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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:16 | 显示全部楼层
Jul 27, 2008 7:51pm
5ysfx
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Maybe or maybe not
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  #25   
Jul 28, 2008 12:25am
Blue bottle
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GBPJPY chart... pls correct me if not wavecount missing something..
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  #26   
Jul 28, 2008 1:11am
5ysfx
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How about that
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  #27   
Jul 28, 2008 2:08am
Blue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
How about that


It might be 12345 waves too, but why i named it abc is because wave 4 is very large and not in abc form. anyway we will wait and see, no hard feelings.

From your analysis can see tat your well experienced in EW. how many years in forex?

I am still new and young to fx and ew. Btw, i am in singapore(asia), where r u from?

  #28   
Jul 28, 2008 2:26am
5ysfx
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
It might be 12345 waves too, but why i named it abc is because wave 4 is very large and not in abc form. anyway we will wait and see, no hard feelings.

From your analysis can see tat your well experienced in EW. how many years in forex?

I am still new and young to fx and ew. Btw, i am in singapore(asia), where r u from?


I count like that because of gloomy future of the UK economics.
No harm feelings either
3 years learning(only demos) + 2 years trading(oanda) thats why im 5ysfx and im from Poland. Also I am quite young
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  #29   
Jul 28, 2008 3:43am
mphpopular
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Hi, Juz to say a Hi to both of you. It nice to see both experts in EW to keep their hard work on.. Juz keep it up. I wont be posting much since I'm still a EW learner (juz started my first EW book).... But i bookmarked this thread. The GJ is juz exactly what the most of EW is looking for....
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  #30   
Jul 28, 2008 3:49am
Blue bottle
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EUR/GBP
eur/gbp charts
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:21 | 显示全部楼层
Jul 28, 2008 5:31am
Blue bottle
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uj
hi all,

see chart for USDJPY. Will look for down movement for wave C. 1st target placed at above 50% fibo and 2nd and 3rd target left it open with 50 pip trailing stop.
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  #33   
Jul 28, 2008 9:03am
Blue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
I count like that because of gloomy future of the UK economics.
No harm feelings either
3 years learning(only demos) + 2 years trading(oanda) thats why im 5ysfx and im from Poland. Also I am quite young



ohh.. your from Poland, tats great. I wish i can visit there for holiday..

anyway, good to have well experienced trader here.
Last edited by Blue bottle, Jul 28, 2008 12:36pm

  #34   
Jul 28, 2008 1:00pm
peaches
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Hi Blue, Hi all,

I have found an interesting oil and eur/usd count here:

http://www.thelfb-forex.com/content....8#euro_and_oil

Based on fundamentals i thougt eur/usd will go 1,58 or 1,585, and then down
1,55 (not based on elliot, i have no skills in this), but the above mentioned count seems logic to me, and a massiv usd weakniss would match with your usd/jpy count.

Happy trading
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  #35   
Jul 28, 2008 1:36pm
paplo2050
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6 Posts


give me more information

  #36   
Jul 28, 2008 1:39pm
5ysfx
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usdcad is slowly drawing my scenario
lets se if we hit 1.03
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  #37   
Jul 28, 2008 5:11pm
peaches
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
usdcad is slowly drawing my scenario
lets se if we hit 1.03


hm maybe. but not jet. there is a pinbar on the 4 hourly chart.
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  #38   
Jul 28, 2008 6:17pm
5ysfx
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Although usd is highly overbought atm
I am expecting a retrace before we'll draw last leg.
Then the rest of the picture uulalala
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  #39   
Jul 28, 2008 10:34pm
12345abc
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Question for anyone who can answer it.....EW is for individual moves of individual entities.....it was discovered through the stock market...where say, Microsoft competes with only microsoft and thus creates it's own waves....in currency, it is one country vs another, a blending of two entities...each entity having it's own EW apart from the other......how do you blend the two together...say the US is in a wave 4...but the EU is in a wave 3 how can you take a blended pair and create a single entity and how can you have a Grand Supercycle count since niether currency will ever go to 0........

  #40   
Jul 29, 2008 3:26am
Val144
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For me that is .... EW of USD index and EW of EUR index... That show the currency behavior against some basket of other currencies. It is not possible to use some superposition of USD index and EUR index to drow EW for EU .... but it can help to prefer some variant if there are more then one.
just MO.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 12345abc
Question for anyone who can answer it.....EW is for individual moves of individual entities.....it was discovered through the stock market...where say, Microsoft competes with only microsoft and thus creates it's own waves....in currency, it is one country vs another, a blending of two entities...each entity having it's own EW apart from the other......how do you blend the two together...say the US is in a wave 4...but the EU is in a wave 3 how can you take a blended pair and create a single entity and how can you have a Grand Supercycle count since niether currency will ever go to 0........



  #41   
Jul 29, 2008 5:36am
5ysfx
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Good point Val144
Currency indexes are very helpfull to determine their strength from the technical point of view only.
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  #42   
Jul 29, 2008 6:51am
peaches
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
Although usd is highly overbought atm
I am expecting a retrace before we'll draw last leg.
Then the rest of the picture uulalala


pretty good forecast !
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  #43   
Jul 29, 2008 6:53am
peaches
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Hi blue, hi everybody,

is someone able to do an elliot wave count for the 10 years treasury note (^TNX), please ?

The 10 year treasury note has a good (anti)-correlation with eur/usd. This is visible, if you overlay ^TNX and eur/usd charts or compare the highs and the lows on daily charts.


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  #44   
Jul 29, 2008 7:03am
5ysfx
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Might be but i need a rest of the picture from the left side.
What do you think ?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:25 | 显示全部楼层
Jul 29, 2008 7:17am
5ysfx
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But we could strike again to 50 fibo.(weekly)
Be carefull, better wait for clear brake of the wedge.
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  #47   
Jul 29, 2008 3:22pm
5ysfx
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My 4cast for eurousd
Direction depend on the news -currently bad for EU, comunism like oil regulation possibly, usd index recovery, usdjpy has cracked daily downtrend.

