一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-11 18:37 编辑 ]

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Forums > Interactive Trading
Elliott Wave Trading

Jul 23, 2008 10:05am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

USDJPY Hi all, pls refer my attachment for UJ wave count. Wave 5 is ended with the trend line, so am expecting market to go down for wave A. Selled at 107.67. TP - 106.5 SL - 108.2 Attached Thumbnails

#4    Jul 23, 2008 10:12am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

USD/CAD wave count Pls refer chart for usd cad wave count. Attached Thumbnails

#5    Jul 23, 2008 10:21am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

aud usd setup hi all, pls see wave count for a/u. Attached Thumbnails

#6    Jul 23, 2008 10:27am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by BANDA Thank you blue looking forward for your analysis................ Pls feel free to ask/correct me.. Thks.

#7    Jul 23, 2008 11:04am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Nzd/Usd Trade setup for Nzd/Usd Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Jul 23, 2008 6:36pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle Trade setup for Nzd/Usd Failed trade, here is the update. Closed at 0.7490 and lost 30 pips. Attached Thumbnails

#9    Jul 23, 2008 6:47pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

gbp/usd cable setup Attached Thumbnails

#10    Jul 24, 2008 9:37am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

cable update Update for cable trade. 24 pips profit. Attached Thumbnails

#11    Jul 24, 2008 10:12am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle hi all, pls see wave count for a/u. setup failed. Lost 50 pips

#12    Jul 24, 2008 5:50pm

peaches Senior Member Member Since Oct 2007   2,111 Posts

high blue, i have exactly zero / 0 / experiance in elliot, but i think its much easier, to try lager timeframes. Here is s try for gbp/usd. Chart from orion (hope its OK), counting by me. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ "I have no bias" Mr. Trichet - 03.07.08

#13    Jul 24, 2008 6:42pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by peaches high blue, i have exactly zero / 0 / experiance in elliot, but i think its much easier, to try lager timeframes. Here is s try for gbp/usd. Chart from orion (hope its OK), counting by me. Agree with you. Higher time frame is a lot easier to trade. Will try to post my wave count in higher tf. Anyway, thanks for your chart and advice. Pls be active here and post ur charts and opinions.

#14    Jul 27, 2008 8:24am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

aud usd AUD/USD might have finished its wave 5 down, but need to be confirm further first. Attached Thumbnails

#15    Jul 27, 2008 8:49am

mphpopular My first 100k Member Since May 2008   959 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=77988 You might wan to see this. The EW is quite clean and clear.... It is on GU. __________________ Trendline I've drawn

hefeiddd

Jul 27, 2008 9:35am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by mphpopular http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=77988 You might wan to see this. The EW is quite clean and clear.... It is on GU. This chart from the user 5ysfx, wavecount for gbp/usd is very clean. Posting here for ref. and record purpose. Thank you mphpopular for the link. Attached Thumbnails

#17    Jul 27, 2008 9:44am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Hi everyone Look at aussie charts I'm counting like this. Second pattern is more likely to me. I believe that we will hit 0,951x area so called SL hunting then bounce to the upside. If reversal will be strong then we could presume scenario 2 if not i bet on H&S. Goodluck. Attached Thumbnails

#18    Jul 27, 2008 9:50am

cgldsmth It's only money Member Since Dec 2005   687 Posts

aussie shorts beware! Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Jul 27, 2008 10:16am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Beware bulls these pattern are very similar.Hold on tight stops. Attached Thumbnails

#20    Jul 27, 2008 11:59am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx Hi everyone Look at aussie charts I'm counting like this. Second pattern is more likely to me. I believe that we will hit 0,951x area so called SL hunting then bounce to the upside. If reversal will be strong then we could presume scenario 2 if not i bet on H&S. Goodluck. Yours charts are great. Thanks for participating here and hoping for more from you.

