一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

Jan 1, 2009 8:57pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Cable additional charts Note Horizontal Yellow line to check Possible overlapping of wave 4s with wave 1s Yellow Horizontal line along w34 if breached from where price is now if it continues to climb will invalidate the current count EG Attached Thumbnails            __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2325    Jan 1, 2009 10:37pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Possibility for the Long Term Cable Potential for waves 3 and 4 on the Monthly Chart Additional Projection for w53 or 353 EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Jan 1, 2009 10:52pm

hefeiddd

Jan 1, 2009 11:02pm

Rocroy Senior Member Member Since Jun 2007   513 Posts

Yep, agree with you R Quote: Originally Posted by el grande Cable Potential for waves 3 and 4 on the Monthly Chart Additional Projection for w53 or 353 EG

#2327    Jan 1, 2009 11:52pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Hi. We still have differences here as I am assuming that price will continue to go lower towards 1.2402 to end 3 Aqua And to be followed by a retracement towards 4 Aqua to the 1.7170 level. Your count on the otherhand illustrate that from where price closed for 2008, you now see price rising towards the 1.7100 level. You may be right and my count can still be invalidated. Like I mentioned in the earlier post here, I would consider my count to be invalid if price goes higher than 1.4698 Thank you for posting your count here. EG Quote: Originally Posted by Rocroy Yep, agree with you R Attachment 187339 __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2328    Jan 2, 2009 12:16am

Rocroy Senior Member Member Since Jun 2007   513 Posts

Yes, you are right, I was a bit hasty while reading your post. Anyway, I believe we are at an interesting resistance level now and the price action shows some signs of slowing down movement. Here's also my 4h chart. Let's see what happens. R Quote: Originally Posted by el grande Hi. We still have differences here as I am assuming that price will continue to go lower towards 1.2402 to end 3 Aqua And to be followed by a retracement towards 4 Aqua...

#2329    Jan 5, 2009 4:38pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

SOMETHING you might be able to use like I do in watching the waves. LIKE I have mentioned before, my price analysis uses EW as its backbone and this is enhanced and validated thru multiple strategies to check for common targets of support and resistance levels or ranges. EG Attached Thumbnails                      __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Jan 5, 2009 4:48pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

PITCHFORK construction and TARGET setting. NOTE that although PITCHFORKS may be used to trade by itself, I find it helpful in my PRICE analysis with EW. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2331    Jan 5, 2009 5:22pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

other tools additional visual tools Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2332    Jan 5, 2009 5:27pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by el grande Hi. ........Like I mentioned in the earlier post here, I would consider my count to be invalid if price goes higher than 1.4698 Thank you for posting your count here. EG COUNT was invalidated. BUT you can take advantage of other tools to make profits. PRICE consolidation was evident on the 1 hr chart so a counter trade at 1.4510 and 1.4589 for me were inorder to hedge my prior position. __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2333    Jan 14, 2009 10:24pm

surFXwave Member Member Since Nov 2008 11 Posts

CABLE ELLIOT WAVE Pobabilities Just sharing my analysis for comment.. Disclaimaer : it's not a trade call..just for reference __________________ Avoid drawn, Don't surf agains the wave, Successfull Surfer always Surf with the wave, lets "SURF with Forex WAVE" Together Last edited by surFXwave, Jan 14, 2009 10:49pm

#2334    Jan 17, 2009 6:58am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

here is an alternative to your ending diagonal 5 of wave 3. I am looking at a possible Expanding triangle for the wave 4 of wave 3. yellow 12345 seem fine as sub waves of higher degree wave 3. the following candlesticks are fitting into an expanded triangle quite well. Nothing is really definite. last daily CS has a long upper wick. however it is still green. so we have 3 possible scenarios here. 1. which as proposed by surFXwave. am I correct to note that there are 2 possible scenarios on your chart? 2. because on my daily chart, there are 2 possible scenarios too. one deals with the possible ending diagonal wave 5 which I am not too inclined while the other one is a possible scenario for an expanding triangle as you can see the orange trendlines traced out. If price falls off the lower orange trendline, then likely ..... the price is in a wave 3 of a wave 3 of wave 5. But if the price finds support at the lower orange trendline, and breaks the blue trend line, then it is very likely we have an expanding triangle specially if the upper orange trendline is preserved. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Feb 8, 2009 6:58am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPUSD Potential Scenarios for GBPUSD EG Attached Thumbnails                      __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2340    Feb 9, 2009 1:18pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPUSD Update GBPUSD Chart Update EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Feb 9, 2009 1:59pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Additional GBPUSD Charts Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2342    Feb 10, 2009 10:43am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

