一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

This trade set-up is off of a End of Wave 3 low, projected to go up
towards the e 2 targets posted on the chart , That's it ! ...............

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I really don't know where the High of Wave 4 is going to occur ,
or even if the Loonie will eventually make a End of Wave 4 high ,
( So Basically , I am not interested in locating the End of Wave 4 High )

My concern in trade set-ups is to get to the intended targets ,and then exit....!

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hefeiddd

Aud/Usd
( Longer Term )
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Probable Wave-Count .....
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hefeiddd

Eur/chf
That expanded flat idea in the EUR/CHF is starting to look pretty good. Wave iv looks like a W-X-Y correction that ended in a triangle (Thanks Picolo). So it looks like wave five could be complete at 1.5695. Looking at a candlestick chart, there is a hammer formation that was formed yesterday that could prove to be the bottom.

New highs are about 1000 points away from current levels, so this could be a pretty good trade.
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hefeiddd

Hi Picolo,

this is my count on the medium term.... target in area 165xxAttached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Are we still bullish on AUDUSD?
Leg A was 230 pips, leg B 150 pips, leg C also 230 pips? Which should put it at around 0.919?
Any comments?
Mike
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hefeiddd

Eur/aud
The EUR/AUD is moving higher quite nicely now. The wave count is clear and the profit potential is pretty good.

The currencies are swing trader's paradise right now. There seem to be great setups all across the board. Exciting times!
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Hey Mike,

The daily chart of AUD/USD is still very bullish. One more high is required to complete the bull run from 0.8511.

The short term picture looks better in the Kiwi to me, so that's the chart I attached. It looks like we should get one more small low below 0.7955 to complete wave c and larger 2. AUD/USD is basically the same.
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Aud/usd
EW states that corrections, especially if they are fourth wave corrections, tend to retrace into the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree. Price has traded down to the previous fourth wave today, so the larger retracement could be nearing an end. I think one more pop lower will wrap things up and give way to the reversal.
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hefeiddd

Great question......I am watching this one like a hawk because I want to plow into a big long soon. Support should be at either .9185 or .9112. These are fibo levels (50 and 61.8).Attached Images

hefeiddd

We might have to revise the NZDUSD count.
(AUDUSD did the same, too)
MikeAttached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Elliiott Waves

Diagram Explantion - ( originally posted by Justy..... )
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Ending Diagonal

In this chart formation ,
Yes , you can can have Wave 4 overlapping Wave 1
(in which usually occurs at the end of a larger End of Wave 5 )
See chart below ...........
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Special note ,
Price must touch the upper or lower resistance line
of the rising triangle at point #1 , Point#3 & Point #5

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hefeiddd

We still need another leg down to the area indicated by my hand written red "c", correct?
(Do not be annoyed, I am trying to learn)
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hefeiddd

Ok, very good but I am not sure what it is we are talking about anyway because there isn't overlap anyway. iv and i do sometimes overlap on very very very short term time frames in the wave 1 position. If you want to call it a diagonal instead of an impulse then fine with me. All I am looking for are profitable ideas (big moves) and the tiny details such as this are not worth arguing discussing.Attached Images

hefeiddd

nothing new - just continuing on EURCHF from yesterday...
After a discussion yesterday, took a look at it today again... and must say as a fan of Elliott Wave and Fibonacci beauty, found this... That is ignoring the intraday ending of wave 4 wherever it is (as discussed with justy yesterday)...

Plus, the expanded flat is strating to make sense to me as well justy...


Picolo
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USDCAD bearish alternate
Something different from Jamie's CAD bearish forecasts... My USD bearish alternate count for USD/CAD...
1) clear 2 5-wave moves lower 1 and i (YES, can be a and c of a zigzag)
2) retracement back to a trendline to kiss good-bye?
3) not much impulsive action since 0.971 low - conatined in a channel of three-wave moves. top could be in place for a triple-three correction and just above 50% retracement.

Easily valid below 1.02, I think.

Thoughts?
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hefeiddd

Aud/jpy
Hi guys,

It looks like wave (i) of (3) is complete. One possibility for the wave (ii) correction is that an expanded flat is forming. If so, we should see 97.49 exceeded before the next leg lower begins.
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hefeiddd

Aud/Usd
AUD/USD may be getting ready to bottom out. A triangle looks to have formed as wave four of wave 'C' of the larger correction. Since triangles preceed the final actionary wave in a sequence, it looks like one more decline will be the end of the correction.
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hefeiddd

My count is slightly different.
But, I am also looking at a retracement to 97.50
Please see attached.
MikeAttached Thumbnails







GBPUSD is surely taking long time. But Bob Prechter warns us that triangle take a long time to resolve. All we can do is wait and wait and wait.
In the meantime, here are my thoughts to ponder upon.
Mike
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hefeiddd

Usd/Cad

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- Trade set-up from Friday , last week ( 2 days ago )

The Usd/Cad- price entry of 9750 was triggered
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............Gain of 215 points today...............

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Original Post ............... Post # 4348
http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/...13880&page=290

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Long - Usd/Cad....9750 ....................... 1st Stop...... 9700

1st Target.......9924........................ .2nd Target .......... 9965
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NO HINDSITE , NO OSCILLATORS , NO NEWS , & NO MEETINGS

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It's all in the chart's ...............Attached Thumbnails  

hefeiddd

Us Dollar
( Wave-count ) 1hr bars

Heres some Eye Candy !.............
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Gbp/Usd
(4hr bars ) Wave-count
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Special Note :
This chart is dedicated to anyone who has a
bullish heart toward this currency pair going forward......
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Please excuse me I'm no statesman .....
and besides ,
I don't think the crown will have me called "Sir" anytime soon....!

So , its time to make a choice , .............
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Any Comments ?

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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-5 11:43 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

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We have made a small rally into that projected End of Wave E ...

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hefeiddd

Price has since crashed down overnight -Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

How can a trader be right every time with these set-ups ?

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