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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:30 | 显示全部楼层
I choose to play by the book .... even if its leverage the currencies are traded on your behalf unless your counterparty run the opposit trade :-)

Here you have my EURO count ...... not sure yet about last part ....Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:31 | 显示全部楼层
My count is much more bullish. I actually think that a 3rd wave is underway now and extending probably into the high 1.4800s by the end of the week. I would look to get long near 1.4700.Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:32 | 显示全部楼层
Audcad HEY adrian... Sorry about your luck bud... Looks like I got my way with AUDCAD... Posted here over a month in advance for all to see ... Beautiful...
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:34 | 显示全部楼层
Audnzd
Looks like AUDNZD is finally heading higher.... Price is drifting upward.... I'm still holding long from near the bottom..
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:35 | 显示全部楼层
http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/...tsanimated.swf





Here's a look at the longer term picture for AUDNZD
I think AUDNZD is in a bear trend from looking at the longer term picture... It looks like the rally that is expected should be a large wave "C" ... I would not want to hold any longs in this pair past the prior high at 1.2090 for safety sake... The target for my long position is at 1.2090 ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:51 | 显示全部楼层
Cable........another possibility.............what do you guys think ?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:54 | 显示全部楼层
I am trying to post my chart, with gratitude to all my nice friends who are trying to help me and please do not be annoyed by my learning process.
GBPUSD should go up, technical indicators show positive divergence, so far the price action has not materialized yet.
Mike

http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/...1&d=1203474725
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:54 | 显示全部楼层
Xauusd
This is my count. Do u think like that?
If It is right. The Price of Gold wil hit target at 966.90USD/Oz.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:55 | 显示全部楼层
Cable
I think an ending diagonal is taking place in cable now. short term wise I am looking for a bounce to the 61.8% retracement from the high of 1.9735 for a wave B
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:56 | 显示全部楼层
Eur/usd
Close my short at 14650 and open long at 14647....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:56 | 显示全部楼层
Some of you are probably wondering, "What is wrong with Jamie that he keeps trying to buy Cable?" The reason I am bullish is that I see the rally from 1.9337 as a 5 wave rally. The decline from 1.9957 can still be a 3 wave decline AS LONG AS PRICE IS ABOVE 1.9337. That is my rationale. Risk is certainly small right now.Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:57 | 显示全部楼层
The EURJPY may be completing a 4th wave now or may need to drop a bit more...to the 157.40 area (38.2 and structural support). I am not too enamored one way or the other short term although I still maitain that the EURJPY will see 165 in the next monthAttached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:58 | 显示全部楼层
After being stopped twice on my GBPUSD long position and after having lost a total of around 160 pips, 2 contracts each for a total of 4 contracts, I am long GBPUSD again this morning.
Rationale:
1. double bottom over the last 12 days.
2. Both, stochastic and MACD showing positive divergence over the last 3 days.
So, there is a relatively high probability that the pair should go up.
I will feel slightly better, once we overcome the resistance at 1.9390
MikeAttached Thumbnails
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 07:59 | 显示全部楼层
Here is my USDJPY count. I see a C wave ending near 107 (probably a bit beneath the figure) either today or tomorrow (most likely tomorrow). Then I am looking to buy Yen crosses (USDJPY in particular for a run at 110). There is a cluster of Fibo support in the 106.80/107.00 zone
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 08:00 | 显示全部楼层
Usd Cad
USD CAD seems like it is almost ready to drop.
The chart below shows my take, based on technical indicators; we can see negative divergence in stochastis and MACD. So does RSI (not shown)
Plus which, not shown, the 10 minute chart looks like it is forming an Head and Shoulders assembly. Oops, it just converted into a double top this minute.
Mike
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Bob Pretcher , Ceo
ELLIOTT WAVES INTERNATIONAL
-------------------------------------
Bloomberg Tv - INTERVIEW

Click Here
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjS60TaD_J8

-------------------------------------------------
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 08:01 | 显示全部楼层
Hi MAKO

Here is a Short-Term Wave-count ( 30 min bars )

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Only A Probability !
................ Not Cast in Stone !
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 08:02 | 显示全部楼层
Original Post :
Click here
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//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////Attached Thumbnails  










Gbp/Usd
See Here...........
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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-3 08:07 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 08:03 | 显示全部楼层
Bob Pretcher , Ceo
ELLIOTT WAVES INTERNATIONAL
-------------------------------------
Bloomberg Tv - INTERVIEW

Click Here
http://youtube.com/watch?v=WJnMia2rARI

--------------------------------------------------
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 08:04 | 显示全部楼层
Here is an updated chart of the USDCAD. It seems likely that a top is in place.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 08:05 | 显示全部楼层
Eur Usd
It looks like EURUSD will go few more pips yet, just below 1.48
At that point the 5 waves starting on FEB 7 will be complete.
An A-B-C pattern to the downside will ensue?
Technical indicators look slightly exhausted, too.
Mike
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