5min Chart AP Target was exceeded Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2343    Feb 11, 2009 8:59am

sherif dabes Member Member Since Feb 2009 2 Posts

Gold Hi All My Gold account Attached Thumbnails

#2344    Feb 28, 2009 11:48am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Potential Scenarios for GBPUSD Attached Thumbnails                __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Feb 28, 2009 11:49am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

additional scenarios Attached Thumbnails            __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2346    Feb 28, 2009 6:33pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

..... Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2347    Feb 28, 2009 8:46pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Wave 4 Purple Alternative Scenario where wave 4 makes a Zigzag Corrective wave in a Channel. That is if price does not breakout to the downside of that upward blue channel. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Mar 1, 2009 9:29am

derek Member Member Since Feb 2009   247 Posts

el grande, good variant daily GBPUSD

hefeiddd

Mar 10, 2009 3:49am

Moiz Member Member Since Mar 2009 10 Posts

Hello EG, sir Is it possible that we are getting a double zigzag in the C wave of the X wave, as marked in the attachment. I will be extremely grateful if you please point out any errors in this attachment. This seems to be the only way I can understand the application of this project. M Attached Thumbnails

#2357    Mar 10, 2009 4:03am

Rocroy Senior Member Member Since Jun 2007   513 Posts

I did not check all the details on your chart, but I agree, a double zz on my chart too. Well done. Quite difficult corrections going on now with euro and cable. My estimate for the turning point (end of wave W) is 1.347. R Quote: Originally Posted by Moiz Hello EG, sir Is it possible that we are getting a double zigzag in the C wave of the X wave, as marked in the attachment. I will be extremely grateful if you please point out any errors in this attachment. This seems to be the only way I can understand the application of this project. M

#2358    Mar 10, 2009 6:01am

Moiz Member Member Since Mar 2009 10 Posts

Thank you. That is encouraging for me. I am just a beginner in EW and would really love to learn it as much as i can. Yes. If we go by the 1:1 rule of the three waves it does come to about 1.347. However, the possibility of getting an overall flat or an extended flat formation in the WXY cannot be ruled out just yet. If that transpires, we may even see a lower low than 1.35. I am just trying to see the various alternatives for now.

#2359    Mar 10, 2009 5:10pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Cable Outlook 5 waves down of 4Bc for Cable on hourly chart near Completion? Series of charts shows previous projections and how price unfolded. These are now followed with various ways of projecting potential end of wave c of this b wave in a flat wave 4. Moiz and Rocroy, You may be referring to the move from 1.4986 down to where price is heading to now as the double zigzag. EG Attached Thumbnails                   __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Mar 10, 2009 5:13pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Closer view..... EG Attached Thumbnails            __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2361    Mar 10, 2009 5:33pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Moiz Thank you. That is encouraging for me. I am just a beginner in EW and would really love to learn it as much as i can. Yes. If we go by the 1:1 rule of the three waves it does come to about 1.347. However, the possibility of getting an overall flat or an extended flat formation in the WXY cannot be ruled out just yet. If that transpires, we may even see a lower low than 1.35. I am just trying to see the various alternatives for now. Moiz... You are on the right track. Rocroy, thanks for covering for me. As you can see on the series of charts that have just been posted, which were initially drawn from last week, the potential for the double zigzag , the flat and the extended flat limits were set. The double zigzag for the b wave from 1.4986 was supposed to end at 1.3770 which is the 1st blue horizontal line on the chart below. This is considering Price and Time. But as it turned out, this was exceeded as price went lower. Here, the premse was c = a. since this has been exceeded we now move to c = 1.618 ( a ). Just as a guideline. Moving up a scale or degree, we then see that this supposed wave 4 has finished wave A and is developing the supposed doublw zigzag wave B. W now look at this as wave B retraceing wave A. > 61.8% then this could be a FLAT > 100% up to 132.8% then it is an extended flat. the arrow below that 132.8% level indicates that the supposition that this was a potential extended flat wave 4 was wrong and that price will continue to go down. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

