一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 07:55

Mike,

I'm quite bearish on that pair. Here is the monthly chart, showing a well formed triange. We know from Ellitt guidelines that triangle occurs in wave IV and the min target after a breakout is the begining of the triangle.

In our case that's the end of wave III or 79/80 area. We are 104.85 right now, so yes, you can say it's a big drop from here. But we need a confirmation first - a break of the -[D] trendline.

I'd love to see some other counts as well. Good to see if I'm on the right track or way out Attached Images

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:04

Wave-3 can NEVER be the shortest wave in a 5-wave sequence. Either your count on the impulsion is incorrect and you didn't adhere to the rule of neutrality and alternation, OR you're not in an impulsive series.

Anyways, Here's my chart on USDJPY. It'll probably be deleted before anyone sees it!..

AdrianAttached Thumbnails

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:06

Eur/Usd
Todays Update ( Daily Bars )

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:06

Here is a Short-term Update

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Only a Probability! ......... Not Cast in Stone !
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:07

but here is what may be occurring ...............

( see chart below )
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:08

Eur/Usd

WHERE' THE TOP ...........?

Where is the top of this thing ?

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:09

Ray,

I think there's still room to go up as we don't have a complete five waves yet.Attached Images

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:12

It looks to me that the EURJPY has topped for good. Entering a iii of 3 now. This thing will be near 130 in a matter of months.Attached Images

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:12

Remember this post from last week Friday ?
Well, Well , Well --
Here were are today , We may now have our confirmation .Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:13

Gbp/Usd
Wave-count ( 4hr Bars )

This is the wave-count that I am observing of the Gbp/Usd
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Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone !
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:14

Gbp/Usd
Hmmm ............. ?

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:15

GBP/USD Short Term Triangle
Here's a possible count I'm watching for the short term movement in GBP/USD. A contracting triangle may be forming for wave four.
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:16

Are you guys dreaming? There is absolutely nothing pointing to a move higher. Set your targets at 1.97 and 1.96 for the first shorts and get ready for much lower to come.

Rad

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:17

This pair is never going to see the highs again. Look out below as this is headed to 154 and then 152 on the next legs down. Get short on any bounces up as they will be very short lived.

Rad
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:18

Cable Triangle?
Heya Justy,
I was reading about triangles again last night and tried to fit the price action of the cable into one. I think I have a similar count to you now. No more overlapping 4ths grin. Although the B wave is a bit oblong. Have a great weekend.

John

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:20

Gbpusd Monthly
I'll leave the shorter term up to the rest of you... Here's what I'm seeing at a glance from the monthly.... Only a possability....
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:22

Eurjpy Daily
Here's a look at EURJPY Daily... I think this looks pretty clear.... You can see the diagonal triangle that completed the 5 wave rally... (It is truncated) As for the near term action what I have labelled as the wave 1 followed by A then B and now in C, It could be a 1,2 and another 1,2 .. it's too early too tell... But the larger picture is clearer... We just have to get down to the shorter time frames for entry. I still believe this market is headed much higher over the long term. There has been no indication of anything to the contrary. I'm sure some novices in here will notice my wave 4 does overlap my wave 1, but this is allowed in a wave 1 position if it is a leading diagonal. Which I believe it is.
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:23

Chfjpy
Here's an update to CHFJPY I posted a few days ago... Still heading upward, But I think we're do for a little correction before we continue.
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Hey there Justy...

Ya I think there's deffinately upside potential especially with the way this month has just closed leaving us with two hammer's right in the support zone ... Supprt is clearly shown on the monthly... For the life of me though, I just can't get the short term.. Glad you got it

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:25

Usdjpy
Glad I stayed Short USDJPY... I'm roughly three hundred pips in the money with stops already protecting profits... I'll be riding this one for a while yet too...
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-5-5 08:26

Usd/chf
Hey guys,

While there is still plenty of downside potential for the USD in the near-term, the bottom may be just around the corner. The chart I have attached shows that price is in wave five. So maybe in the next few years we could see a turnaround.

What do you guys think?
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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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