Charts have been edited.
added numbers i think that is more clearer now.
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Jul 29, 2008 8:14pm

  #48   
Jul 29, 2008 3:40pm
peaches
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
My 4cast for eurousd
Direction depend on the news -currently bad for EU.


thanks again, whit your help on treasury notes !

based on candlestick patterns (), I agree with the second count,
eur bearish.
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  #49   
Jul 29, 2008 3:55pm
5ysfx
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Thanks
I am glad that my ability to assemble letters one by one could be helpfull for someone.
I edited charts.
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  #50   
Jul 29, 2008 5:28pm
5ysfx
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cable update after news.
my daily forecast is still valid.
conclusion despite of the news pound is doomed.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:27 | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:28 | 显示全部楼层
Jul 30, 2008 9:06am
Blue bottle
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hi all,

Pls see chart for Eur/Gbp wave count. i guess price will range down to 0.76-0.75 before return to it up trend.

Pls post if any alternative counting for eur/gbp..
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  #63   
Jul 30, 2008 9:13am
Blue bottle
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wavecount for Eur/Usd.

Wave 5 will until purple color trend line. Once wave 5 ended there market will move in up direction if trend line is not broken.
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  #64   
Jul 30, 2008 9:24am
5ysfx
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Very nice chart i see the same.
Price seat near ema100 daily and seems to accelerate
breakout soon
will buy at .7650
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  #65   
Jul 30, 2008 9:25am
Blue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
hi all,

Pls see chart for Eur/Gbp wave count. i guess price will range down to 0.76-0.75 before return to it up trend.

Pls post if any alternative counting for eur/gbp..



Hi 5ysfx,

Any advice about my chart setup?? I SHORTed with the target of wave 4. SL and TP not yet selected.

  #66   
Jul 30, 2008 9:47am
5ysfx
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Usually I do not touch this pair but with that setup trade is pretty safe
Thx for the tip I am with u bro

Eurusd is ok too till 1546 i think even lower 5350
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  #67   
Jul 30, 2008 10:07am
12345abc
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I zoomed out as far as I could with the Yen index....movement since high appears to be a 4th wave....we are in C....to early to tell if we have bottomed......

I am short eur/pound since 7890....... 7550 is ultimate target...we will see........immediate target is 7840ish..it need to break to have more downside

I have same thing on Euro, we are approaching 76.4% retrace of 5 wave sequence begining at 5300.....

  #68   
Jul 30, 2008 10:39am
Blue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 12345abc
I zoomed out as far as I could with the Yen index....movement since high appears to be a 4th wave....we are in C....to early to tell if we have bottomed......

I am short eur/pound since 7890....... 7550 is ultimate target...we will see........immediate target is 7840ish..it need to break to have more downside

I have same thing on Euro, we are approaching 76.4% retrace of 5 wave sequence begining at 5300.....



Thanks a lot for analysis and feedback.

Feel free to post us other pairs counting too.

  #69   
Jul 30, 2008 10:50am
5ysfx
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agreed with the max timeframe
what about closer look
pick 3m and 5m timeframe
Do you agree that we are just starting 3rd wave which is wave 5 from 2007 bottom.
Wave 4 has finished at 231.8 which is fibo 50% of wave 3
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  #70   
Jul 30, 2008 11:44am
5ysfx
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expecting this pattern as a wave 5
but if wave 4 is only massive bearflag(from 196-216) then god save the quin.
shorted from 21430
12345abc any comment on this ?
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  #71   
Jul 30, 2008 12:01pm
5ysfx
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similar on uj

I dont expect the price broke the ema 200 just like that.
Besides emas at momentum has crossed for the first time in this wave.
Any comments will be appreciated
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  #72   
Jul 30, 2008 12:29pm
AZ-Heat
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I dont know about everyone else but these last two weeks
have been tough on a wave count for me. But I think I have the
count down now. If I am right, I look for waves 1 and 2 to form
upwards between now and NFP. At which time, I hope it trigers
wave 3 up once the # comes out.
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  #73   
Jul 30, 2008 12:46pm
AZ-Heat
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This is the daily chart with my current veiw
of the larger wave count. But we all know that
price action can change that, but this count is
in the lead right now
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  #74   
Jul 30, 2008 1:30pm
AZ-Heat
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A nice 5 wave move up off the lows, I booked 58 pips.
I am expecting a bigger wave 1 and 2 then the one you
see before the NFP
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:29 | 显示全部楼层
Jul 31, 2008 8:04pm
Blue bottle
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AUS/USD.

End of wave 5 is confirmed. I am going long for wave A.

SL placed just above the trendline at 0.9373
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  #80   
Jul 31, 2008 8:19pm
12345abc
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What confirmed the end of the 5th wave? could you please show me the 5 waves of the 5th wave? also...no chance of 5 extending? I'm only asking, why trade A? and risk getting run over by this move down? why not wait for the bottoming of B and get the impulse of C with firm projections of length.....just wondering out loud here......it comes down many times to style....trade alot, or trade like a laser at only certian super high probablity points......

  #81   
Jul 31, 2008 8:22pm
5ysfx
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I am sorry to say that.
But I disagree we are still in the wave A of the big correction til .92
wave c will be completed at .87 wave B limited to .945 this will be ema 100 daily.
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  #82   
Jul 31, 2008 8:33pm
12345abc
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I may be wrong here but I believe he is talking about the subwaves that will create this large move down...this initial burst will need to correct soon....I would look to trade the c wave of the correction and pile on with the sells as the correction would complete.....ESPECIALLY on the Kiwi...thats the one I want to be in on........

