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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 15:46 | 显示全部楼层
Hey WhatCount,

I really don't follow that pair but here is what I see on daily. I think we are in wave (b) of 4. That count somehow corresponds with my view for a short term pound strenght while the euro weakens in completing its correction as triangle in wave 4 as Jamie posted earlier.

Hope that helps.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 15:47 | 显示全部楼层
Cable on its way to the first resistance at 1.9771
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 15:48 | 显示全部楼层
Just throwing stuff out there:












The head and shoulder patterns is giving more evidence towards the rally being an upward large C in a very strong B wave FLAT.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-30 15:50 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 15:49 | 显示全部楼层
Wow Jamie, Your chart says it all I think. I didn't have a chart dating back to the depression. That looks scary but thank you for that. I agree whole heartedly with your count.

Now, I think another drop in the yen pairs is about to occur. Keep a close eye on the Eur/Jpy as well as the Gbp/Jpy. Heres my count for the Gbp/Jpy which has recently become crystal clear to me. Eur/Jpy has a similar count.

P.S. The Dow has just gone into negative territoryAttached Images










Here we go guys. Do you see what I see on the 5 min of the Eur/Jpy. Its time to stay sharp. Notice the RSI diverging to support the ending diagonal count.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 18:47 | 显示全部楼层
AUDCAD looks like a low risk High reward right now
Price looks like it's ripe fore a long entry with good risk to reward at current price.... Stop at .8796.... Risk = roughly 60 pips... Target above .9180... Profit = roughly 300 pips.


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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:20 | 显示全部楼层
USDCAD move posted 3 weeks ago... :)
I posted looking for this movement in USDCAD three weeks ago in post 2577... It looks to be playing out so far.... I love when things come together...
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:21 | 显示全部楼层
Here's A Look At GBPUSD
I think price has been a sloppy mess all the way down from the multi year highs, Not quite sure about this count yet... If the downtrend is to continue price should turn around just under the upper trend line ... If price penetrates the upper line, Bulls have gained control.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:22 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/Usd

Wave-Count ---------------

---------------------------------------------
Only a Probability !............... Not Cast in Stone !
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:23 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/gbp
should we wait for wave (i) down than wave (ii) to go short ?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:24 | 显示全部楼层
USDCHF bottoming ??
Heres a look at short term USDCHF again.... I'm still hoping on a long position here....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:25 | 显示全部楼层
Newbie here, nice forum, have enjoyed reading all of your posts. Jamie, Thought I'd share an alternate count that i havent seen yet on the euro with an ExpFlat forming up to 1.5210-1.5220ish.

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:26 | 显示全部楼层
Audcad
I think .08925 will be a significant level that he pair should breake
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-4-30 19:28 | 显示全部楼层
wave 3 is extended and i think we are nearing the end of wave 3 of 3 and wave 4 of 3 should retrace to 38.2 - 50 %. bear in mind the rule of alternation too as the wave 4 might be complex since wave 2 was a zigzag.




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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 05:30 | 显示全部楼层
Wave iii of A would equal 1.618 x i of A at 1.9960...look for resistance in this area and for price to trade back to 1.9760 after.Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 05:31 | 显示全部楼层
USDCHF turning up
USDCHF looks like it has finally turned up.... .. Lets hope it keeps going up....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 05:32 | 显示全部楼层
GBPUSD running out of space to move
Still not sure about the count in GBPUSD, but price looks like it's running out of room to move, If we can't penetrate the upper line yet then we have no choice but to fall back down.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 05:32 | 显示全部楼层
Relax friend... lol AUDCAD count is still good... Unless the top of wave 1 at .8800 is penetrated, I would expect the wave 5 up still.. This is the daily chart we're looking at here remember... Have patience.. It's going to take some time. This is not going to happen over night...Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 05:33 | 显示全部楼层
Eurgbp
looks like that EURGBP has started wave C of wave 4 !!!

do u guys advise me to go short for this wave ??
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 05:34 | 显示全部楼层
Cad
is it a good time to take a short ride downward o the fifth wave in the USD/CAD ?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-1 05:35 | 显示全部楼层
Audcad
http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/...1&d=1201244512

the mentioned resistance wasn't broken lastnight and I got stoped with 15 pips instead of the 50 pips I got before I went to bed...

anyhow, I am long again from the level shown
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