Mar 11, 2009 6:30am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Potential for Cable if this does move up for our wave C of Bigger wave 4: EG Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2368    Mar 11, 2009 6:44am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Levels that coincide: Based on Price retracement this potential wave 4 seems to be a FLAT as it has retraced more than 61.8% of wave A. If wave B is finished, then Projection levels for wave C would be as follows: 1. C = A C = A (1.618) C = A (0.618) 2. Wave 4 as retracement of wave 3 from Wave 2 31.8% Wave 3 50.0% Wave 3 61.8% Wave 3 3. Based on retracement value of wave 2 from wave 1 Since wave 2 retraced wave 1 by 61.8% Wave 4 then would potentially retrace wave 3 by 38.2% 4. Usually wave 4 develops inside a channel. that is why I drew those 2 channels on my chart. Having these guidelines, I would say that Potentially wave C would be 1.618% of wave A and this coincides with the 31.8% retracement of Wave 3. Happy Harvest Everyone EG Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Mar 12, 2009 2:42pm

pipeye Member Member Since Dec 2007 149 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by el grande Yes. Technically, I would understand what you mean and what you are referring to Many would not.....) EG In chart form, this is what I am seeing. Looking for a retrace to the 38.2, if it gets there? Attached Thumbnails

Mar 15, 2009 5:26am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Radical Cable View There seems to be more room going down for Cable. The 1 hour chart would indicate that a wave 4 of wave 3 down seems to have finished and the wave 5 down will or has started. This you will notice is a radical change ( at least that is how I see it ) from my previous wave counts. EG Attached Thumbnails                __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Mar 15, 2009 6:09am

hefeiddd

Mar 15, 2009 6:13am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

modified 1hr chart plus other idea. It is very possible with this current count that wave 4 seems to lack a wave 5 up before it comes down for the wave 5 of a bigger wave 3 down. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Mar 15, 2009 6:38am

#2407    Mar 15, 2009 7:45am

adexadams Member Member Since Aug 2007 6 Posts

real wave count on gu,eu,u/chf that is simple wave count on 1h chart g/u and u/chf update is comming out soon. Attached Thumbnails

#2408    Mar 15, 2009 8:16am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by adexadams that is simple wave count on 1h chart g/u and u/chf update is comming out soon. Is it Hanah or is it Ramon? Anyway, Glad to see an alternative count on this thread. By the way, How REAL is REAL? It only becomes REAL when it matches the FACT. That means the wave count is proven correct by your chart and by the market. EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2409    Mar 15, 2009 12:22pm

adexadams Member Member Since Aug 2007 6 Posts

gu wave count on 4h tf let use check this out wave count on 4h time frame Attached Thumbnails

#2410    Mar 15, 2009 2:29pm

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by el grande Radical Cable View There seems to be more room going down for Cable. The 1 hour chart would indicate that a wave 4 of wave 3 down seems to have finished and the wave 5 down will or has started. This you will notice is a radical change ( at least that is how I see it ) from my previous wave counts. EG Hi EG, Hope you don't mind i posting my cable chart here. My count is slightly different from yours. Pls comment. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Elliott Wave Analysis - http://5waves.blogspot.com

hefeiddd

Mar 16, 2009 12:06pm

Moiz Member Member Since Mar 2009 10 Posts

Attached is the 30 minute on gbp/usd. If the marking is correct, we should expect the 5th of the third coming up soon. EG sir, your comments would help me learn. Attached Thumbnails

Mar 18, 2009 8:41am

pipeye Member Member Since Dec 2007 149 Posts

Cable Here is my current view of Cable. -- Wave 2 could also be complete at 1.3841(61.8% fib) -- Attached Thumbnails

#2433    Mar 23, 2009 1:48am

kevmcfoster Jai Shewaramani Member Since Sep 2006 82 Posts

Euro n Sterling Attached Thumbnails       __________________ It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!! It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...