  #83   
Jul 31, 2008 8:38pm
5ysfx
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 12345abc
I may be wrong here but I believe he is talking about the subwaves that will create this large move down...this initial burst will need to correct soon....I would look to trade the c wave of the correction and pile on with the sells as the correction would complete.....ESPECIALLY on the Kiwi...thats the one I want to be in on........

thx for the tip I will check it.
Confirmed wave c is my dream from now.anyway shorted from 9440
I think that she will try to create HS before but she droped like the stone.
What is the weakest currency atm kiwi ?
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  #84   
Jul 31, 2008 8:49pm
12345abc
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ya, the Kiwi...but it will correct soon...thats when you jump it after the correction..... H&S are REVERSAL patterns at the end of uptrends and created buy waves 3,4,5 a,b...then c breaks the neckline........H&S at the top and inverse H&S only at the bottom of trends.....

  #85   
Jul 31, 2008 8:55pm
5ysfx
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 12345abc
ya, the Kiwi...but it will correct soon...thats when you jump it after the correction..... H&S are REVERSAL patterns at the end of uptrends and created buy waves 3,4,5 a,b...then c breaks the neckline........H&S at the top and inverse H&S only at the bottom of trends.....


This mean that .87 will be excelent place to buy aussie pairs for carry trading
for many years till i see H&S pattern.
Am i right on this ?
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  #86   
Jul 31, 2008 9:19pm
12345abc
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Let me ask you 2 questions....do you see anything interesting on the last thrust up from 8500?? if you do, what is the projected move on the correction.........if you don't see anything, you tell me, why do you think 8700 is the number?

  #87   
Jul 31, 2008 10:10pm
5ysfx
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Quote:
Let me ask you 2 questions....do you see anything interesting on the last thrust up from 8500?? if you do, what is the projected move on the correction.........if you don't see anything, you tell me, why do you think 8700 is the number?


I see this. Charts are showing all my thoughts right now.Perfect harmony.

You can find your interesting "something" at my chart
What is your call ?
I picked mine
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  #88   
Jul 31, 2008 10:13pm
12345abc
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Good, go with Harmony......

  #89   
Aug 2, 2008 7:08pm
5ysfx
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 12345abc
Good, go with Harmony......

How about that ?
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 2, 2008 7:27pm
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:30 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 3, 2008 10:17am
Blue bottle
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GBP/JPY
Here is chart for GBP/JPY.
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  #93   
Aug 3, 2008 10:20am
Blue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Here is chart for GBP/JPY.

close look at wave 4.
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  #94   
Aug 3, 2008 10:33am
5ysfx
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in my opinion wave 4th is not completed yet untill we break a wedge
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  #95   
Aug 3, 2008 10:51am
Donadoney
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
in my opinion wave 4th is not completed yet untill we break a wedge

Pls excuse my ignorance both you and Blue, but I need to ask this. If a head and shoulders is an ABC correction, of a 5 wave uptrend...then how are we in wave 4 of anything? I need a favor, can anyone provide me with a wave count from the uptrend, extending into the head and shoulders and now our current position? Please.

Thanks

  #96   
Aug 3, 2008 10:55am
5ysfx
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 12345abc
How about what?



Harmonic patterns.... nevermid
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  #97   
Aug 3, 2008 11:54am
5ysfx
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donadoney
Pls excuse my ignorance both you and Blue, but I need to ask this. If a head and shoulders is an ABC correction, of a 5 wave uptrend...then how are we in wave 4 of anything? I need a favor, can anyone provide me with a wave count from the uptrend, extending into the head and shoulders and now our current position? Please.

Thanks


My ignorance is graeter than yours I suppose and you are right on this
This wave(4th?) might be 1st impulsive wave of new cycle.

after all i know one thing for sure

"I know that I know nothing"
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  #98   
Aug 3, 2008 12:13pm
12345abc
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H&S are reversal patterns and found at the end of trends....H&S in an uptrend and inverse H&S in a downtrend...they are created by waves 3,4,5,A,B, and C breaks the neckline..........if these #'s are not you're wave count, you are not looking at a true H&S......the biggest fake out of most traders is the Irregular flat when 5 looks like the left shoulder and B looks like the head..........eventualy wave 1 looks like the right shoulder and people open trades on 2 only to get rolled by 3........

  #99   
Aug 4, 2008 8:58am
Blue bottle
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USDCAD
Most probably usdcad will retrace in abc waves, before moving in more upward direction.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #100   
Aug 4, 2008 9:07am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Most probably usdcad will retrace in abc waves, before moving in more upward direction.


In bigger timeframe.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #101   
Aug 4, 2008 2:23pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EURUSD wavecount at smaller tf. Expecting for wave5..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #102   
Aug 4, 2008 2:42pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


USDJPY wavecount.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #103   
Aug 4, 2008 10:04pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
EURUSD wavecount at smaller tf. Expecting for wave5..

have reached the target of 1.5550
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:32 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 5, 2008 3:05am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurUsd chart
Attached Thumbnails   

  #109   
Aug 5, 2008 4:04am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
EurUsd chart


Updated chart
Attached Thumbnails   


  #110   
Aug 5, 2008 5:17am
blucky
Member
Member Since Aug 2006

21 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Don't know its what you looking for..

Got this Elliott wave oscillator indicator from somebody, anyway I never used it.


hi Blue bottle, thanks for this indicator,
how to read Elliot wave oscillator indicator? it's look like MACD, isn't it?

  #111   
Aug 5, 2008 8:57am
12345abc
Member
Member Since Jul 2008

34 Posts


oscillators are oscillators are oscillators.........

  #112   
Aug 5, 2008 1:58pm
blucky
Member
Member Since Aug 2006

21 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 12345abc
oscillators are oscillators are oscillators.........

i find another version that you gave me before
http://www.autotradingfx.com/softwar...illator-signal
http://www.autotradingfx.com/softwar...illator-arrows

but i still don't know how to read those indi

  #113   
Aug 6, 2008 9:02pm
Bradev
Member
Member Since Jul 2008

71 Posts

'Mr.' 12345abc
What is your purpose here? Just to see if people know what they are talking about and then make snide remarks? You joined FF to do what? Get help and share ideas? Like most people. You want help with something but are not willing to share your knowledge. Sounds like a pretty selfish attitude if that is indeed what you are doing. I am trading a breakout method and doing pretty good with it. I came across this thread, I know nothing about EW and would love to learn, to supliment what I am doing. So if you are just going to comment on everybodies lack of knowledge and not be willing to share yours, keep silent. Otherwise share. FF is all about a group of traders getting together to become better traders.

