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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:17 | 显示全部楼层
HI Benfx ,
I had went to a meeting and hand drew these charts
in front of everyone I expained that the Dow Jones
was moving into an End of a Wave 5 ........

Here is the Dow Jones how it has turned out after I heard some fellow traders
were saying the same thing you are saying ...........

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Here is what has happened -
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Do you have your own Wave-count Dow Jones Chart that you can post ?Attached Thumbnails  

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:17 | 显示全部楼层
The Dow Jones
Has rallied it way into this End of wave 5 ...........
Price is exausted -

Now that it the beginning of 2008 and the Dow Jones
is down almost 7% YTD and it appears the we are making
now making an End of a Wave A Low somehow .......

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anyway , I'm just sharing with you my views of the market
.................................................. .............................

What is your View of the Dow Jones ?
Do you have a Wave-count that you can share with us ?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:18 | 显示全部楼层
Hello danishfx


Here is the Mid-Term.....wavecount I'm Using .............
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:19 | 显示全部楼层
Gbp/Usd

Danishfx ...... See here if your heart is Bullish
-Here is an update for this chart from earlier last month .....

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:20 | 显示全部楼层
I agree to disagree italm. The movements since the top in July are all in 3 waves...suggestive of a triangle. I expect wave D to test 165 by the end of this month (about 2 weeks) or sooner.Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:20 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/Usd

Probable wave count -
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:21 | 显示全部楼层
Gbp/Usd

Bulls are now Flirting with this 618% Line .....

Can 9740 hold as resitance ?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:22 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/Usd

Price Action Taking out more of resistance levels ....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:22 | 显示全部楼层
I want to introduce a count that has yet to be presented in the AUDUSD. Under this scenario, a C wave would come under .8874 before the next bull leg. Of course, be very careful because we could also be in a very bullish wave 3 now. This is something that I wanted to present, it does not mean that I am turning bearish.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:23 | 显示全部楼层
Eurnzd
HEY Gizmo !! I'll bet you're glad you didn't short EURNZD now aren't ya !!! lol I called that bounce right on the money ------
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:24 | 显示全部楼层
Here's the USDJPY update :-D

Also, I hope you guys listened to my AUDCAD count. Be safe guys! We shoudl be heading south here....THEN a HUGE impulsive series will follow.




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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:26 | 显示全部楼层
Usd/Cad
Hi there ,

Here is a Probable Price Projection for the Loonie ........
Looking for a " Wave A " RallyAttached Thumbnails
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:27 | 显示全部楼层
Gbp/Usd
Here is a look at what may be occurring ..............
These 3 charts are an iluustration of what may be happening
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This is only a Probability ..........
Not Cast in Stone !
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If You disagree , That's Ok

Just Post your charts and state your case ..........
TIME will then tell all !....Attached Thumbnails  

  

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:28 | 显示全部楼层
Thanx Alot :

This Trade was fueled because of the Gap that was in place from last Friday
coupled with something that was in the News...........
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:29 | 显示全部楼层
Everyone knows that I have been an ardent EURO bull for a while now. I have been a bull because there was no reason to be a bear and every reason to be a bull. That said, I urge caution to bulls right now and bears might want to stop on the gas. Bulls might even want to flip bearish short term. I say this because the rally from 1.4438 is in 7 waves...could be a double zigzag (W-X-Y). The first zigzag is almost exactly equal to the second and the rally reversed at nearly exactly the 50% Fibo of the recent drop. This does not mean that I abondon my longer term bullish call for a rally to the mid 1.50s but it does mean that over the next few weeks, a drop, maybe even below 1.4438 is possible.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:30 | 显示全部楼层
Usdcad
I'm still sticking with my count that I have posted here previously for USDCAD... I'm still long, looking for a wave "C" higher.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:32 | 显示全部楼层
I'm looking for A=C equality for this wave "C" upward. Equality comes in at 1.1062 if wave "A" = wave "C" .. That doesn't neccesarily mean it will get there though.. I will be keeping my eyes peeled for a reversal at the down trend line if it wants to hold... For now I sit tight with my long position.Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:33 | 显示全部楼层
Adrian, your count mostly coincudes with mine - with the exception of that Neo triangle:Attached Thumbnails









Usdcad
Here is my point of view:
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:35 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/usd
Hey everybody,

Here's my thoughts on EUR/USD. First, one possibility of what's going on short term is that wave 'E' of the triangle is still forming. There are five waves down and so far a correction looks to be forming. Price is currently trading near the 50.0% retracement of that first five wave decline. One more five wave move to the downside would complete wave 'E' and also then complete the triangle.

Second, when you look at the weekly chart you can see that there are only 11 waves to the upside. In Elliott Wave, impulse moves come in patterns of 5,9,13... Since we are only at 11 waves up so far, it is impossible for the move to be over now. One more wave to the upside has to occur to finish the move in accordance with Elliott Wave rules.

Any comments on this?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-2 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/gbp
There's been a little talk on EUR/GBP and USD/GBP lately. I still believe that one more high is required to complete the larger wave three in EUR/GBP. It looks to me like extended fifth waves are the theme here.
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