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发表于 2009-4-11 16:53
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Jun 1, 2008 5:42pm
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gbpjpy n eurjpy
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__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong
To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!
It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...
Last edited by kevmcfoster, Jun 1, 2008 5:58pm
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#2291
 Jun 1, 2008 6:46pm
| | Caution on Cable
Note following levels if breached
1.9683 warning
1.9673 ew count is invalidated
Retracement for w2 went deeper than I expected. therefore it cannot be wave 2 anymore because it has gone lower than the wave 31 origin I had initially labelled.
if you were not greedy after seeing the potential ending diagonal triangle on the 5min chart then a short trade as the market opened would have put you in a lot of profit now.
Price seems to be looking for more downside movement now.
EG
PS....if the downside movement proceeds to breach the levels enumerated above, then I would look at the 50-61.8% retrace from the lower level @ 1.9364
these would be
FE 100 @ 1.9636
FE 161.8 @ 1.9529 which incidentally also falls near a median line on the 4hour chart plus this is also at the 61.8% retrace (1.9548)
Bulls will have to give in to the bears for now so the bears can join the Bulls to 2.0000+
__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS
Last edited by el grande, Jun 1, 2008 6:59pm
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#2292
Jun 3, 2008 9:07am
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GBPUSD daily and DOW 1 hour
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__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong
To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!
It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...
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#2293
Jun 4, 2008 2:41am
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Still lots of possibilities out there for USDJPY. Here's what I see so far. I'm not going to rule out a rally to 107 though. It's been in my head for awhile.
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#2294
Jun 4, 2008 6:30am
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Cable
"PS....if the downside movement proceeds to breach the levels enumerated above, then I would look at the 50-61.8% retrace from the lower level @ 1.9364
these would be
FE 100 @ 1.9636
FE 161.8 @ 1.9529 which incidentally also falls near a median line on the 4hour chart plus this is also at the 61.8% retrace (1.9548)
Bulls will have to give in to the bears for now so the bears can join the Bulls to 2.0000+"
Above is from an earlier post...
Based 0n EW , Cable has hit 61.8% retracement @ 1.9548
1. 1.9535 has been achieved as of London session
2. There is a Bullish Harmonic Pattern on the 4hour and 1hour charts with a range End of 1.9577 - 1.9470
3. I am missing Divergence on the 15 minute chart to signal a return to the UPTREND
for now, my Cable Long Trades are under a drawdown 8 in all. Out of the 3 long term short trades I have nursed for almost 2 months, have exited 1st for a 4 pip loss while the 2nd which was relieved today was out for +3. Now I still have 1 remaining Short trade which I hope to relieve come US session.
GBPJPY....
1 more DIP lower than 204.53 to complete the Divergence on 15min chart for this correction to the UPTREND
Bullish Harmonic Pattern on the 15min, 30min and 1hr charts down to 204.39
Lacking Divergence on 1hr, 30min, 15min and 5min charts
@2209 PHI Cable
Divergence on the 15min chart right b4 news. waiting for 5min and 1min Divergence
__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS
Last edited by el grande, Jun 4, 2008 10:01am
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#2295
Jun 4, 2008 3:48pm
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GBPJPY is definitely showing a sign to the down size, unfortunately we don't know when it will start falling.
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