  #114   
Aug 6, 2008 9:21pm
12345abc
Member
Member Since Jul 2008

34 Posts


I think you should learn to read or look at other posts I have made on other threads helping folks out.........

  #115   
Aug 7, 2008 4:48am
al_yaqen
Member
Member Since Jul 2007

70 Posts




up or down, 2 possible count huhu
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  #116   
Aug 7, 2008 5:57am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by al_yaqen


up or down, 2 possible count huhu



Nice chart! keep it up.

  #117   
Aug 7, 2008 6:08am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


GbpJpy charts..
Attached Thumbnails      


  #118   
Aug 7, 2008 6:19am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


UsdJpy, expecting it to go up for wave 5
Attached Thumbnails   


  #119   
Aug 8, 2008 4:07am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
GbpJpy charts..

GbpJpy..updated chart
Attached Thumbnails      


  #120   
Aug 8, 2008 6:00am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


hi all,


here is my view for gbpjpy at m30 tf.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:36 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 10, 2008 8:35pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
hi all,


here is my view for gbpjpy at m30 tf.



Failed setup.
Attached Thumbnails   

  #122   
Aug 12, 2008 10:24am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurGbp
Attached Thumbnails   


  #123   
Aug 12, 2008 11:17am
PandoraBox
Senior Member
Member Since Apr 2007

  1,464 Posts


GJ EW
Attached Thumbnails   


  #124   
Aug 12, 2008 12:50pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by PandoraBox
GJ EW


My weekly wc for usdjpy. Expecting bearish, and matching with your daily chart.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #125   
Aug 12, 2008 12:55pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
My weekly wc for usdjpy. Expecting bearish, and matching with your daily chart.


Usd/Jpy
H1 chart ...
Attached Thumbnails   


  #126   
Aug 12, 2008 12:57pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by PandoraBox
GJ EW

Warm welcome!

Thanks a lot for posting your charts here.

  #127   
Aug 12, 2008 2:18pm
requin
Member
Member Since Apr 2008

52 Posts


Weekly chart. GBP/JPY



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Last edited by requin, Aug 12, 2008 10:31pm

  #128   
Aug 12, 2008 4:16pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by requin
Weekly chart.

Attachment 139175




nice count and welcome to this thread.

  #129   
Aug 12, 2008 4:22pm
requin
Member
Member Since Apr 2008

52 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
nice count and welcome to this thread.

thanks. I hope to learn more about elliot wave from this thread.
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  #130   
Aug 12, 2008 4:25pm
requin
Member
Member Since Apr 2008

52 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by PandoraBox
GJ EW

thought about including that set but wasn't sure how deep abc corrections can run. Are there any rules on how far an abc correction can run?
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  #131   
Aug 13, 2008 10:25am
PandoraBox
Senior Member
Member Since Apr 2007

  1,464 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by requin
thought about including that set but wasn't sure how deep abc corrections can run. Are there any rules on how far an abc correction can run?

How far an abc correction can run? Only God know.

But wave c will be longer the wave a and b.

However this pair will go below 192, because we already in wave 5 down.

I will post the EW chart.

  #132   
Aug 13, 2008 8:51pm
requin
Member
Member Since Apr 2008

52 Posts


Weekly Gbp_chf. Monster.



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  #133   
Aug 14, 2008 11:31am
Norman1
Untitled
Member Since Oct 2005

79 Posts

GBP/USD
Hi all,

I have no idea re EW, but just wanted to hear your thoughts on the following I have taken from the alpari website...It seems crazy to me, especially at this point in time.

Obviously a lot can happen in a short time in Forex, but going by this chart the author is calling for an immediate trend reversal and major new highs..


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  #134   
Aug 15, 2008 9:29am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Eurodollar EW update.
H&S ?
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #135   
Aug 16, 2008 3:42am
mphpopular
My first 100k
Member Since May 2008

  959 Posts


This is my first post over here regards of EW. Plz do correct me, scold me, and teach me in order to make me improve. I still a very very new learner in EW.

Balan , Robert - Elliott Wave Principle Forex, I still in half way of finish-ing this book. Juz teach me and correct me. I appreciate all correction made to me... No anger from me, so don't worry.

Blue bottle, 5ysfx faz come correct me... TQ.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:38 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 16, 2008 10:47am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
Eurodollar EW update.
H&S ?



Monthly chart for Eur/Usd ..
Attached Thumbnails   

  #137   
Aug 16, 2008 11:25am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


We can expert bearish movement for this week, soon wave 5 will end and will retrace into abc waves. But still wave 5 end is not confirmed.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #138   
Aug 16, 2008 11:53am
Blue bottle
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Gbp/Jpy chart..
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:40 | 显示全部楼层
Dec 7, 2008 4:40pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

IBM
IBM
Continue trend down w

correction wave in daily (wave 4=20-30$ trend up)

impuls in H1
after end wave 5 start corretion wave A-B-C
Attached Thumbnails         

  #3   
Dec 10, 2008 2:22pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

axp
axp 15m
Attached Thumbnails   


  #4   
Dec 10, 2008 2:52pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

BA
ba m -h1
Attached Thumbnails      


  #5   
Dec 10, 2008 3:17pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

ibm
ibm down trend
Attached Thumbnails   


  #6   
Dec 10, 2008 10:37pm
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006

  4,401 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari
ibm down trend

The 5-25-5 Oscillator on the bottom of chart is showing a higher high reading which should signify Wave 3.

At Wave 5 there is supposed to be divergence with Wave 3 or lower high.

Also Wave 1 appears to be about 1/4 the size of either Wave 3 or 5. Seems way out of proportion.