#21    Jul 27, 2008 12:22pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by cgldsmth aussie shorts beware! Thats great. simplicity works

#22    Jul 27, 2008 12:52pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle Pls refer chart for usd cad wave count. Update.. for USD/CAD Attached Thumbnails

#23    Jul 27, 2008 1:32pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Hi Usdcad looks very bullish to me. Let's see what might to happen. I'm just watching 14 ema at 3H tf for now. I will follow the breakout - daily. Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Jul 27, 2008 7:51pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Maybe or maybe not Attached Thumbnails

#25    Jul 28, 2008 12:25am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

GBPJPY chart... pls correct me if not wavecount missing something.. Attached Thumbnails

#26    Jul 28, 2008 1:11am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

How about that Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#27    Jul 28, 2008 2:08am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx How about that It might be 12345 waves too, but why i named it abc is because wave 4 is very large and not in abc form. anyway we will wait and see, no hard feelings. From your analysis can see tat your well experienced in EW. how many years in forex? I am still new and young to fx and ew. Btw, i am in singapore(asia), where r u from?

#28    Jul 28, 2008 2:26am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle It might be 12345 waves too, but why i named it abc is because wave 4 is very large and not in abc form. anyway we will wait and see, no hard feelings. From your analysis can see tat your well experienced in EW. how many years in forex? I am still new and young to fx and ew. Btw, i am in singapore(asia), where r u from? I count like that because of gloomy future of the UK economics. No harm feelings either 3 years learning(only demos) + 2 years trading(oanda) thats why im 5ysfx and im from Poland. Also I am quite young __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#29    Jul 28, 2008 3:43am

mphpopular My first 100k Member Since May 2008   959 Posts

Hi, Juz to say a Hi to both of you. It nice to see both experts in EW to keep their hard work on.. Juz keep it up. I wont be posting much since I'm still a EW learner (juz started my first EW book).... But i bookmarked this thread. The GJ is juz exactly what the most of EW is looking for.... __________________ Trendline I've drawn

#30    Jul 28, 2008 3:49am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

EUR/GBP eur/gbp charts Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Jul 28, 2008 5:31am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

uj hi all, see chart for USDJPY. Will look for down movement for wave C. 1st target placed at above 50% fibo and 2nd and 3rd target left it open with 50 pip trailing stop. Attached Thumbnails

#33    Jul 28, 2008 9:03am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx I count like that because of gloomy future of the UK economics. No harm feelings either 3 years learning(only demos) + 2 years trading(oanda) thats why im 5ysfx and im from Poland. Also I am quite young ohh.. your from Poland, tats great. I wish i can visit there for holiday.. anyway, good to have well experienced trader here. Last edited by Blue bottle, Jul 28, 2008 12:36pm

#34    Jul 28, 2008 1:00pm

peaches Senior Member Member Since Oct 2007   2,111 Posts

Hi Blue, Hi all, I have found an interesting oil and eur/usd count here: http://www.thelfb-forex.com/content....8#euro_and_oil Based on fundamentals i thougt eur/usd will go 1,58 or 1,585, and then down 1,55 (not based on elliot, i have no skills in this), but the above mentioned count seems logic to me, and a massiv usd weakniss would match with your usd/jpy count. Happy trading __________________ "I have no bias" Mr. Trichet - 03.07.08

#35    Jul 28, 2008 1:36pm

paplo2050 Infractions Overload Member Since Jun 2008 6 Posts

give me more information

#36    Jul 28, 2008 1:39pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

usdcad is slowly drawing my scenario lets se if we hit 1.03 __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#37    Jul 28, 2008 5:11pm

peaches Senior Member Member Since Oct 2007   2,111 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx usdcad is slowly drawing my scenario lets se if we hit 1.03 hm maybe. but not jet. there is a pinbar on the 4 hourly chart. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ "I have no bias" Mr. Trichet - 03.07.08

#38    Jul 28, 2008 6:17pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Although usd is highly overbought atm I am expecting a retrace before we'll draw last leg. Then the rest of the picture uulalala Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#39    Jul 28, 2008 10:34pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

Question for anyone who can answer it.....EW is for individual moves of individual entities.....it was discovered through the stock market...where say, Microsoft competes with only microsoft and thus creates it's own waves....in currency, it is one country vs another, a blending of two entities...each entity having it's own EW apart from the other......how do you blend the two together...say the US is in a wave 4...but the EU is in a wave 3 how can you take a blended pair and create a single entity and how can you have a Grand Supercycle count since niether currency will ever go to 0........

