一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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老挝

欣赏

有点眼晕

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I'm actually looking at the Dow futures chart and there I see 5 waves completed.



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Bear's eyed view of Euro/jpy
This is what I see with my bear glasses on
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Hey guys, I figured if Im going to put my bear glasses on, I might as well see what I see with my bull glasses. Although, even with my bull glasses, I see we need a final leg up for a wave v of C before the big decent. Same post I put on yesterday (# 832)
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hefeiddd

Stocks
Wondering about the possibility that that 5 waves down is a c of iv of C (bear glasses) or 3 (bull glasses). Jamie I think you label this as a complex, which is why you don't expect a new high.

Looking at the Nasdaq, both the comp and NDX made a new high which would be a 5th wave. This wave can only be regarded as a "3" though, so it seems logical to expect new highs on those indices, whether as a full 5 if wave iv is on the right, or a diagonal which has already 2 waves complete if wave iv is on the left.

Any thoughts?

Spin

Edit: B or 1 in the chart doesn't work, I made the chart too fast, should be more of a I-II 1-2 sequence in the bull scenario.





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hefeiddd

Here is my main concern with the bearish argument right now regarding the Yen crosses. The USDJPY decline from 117.12 to 112.59 is so clear as wave B within the A-B-C from 111.59 and the rally from 111.59 has yet to come close to the former 4th wave, which is at 119.84. Wave 5 from 119.84 was extended as well. With this in mind and with the USDJPY near the bottom of its recent range, a bullish bias is warranted against 112.59, targeting 118.00 (wave C of 2 would equal wave A of 2 at 118.12). A drop below 113.99 seems likely before the rally begins.
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hefeiddd

I see 5 waves up on Aus/Yen, think Jamie's target of 103 might be reached first before the turn. But the retracement on Aus/Usd looks so shallow and incomplete.
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hefeiddd

The EURUSD is approaching the morning high of 1.4154. This 5 minute chart suggests that a rally through there would complete 5 waves from 1.4061. A rally through 1.4154 may also complete 5 waves from 1.3828.
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hefeiddd

Hey guys,
Heads p on the CHF/JPY as well. Has a similar count to the Euro/JPY only this one made it to the 78.6 retracement of the wave B to C or 2 to i of 3 from the top. It stopped on 78.6% to the pip.
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Hey guys
Heads up on both the Eur/JPY and the CHF/JPY. Both have completed the final 5 waves up I was looking for with the sharp decline down.If fact, the wave iv has already been beech with one swoop. If thats not impulsive, I dont know what is. I could be a A down but give the position of my longer count, I was looking for 1 more final 5 waver up and I got it so I went short at 162.30 with a tight stop at the high of the day. Be vigilant of a top in place.
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Hey guys,
This morning has been a snoozer so far but this is no time to fall asleep. Could this be a calm before a storm scenario? Who knows. But as traders, we've all be there. Huge moves tend to happen after unusually quite times where markets have either moved sideways for too long or have moved in a particular direction at a turtles pace without any rest. These quiet times give us great opportunity to look at the market from a bigger picture standpoint. I see another possibility in the Eur/Jpy that may be of some interest. Heres an possible ending diagonal count seen on a daily chart. Please keep in mind that even if it looks diagonal, doesn't mean it is. This one has the shape of one, but wave iv does not enter into price territory of wave 1. We do however have 5 waves. You could wait for a break below 161 (wave iv) then recess if you want to play it conservatively or a break below 162.60 might serve is an early warning as it looks like the wave 4 of V (or b of v if its a diagonal scenario)on a 15 min chart.
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hefeiddd

Getting tighter and tighter, those red lines would be important now. A break up favours Jamie's count.

By the way Jamie, your count on Aussie became very bullish, would you label the same for Aus/Yen? I know you're gonna post the Aussie crosses today, but I was hoping for some early info
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hefeiddd

An early signal of a trend change may be visible in the USDCHF. I can see a clear 1 and 2 up, followed by an extended wave 3. A 4th wave may be unfolding from above 1.1710 as a flat or triangle. IF we get a 4th wave followed by a 5th then the trade is to the upside. Until then, the entire rally could be an a-b-c.
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hefeiddd

Hey Jamie,
I beleive I might see a top in the Euro as wel. from the top, it appears we have 3 waves so one could label it an abc correction. However, it you notice, that b wave is a 5 waver so I labeled it a truncated 5.Attached Images

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The AUDCAD is breaking higher....this could be the start of a 3rd of a 3rd so it is a nice opportunity.
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Guys heads up
Possible ending diagonal on Eur/JPY
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Hey guys we just closed below the lower trend line on a 5 min chart. She might blow!
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Guys I'm not sure about that diagonal anymore. Watching the end of it is like watching paint dry. It might just be a wave iv and we need to make a new high for a final wave V.
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