IMO more likely an ABC correctiion of some sort.
Last edited by SunTrader, Dec 10, 2008 10:51pm

  #7   
Dec 11, 2008 11:44am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader
The 5-25-5 Oscillator on the bottom of chart is showing a higher high reading which should signify Wave 3.

At Wave 5 there is supposed to be divergence with Wave 3 or lower high.

Also Wave 1 appears to be about 1/4 the size of either Wave 3 or 5. Seems way out of proportion.

IMO more likely an ABC correctiion of some sort.



OK
perhaps

tank you .

  #8   
Dec 29, 2008 1:29am
fry2010
Senior Member
Member Since Mar 2008

776 Posts


how do you guys decide what kind of waves these are? seems like there are endless possibilities? all i am capable of understanding are the 12345 impulsive and 123 corrective. Those bat and butterfly patterns elude me.

  #9   
Jan 12, 2009 8:38am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

dji
dji
Attached Thumbnails   


  #10   
Jan 12, 2009 8:41am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

xom
xom
w
d
h1
Attached Thumbnails         


  #11   
Jan 12, 2009 8:43am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

qqq
qqq
Attached Thumbnails   


  #12   
Jan 28, 2009 12:04pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


INTEL
DIS
PFE
MMM
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:41 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 18, 2008 2:08am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

gold
hello
Attached Thumbnails   

  #144   
Aug 18, 2008 2:17am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by PandoraBox
Hi ..blue B.

Congratulation ...with your effort and time this thread will be as guidance for all Forex trades



Thanks..

  #145   
Aug 18, 2008 2:22am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari
hello


Nice clean wave count.

Welcome to the thread, pls feel free to post more charts here..

  #146   
Aug 18, 2008 3:08am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Nice clean wave count.

Welcome to the thread, pls feel free to post more charts here..


I will be happy to be here

  #147   
Aug 18, 2008 3:10am
HazriPro
Member
Member Since Feb 2007

14 Posts



for
wave 3 is completed?? wave correction 4 in the making?? who knows??

my ew count for gu daily tf


  #148   
Aug 18, 2008 3:17am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

gold h4
hello
elliot wave analysis gold h4
Attached Thumbnails   


  #149   
Aug 18, 2008 3:26am
HazriPro
Member
Member Since Feb 2007

14 Posts




eu in the same direction as gu?

  #150   
Aug 18, 2008 3:29am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

eur usd
eur usd enter wave 4 :5
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:44 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 18, 2008 3:48am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

gbp usd
gbp usd near to end wave 4:5
Attached Thumbnails   

  #152   
Aug 18, 2008 3:57am
greenhorn
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

44 Posts

geppy
possible count on geppy
Attached Thumbnails   


  #153   
Aug 18, 2008 6:37am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


15mins chart for Aud/Usd pair
Attached Thumbnails   


  #154   
Aug 18, 2008 6:40am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
15mins chart for Aud/Usd pair


AudUsd H1 chart
Attached Thumbnails   


  #155   
Aug 18, 2008 8:08am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

gbp aud
hello gbp aud enter wave 4
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:45 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 18, 2008 2:54pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

EUR CHF
hello
eur chf m15 end wave 4
start wave 5
Attached Thumbnails   

  #158   
Aug 18, 2008 3:01pm
Wilko
Member
Member Since Nov 2007

27 Posts

Cable Weekly
My weekly count of Cable.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #159   
Aug 18, 2008 3:15pm
Wilko
Member
Member Since Nov 2007

27 Posts

Cable Daily
Can Cable go lower ...
Attached Thumbnails   


  #160   
Aug 18, 2008 3:25pm
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Kiwi mistery

BTW I sold it at 7124
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  #161   
Aug 18, 2008 3:58pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

EUR AUD
Hello eur aud
h4-h15
Attached Thumbnails      


  #162   
Aug 18, 2008 4:03pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Good chart.

Can go LONG for wave 5, but i platform not offering gbpaud pair,
damn unlucky and missing a good trade.



my frendes
tank you for rable opinion

  #163   
Aug 18, 2008 8:47pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilko
My weekly count of Cable.

Totally agree with ur chart,

My wc is similar to yours too..

And welcome here...

  #164   
Aug 18, 2008 9:47pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
AudUsd H1 chart

Anybody going Long on AUD/USD pair??

I am long at 0.8671 for wave C.

TP - 0.8900
SL - 0.8600

My first trade of the week, hoping to get in right..

Pls input ur views...
Attached Thumbnails   


  #165   
Aug 18, 2008 10:07pm
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


hmm i prefer somt like that
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 19:45 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 18, 2008 10:25pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
hmm i prefer somt like that



Thanks for the chart and correcting my wc.

Still in right side of the trade. I changed my tp to .8700 for wave E.
Attached Thumbnails   

  #167   
Aug 19, 2008 5:38am
Wilko
Member
Member Since Nov 2007

27 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Thanks for the chart and correcting my wc.

Still in right side of the trade. I changed my tp to .8700 for wave E.



Good call. I have gone long on the wave E also for a few pips.

  #168   
Aug 19, 2008 6:16am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Kiwi setup does works so far
closed short for 72+ pips
and went long from 7050 as plan says.
target at least double top target could extend to 7270
Lets see wht is going to happen at 7180
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  #169   
Aug 19, 2008 6:31am
Billionaire
Member
Member Since Jul 2008

  46 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
Kiwi setup does works so far
closed short for 72+ pips
and went long from 7050 as plan says.
target at least double top target could extend to 7270
Lets see wht is going to happen at 7180


Hi! 5ysfx,
Sorry to interrupt, can you teach me how to put up a chart just like yours in a thread reply ?

Thank you, regards,
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  #170   
Aug 19, 2008 6:38am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Billionaire
Hi! 5ysfx,
Sorry to interrupt, can you teach me how to put up a chart just like yours in a thread reply ?