#40    Jul 29, 2008 3:26am

Val144 Member Member Since Jul 2006   184 Posts

For me that is .... EW of USD index and EW of EUR index... That show the currency behavior against some basket of other currencies. It is not possible to use some superposition of USD index and EUR index to drow EW for EU .... but it can help to prefer some variant if there are more then one. just MO. Quote: Originally Posted by 12345abc Question for anyone who can answer it.....EW is for individual moves of individual entities.....it was discovered through the stock market...where say, Microsoft competes with only microsoft and thus creates it's own waves....in currency, it is one country vs another, a blending of two entities...each entity having it's own EW apart from the other......how do you blend the two together...say the US is in a wave 4...but the EU is in a wave 3 how can you take a blended pair and create a single entity and how can you have a Grand Supercycle count since niether currency will ever go to 0........

#41    Jul 29, 2008 5:36am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Good point Val144 Currency indexes are very helpfull to determine their strength from the technical point of view only. __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#42    Jul 29, 2008 6:51am

peaches Senior Member Member Since Oct 2007   2,111 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx Although usd is highly overbought atm I am expecting a retrace before we'll draw last leg. Then the rest of the picture uulalala pretty good forecast ! __________________ "I have no bias" Mr. Trichet - 03.07.08

#43    Jul 29, 2008 6:53am

peaches Senior Member Member Since Oct 2007   2,111 Posts

Hi blue, hi everybody, is someone able to do an elliot wave count for the 10 years treasury note (^TNX), please ? The 10 year treasury note has a good (anti)-correlation with eur/usd. This is visible, if you overlay ^TNX and eur/usd charts or compare the highs and the lows on daily charts. Attached Thumbnails       __________________ "I have no bias" Mr. Trichet - 03.07.08

#44    Jul 29, 2008 7:03am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Might be but i need a rest of the picture from the left side. What do you think ? Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

hefeiddd

Jul 29, 2008 7:17am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

But we could strike again to 50 fibo.(weekly) Be carefull, better wait for clear brake of the wedge. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#47    Jul 29, 2008 3:22pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

My 4cast for eurousd Direction depend on the news -currently bad for EU, comunism like oil regulation possibly, usd index recovery, usdjpy has cracked daily downtrend. Charts have been edited. added numbers i think that is more clearer now. Attached Thumbnails       __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal Last edited by 5ysfx, Jul 29, 2008 8:14pm

#48    Jul 29, 2008 3:40pm

peaches Senior Member Member Since Oct 2007   2,111 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx My 4cast for eurousd Direction depend on the news -currently bad for EU. thanks again, whit your help on treasury notes ! based on candlestick patterns (), I agree with the second count, eur bearish. __________________ "I have no bias" Mr. Trichet - 03.07.08

#49    Jul 29, 2008 3:55pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Thanks I am glad that my ability to assemble letters one by one could be helpfull for someone. I edited charts. __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#50    Jul 29, 2008 5:28pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

cable update after news. my daily forecast is still valid. conclusion despite of the news pound is doomed. Attached Thumbnails          __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

hefeiddd

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hefeiddd

Jul 30, 2008 9:06am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

hi all, Pls see chart for Eur/Gbp wave count. i guess price will range down to 0.76-0.75 before return to it up trend. Pls post if any alternative counting for eur/gbp.. Attached Thumbnails

#63    Jul 30, 2008 9:13am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

wavecount for Eur/Usd. Wave 5 will until purple color trend line. Once wave 5 ended there market will move in up direction if trend line is not broken. Attached Thumbnails

#64    Jul 30, 2008 9:24am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Very nice chart i see the same. Price seat near ema100 daily and seems to accelerate breakout soon will buy at .7650 __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#65    Jul 30, 2008 9:25am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle hi all, Pls see chart for Eur/Gbp wave count. i guess price will range down to 0.76-0.75 before return to it up trend. Pls post if any alternative counting for eur/gbp.. Hi 5ysfx, Any advice about my chart setup?? I SHORTed with the target of wave 4. SL and TP not yet selected.

