes that the price decline in the nearest future will end wave (v) and the whole impulse.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32670_13088.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32670_13089.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is presented on the charts.
The alternate scenario supposes that the price decline in the nearest future will end wave 5 and the whole impulse (A).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32670_13090.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave is developing. The uptrend remains prevailing on this time-frame.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 3, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:32 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:41

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. Here the clarifications of the details on small time-frames are given.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13102.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13103.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 5 is completing and the whole impulse.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13104.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13105.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave (v) is completing and the whole impulse.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13106.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13107.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting. In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 5 is completing and the whole impulse (A)?.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13108.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32688_13109.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave is completing and the whole diagonal triangle.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 4, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:37 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:42

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. Here the details are clarified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32702_13127.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If the supposition is true the price has to complete wave 5 to complete this impulse.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32702_13128.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). If this is the case to complete the impulse the price has to complete wave (v).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32702_13129.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting. In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 5 and the whole impulse 1-2-3-4-5 are completing.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32702_13130.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete wave .
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 5, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:11 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:43

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In this forecast the main and the alternate scenarios for each of the currency pair under consideration are clarified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13163.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13164.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete wave 5. In the framework of this supposition the wave counting allows several most probable scenarios.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13165.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13166.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete wave (v). In the framework of this supposition the wave counting allows a pair of most probable scenarios.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13167.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13168.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

At the moment there is no confirmation of the completion of downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5. But we can’t rule out such a possibility. We have to expect a confirmation of one of the scenarios.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13169.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32730_13170.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete wave . In the framework of this supposition the wave counting allows a pair of most probable scenarios.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 8, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:13 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:44

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13183.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13184.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13185.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13186.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing eaves (iv) and (v).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13187.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13188.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing waves and of 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13189.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32738_13190.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves and .
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 9, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:32 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:44

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13201.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13202.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13203.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13204.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v),wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If the supposition is true to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing wave of v of (iii).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13205.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13206.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13207.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32754_13208.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle ----, wave of which assumes the shape of a skewed triangle. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves and .
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 10, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.




[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:35 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 07:45

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13216.gif
Figure 1.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13217.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13218.gif
Figure 3.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13219.gif
Figure 4.Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v),wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If the supposition is true to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing wave v of (iii).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13220.gif
Figure 5.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13221.gif
Figure 6.Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13222.gif
Figure 7.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32770_13223.gif
Figure 8.Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle ----, wave of which assumes the shape of a horizontal triangle. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves and .
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 11, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:41 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:30

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13234.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13235.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13236.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13237.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v),wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If the supposition is true to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing wave v of (iii).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13238.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13239.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13240.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32786_13241.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----, wave of which is assuming the shape of an extended correction. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves and .
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 12, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:51 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:31

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13259.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13260.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
At the same time there is no confirmation of the completion of wave 4. If upward price movement continues transition to the alternate scenario isn’t ruled out.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13261.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13262.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend in developing the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v), wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing of wave v of (iii).
At the same time if the critical level is broken transition to the alternate scenario isn’t ruled out.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13263.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13264.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing of wave 5, which might be assuming the shape of a diagonal triangle.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13265.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32808_13266.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend is developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----, wave of which is assuming the shape of an extended correction. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing of waves and .
At the same time wave may transform into a flat having turned the current zigzag (y) into impulse (c) that will lead to the alternate scenario.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 15, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:58 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:32

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In spite of the local weakening of the US dollar during the last several days it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13278.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13279.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
The projected area for the completion of wave 4 may serve a strong resistance level in the area of the 1.38 mark.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13280.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13281.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The downtrend might be developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v), wave (iv) of which may be assuming the shape of a double (triple) three.
The projected area for the terminus of wave (iv) may serve a strong resistance level in the area of the 1.55 mark.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13282.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13283.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which apparently is assuming the shape of a diagonal triangle.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13284.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32818_13285.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The uptrend might be developing in the form of diagonal triangle ----, wave of which might be assuming the shape of a zigzag.
The projected area for the terminus of wave mau serve a strong resistance level in the area of the 1.15 mark.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 16, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:11 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:32

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In spite of the local weakening of the US dollar during the last several days it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32826_13288.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.

The euro’s rise during the last days increases the chances of zigzag scenario considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be expected before opening short positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32826_13289.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.

The pound’s rise during the last days doesn’t rule out developing of wave (iv) in the form of expanded flat a-b-c of (iv). If this is the case we should expect the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave c of (iv) before opening short positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32826_13290.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which might be assuming the shape of a diagonal triangle.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32826_13291.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.

The decline of the Swiss franc during the last days increases the chances of the scenario with a triple zigzag considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case we should expect the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) before opening long positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 17, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:20 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-22 08:33

Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In spite of the local weakening of the US dollar during the last several days it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13297.gif
Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13298.gif
Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13299.gif
Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The euro’s rise during the last days increases chances of zigzag scenario considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be confirmed before opening short positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13300.gif
Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13301.gif
Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13302.gif
Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The rise of the pound during the last days doesn’t rule out developing of wave (iv) in the form of expanded flat a-b-c of (iv). If this is the case the completion of the supposed wave c of (iv) should be confirmed before opening short positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13303.gif
Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which may turn to be not the most harmonious impulse.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.
http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13304.gif
Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13305.gif
Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.


http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/pic/docs/14/32836_13306.gif
Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The decline of the Swiss franc during the last days increases chances of the scenario with a triple zigzag considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be confirmed before opening long positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
[*]The review of the bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) [*]EUR/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]GBP/USD (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/JPY (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]USD/CHF (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008)[*]Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]EUR/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]GBP/USD, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/JPY, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]USD/CHF, Monthly wave analysis, December 2008 [*]The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008)[*]Variety of Variants for GBP/JPY [*]A Rare Form of Zigzag (EURJPY)[*]Again the Canadian Dollar and Other Dollar Pairs (USD/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Possible Depth of the Decline (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF)[*]Barrier and Other Triangles (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)[*]Wave Analysis[*]Methods of Price Movement Projection (EWA)[*]How to Apply EWA ForecastsDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 18, 2008When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:24 编辑 ]
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