Thank you, regards,


Thats easy just click on paperclip button near emoticon and u will figure out the rest
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  #171   
Aug 19, 2008 6:46am
Billionaire
Member
Member Since Jul 2008

  46 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
Thats easy just click on paperclip button near emoticon and u will figure out the rest

Oh! Yes! I got it, how come I checked on every button except the paperclip!

Thank you, Sir.
Have a nice day!
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  #172   
Aug 19, 2008 12:26pm
Wilko
Member
Member Since Nov 2007

27 Posts


Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Thanks for the chart and correcting my wc.

Still in right side of the trade. I changed my tp to .8700 for wave E.



Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilko
Good call. I have gone long on the wave E also for a few pips.


Turned out well and got my pips ... Thanks for posting this one.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #173   
Aug 19, 2008 3:59pm
Wilko
Member
Member Since Nov 2007

27 Posts

AUD/USD
If wave 4 has finished (Not sure yet) then wave 5 could hit 0.8465
Attached Thumbnails   


  #174   
Aug 20, 2008 12:18am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
Kiwi setup does works so far
closed short for 72+ pips
and went long from 7050 as plan says.
target at least double top target could extend to 7270
Lets see wht is going to happen at 7180


closed long for 97+ pips and went short at .7149
as wave C target will be at .7103
as wave 3 could be much lower.

.71 is a key now
EDIT

TP hit booked +46 and went long at .7095 TP around .7250-0.73

Setup is still valid Bluebottle ur prevoius aussie view should be fine.
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 20, 2008 7:17am Reason: to avoid spaming the board

  #175   
Aug 20, 2008 12:44am
carpediem
Member
Member Since Jul 2008

17 Posts


Quick question aren't WolfeWaves the same thing as Elliot Waves?????
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  #176   
Aug 20, 2008 10:54am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurUsd pair.


I am targeting wave C.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #177   
Aug 21, 2008 2:06am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

usd chf
hello

star wave 4:3
Attached Thumbnails   


  #178   
Aug 21, 2008 7:03am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

gold
hello
gold m15
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 06:24 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 22, 2008 7:32am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


Gold is definately in wave C...the blue count shows a possibility,..but the red count is the alternative which seem to be more convincing...so maybe we should see lower levels in gold in the coming days which would complete wave 5 of wave C...currently we are in wave 4 of wave C
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #183   
Aug 22, 2008 7:53am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by kevmcfoster
Gold is definately in wave C...the blue count shows a possibility,..but the red count is the alternative which seem to be more convincing...so maybe we should see lower levels in gold in the coming days which would complete wave 5 of wave C...currently we are in wave 4 of wave C

welcome!!

good chart.

  #184   
Aug 22, 2008 8:32am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurUsd Chart at H4 tf.

Once wave 4 ended, i believe it probably go more lower..but wave 4 ending is not yet confirmed..
Attached Thumbnails      

Last edited by Blue bottle, Aug 22, 2008 9:02am

  #185   
Aug 22, 2008 8:40am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts

USDJPY
hi all,

USDJPY chart at weekly tf.

anyone please confirm the end of w4?

...
Attached Thumbnails   


  #186   
Aug 22, 2008 9:06am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
hi all,

USDJPY chart at weekly tf.

anyone please confirm the end of w4?

...



IMO not yet could easly go above 112 112.75 = 23.1 fibo level
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  #187   
Aug 22, 2008 9:39am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
hi all,

USDJPY chart at weekly tf.

anyone please confirm the end of w4?

...


I doubt that's a Wave 3 you have on your chart. If you try to subdivide W3 you'll see that it's w4 overlaps into w1 teritory. The whole move down looks like a corrective move to me. And the bull move that started in March is also corrective.
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  #188   
Aug 22, 2008 9:41am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Even more w3 of W3 is the shortest. There's no way that's a wave 3.
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  #189   
Aug 22, 2008 10:06am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
Even more w3 of W3 is the shortest. There's no way that's a wave 3.


u have a point...

can i request for ur chart on usdjpy?

Welcome here and thanks a lot for joining us.

  #190   
Aug 22, 2008 10:15am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
u have a point...

can i request for ur chart on usdjpy?

Welcome here and thanks a lot for joining us.


Sure, the move down I have it as [A]. I didn't bother to subdivide as it is past now... But it is clearly a complex corrective move, 7 overlapping waves down.

The move up, , again overlapping so corrective, as expected after all. I think there still is steam to the upside before completing the wave but we are near the end of the correction in both time and price. If the current top is not the final top then I look for 113.3 - a big confluence here.
In terms of time I have August 26 or September 14 as the end of wave. These dates are not final meaning that the wave can finish whenever it wants but if the pattern of the wave, price and time coincide then the chance of a reversal is very very high.
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #191   
Aug 22, 2008 10:33am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
Sure, the move down I have it as [A]. I didn't bother to subdivide as it is past now... But it is clearly a complex corrective move, 7 overlapping waves down.

The move up, , again overlapping so corrective, as expected after all. I think there still is steam to the upside before completing the wave but we are near the end of the correction in both time and price. If the current top is not the final top then I look for 113.3 - a big confluence here.
In terms of time I have August 26 or September 14 as the end of wave. These dates are not final meaning that the wave can finish whenever it wants but if the pattern of the wave, price and time coincide then the chance of a reversal is very very high.



Very impressive,

just curious, how did get the time as august 26 or sep 14?

  #192   
Aug 22, 2008 10:39am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Very impressive,

just curious, how did get the time as august 26 or sep 14?


Derived out of particular Gann cycles that usdjpy vibrates in.
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  #193   
Aug 22, 2008 7:11pm
doji
Member
Member Since Oct 2007

75 Posts

Gann cycle indicator?
Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
Derived out of particular Gann cycles that usdjpy vibrates in.

Hi, is there an MT4 indicator for Gann cycles? If so, can you point me to it?

I've long been looking for such a tool that I can use alongside EW for my trading.

Thanks in advance.

  #194   
Aug 22, 2008 11:48pm
mphpopular
My first 100k
Member Since May 2008

  960 Posts


GJ have completed the wave 4. So where how far the wave 5 is heading???