#66    Jul 30, 2008 9:47am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Usually I do not touch this pair but with that setup trade is pretty safe Thx for the tip I am with u bro Eurusd is ok too till 1546 i think even lower 5350 Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#67    Jul 30, 2008 10:07am

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

I zoomed out as far as I could with the Yen index....movement since high appears to be a 4th wave....we are in C....to early to tell if we have bottomed...... I am short eur/pound since 7890....... 7550 is ultimate target...we will see........immediate target is 7840ish..it need to break to have more downside I have same thing on Euro, we are approaching 76.4% retrace of 5 wave sequence begining at 5300.....

#68    Jul 30, 2008 10:39am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 12345abc I zoomed out as far as I could with the Yen index....movement since high appears to be a 4th wave....we are in C....to early to tell if we have bottomed...... I am short eur/pound since 7890....... 7550 is ultimate target...we will see........immediate target is 7840ish..it need to break to have more downside I have same thing on Euro, we are approaching 76.4% retrace of 5 wave sequence begining at 5300..... Thanks a lot for analysis and feedback. Feel free to post us other pairs counting too.

#69    Jul 30, 2008 10:50am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

agreed with the max timeframe what about closer look pick 3m and 5m timeframe Do you agree that we are just starting 3rd wave which is wave 5 from 2007 bottom. Wave 4 has finished at 231.8 which is fibo 50% of wave 3 __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#70    Jul 30, 2008 11:44am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

expecting this pattern as a wave 5 but if wave 4 is only massive bearflag(from 196-216) then god save the quin. shorted from 21430 12345abc any comment on this ? Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#71    Jul 30, 2008 12:01pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

similar on uj I dont expect the price broke the ema 200 just like that. Besides emas at momentum has crossed for the first time in this wave. Any comments will be appreciated Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#72    Jul 30, 2008 12:29pm

AZ-Heat Member Member Since Apr 2007 135 Posts

I dont know about everyone else but these last two weeks have been tough on a wave count for me. But I think I have the count down now. If I am right, I look for waves 1 and 2 to form upwards between now and NFP. At which time, I hope it trigers wave 3 up once the # comes out. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ I found the guy who keeps losing me money. Its "ME" SHOOT HIM!

#73    Jul 30, 2008 12:46pm

AZ-Heat Member Member Since Apr 2007 135 Posts

This is the daily chart with my current veiw of the larger wave count. But we all know that price action can change that, but this count is in the lead right now Attached Thumbnails    __________________ I found the guy who keeps losing me money. Its "ME" SHOOT HIM!

#74    Jul 30, 2008 1:30pm

AZ-Heat Member Member Since Apr 2007 135 Posts

A nice 5 wave move up off the lows, I booked 58 pips. I am expecting a bigger wave 1 and 2 then the one you see before the NFP Attached Thumbnails    __________________ I found the guy who keeps losing me money. Its "ME" SHOOT HIM!

hefeiddd

Jul 31, 2008 8:04pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

AUS/USD. End of wave 5 is confirmed. I am going long for wave A. SL placed just above the trendline at 0.9373 Attached Thumbnails

#80    Jul 31, 2008 8:19pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

What confirmed the end of the 5th wave? could you please show me the 5 waves of the 5th wave? also...no chance of 5 extending? I'm only asking, why trade A? and risk getting run over by this move down? why not wait for the bottoming of B and get the impulse of C with firm projections of length.....just wondering out loud here......it comes down many times to style....trade alot, or trade like a laser at only certian super high probablity points......

#81    Jul 31, 2008 8:22pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

I am sorry to say that. But I disagree we are still in the wave A of the big correction til .92 wave c will be completed at .87 wave B limited to .945 this will be ema 100 daily. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#82    Jul 31, 2008 8:33pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

I may be wrong here but I believe he is talking about the subwaves that will create this large move down...this initial burst will need to correct soon....I would look to trade the c wave of the correction and pile on with the sells as the correction would complete.....ESPECIALLY on the Kiwi...thats the one I want to be in on........

