一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 08:58

I think the corrections we are getting lately has been really hard to label.

Usd/Yen - I think I'll keep it simple, 3 waves down, and a triangle wave 4 or B, so the next down is a possible wave 5 or C, which are 5 waves in any case. Need another up move for wave e to cover that gap from Sunday.

Gbp/Yen - I think this count is interesting and is possible, a wave e triangle forming. Also possibly wave 4 or B.

Edit : Aud/Cad, yeah I like Jamie's count, I was waiting for 5 waves before jumping in but no 5 waves came, so I thought maybe the correction isn't done yet.
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 08:59

113.99 is close to being breached so please keep the alternate proposed last week in mind. The triangle scenario would most likely lead to weakness below 114.00 that proves marginal before a small bounce in wave e completes the triangle. This is the pattern on this chart.
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 09:00

Watching a 1 min is like pulling teeth!...lol. Oh well at least its moving. This is continuation of a wave 3 down scenario Ive been watching all morning. A move below 161 should be huge as it signifies a iii of 3 is in play.
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 09:01

The clearest patterns (I think) are often visible in the dow. If you are trading the Yen, then you want to know what the dow might do going forward. IF price drops below 13696.87, then we would have 5 waves down from the top (13876) and the stage would be set for the next leg down in both the dow and the Yen crosses (after a correction of course).
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 09:02

The idea that the GBPJPY would make it to 238.00 or so before a reversal was based on the triangle. Triangles lead to terminal thrusts. I had more confidence in this idea when it looked waves i and ii of c had unfolded. Where does the circled price action fit though? It could be another i and ii but the rally is not clearly an impulse. It could be another triangle too. Until a break of one of the horizontal lines on the chart below, there is not much of a directional bias. It is still possible that the pair will rally above 235.50 and the current price is a good entry. 228.19 is risk.
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hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:40

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:46

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:48

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:53

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:54

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:54

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:55

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:56

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:56

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:57

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:58

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:58

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 10:59

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 11:03

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-24 11:16

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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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