Note : THe chart is captured by l16Aug08, so, there should be one mroe candle. I juz lazy to open my mt4 and capture the chart image again. SOrry ..
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #195   
Aug 23, 2008 4:09am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


kiwi forecast
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 06:25 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 24, 2008 1:12am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


hi all,

EurChf chart in daily and hourly time frame..

I expecting it to go 1.58 range..

Pls correct me if anything not right..
Attached Thumbnails      

  #204   
Aug 24, 2008 2:33am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


I have 2 possible count at this point for EurUsd pair.

Red & blue color abc waves.. confused which one is correct..

pls advice..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #205   
Aug 24, 2008 2:53am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
kiwi forecast


Good chart,

For me, kiwii now bec0me hard and confusing to count waves.. so no charts.., anyway learning from ur charts..

  #206   
Aug 24, 2008 3:19am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Good chart,

For me, kiwii now bec0me hard and confusing to count waves.. so no charts.., anyway learning from ur charts..


I am glad that my chart could be usefull for some1
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
hi all,

EurChf chart in daily and hourly time frame..

I expecting it to go 1.58 range..

Pls correct me if anything not right..


im not 99% sure of this scenario but 75% could be

gru24 mean december 24th

I will start to short near 164 from aprox 14th of september .

personally prefer second chart
Attached Thumbnails      

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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 24, 2008 4:06am

  #207   
Aug 24, 2008 10:02am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
hi all,

EurChf chart in daily and hourly time frame..

I expecting it to go 1.58 range..

Pls correct me if anything not right..


That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

P.S. Will open a thread about cycles later today.
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #208   
Aug 24, 2008 10:13am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

P.S. Will open a thread about cycles later today.



Thanks soso for the chart.

now i am more confident about the setup.

  #209   
Aug 24, 2008 11:14am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

P.S. Will open a thread about cycles later today.


Why do u think that eur/chf goin to drop from this level ?

Becuase from my point of view price is very bullish at 3H and daily chart.
Momentum and stochastic is positive and we have 10 bullish candles in a row(3H). and 3 in row at daily.
Price gonna accelerate more b4 major drop IMO.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 06:29 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 24, 2008 1:39pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


hi all,

my cable chart.. 30mins tf

..
Attached Thumbnails      

  #214   
Aug 24, 2008 1:51pm
mphpopular
My first 100k
Member Since May 2008

  960 Posts


Here's my GU, but it doesn't use EW, wish I didn't considered as posting irrelevant subject in EW thread. Wish to help out a bit only
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #215   
Aug 24, 2008 2:07pm
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
hi all,

my cable chart.. 30mins tf

..


very good chart bro and very probable scenario
but i doubt will it breach 186 according to momentum ;(
Strong resistance there.
pls have look at chart


Quote:
Originally Posted by mphpopular
Here's my GU, but it doesn't use EW, wish I didn't considered as posting irrelevant subject in EW thread. Wish to help out a bit only


I dont trade cable lately but mostly agree with ur view.
I believe that b4 it bounce higher first must drop a little more.
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 24, 2008 2:25pm Reason: added second chart

  #216   
Aug 24, 2008 4:13pm
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
Why do u think that eur/chf goin to drop from this level ?
Becuase from my point of view price is very bullish at 3H and daily chart.


There was a debate on another EW forum regarding this, I'll stick to my count for now the main reason is because the last rally on Daily was corrective in nature (see chart) meaning that it wasn't an impulse therefore lower prices are a high probability.
On the other hand the main count on Daily is bullish impulsive imo, but as I said I expect more correction/consolidation before going up again. I could be proved wrong, no problem I'll re-count my waves then.

This is the roadmap, trading is a completely diffrent issue, that's why you'll see many EW analysis chaning minds very often in the same time they are not trading but trying to "feel" the waves until they have a setup to position on the most probable scenario.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
Momentum and stochastic is positive and we have 10 bullish candles in a row(3H). and 3 in row at daily.
Price gonna accelerate more b4 major drop IMO.


I don't follow indicators, they can be as overbought as they want to be and I'll not change my mind
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #217   
Aug 24, 2008 4:15pm
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


By the way 5ysfx, I beliebe your 1...5 counts from your Daily chart are not EW impulse waves right? Cause they sure aren't.
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  #218   
Aug 24, 2008 9:25pm
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
By the way 5ysfx, I beliebe your 1...5 counts from your Daily chart are not EW impulse waves right? Cause they sure aren't.


So tell me what is wrong below ?
This is a a eur/chf chart TF quarterly period 30 years.
Feel free to correct me
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  #219   
Aug 24, 2008 10:55pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


UsdChf chart at H4
Attached Thumbnails   


  #220   
Aug 24, 2008 11:03pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
UsdChf chart at H4

UsdChf in Daily chart..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #221   
Aug 24, 2008 11:55pm
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


could it be ?
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  #222   
Aug 25, 2008 12:32am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
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  594 Posts


how abt this setup.. UsdJpy
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 06:30 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 25, 2008 1:02am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore
EUR/USD looks like it has a top in for wave (IV), and is finishing the last dozen pips on impulse wave 1 or (V) ending around 1.4690 - 95

May take a long on the correction up, with a target 2 at 1.4790, target 1 is to bank some quick profits, and let the second half go.


EurUsd chart..
Attached Thumbnails   

  #227   
Aug 25, 2008 1:41am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
good r/r worth to try small amount


I SHORT from 110.11, with SL at 110.70.

Now 10 pips in green.

  #228   
Aug 25, 2008 2:25am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
So tell me what is wrong below ?
This is a a eur/chf chart TF quarterly period 30 years.
Feel free to correct me


I have no idea what is the count on this large timeframes, although the abc looks alright from my pov...
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  #229   
Aug 25, 2008 2:32am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts

USDCAD
Here's another pair that looks good. LONG opportunity if prices reaches the 50%-62% retracement area of a of [c].
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  #230   
Aug 25, 2008 2:50am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


eur usd 15m
end wave 3
enter wave 4 =23-38%
Attached Thumbnails   


  #231   
Aug 25, 2008 3:12am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
I have no idea what is the count on this large timeframes, although the abc looks alright from my pov...

