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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:04 | 显示全部楼层
Gbpaud
Here is a possibility in GBPAUD....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:05 | 显示全部楼层
Eurnzd
Here is a possibility for EURNZD... I think it might want to go lower before it goes higher...
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:05 | 显示全部楼层
Update on USDCHF
Here's an update USDCHF... Still Long... Stop just below the bottom at 1.0832... first target is the prior high at 1.1121 ... Second Target is The 1.618 fib extension at 1.1291....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:07 | 显示全部楼层
Check These Out Adrian.....Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:08 | 显示全部楼层
Hey Jamie,
My count differs slightly form your regarding the Gbp/Usd. I have us still in a wave c of 4 of an expanded flat. 38%2 of wave 3 brings us back to 2.00. What do you think?
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Hey guys,
This is a follow-up of yesterday's chart of the Gbp/Jpy I posted yesterday. Even though iv of C came down deeper than expected, my stand is still that we might be going to 215. Keep an eye on hourly momentum as that should be a key to the next downturn in my opinion.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:09 | 显示全部楼层
Audcad
Wave 5 looks to be pushing upward through the down trend line
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:09 | 显示全部楼层
Audcad Interest anyone in a long yet ??
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:12 | 显示全部楼层
Gbpusd
Here's a look at the pound..... We might have just finished a big correction...
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:13 | 显示全部楼层
I Remain Bullish EURGBP.... Have a look at the monthly chart.. The arc of the two lines on the MACD thrusting away from the zero line is huge and indicates a lot of upside momentum to come, If we are to get any downside movement it will be more of a sideways move than a down move... And I think it will be short in duration....Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:14 | 显示全部楼层
AUDCAD is in the buy zone again today... The range is contracting .. Price couldn't break .8830 and may have double bottomed there... This is still a good trade for risk control... Price right now is at .8861 ... With a stop at .8796... You Risk only 65 Pips Maximum on a long right now... Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:19 | 显示全部楼层
For you AUDCAD guys :-D

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:19 | 显示全部楼层
Here's what I'm seeing on EURUSD:

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:28 | 显示全部楼层
Hey Student,
Here's may play on the Cable. For now, Im looking to short near 2 for possible a new low. My count has us in a wave c of an expanded flat wave 4. So If the count is correct, we should retrace to the 38.2 % of wave 3. Expanded flats typically end at the 38.2% of the wave that preceded it which brings us at 2 even. Were rapidly approaching this level. I also tend to agree with Adrian 's double zigzag scenario on the Euro so we are close to a reversal there as well. Bias for tomorrow is although we might get a spike up for the meeting, altimately, direction is down. Possible for new lows on the Pound.Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:29 | 显示全部楼层
Gbp/jpy
Jamie, (or anyone else),,,,Have a count on the GBP/JPY? Here's what I currently have. Looks like 5 of C may be finishing in an ending diagonal.

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:57 | 显示全部楼层
hi all,
2 charts on aud cad :

hourly :


5':


the impulse is down,
i'm now waiting the zone 0.8835-0.88 to buy the pair

regards,
Ben

NB: can someone give me a link with a good log capture to download?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:58 | 显示全部楼层
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 06:58 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/Usd
Here is today's look at the Euro/Usd ......
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Price appears to be moving toward an " End of wave 5 " ......?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 07:00 | 显示全部楼层
Gbp/Usd

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Update Chart :
Here is a look at what may be occurring in the Pound ......

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 07:01 | 显示全部楼层
The best place to start a count is from a significant high/low. For example, on an intraday chart such as 240 min bars, you could start from the november high at 1.4966. what has happened since then....a bunch of 3 wave movements -- which is indicative of a triangle. We know that triangles often occur as 4th waves or B waves. We obviously are not in a B wave, so we are in a 4th wave. This is the basis for the call for a thrust to the mid 1.50's before a major reversal (triangles are terminal patterns)Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 07:02 | 显示全部楼层
GBPJPY: The pair is in a correction (as are all the JPY pairs) and trading corrections is a good way to go broke...that said, I think that we get to 217.31 at least before bearish potential comes to the forefront. BUT, we could see a drop before that (maybe below 209) before a push that high. The point is that there are many possibilities right now for GBPJPY because it is in a correction and corrections can take many different forms.Attached Images
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