#83    Jul 31, 2008 8:38pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 12345abc I may be wrong here but I believe he is talking about the subwaves that will create this large move down...this initial burst will need to correct soon....I would look to trade the c wave of the correction and pile on with the sells as the correction would complete.....ESPECIALLY on the Kiwi...thats the one I want to be in on........ thx for the tip I will check it. Confirmed wave c is my dream from now.anyway shorted from 9440 I think that she will try to create HS before but she droped like the stone. What is the weakest currency atm kiwi ? __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#84    Jul 31, 2008 8:49pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

ya, the Kiwi...but it will correct soon...thats when you jump it after the correction..... H&S are REVERSAL patterns at the end of uptrends and created buy waves 3,4,5 a,b...then c breaks the neckline........H&S at the top and inverse H&S only at the bottom of trends.....

#85    Jul 31, 2008 8:55pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 12345abc ya, the Kiwi...but it will correct soon...thats when you jump it after the correction..... H&S are REVERSAL patterns at the end of uptrends and created buy waves 3,4,5 a,b...then c breaks the neckline........H&S at the top and inverse H&S only at the bottom of trends..... This mean that .87 will be excelent place to buy aussie pairs for carry trading for many years till i see H&S pattern. Am i right on this ? __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#86    Jul 31, 2008 9:19pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

Let me ask you 2 questions....do you see anything interesting on the last thrust up from 8500?? if you do, what is the projected move on the correction.........if you don't see anything, you tell me, why do you think 8700 is the number?

#87    Jul 31, 2008 10:10pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Quote: Let me ask you 2 questions....do you see anything interesting on the last thrust up from 8500?? if you do, what is the projected move on the correction.........if you don't see anything, you tell me, why do you think 8700 is the number? I see this. Charts are showing all my thoughts right now.Perfect harmony. You can find your interesting "something" at my chart What is your call ? I picked mine Attached Thumbnails       __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#88    Jul 31, 2008 10:13pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

Good, go with Harmony......

#89    Aug 2, 2008 7:08pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 12345abc Good, go with Harmony...... How about that ? Attached Thumbnails          __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 2, 2008 7:27pm

hefeiddd

Aug 3, 2008 10:17am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

GBP/JPY Here is chart for GBP/JPY. Attached Thumbnails

#93    Aug 3, 2008 10:20am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle Here is chart for GBP/JPY. close look at wave 4. Attached Thumbnails

#94    Aug 3, 2008 10:33am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

in my opinion wave 4th is not completed yet untill we break a wedge Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#95    Aug 3, 2008 10:51am

Donadoney Member Member Since Apr 2006   185 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx in my opinion wave 4th is not completed yet untill we break a wedge Pls excuse my ignorance both you and Blue, but I need to ask this. If a head and shoulders is an ABC correction, of a 5 wave uptrend...then how are we in wave 4 of anything? I need a favor, can anyone provide me with a wave count from the uptrend, extending into the head and shoulders and now our current position? Please. Thanks

#96    Aug 3, 2008 10:55am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 12345abc How about what? Harmonic patterns.... nevermid __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#97    Aug 3, 2008 11:54am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Donadoney Pls excuse my ignorance both you and Blue, but I need to ask this. If a head and shoulders is an ABC correction, of a 5 wave uptrend...then how are we in wave 4 of anything? I need a favor, can anyone provide me with a wave count from the uptrend, extending into the head and shoulders and now our current position? Please. Thanks My ignorance is graeter than yours I suppose and you are right on this This wave(4th?) might be 1st impulsive wave of new cycle. after all i know one thing for sure "I know that I know nothing" __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#98    Aug 3, 2008 12:13pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

H&S are reversal patterns and found at the end of trends....H&S in an uptrend and inverse H&S in a downtrend...they are created by waves 3,4,5,A,B, and C breaks the neckline..........if these #'s are not you're wave count, you are not looking at a true H&S......the biggest fake out of most traders is the Irregular flat when 5 looks like the left shoulder and B looks like the head..........eventualy wave 1 looks like the right shoulder and people open trades on 2 only to get rolled by 3........