If u have no idea y do u question my count then ?
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  #232   
Aug 25, 2008 3:22am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
If u have no idea y do u question my count then ?

I was (and still am) confused by the count in this snag http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...6&d=1219590778 not your 30-ish year count. Your blue 1....5 isn't an impulse but is noted like that and since we're in an EW thread I questioned if that is really a count or something not EW related.
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  #233   
Aug 25, 2008 3:27am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
I was (and still am) confused by the count in this snag http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...6&d=1219590778 not your 30-ish year count. Your blue 1....5 isn't an impulse but is noted like that and since we're in an EW thread I questioned if that is really a count or something not EW related.

yeah u ur probably right this count should be abcde but i dont care about history only future if u know what i mean.
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  #234   
Aug 25, 2008 3:31am
Wilko
Member
Member Since Nov 2007

27 Posts

Cable
Wave 5 looks complete as it is the same height as wave 1.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #235   
Aug 25, 2008 3:31am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts

EURUSD
On H4 I think we started the last wave down. First target is 1.4525 and the second 1.4352.
Attached Images  

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  #236   
Aug 25, 2008 3:34am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
yeah u ur probably right this count should be abcde but i dont care about history only future if u know what i mean.

Yeah history counts are mostly useless, suffice to know if it is a correction or impulse.
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  #237   
Aug 25, 2008 3:51am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Zoom in USDCAD. I think the 5 of (c) is iminent to complet the Daily b wave down (see previous post with Daily).
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  #238   
Aug 25, 2008 4:02am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
Yeah history counts are mostly useless, suffice to know if it is a correction or impulse.

I have one question/ask to u because i see that u can help me
How do u count waves in sideways trend there are no correction nor impulse waves.

btw we ride in diff direction
meanwhile i shorted kiwi for a few because i see inverted h&s at 15 min chart is forming


added

blueb im with u mate i just shorted uj at 110.01 and long kiwi again lets ride 3rd wave i believe
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 25, 2008 4:21am

  #239   
Aug 25, 2008 4:51am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
Zoom in USDCAD. I think the 5 of (c) is iminent to complet the Daily b wave down (see previous post with Daily).


I agree with you,

Setup looks good for shorting..

Going short from 1.0484.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 06:32 | 显示全部楼层
Aug 25, 2008 5:19am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


USDJPY, a bit of zoom in on H1. It looks like an expanding triangle although it could be a flat too and go down to ~109.50 before doing another high. If it does the high tomorrow (26 August) then expect a strong top.
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  #243   
Aug 25, 2008 5:27am
soso
Evil Speculator
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  177 Posts


Continuing http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=207.
Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

The top is in place, for now. We still need to have the TL broken before loading shorts. I'll look to short on the break of 1.6170.
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  #244   
Aug 25, 2008 5:42am
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


basically this is what see.
EW combined with some other stuff.
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  #245   
Aug 25, 2008 9:45am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


anyone with this trade?
Attached Thumbnails   


  #246   
Aug 25, 2008 12:19pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Cable..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #247   
Aug 25, 2008 8:52pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Cable..


Cable Update
..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #248   
Aug 25, 2008 8:59pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
anyone with this trade?

AudUsd pair update..

Closed my trade with 70pips in profit..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #249   
Aug 26, 2008 12:41am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurChf..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #250   
Aug 26, 2008 3:22am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi all Elliott traders,

I have a questions,

Which wave do you guys trade for better win ratio?

My mentor always say wave C is the best and easy picking.

  #251   
Aug 26, 2008 3:35am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
EurChf..


Update..

I was lucky to get out with profit here..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #252   
Aug 26, 2008 3:39am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
I agree with you,

Setup looks good for shorting..

Going short from 1.0484.



Failed here..

Hit my SL with -40 pips..
Attached Thumbnails   


  #253   
Aug 26, 2008 3:50am
FXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

  206 Posts

Wave 3 down for Euro/usd
EUR/USD appears to have favored the downside completion of wave (V). A top may be in on w.(IV) at 1.4907, and w.1 down did turn higher last night at 1.4695 as predicted for 100 pip move up to put in w.2 top. Today brought a nice impulsive w.i of 3 down that completed at 1.4670 with a clear 5 wave movement, to help see the trend looks down.

I am watching for an entry with the trend, short @ 1.4720-25 range where the previous wave iv was and .382 fibo. Catching wave 3-5 down is the goal.

With German IFO coming out in 10 minutes, that should be the time to be ready, just from a risk point of view. It is close now....

good trading.
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  #254   
Aug 26, 2008 4:08am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Failed here..

Hit my SL with -40 pips..


Yes it failed indeed, and this just shows how hard is to spot beforehand the form and the length of a correction...
As of now from my point of view we have again a short setup here. We are at a confluence of 38% and a=c. The question is how do we know the correction is done and dont get stopped again? We don't , but every time we can enter either aggresive or conservative.
In the attached chart the aggresive entry would be at the break of the thin green line (marked 1)). The break of that line tells us that indeed the S/R that we found turned the price around and the large move that we anticipate might follow. However at this point we don't know if it is an impulse move down or just a small bounce or even another correction.
The safest entry is at the break of the green dotted line (marked 2)). It means that we have for a bottom to be in place and we enter on the break of the bottom. Again we don't know that the move will unfold in 5 waves (we never know) but looking at the pattern of the trend the chances are high. In the worst case scenario we'll get a 3 wave move if we're stopped out it would be for a small loss, or be.
Oh there is a 3rd kind of entry, the mindless entry when one enters because he thinks price would turn around without any kind of confirmation from price itself. It looks like for some people it works though. Not for me.

P.S. Price could still go a bit higher, next S/R being at 1.0572 where again we have a confluence.
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