#2434    Mar 26, 2009 6:38pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

deferring the Radical wave count on Cable and going back to former count. Below are the potential scenarios to watch out for. Note that fib retracement tool and fib extention tools were used inconjunction with the EW Guidelines. Each chart in a separate post to separate the different timeframe charts for possible addition of comments later. EG Looking at the Daily Chart TF, we can see that proposed B wave of 4 has retraced wave 4A by more than 76.4%. So this is more than the 61.8% limit for a Zigzag correction. This brings as to assume for the moment that if this is a wave 4, then the correction is probably a corrective FLAT or a possible triangle or a complex corrective wave. wave 2 was a running FLAT so by guideline of alternation. this should be a zigzag , a triangle or a complex correction. by the looks of the development that we have on this pair now.it would seem that we have to cancel the zigzag scenario "for the meantime" as the current structure eliminates that potential. So I will treat this still as a possible FLAT but for now it will be considered as a FLAT wave "a" in a wave 4. Which brings me to further assume that this correction will be expanding sideways and will take a longer period of time to finish. You will see that with the use of the fib extention tool, possible target for C is @ FE 100.0 Magenta on the right side of the chart. Your potential levels are FE 61.8 FE 100.0 FE 161.8 Then refer to the retracement of wave 2. See the Dark orange retracement tool. Wave 4 usually retraces wave 3 by 38.2% up to 61.8% Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Mar 26, 2009 7:04pm

#2435    Mar 26, 2009 6:39pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

4hour Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2436    Mar 26, 2009 6:40pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

1hr Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Mar 26, 2009 6:42pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

30min Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2438    Mar 26, 2009 6:43pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

15min Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2439    Mar 26, 2009 6:45pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

5min Careful with that limit at around 1.4475 range as that overlaps with wave 1 which could invalidate the wave count on this time frame. or even the ones pn the higher timeframe Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Mar 26, 2009 7:16pm

#2440    Mar 26, 2009 8:32pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by el grande 5min Careful with that limit at around 1.4475 range as that overlaps with wave 1 which could invalidate the wave count on this time frame. or even the ones pn the higher timeframe Past the 61.8% retrace for wave iv and has overlap with wave i. This Trade is at high risk status now. wave v may have been truncated. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2441    Mar 26, 2009 9:32pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

SHORT SLs at 1.4475-85 were all captured. Daily Stochastics has turned back into the trading Zone from being Overbought 4hr though is still at oversold level. it may stay there for the meantime as price is in a C or 3 wave down. Now that the daily stoch is back into the trading zone, would this not signal a much bigger scale of down movement for this pair? EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2442    Mar 27, 2009 6:28am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by el grande Past the 61.8% retrace for wave iv and has overlap with wave i. This Trade is at high risk status now. wave v may have been truncated. This did not develop as I initially expected as a motive wave. The overlapping of waves seemed to have developed into an ending diagonal triangle with a throw under after price breached thru the weekly pivot. Happy trading everyone. EG Attached Thumbnails            __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Mar 28, 2009 4:56pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Cable_Monthly Charts are posted to provide potential ideas of price direction. Validate with other strategies to increase chances of trading in the high probability direction. Happy Harvest to All EG Former count (forecast) as posted before in early March. But with some modifications. Attached Thumbnails            __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2444    Mar 28, 2009 4:58pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Cable_Weekly Weekly Attached Thumbnails          __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2445    Mar 28, 2009 5:00pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Cable_Daily Daily Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Mar 28, 2009 5:01pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Cable_4hr Cable_4hr Attached Thumbnails          __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2447    Mar 28, 2009 5:03pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Cable_1hr Cable_1hr Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Mar 30, 2009 3:53am

farawave Member Member Since May 2008 2 Posts

EURUSD EURUSD Attached Thumbnails

#2451    Mar 30, 2009 4:27am

Moiz Member Member Since Mar 2009 10 Posts

A Possible Alternative Count Dear EG sir, I am a little scared for posting something absolutely stupid. However, this seems to be the only way to learn. Your comments on whether this count can be considered as a possible alternative count will help me learn. Attached Thumbnails

#2452    Mar 30, 2009 7:50am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Hi EG, Can i request your updated Cable chart? Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Elliott Wave Analysis - http://5waves.blogspot.com

#2453    Mar 30, 2009 7:51am

Blue bottle Senior Member Member Since Nov 2007   594 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by el grande deferring the Radical wave count on Cable and going back to former count. Below are the potential scenarios to watch out for. Note that fib retracement tool and fib extention tools were used inconjunction with the EW Guidelines. Each chart in a separate post to separate the different timeframe charts for possible addition of comments later. EG Looking at the Daily Chart TF,... Great analysis.. Thanks EG! __________________ Elliott Wave Analysis - http://5waves.blogspot.com