#99    Aug 4, 2008 8:58am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

USDCAD Most probably usdcad will retrace in abc waves, before moving in more upward direction. Attached Thumbnails

#100    Aug 4, 2008 9:07am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle Most probably usdcad will retrace in abc waves, before moving in more upward direction. In bigger timeframe. Attached Thumbnails

#101    Aug 4, 2008 2:23pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

EURUSD wavecount at smaller tf. Expecting for wave5.. Attached Thumbnails

#102    Aug 4, 2008 2:42pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

USDJPY wavecount. Attached Thumbnails

#103    Aug 4, 2008 10:04pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle EURUSD wavecount at smaller tf. Expecting for wave5.. have reached the target of 1.5550 Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Aug 5, 2008 3:05am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

EurUsd chart Attached Thumbnails

#109    Aug 5, 2008 4:04am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle EurUsd chart Updated chart Attached Thumbnails

#110    Aug 5, 2008 5:17am

blucky Member Member Since Aug 2006 21 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle Don't know its what you looking for.. Got this Elliott wave oscillator indicator from somebody, anyway I never used it. hi Blue bottle, thanks for this indicator, how to read Elliot wave oscillator indicator? it's look like MACD, isn't it?

#111    Aug 5, 2008 8:57am

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

oscillators are oscillators are oscillators.........

#112    Aug 5, 2008 1:58pm

blucky Member Member Since Aug 2006 21 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 12345abc oscillators are oscillators are oscillators......... i find another version that you gave me before http://www.autotradingfx.com/softwar...illator-signal http://www.autotradingfx.com/softwar...illator-arrows but i still don't know how to read those indi

#113    Aug 6, 2008 9:02pm

Bradev Member Member Since Jul 2008 71 Posts

'Mr.' 12345abc What is your purpose here? Just to see if people know what they are talking about and then make snide remarks? You joined FF to do what? Get help and share ideas? Like most people. You want help with something but are not willing to share your knowledge. Sounds like a pretty selfish attitude if that is indeed what you are doing. I am trading a breakout method and doing pretty good with it. I came across this thread, I know nothing about EW and would love to learn, to supliment what I am doing. So if you are just going to comment on everybodies lack of knowledge and not be willing to share yours, keep silent. Otherwise share. FF is all about a group of traders getting together to become better traders.

#114    Aug 6, 2008 9:21pm

12345abc Member Member Since Jul 2008 34 Posts

I think you should learn to read or look at other posts I have made on other threads helping folks out.........

#115    Aug 7, 2008 4:48am

al_yaqen Member Member Since Jul 2007 70 Posts

up or down, 2 possible count huhu __________________ an evening on the bench ... http://never-retrace.blogspot.com

#116    Aug 7, 2008 5:57am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by al_yaqen up or down, 2 possible count huhu Nice chart! keep it up.

#117    Aug 7, 2008 6:08am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

GbpJpy charts.. Attached Thumbnails

#118    Aug 7, 2008 6:19am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

UsdJpy, expecting it to go up for wave 5 Attached Thumbnails

#119    Aug 8, 2008 4:07am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle GbpJpy charts.. GbpJpy..updated chart Attached Thumbnails

#120    Aug 8, 2008 6:00am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

hi all, here is my view for gbpjpy at m30 tf. Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Aug 10, 2008 8:35pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle hi all, here is my view for gbpjpy at m30 tf. Failed setup. Attached Thumbnails

#122    Aug 12, 2008 10:24am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

EurGbp Attached Thumbnails

#123    Aug 12, 2008 11:17am

PandoraBox Senior Member Member Since Apr 2007   1,464 Posts

GJ EW Attached Thumbnails

#124    Aug 12, 2008 12:50pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by PandoraBox GJ EW My weekly wc for usdjpy. Expecting bearish, and matching with your daily chart. Attached Thumbnails

#125    Aug 12, 2008 12:55pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle My weekly wc for usdjpy. Expecting bearish, and matching with your daily chart. Usd/Jpy H1 chart ... Attached Thumbnails

#126    Aug 12, 2008 12:57pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by PandoraBox GJ EW Warm welcome! Thanks a lot for posting your charts here.

#127    Aug 12, 2008 2:18pm

requin Member Member Since Apr 2008 52 Posts

Weekly chart. GBP/JPY __________________ He who fights and runs away....lives to fight another day. Oliver Goldsmith Last edited by requin, Aug 12, 2008 10:31pm

#128    Aug 12, 2008 4:16pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by requin Weekly chart. Attachment 139175 nice count and welcome to this thread.

#129    Aug 12, 2008 4:22pm

requin Member Member Since Apr 2008 52 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle nice count and welcome to this thread. thanks. I hope to learn more about elliot wave from this thread. __________________ He who fights and runs away....lives to fight another day. Oliver Goldsmith

#130    Aug 12, 2008 4:25pm

requin Member Member Since Apr 2008 52 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by PandoraBox GJ EW thought about including that set but wasn't sure how deep abc corrections can run. Are there any rules on how far an abc correction can run? __________________ He who fights and runs away....lives to fight another day. Oliver Goldsmith

#131    Aug 13, 2008 10:25am

PandoraBox Senior Member Member Since Apr 2007   1,464 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by requin thought about including that set but wasn't sure how deep abc corrections can run. Are there any rules on how far an abc correction can run? How far an abc correction can run? Only God know. But wave c will be longer the wave a and b. However this pair will go below 192, because we already in wave 5 down. I will post the EW chart.

#132    Aug 13, 2008 8:51pm

requin Member Member Since Apr 2008 52 Posts

Weekly Gbp_chf. Monster. __________________ He who fights and runs away....lives to fight another day. Oliver Goldsmith

#133    Aug 14, 2008 11:31am

Norman1 Untitled Member Since Oct 2005 79 Posts

GBP/USD Hi all, I have no idea re EW, but just wanted to hear your thoughts on the following I have taken from the alpari website...It seems crazy to me, especially at this point in time. Obviously a lot can happen in a short time in Forex, but going by this chart the author is calling for an immediate trend reversal and major new highs.. __________________ I want the whole of Europe to have one currency; it will make trading much easier. Napoleon I 1769-1821: letter to his brother Louis, 6 May 1807

#134    Aug 15, 2008 9:29am

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Eurodollar EW update. H&S ? Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#135    Aug 16, 2008 3:42am

mphpopular My first 100k Member Since May 2008   959 Posts

This is my first post over here regards of EW. Plz do correct me, scold me, and teach me in order to make me improve. I still a very very new learner in EW. Balan , Robert - Elliott Wave Principle Forex, I still in half way of finish-ing this book. Juz teach me and correct me. I appreciate all correction made to me... No anger from me, so don't worry. Blue bottle, 5ysfx faz come correct me... TQ. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Trendline I've drawn

hefeiddd

Aug 16, 2008 10:47am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by 5ysfx Eurodollar EW update. H&S ? Monthly chart for Eur/Usd .. Attached Thumbnails

#137    Aug 16, 2008 11:25am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

We can expert bearish movement for this week, soon wave 5 will end and will retrace into abc waves. But still wave 5 end is not confirmed. Attached Thumbnails

#138    Aug 16, 2008 11:53am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Gbp/Jpy chart.. Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Dec 7, 2008 4:40pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

IBM IBM Continue trend down w correction wave in daily (wave 4=20-30$ trend up) impuls in H1 after end wave 5 start corretion wave A-B-C Attached Thumbnails

#3    Dec 10, 2008 2:22pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

axp axp 15m Attached Thumbnails

#4    Dec 10, 2008 2:52pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

BA ba m -h1 Attached Thumbnails

#5    Dec 10, 2008 3:17pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

ibm ibm down trend Attached Thumbnails

#6    Dec 10, 2008 10:37pm

SunTrader Trade the reaction not the news! Member Since Mar 2006   4,401 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by saeidhidari ibm down trend The 5-25-5 Oscillator on the bottom of chart is showing a higher high reading which should signify Wave 3. At Wave 5 there is supposed to be divergence with Wave 3 or lower high. Also Wave 1 appears to be about 1/4 the size of either Wave 3 or 5. Seems way out of proportion. IMO more likely an ABC correctiion of some sort. Last edited by SunTrader, Dec 10, 2008 10:51pm

#7    Dec 11, 2008 11:44am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by SunTrader The 5-25-5 Oscillator on the bottom of chart is showing a higher high reading which should signify Wave 3. At Wave 5 there is supposed to be divergence with Wave 3 or lower high. Also Wave 1 appears to be about 1/4 the size of either Wave 3 or 5. Seems way out of proportion. IMO more likely an ABC correctiion of some sort. OK perhaps tank you .

#8    Dec 29, 2008 1:29am

fry2010 Senior Member Member Since Mar 2008 776 Posts

how do you guys decide what kind of waves these are? seems like there are endless possibilities? all i am capable of understanding are the 12345 impulsive and 123 corrective. Those bat and butterfly patterns elude me.

#9    Jan 12, 2009 8:38am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

dji dji Attached Thumbnails

#10    Jan 12, 2009 8:41am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

xom xom w d h1 Attached Thumbnails

#11    Jan 12, 2009 8:43am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

qqq qqq Attached Thumbnails

#12    Jan 28, 2009 12:04pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

INTEL DIS PFE MMM Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Aug 18, 2008 2:08am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

gold hello Attached Thumbnails

#144    Aug 18, 2008 2:17am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by PandoraBox Hi ..blue B. Congratulation ...with your effort and time this thread will be as guidance for all Forex trades Thanks..

#145    Aug 18, 2008 2:22am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by saeidhidari hello Nice clean wave count. Welcome to the thread, pls feel free to post more charts here..

#146    Aug 18, 2008 3:08am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle Nice clean wave count. Welcome to the thread, pls feel free to post more charts here.. I will be happy to be here

#147    Aug 18, 2008 3:10am

HazriPro Member Member Since Feb 2007 14 Posts

for wave 3 is completed?? wave correction 4 in the making?? who knows?? my ew count for gu daily tf

#148    Aug 18, 2008 3:17am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

gold h4 hello elliot wave analysis gold h4 Attached Thumbnails

#149    Aug 18, 2008 3:26am

HazriPro Member Member Since Feb 2007 14 Posts

eu in the same direction as gu?

#150    Aug 18, 2008 3:29am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

eur usd eur usd enter wave 4 :5 Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Aug 18, 2008 3:48am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

gbp usd gbp usd near to end wave 4:5 Attached Thumbnails

#152    Aug 18, 2008 3:57am

greenhorn Member Member Since Jun 2008 44 Posts

geppy possible count on geppy Attached Thumbnails

#153    Aug 18, 2008 6:37am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

15mins chart for Aud/Usd pair Attached Thumbnails

#154    Aug 18, 2008 6:40am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle 15mins chart for Aud/Usd pair AudUsd H1 chart Attached Thumbnails

#155    Aug 18, 2008 8:08am

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

gbp aud hello gbp aud enter wave 4 Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Aug 18, 2008 2:54pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

EUR CHF hello eur chf m15 end wave 4 start wave 5 Attached Thumbnails

#158    Aug 18, 2008 3:01pm

Wilko Member Member Since Nov 2007 27 Posts

Cable Weekly My weekly count of Cable. Attached Thumbnails

#159    Aug 18, 2008 3:15pm

Wilko Member Member Since Nov 2007 27 Posts

Cable Daily Can Cable go lower ... Attached Thumbnails

#160    Aug 18, 2008 3:25pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

Kiwi mistery BTW I sold it at 7124 Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal

#161    Aug 18, 2008 3:58pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

EUR AUD Hello eur aud h4-h15 Attached Thumbnails

#162    Aug 18, 2008 4:03pm

saeidhidari Eliot wave trader Member Since Aug 2008   125 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle Good chart. Can go LONG for wave 5, but i platform not offering gbpaud pair, damn unlucky and missing a good trade. my frendes tank you for rable opinion

#163    Aug 18, 2008 8:47pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Wilko My weekly count of Cable. Totally agree with ur chart, My wc is similar to yours too.. And welcome here...

#164    Aug 18, 2008 9:47pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Blue bottle AudUsd H1 chart Anybody going Long on AUD/USD pair?? I am long at 0.8671 for wave C. TP - 0.8900 SL - 0.8600 My first trade of the week, hoping to get in right.. Pls input ur views... Attached Thumbnails

#165    Aug 18, 2008 10:07pm

5ysfx Futurologist/pogodynka Member Since Jul 2008   2,708 Posts

hmm i prefer somt like that Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Holy grail Extraordinary trading journal