#2454    Mar 30, 2009 8:53am

Rocroy Senior Member Member Since Jun 2007   513 Posts

Nothing stupid there. Like you, I also think that wave C is not over yet. Here is an other count alternative. R Quote: Originally Posted by Moiz Dear EG sir, I am a little scared for posting something absolutely stupid. However, this seems to be the only way to learn. Your comments on whether this count can be considered as a possible alternative count will help me learn.

hefeiddd

Apr 1, 2009 3:41am

Suj_cess live life Member Since Feb 2009 99 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by el grande what retrace are you referring to and from what level is your trade? Im waiting for the wave 5 down from this possible wave 4. Or maybe wave 2 down from this possible wave 1. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Collecting pips

#2483    Apr 1, 2009 4:11am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

1.4355 now. possibly finding support at around 1.4331 before some more move up still before finally taking a dive.... I think EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2484    Apr 1, 2009 4:51am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

currently re adjusting wave counts on the smaller timeframes. Corrective waves seem to be mostly running corrections where wave c is shorter than a or c. this is what consumes many of the newbies I think in EWA. they start believing that corrections are often the c=a or c=a(1.618). only to find out later that it did not work on their wave counts. this results to frustration and disbelief in the system. it is therefore important that one spends more time understanding EWTaP and how their chosen pair performs relative to the possible wave count. but more importantly, one must not stay married to a trade. Get that DIVORCE as soon as possible when your limits are breached... unless you see retracement to the sme level on the higher timeframe. EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2485    Apr 1, 2009 4:51am

Rocroy Senior Member Member Since Jun 2007   513 Posts

I still kind of like this count. Quote: Originally Posted by Suj_cess Im waiting for the wave 5 down from this possible wave 4. Or maybe wave 2 down from this possible wave 1.

hefeiddd

Apr 1, 2009 10:29pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Weekly and Daily Chart No topping then for Cable Yet. The way I see it now is that Cable is really in the wave 3 with the extentions in it. So I would not expect too many deep retracements. I am attaching charts a series of charts to succeeding posts. I just drew the zigzags on it to insinuate possible wave subdivisions. I tried differentiating wave degrees by using different colors. So I hope someone here will be able to make use of it, No time for clean labelled charts. We need to train our eyes to spot 5 waves structures and 3 wave structures. Internal counts of some corrective waves are not in their normal or standard forms. there were exceptions and rule bendings applied to it based on the original guidelines. I am using a differnet system which I am still testing if it does help identify wave change even if it does not wholly apply the original guidelines. EG Attached Thumbnails                __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Apr 1, 2009 10:30pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

4hr and 1hr Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2510    Apr 1, 2009 10:30pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

30min and 15min Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2511    Apr 2, 2009 5:13am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

15min Cable Attached Thumbnails          __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2512    Apr 2, 2009 5:14am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

5min Cable Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Apr 2, 2009 7:41am

Rocroy Senior Member Member Since Jun 2007   513 Posts

Wave B came out pretty much as expected. R

#2514    Apr 2, 2009 9:49am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

update on the 5min could be a barrier triangle waiting for Price to Breakout to the UPSIDE EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2515    Apr 2, 2009 11:03am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Scrap possibility of the Barrier triangle. Price has pierced the Daily downline Resistance Trendline Let us see if it continues or drops back down below that Resistance trendline. EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2516    Apr 2, 2009 8:20pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

My Cable thoughts for today I hope you all had a GREAT Harvest from Yesterday's Great Wave 3 move. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2517    Apr 2, 2009 8:20pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

some more Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2518    Apr 2, 2009 8:21pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

maybe finally.... Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2519    Apr 2, 2009 8:23pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

ok guys.... let us have your thoughts in here too. How does one trade a possible ending Diagonal Triangle? EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#2520    Apr 2, 2009 9:10pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

working on other possibilities... revising the wave counts on the 5min and 15min chart. I have isolated the one I have marked with vertical lines in green now. after further analyzingthat potential ending diagonal triangle..... the is another possible wave count there. I am not using letters and numbers but...vertical lines... if you want to nderstand this , you will have to do your own homework . Labelling with numbers and letters takes so much time as i also want them serialized or color coded. But using vertical lines even if colore coded has helped speed up things for me. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS