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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 06:59 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 28, 2008 12:35pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Eur/Usd

Appears to be moving towards an " End of Wave 5 "
----------------------------------------------------

Hey there Money ,

Good luck on your trade-setup posted just above....... Looks Great ...........
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Attached Thumbnails   




Jan 28, 2008 1:15pm
bunton
Senior Member
Member Since Aug 2007

  1,151 Posts


Don't laugh to hard, here is my monthly count on USD/CAD.


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Jan 28, 2008 5:19pm
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


Interesting scenario taking place in gbp/jpy
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1753   
Jan 28, 2008 5:45pm
Gnat
Unconventionable Conventionist
Member Since Jun 2007

  2,811 Posts


Market...

I am here reading... where is the passage where you and Learntocount got up against each other?

Greetz!
Gnat
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- What Categories Reveal about the Mind


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  #1754   
Jan 28, 2008 6:09pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by money
Hello to veryone and to EG
I made some new analysis on USD/JPY which if i am not wrong, could be could week for JPY. I will go short like i have marked on the picture, But i realy hope that willl not hit my stops, i was preapring and lookig for this one for a long time now...lets see what will heppen.

Any advices will be good.
tnx,
grega

I aslo posted this analysis and someother too, on this site.

Attachment 82524


Hi Grega.

Attached are charts for an ALTERNATIVE Count. Last night when I went with you on your count, I merely browsed thru the 1 hr and took a confirmation from the 4 hour chart.

However, this morning when I went to check on it again, I tried starting from the Daily chart and somehow I ended up with an alternative count.

Maybe you can have a look at it again.

EG
Attached Thumbnails           

      

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EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


Last edited by el grande, Jan 28, 2008 6:25pm
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:00 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 28, 2008 7:35pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

GBPUSD
Quote:
Originally Posted by eye4spot
El grande if u remeber that i sad on my last post +170 on gu... it went.

deal done.
thx.



You did well eye4spot. Although I think you were not using Elliott Wave Principle there.

I should have attached these other charts to my count last night when I replied to you as this shows the price projection if my wave counts were correct.

This is how I project price using FIB Extention tools and the FIB projection Levels in relation to Elliott Wave Principles.

EG
Attached Thumbnails         

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


  #1758   
Jan 28, 2008 8:10pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURUSD Alternative Count
Attached are charts with the alternative count on the EURUSD.

I have been engrossed and wrapped around the 5 wave symmetrical triangle wave 4 for the EURUSD.

but after studying the lower TF charts this morning, I see an alternative count now due to the way this wave D up is developing.

to me it looks a bit tight for it to just stop at the upper edge of this proposed triangle. and if it overshoots, the way I see it is that it will form a different wave pattern thereby potentially nullifying my triangle wave count and could be replaced with an IRREGULAR FLAT corrective wave.

this twist to the alternative wave count may be deduced from doing a wave count on the lower timeframes.

I am just bringing this up as a heads up.

EG
Attached Thumbnails      

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:00 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 28, 2008 8:45pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURUSD on the m15
EURUSD is developing what looks like a wave 4 of the wave D up for the Triangle.

EG
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


  #1760   
Jan 29, 2008 1:38am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURUSD
Finally have my internet connection back.


Attaching something I wrtote earlier while I still had no connection.

Here I go again.

My broadband connection slows down or is completely off as 1100 am here in Manila comes in. So I can’t post charts and share ideas….


Anyway…..let us move on. I am drafting the text for my charts now so I can just paste this to a post later.

I have been engrossed with the symmetrical triangle for the wave 4 on the Daily chart. That I have not really given alternative counts much thought.

The earlier Alternative count of an irregular flat I proposed a few posts back or was it just above this post…. Is a bit of a lame alternative because it proposes an Irregular FLAT despite the fact that the wave 2 of same degree was already a FLAT corrective wave. It is quite unlikely that both wave 2 and wave 4 will be flat corrective waves.

So this stays to be either a Zigzag or a Triangle.

Now let us analyze the different waves that have already developed and let us go down to the lower timeframes to have some king of a more detailed picture.

1. For instance, wave B of this triangle seems a bit off because it retraced wave A by approxtly 88% when based on the Guideline, waves of the Symmetrical triangle normally retrace a previous wave by 62%. I let that pass in the meantime as it was initially seen as a 3 wave advance.

2. Granting that we consider the move up as a 3wave B which was followed by what seems like another 3 wave down to become Wave C. Looking at the percentage of retrace it has made, we can see that this wave C has retraced wave B by approximately 88% too. This again is another bit of a discrepancy for the proposed triangle. But then again, we see this as a 3 wave structure which can be considered as a potential wave C for the triangle.

3. Now, let us look at the wave that follows which is going up.

a. we now see a 3 wave advance in 531 532 and 5331. which can initially be considered as the sub wave abc of an A leg of a 3wave D where we can consider 5332 as the Leg B of the 3wave D.

b. but we can further have another count where 531 532 and 5331 is the leg A while leg B can be potentially be an irregular B. 532 can actually be considered either a 3 wave structure internally or even a 5wave structure internally.

1st if we consider 532 as a 3wave structure, then we continue with the proposed triangle.

2nd if we consider it as a 5wave structure, then it becomes a sub wave a of the B leg of wave D. then the move up from 532 should be a 3wave structure to make it the wave b of the B leg.

I have labeled that as 1 or a, 2 or b and 3 or c. if this is an irregular leg B, then the maximum that its wave b can go up to is 132.8% of the wave a which is the 5332 wave. So that the move from 1.4798 going down can be considered as a sub wave 4 of the wave c or 3. then I would be looking for a 23.6, 38.2. 50 and 61.8 retracement for the sub wave 4 which is why you will see the tick marks on the fib levels to the right. Then a rally upwards towards 1.4817 is expected.


4. Now what next??????

We have to consider 2 potential scenarios after this.
  • assuming price continues to go down from 1.4798 or it does go up to 1.4817 but bounces back to go lower than 1.4660, then I would consider going for the wave count where we see EURUSD developing an irregular wave B of the Bigger wave D and the potential target down would be between 1.4626 – 1.4605
  • but if price goes over 1.4817 and specially higher than 1.4852 which is already the 161.6 FE of wave 5332, then it is more likely that the Triangle Pattern for the 4th wave in the daily chart is OFF
  • meaning wave 4 on the daily chart was already a Zigzag and that the move from the end of that Zigzag at 1.4308 is already the beginning of the wave 5 on the Daily chart.
  • Judging by the way that the waves have developed on the daily chart after that Zigzag, I am seeing the potential of an Ending Diagonal Triangle for the wave % on the Daily chart developing.
  • This may somehow fit into the Fundamentals. Many would still see the USD as being Bearish which will Push this pair UP. But EUR can not be made to go so high as it would most likely hurt their economy.
  • So that an Ending Diagonal Triangle for the 5th wave on the Daily Chart would be most likely to fit the whole scenario.
  • As for the Structure of this Ending Diagonal Triangle, it is said to be in a 3-3-3-3-3 structure.
    • on the chart you will see that I have forced a 5 wave structure count on the Daily by going to the 4 hour chart.
    • If I maintain the view that this could be an ending diagonal wave 5, then I would not need to force a 5 wave impulse count from 1.4308 which is the end of wave 4 on the daily
    • I can have a 3wave count as wave 51 or the 1st leg of the whole ending diagonal wave 5.
    • Then wave 52 will fit into the scenario with its retrace which by the way made an approximately 88% retrace of wave 51.
    • From wave 52 then I would be looking for a new 3wave advance which should see it temporarily end higher than wave 51 @ 1.4921.
    • Using FIB Extention tool, wave 53 should end around FE 161.8 @ 1.5030 or 1.5084 up to 1.5153
    • Right now it is time to sit back and watch or wait here for me as I still do not have my internet connection running.
EG
Attached Thumbnails           

         

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:02 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 29, 2008 1:41am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURUSD Charts Continued
The explanation is on the above post. the charts have been arrange in almost a chronological order based on when it is needed to support the details in the text analysis.

EG
Attached Thumbnails         

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


  #1762   
Jan 29, 2008 1:45am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


.
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1763   
Jan 29, 2008 2:09am
eye4spot
The only way it's up!
Member Since Nov 2007

196 Posts


Indeed, was using something else. But on a trade to take we need severeal resons.

Nice explenation and presentation here about eu, but still... and a 3 year old child if u ask where this line is going it will point north.

I see 1.5 ( In my opinion ), but well see a wedge till a breakout, euro didn't fall out when all others were knocked down, and that reason we shall see why. It's a psyhological battle betten FED and ECB, who's wining and what's winning, may be the next world lider currency.

  #1764   
Jan 29, 2008 2:24am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

Multiple possibilities on the 15min chart EURUSD
as we get down to the m15 chart, I see multiple possibilities based on the current development.

For those that consider these as noise, one can stick to the 4hour and the daily chart analysis.

A breakout to the downside of the 1st Blue horizontal line brings this pair towards FE 100.0 @ 1.4742 after seeing a 5 wave impulse down or towards FE 127.6 @ 1.4730

IF it breaks thru the next support at 1.4742 then next TP will be at 1.4715 - 1.4708 right before the last support level based on EW.

If another breakout to the downside occurs, next target would be 1.4673 - 1.4657 up to 1.4605


EG
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS



Jan 29, 2008 4:12am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


Moving to a much smaller time frame...1 min chart
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1768   
Jan 29, 2008 4:18am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by el grande
GBPJPY price is already above the weekly Pivot at about 210.0

It is above the Daily Pivot also @ 211.54

Based on my observations while I was monitoring GBPJPY before, if price is already above the weekly pivot, there is a very high probability that price stays above this level. Now to add to the weekly pivot level observation is the price position above the daily and the weekly pivots. SO basically, I would still be Bullish on this pair on my view.

If we look at the EW count, I would consider the move from 204.58 going up to 214.06 as the 0123 waves and the move down to 209.49 as the wave 4.

I would be looking at GBPJPY climbing up towards 219- 219.48 where we have the weekly R2 and still be under the monthly Pivot @ 224.54

EG


Hi EG
I agree with you that gj is bullish in the short term...but I was jus considering the possibility of the move from 214.06 to 209.49 as wave 4a, just incase if we have an extended corrective wave 4.The reason I say that is coz the current formation on the 15 mins chart doesn't look like wave 1 of wave 5, instead its more convincing as wave 4b of wave 4...but I guess we'll have to consider both possibilities just in case...

Happy trading
Jai
__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


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  #1769   
Jan 29, 2008 4:21am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts


My thoughts on your 1min chart.

Jai,

I see a series of higher lows on that chart you posted. Do you mean you have a truncated 5th wave inside your 3rd wave then another truncated 5th wave of the same degree as your 3rd wave?

I would think it is a bit unusual to have 2 5th waves even of different degrees to be sitiuated so near each other.

Just something for you to consider. Can't expound on it now . have to leave soon.

EG
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:03 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 29, 2008 8:08am
eye4spot
The only way it's up!
Member Since Nov 2007

196 Posts


Great signal to go long on Usd/Jpy right now. Great forecast news for usd. Drop for at least 80~100 pips. (just informational propose only, trade @ ur own risk)

Enjoy.
  #1772   
Jan 29, 2008 9:37am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

GBPJPY
Jai, Attached is my proposed wave count on your GBPJPY

Still on the 1min chart


Price may actually reach Weekly R2 @ 219.48 ( Weekly R2 I have observed be a favorite target by GBPJPY. It is also FE 100.0

It may extend to weekly R3 also whihc has also been observed to happen before on this pair which is within reach of the Monthly Pivot @ 224.54 and incidentally FE 161.8 also for the Zigzag wave 4 also.

EG
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS



  #1773   
Jan 29, 2008 10:36am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by SeekingLight
I am currently favoring the 1.43 = IV and 1.492 = V.1, 1.4363 = V.2, currently in V.3 scenario as well.

Simply because I can't see another steep EURUSD selloff coming just yet with another likely cut tomorrow as well as the internal structure being A=C ABC both times(First one being ABC = IV, second one being ABC = V.2, altough I am not sure whether this is even allowed du to the rule of alternation).

But really not sure. I much prefer cable's change of direction.

I still think weekly / daily / 4h is much safer to use(far better overview) than 5m/15m :P



Yes I am biased towards the wave 51 52 53 wave count on the Daily. As far as the Rule of Alternation is concerned, I do not see any problem where wave 4 is in Zigzag then wave52 which is a wave of smaller degree is again a Zigzag.

With Cable I think there was already a reversal of trend and that it is now Bullish Medium to Long Term.

Regarding EW counts on specific timeframes, It is generally advisable to do them in the higher timeframe. But I find it very challenging to work on the shorter TF as it provides me more opportunities to exercise my EW counts as a drill to sharpen my EW skills on pattern and wave labelling/identification.

EG
__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS



  #1774   
Jan 29, 2008 11:00am
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

USD-JPY
Quote:
Originally Posted by eye4spot
Great signal to go long on Usd/Jpy right now. Great forecast news for usd. Drop for at least 80~100 pips. (just informational propose only, trade @ ur own risk)

Enjoy.


Just one question.
there are good news for USD and you said good opportunity to go long. After that you said that will drop down for 80 pips......

If are good news for USD, then trend should go up and not down, so i dont know why are you suggesting to go short, like we can see on your chart. I am a little cofused here right now....

If you thought that USD will drop down before will countinue to his way, then ok.....but anyway this kind of strategy could be risky...very risky....

TNX man, nice trading

Grega

  #1775   
Jan 29, 2008 12:07pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by bunton
Could someone post a wave count of the macro and micro on USD/CAD? Looking at this book just does not ring a bell.

Bunton,

Here are 2 threads that is all about the Canadian Dollar
Go check it out.............
------------------------------------------------------------------
Click Here :
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.p...34#post1806734

http://forexfactory.com/showthread.p...96#post1810296

--------------------------------------------------------------------

  #1776   
Jan 29, 2008 2:33pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

USDJPY
Quote:
Originally Posted by eye4spot
Great signal to go long on Usd/Jpy right now. Great forecast news for usd. Drop for at least 80~100 pips. (just informational propose only, trade @ ur own risk)

Enjoy.


Eye4spot

I had my Long signal triggered from yesterday. I had a near 40 pip drawdown this morning but slightly on the positive now for my Long trade.

However, on your post..... you mention Great signal to go long because of the good forecast for the US News. Yet you say there will be an 80-100 pip Drop. That seems to be contradictory.

What I still can not understand is how you derive the 80-100 pip range potential profit. We would really appreciate it if you could kindly expound on how you do it.

EG
__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS



  #1777   
Jan 29, 2008 3:38pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Yen

Comming Soon to a Theater near you !............

----------------------------------------------------------

Last edited by marketwavez, Jan 29, 2008 6:39pm

  #1778   
Jan 29, 2008 5:06pm
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts


Helloo

One question, what is with LEARNTOCOUNT???

Infraction overload........????

Was he deleted from moderators???

Bad for him and for us, because of sharing the informations......
Last edited by money, Jan 30, 2008 6:59am

  #1779   
Jan 29, 2008 9:26pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts


Hi Grega.

It is very unfortunate that it had to come to this point. I hope that Tim ( Learntocount ) will come to a point where he can just diplomatically argue his point and not have to resort to his challenging ways.

I can understand how passionate he is with teaching others what he thinks is the rightway to count Elliott Waves. He has seen how some people have been demoralized trying to learn EW because of the complicated tools that are being used by others who teach it. EWT is in itself complex already and to combine it with a not so straight forward tool or strategy for identifying waves will draw a new learner farther away from the truth about EW.

He can not be this passionate about this and be concerned for all of us unless he has a lot of experience under his belt. Very rare will you see someone like him who is Both a successful trader using Elliott Waves and yet takes time to teach others for free.

Others may think they are teaching EW but mostly post their charts with little or no explanation and leave one to analyze and fend for himself to interpret or deduce from the posts how it all came about. He is one of the rare breed of Elliotticians who will take time to explain to you his position and give you limits to his wave counts and why.

I really urge everyone trying to learn EWT and applying its Principles to just agree that we will not always agree to have the same wave counts. But let us respect each others point of view and just post our charts and provide an explanation so that the rest of us can learn and see the basis of each others wave count.

If something deviates from EWP yet a poster feels strongly about it, then let him defend his position. If we think differently about a wave count that was posted, we can provide a constructive criticism by pointing out the wave count in question then providing our own wave count and why we labelled them as such.

For example, Like Marketwavez.... I also use chart patterns and harmonic patterns alongside many other technical indicators in my price analysis. when I can not seem to have a clear count , I look towards this other tools for some kind of direction.

So I may not be able to explain it using EW, but I will provide some reasons why I see price going a particular direction using other tools.

I hope that the moderators allow Tim to get back to the Forum. And I am sure Marketwavez will have nothing against that for as long as Tim can begin to accept the fact that they have different ways of Analyzing EW.

Tim, kindly comeback and allow us who want to learn from you to continue to learn from your posts. I believe , I and the rest of those learning EW here will be able to pick which way will benefit us more in our trading.

Peace and Profitable trading to everyone.

EG
__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


Last edited by el grande, Jan 30, 2008 9:43am

  #1780   
Jan 30, 2008 3:14am
eye4spot
The only way it's up!
Member Since Nov 2007

196 Posts


Indeed. Good point. I was wrong. My mystake. I didn't realized till now. I am reading what i was writed and i am laughing. The news didn't brake the channel luckly 4 me. Trade is still on. My take profit range varies. At major levels, pivot points and s/r levels. I don't enter a trade till it's at least 1:2 ratio.

Sorry and take care.
Thanks for the reply.


  #1781   
Jan 30, 2008 9:30am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


15 mins updated
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...



  #1782   
Jan 30, 2008 9:34am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by el grande
My thoughts on your 1min chart.

Jai,

I see a series of higher lows on that chart you posted. Do you mean you have a truncated 5th wave inside your 3rd wave then another truncated 5th wave of the same degree as your 3rd wave?

I would think it is a bit unusual to have 2 5th waves even of different degrees to be sitiuated so near each other.

Just something for you to consider. Can't expound on it now . have to leave soon.

EG


I know its unusual to have 2 truncated 5th waves of higher degress, but none the less its yet possible...i gotta run now, so i'll post my 1 min chart later on...I wanna see if I was right
__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...



  #1783   
Jan 30, 2008 11:48am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


(There is No Competion in here to see who has the best Wave-Count)
Is there ?.... ..... but Why ? ............

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
THis thread is in a Forum where people can come in and see
various point of views .

THis thread is in a Forum where people can come in and see
various Elliott Wave-counts .

(and not be rude or ill-mannered along the way .)

This is the environment where people will learn things !

Just be Polite and Don't call Names and Do not use Trash-Talk in your Posts

-Why is it so hard for people to undertansd this ?
--------------------------------------------------------------

Calling people Names is a true measure of your Inteligence !

Being Rude & Ill-manned is a true measure of your Home Training !


and besides ,
You insult your Parents when you do this -----
-It is embarassing to them ..........

So , Simply Don't do it !

---------------------------------------------------------------------

How much money you have in your trading account
is not on trial here . Only Your conduct is !


This is what Is being said to Learntocount "also known as Golhunsleep"
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

You can Disagree - Yes , but please , be a gentleman about it !

The world is watching us in here ....................:wave:

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last edited by marketwavez, Jan 30, 2008 12:19pm

  #1784   
Jan 30, 2008 11:50am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Eg-
Learntocont’s ability to count waves is not the problem here :

We all know that Learntocount is very confident in what he
does and is more than willing to teach what he knows ………….
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
So , Here is problem :
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Learntocount is Rude and ill- Mannered , and says negative things that are Provoking
-this is what the problem is in here ,

yet Eg , you are saying nothing about this ?
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Again,
The problem here is what Learntocount is saying about Marketwavez
that is negative over and over , and over , over …….Why is this ?
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-Isn't this Forum just place where we can come in and share our
ideas and thoughts without
the feeling of being insulted ?......
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Meanwhile,
in the middle of all this just remember -
( Marketwavez has not said anything negative about Learntocount ) ----

No-one appreciates being talked to in this way -
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When Learntocount talks like that …
- It is Extremely Disruptive and becomes Problematic !
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The moderators simply want us to “ conduct ourselves as professionals”
and say positive things - Just As Merlin the moderator has so eloquently
said none of his most recent post and this is also one of this Forum’s main Rules !
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

This is probably the reason why Learntocount is banned ,
-simply for consistently saying negative things in his posts that are Provoking …..
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
That's all there really is to it !
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Learntocount went to Marketwavez thread and wrote things about him that are
Rude and Ill-Mannered to say the least ,
......and then followed Marketwavez here to Eg's thread and the same this past
weekend continuing to post in a negative in an Ill-Mannerd way.

Marketwavez was simply responding to all this Trash-Talk posted
by Learntocount
, the best way he could ………….!

In the End :
This forum is just place where we can come in and share our
ideas and thoughts without being insulted .
( This is 1st and Most Important )

Just because you don’t like someone’s wave-count or chart , or style of trading
doesn’t mean you go and trash talk about that person in your posts .

With this being said :
Please Understand that

Learntocount is still here : He is here right now !
He can still see all these posts -----

The infractions that Learntocount received , just means that
will not be able to post here for some time ,maybe 2 weeks or so ..........
But Learntocount can definitely see your posts

So keep on Posting , Stay Happy....

Disagree , but don’t be Disageeable !
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last edited by marketwavez, Jan 30, 2008 12:42pm

  #1785   
Jan 30, 2008 11:55am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Gnat
Market...

I am here reading... where is the passage where you and Learntocount got up against each other?

Greetz!
Gnat


Here is the link where it alll started on Jan 1st 2008

Click Here ... Scroll down to Post #44
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...t=11710&page=3

This is Nasty and Disruptive !..... Just absolutely awful .............
------------------------------------------------------------------
Anyway ,
At first I ignored this ugly post about me by Learntocount that
he made in my thread back in early January !


then Learntocount started up again this weekend and caused this Big Stink !


See it all here Right Here :
Start at Post # 1679
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...20436&page=112

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Gnat
this is not the place for this conversation
I, am sending you a PM -( Private Message )

You are senior member , I see -........and So am I
---------------------------------------------------------
They have put infractions on Learntocount it seems
But , I am going to show you I'm the better man here
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
I will Vouch for Learntocount-
( if he agrees to post positive things)
and not bash me anymore of course ..........
-----------------------------------------------------------------
I, am sending you a PM -.......
Last edited by marketwavez, Jan 30, 2008 12:24pm
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:05 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 31, 2008 12:14am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURUSD
EURUSD Price has kissed that upper trendline of the proposed triangle on the Daily chart last nightafter all the news that came out.

Structurally speaking, it has completed what looks like 4 waves of the symmetrical triangle abcd and all have an internal structure of 3-3-3-3. Following this move is supposed to be a downward move to the lower side of the triangle to complete wave E. a move above the high of 1.4906 from last night would invalidate the proposed triangle pattern for wave 4 on Daily chart. But we can still possibly see some price movement going up to that upper side of the triangle as wave 2 or B of a subwave A for the wave E down.

The proposed w51 w52 and w53 will continue to be on the table if price goes higher than 1.4906 towards 1.5000

EG
Attached Thumbnails           

   

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


  #1792   
Jan 31, 2008 1:11am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


This thread is getting cluttered for the wrong reasons...
Can't we all just get over some facts n jus concentrate on EW...

Anyways, here's the update for the 15 mins chart for gbp/jpy.
We have 2 possibilities,
(1) We are in Wave A
(2) We are in wave c of Wave 4

NOTE: If we are in Wave A, then Wave 5 would be a truncated wave.

Regards,
Jai
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1793   
Jan 31, 2008 6:52am
eye4spot
The only way it's up!
Member Since Nov 2007

196 Posts


easy money.

enjoy.



  #1794   
Jan 31, 2008 7:11am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Eye4spot, the wrong count, the third wave can't be the smalest one

  #1795   
Jan 31, 2008 7:32am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts

gbp/usd
For discussion, guys
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1796   
Jan 31, 2008 8:59am
eye4spot
The only way it's up!
Member Since Nov 2007

196 Posts


thx serega.

If u look now @ u/j it went preety well.



  #1797   
Jan 31, 2008 9:00am
BRForex
Infractions Overload
Member Since Dec 2006

311 Posts

Cycle degree
I need "Cycle degree" chart from GBP/USD...

can u share ?

thanks
__________________
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  #1798   
Jan 31, 2008 9:15am
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

USD/JPY
Quote:
Originally Posted by eye4spot
easy money.

enjoy.



This should be easier to understand....

We are in the way III, in which we can expect 5 waves down. So if we are in the wave II, then the min. target should be 105,83 where is also equlity wave I with wave III. This is minimum target if we consider that the wave 3 should no be shorter of wave 1 and 2....
I also upadated this here

See ya

[url=http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=83299&d=1201788899][/url]

Last edited by money, Jan 31, 2008 10:08am

  #1799   
Jan 31, 2008 9:29am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Rather good count Money

  #1800   
Jan 31, 2008 9:37am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


USD/JPY H4
Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:07 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 31, 2008 9:56am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


USD/CAD 15 MIN
Attached Thumbnails   

  #1802   
Jan 31, 2008 10:13am
eye4spot
The only way it's up!
Member Since Nov 2007

196 Posts


I'm whit u on usd/cad.






if it hits 61.8..

Trade @ ur own risk.

Jan 31, 2008 9:48pm
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


Update
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...


  #1808   
Feb 1, 2008 6:24am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Hi EG!!
You are right. Wave B can't be more than 350 from A by time. It was my mistake.
So. What can it be? I mean cable. Before NFP

  #1809   
Feb 1, 2008 10:13am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


We are in the last Wave C or in wave a of Wave B in the 15 mins chart
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


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  #1810   
Feb 1, 2008 3:03pm
kujo17
Senior Member
Member Since Dec 2007

  996 Posts


EG,

I know you mainly cover the GU.
I have a GY Daily chart here.

This is from the HH since 1990 on the GY.
I know this is alot more basic than the EWC way, but I'm still new to Forex and just looking at different methods, now that i have my basic intraday system in place and working well.

If this way of thinking is totally off, please I'd love to hear others thoughts on this.
For obvious reasons, being able to 'assume' where the pair is headed, technically, as I know fundamentals could alter anything.

thanks for all participants thoughts and ideas.

cheers,
kj
Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:14 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 2, 2008 12:56am
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Here you go. This is my count before the fall. The break of the lower trend line confirms the diagonal (also a good entry point). It should retrace and people should be able to get in on it and push it down a lot more.
Attached Thumbnails   

  #1818   
Feb 2, 2008 1:06am
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Here is a similar set up on EJ

Granted we may have had a zigzag instead of 1,2,3. The correction 4 could be B...but that still leaves us with 5 waves down.

Happy Counting! I want you all to become better counters. Will you guys join me in populating my forum? I'll teach you what I know and we can hold chat sessions and we can formulate questions back and forth. I'm not trying to make money with the forum, I'm trying to become a better Elliott Wave counter and help other people count. The money will come from good wave counts!

-Adrian
Attached Thumbnails   




Feb 2, 2008 11:27am
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

USD_JPY
Quote:
Originally Posted by bunton
Could someone with ew skills please post a macro chart of USD/JPY from 1980's top?


here you go bunton. it looks like that right now we are at the end of the wave 4 in descending triangle with flat bottom and declining top. I believe that this year could be the year of JPY, that means that i am expecting price to breakthrough bottom from B and D.This are my minimum expectations, cause price should go much lower in the future...
i hope that i helped you a little
nice trading, grega




  #1822   
Feb 2, 2008 12:35pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Money's count is my primary long term count on USDJPY; although, the current price movement doesn't confirm this count yet.

Here are my two counts:




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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:15 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 2, 2008 8:11pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Eliott Waves : Hard at work

" E "- waves - ( Chart example of rules )
----------------------------------------------------
Which one is occurring in the Usd/Yen ?.......

----------------------------------------------------
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////


Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 2, 2008 8:23pm
  #1835   
Feb 2, 2008 8:17pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Yen

This chart :
originally posted by , Adrian


Looks very close to what appears to be occurring Longer-Term .
---------------------------------------------------------------------

( Double Click on chart to enlarge )
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1836   
Feb 2, 2008 8:50pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Yen

Movement toward the " End of wave C " ?
------------------------------------------------------
Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone !
------------------------------------------------------


( Double click on chart to enlarge )
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1837   
Feb 2, 2008 8:53pm
BRForex
Infractions Overload
Member Since Dec 2006

311 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by BRForex
I need "Cycle degree" chart from GBP/USD...

can u share ?

thanks



I still waiting ... can help ?
__________________
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Pips Count: BullTradingGoal = 009 orders; Result= + 140
I love God

  #1838   
Feb 2, 2008 9:02pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by BRForex
I still waiting ... can help ?

What time frame are you looking for ?
//////////////////////////////////////////////////
Here is a great thread that only talks about Gbp/Usd
Go check it out -

http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=10378

-----------------------------------------------

  #1839   
Feb 2, 2008 9:06pm
auxesis
Laminin
Member Since Apr 2007

  1,002 Posts


Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone !
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1840   
Feb 2, 2008 9:21pm
BRForex
Infractions Overload
Member Since Dec 2006

311 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez
What time frame are you looking for ?
//////////////////////////////////////////////////
Here is a great thread that only talks about Gbp/Usd
Go check it out -

http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=10378

-----------------------------------------------


Hi, i am looking for "Daily" or "H4" chart.

I know this thread about cable.

Thanks.
__________________
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Pips Count: BullTradingGoal = 009 orders; Result= + 140
I love God

  #1841   
Feb 2, 2008 10:09pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by auxesis
Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone !

Uh yea..that would be our primary count that has already been posted :-D.



  #1842   
Feb 2, 2008 10:33pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by auxesis
Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone !


Hey Auxesis..

Nice to see you here again. I was wondering how your Pitchfork analysis fits into the EW analysis now for EURUSD and if you have any on GBPJPY and EURJPY.

EG
__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS



  #1843   
Feb 2, 2008 11:17pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by BRForex
Originally Posted by BRForex
I need "Cycle degree" chart from GBP/USD...

can u share ?

thanks


Are you looking for Long-Term ( Daily Bar) Elliott Wave-count of Gbp/Usd ?

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Not sure what you are asking ......
now it seems you have gone away from here
------------------------------------------------------------------
Anyway ,
I have already posted my 4hr bar wave-count chart of the Gbp/Usd
( See Here )
Scroll down to Post # 1677
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=112
---------------------------------------------------------------
Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 3, 2008 12:35am

  #1844   
Feb 3, 2008 4:15am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts

EUR/JPY
Hi all!!!
Here is two variants for eur/jpy. I prefer the first fariant. So I'll be looking for buy positions enter.
Good luck guys
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1845   
Feb 3, 2008 5:04am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts

Cad/jpy
From all yen pairs, cad/jpy looks the most interesting one, for the present time of course
Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:18 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 3, 2008 5:58am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURJPY
This is my view on the EURJPY

EG
Attached Thumbnails           

   

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


  #1847   
Feb 3, 2008 6:08am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURJPY Alternative Count on 4H - EG
This is my Alternative Count. Although I now think this should be my first count.

EG
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS



  #1848   
Feb 3, 2008 6:25am
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURJPY Higher TF
Monthly and Weekly charts for EURJPY

EG
Attached Thumbnails           



__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:19 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 3, 2008 2:34pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts

About Wave B By Time

Attached Thumbnails   

  #1851   
Feb 3, 2008 2:44pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


http://www.neowave.com/qow-archive.asp Rather interesting site. I hope you'll improve your technic

  #1852   
Feb 3, 2008 2:50pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


There is one more rule: no one part of the wave 3 cannot brake the line 0-2

Best regards:wave:

  #1853   
Feb 3, 2008 3:56pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Serega
http://www.neowave.com/qow-archive.asp Rather interesting site. I hope you'll improve your technic


NEoWave is by Glenn Neely good Elliott Guy

  #1854   
Feb 3, 2008 4:02pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Serega
Hi EG. I hope you won't be angry on me, if i mention several critical mistakes in your first counts (daily eur/jpy) its according time. First of all - 3.2 can't be more in time than 2. And secondly wave B can't be the smallest part by time in the correction.

He's got a really good point.. Thanks Serega. This last wave down on EURJPY will probably end the C wave on daily before we travel up for for another Impulse wave.

Serega, did you buy a subscription to NEoWave?

  #1855   
Feb 3, 2008 4:14pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Serega
Hi EG. I hope you won't be angry on me, if i mention several critical mistakes in your first counts (daily eur/jpy) its according time. First of all - 3.2 can't be more in time than 2. And secondly wave B can't be the smallest part by time in the correction.

Hey Serega.

Thank you for pointing that out.

Definitely, I hold no grudge with you on this one. You are actually helping me out here and maybe the others too.

Thank you again.

EG

After reviewing my notes from last night when I posted those charts, without really knowing about that rule or guideline from NEOwave, I actually had the option at the back of my mind to settle for a wave c for the end of wave 335 which translates to wave 33. That was going to be based on the stochastics as a guide.

It would then make me consider wave 1 and 2 as a and b of a bigger A which is a sub wave of a higher degree wave C for wave 334.

Anyway it is great that you brought that up as, this in the feature will allow me to be a a few steps ahead rather than putting in a wave count that constantly adjusts as it develops.

My style at the moment keeps on having a lot of potential counts which based on the rules that I know are still valid. they get weeded out only when they violate a rule. That guideline you mentioned which I believe is found under Neely's work would help reduce the number of potential counts early in the wave count development.
__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


Last edited by el grande, Feb 3, 2008 6:09pm

  #1856   
Feb 3, 2008 4:16pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


No. There are answers on questions,that can help you. I usually use his book "Mastering Elliott Wave" . Some new principals i took from one man who visited lessons of Nelly

  #1857   
Feb 3, 2008 4:28pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Here information about neutral triangle. Also from Neely
Attached Files
Doc1.doc (37.5 KB, 89 views)


  #1858   
Feb 3, 2008 4:31pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


I suppose that we have neutral triangle on CAD/JPY( the count i posted)

  #1859   
Feb 3, 2008 5:18pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by carforum
Is there any website show the Elliott counting? Please recommed some website which
show the elliott counting, since i want to compare my count between others! I have search
from google, unforunately, there's only few website!


Elliott Wave Chart School
Learn it all right here :

http://elliotwave.net/educational/basictenets.htm


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:20 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 3, 2008 7:57pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by BRForex
I need "Cycle degree" chart from GBP/USD...

can u share ?

thanks

Are you looking for Long-Term ( Daily Bar) Elliott Wave-count of Gbp/Usd ?

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Not sure what you are asking ......

------------------------------------------------------------------
Anyway ,
I have already posted my 4hr bar wave-count chart of the Gbp/Usd
( See Here )
Scroll down to Post # 1677
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=112
---------------------------------------------------------------
  #1862   
Feb 3, 2008 8:23pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Yen ----

Original Post - Post #1836
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=123

Here's is a short -term

CHART UPDATE :
----------------------------------------
(Double click on chart to Enlarge )
Attached Thumbnails      


  #1863   
Feb 3, 2008 8:28pm
BRForex
Infractions Overload
Member Since Dec 2006

311 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez
Are you looking for Long-Term ( Daily Bar) Elliott Wave-count of Gbp/Usd ?

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Not sure what you are asking ......

------------------------------------------------------------------
Anyway ,
I have already posted my 4hr bar wave-count chart of the Gbp/Usd
( See Here )
Scroll down to Post # 1677
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=112
---------------------------------------------------------------


Thanks for your reply.

Nice chart

I am student (starting) about EW.

I am looking now for Grand Supercycle (from 1970 )

((I)) Wave From 1970 <> 1978

((II)) Wave From 1978 <> 1980

((III)) Wave From 1980 <> 1985

((IV)) Wave From 1985 <> 2007 (?)

((V)) Wave From 2007 <> Now...

Remember i trade about TA e FA since 2003, now i will go to EW
Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:21 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 4, 2008 2:21am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts

Cad/jpy
I would like to come back to the chart of CAD/JPY. And to present the alternative count
Attached Thumbnails   

  #1871   
Feb 4, 2008 2:23am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by s3padrian
I have a Russian friend named Serega. He taught me how to say "Hands on hips" in Russian.. In my crappiest RussEnglish: "Rookie Pah Shway?"

lol


Anyways, you'll have to share these pictures with me. The neutral triangle is not in his Mastering Elliott Book.



Give me your email

  #1872   
Feb 4, 2008 3:26am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts

EUR/JPY
Guys, very interesting picture is drawing on EUR/JPY. But its hard to count it. I suppose wave C as terminal. Any ideas?
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1873   
Feb 4, 2008 3:38am
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Yea I'm looking at this. I think you're on to something. My entire internet provider went down tonight for some reason. Their call centers don't even work.

  #1874   
Feb 4, 2008 3:51am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Usd/Cad - looks like UP
Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:22 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 3, 2008 2:34pm
Serega
Member
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162 Posts

About Wave B By Time

Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:23 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 4, 2008 4:24am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


update
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...


  #1878   
Feb 4, 2008 4:30am
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Up movement is starting to look possible now, but let's see how it fairs.

  #1879   
Feb 4, 2008 6:46am
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


gbpusd 4 hour
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...



  #1880   
Feb 4, 2008 8:58am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Cad

Good Morning All...............
- Looking for an End of a Wave 3
------------------------------------------------

Only a Probability !................ Not Cast in Stone !
----------------------------------------------------



  #1881   
Feb 4, 2008 9:10am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


GBP/USD H4. Generally the same count
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1882   
Feb 4, 2008 9:16am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Marketwavez, someone good morning , and for someone good evening. Good day for you too Marketwavez :wave:

  #1883   
Feb 4, 2008 12:39pm
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

gbp usd
helllo serega nice to see you charts again.

I will also work this week a lot on cable, so i watchin it very closely right now.
I realize that we are still in down trend if you look at the daily, but anyway i am prepared to go long, but fir i would like see that price would retrice back up around 618.70% of my previous wave one that i have also labeled it on picture bellow. If will not go down to this level then i will try to jump in after breaking my uper resistnace line connected from highs of wave b and 1...
anyway, i must be REALLY carefull on this one, you never know....

Like to shere pictures with you all on in this threath

This analysis was published on this web site http://www.trading-fx.si/fx/sloanaliza.htm




  #1884   
Feb 4, 2008 2:18pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


:wave: Money:wave:
I should admit, that your variant is rather interesting, and your count should be taken into consodiration.
Thanks for your ideas

  #1885   
Feb 4, 2008 2:53pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


I would like to see a very good short term USDJPY count. Someone told me that we're in the 4th wave or some diagonal..etc.

Show me what you got :-D

  #1886   
Feb 4, 2008 3:08pm
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Serega
:wave: Money:wave:
I should admit, that your variant is rather interesting, and your count should be taken into consodiration.
Thanks for your ideas



Tnx to you, we are here to shared a lot of ideas...
I hope that i didnt miss this entry already, i should pay attention on this wave countig before price bounced from upper trend line.
just waitting for now

  #1887   
Feb 4, 2008 3:22pm
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by s3padrian
I would like to see a very good short term USDJPY count. Someone told me that we're in the 4th wave or some diagonal..etc.

Show me what you got :-D


Hello adrian you talk about USD/JPY, i am also interesting in this one.

Last week I posted this picture bellow, where you can see my wave 1 and 2, and i was waitting for break down to new lows.

previous


I must admit that right now i am a little confused after Fridays news. it seems that we are in some pattern with a-b-c subwaves, so one option is that wa are in 3-3-3-3-3 triangle. but like i meantioned before, i thought that we are in wave 2, but anyway thre are some probilities that we have this triangle in wave 2, but is very small chance to be true. but is possible!!!
i must say that i still believe in new lows in this month.

now


Any yours ideas??


  #1888   
Feb 5, 2008 5:48am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Yen

Wow!............ Success ! ....................

Here's how last week's projection has now turned out

All targets have been reached
----------------------------------------------------------
See Original Post : Post #1862
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=125

Time to go play golf,,,,,,,

---------------------------------
( Double click on chart to enlarge )
Attached Thumbnails         

Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 5, 2008 8:49am

  #1889   
Feb 5, 2008 12:16pm
kevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts


.
Attached Thumbnails   

__________________
It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong

To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!!


It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...



  #1890   
Feb 5, 2008 1:19pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


:wave: Everyone!!!!
Cad/jpy. I have two variants red and blue. According to the red variant terminal finished. If it so, the price should reach the begining of the terminal (101.83) about 25% of time of forming terminal. We can also suppose that today we have 1 wave in a new impuls after terminal. But at the same time the line 2-4 of the termial is not broken yet.
From another side todays high opens the road up
Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:30 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 5, 2008 2:22pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Gbp/jpy. The count with triangle is real unless the price brake 208.81
Attached Thumbnails   

  #1892   
Feb 5, 2008 2:45pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


It's a picture with triangle, where E wave brakes the line 0-C. It looks like that picture that we have on gbp/jpy
Attached Images
02.bmp (888.0 KB, 112 views)


  #1893   
Feb 6, 2008 2:13am
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

books
Quote:
Originally Posted by Serega
It's a picture with triangle, where E wave brakes the line 0-C. It looks like that picture that we have on gbp/jpy

Hello serega, how are you, i just have one question, from where are this pictures, which book?

tnx in advance

  #1894   
Feb 6, 2008 2:29am
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

usd jpy
hello everyone, few days ago i talk about possibilities of the 3-3-3-3-3 triangle in the wave 2, which is very rare. But now it seems that this variant could be true if we look at the picture now, anyway there is stiil to soon to take any advantage of this, maybe with very very small expentations....




  #1895   
Feb 6, 2008 2:52am
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

usd jpy/2nd variant
AND THIS IS ONOTHER VARIANT, i will pay atenttion on price to break level 106,20 with stops above 106,50.




  #1896   
Feb 6, 2008 3:26am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


:wave: everyone!!!!
I forgot, that you have the night at this time... But nevertheles good morning!!! When you will get up

  #1897   
Feb 6, 2008 3:41am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by money
Hello serega, how are you, i just have one question, from where are this pictures, which book?

tnx in advance




The book Glenn Neely "Mastering Elliott Wave".

To my mind here you can find more systematic material about waves. In this book waves + time+ fibo, that can give good results, i think so

  #1898   
Feb 6, 2008 5:13am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


AUD/USD
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1899   
Feb 6, 2008 5:15am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Triangles for aud/usd count
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1900   
Feb 6, 2008 10:11am
ronnimar
Member
Member Since Dec 2006

7 Posts


serega.
maybe if we will take a higher time frame we can see thing clearer ?!
Attached Thumbnails   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:33 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 6, 2008 10:17am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


UPDATE ............TIME

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
---------------------------------------------------------------------
-First trade set up for this week
---------------------------------------------------------------------
The Usd/Yen
-

2nd Target has been met ............Gain+ 57 points today
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Original Post ............... Post #1888
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=125
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

---------------------------------------------------------------------
-Second trade set up for this week
---------------------------------------------------------------------
The Usd/Cad
-

No Target has been met ............Loss- 22 points today
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Original Post ............... Post #1880
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=126
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
-----------------------------------------------------------------

NO HINDSITE , NO OSCILLATORS , NO NEWS , & NO MEETINGS

-----------------------------------------------------------------
It's all in the chart's ...............
Attached Thumbnails      

  #1902   
Feb 6, 2008 10:33pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Hey Sergea.

Take a look at USDJPY. Does it not look like a possible Neutral Triangle or a Diametric? Take a look at it and tell me what you think. I did get your word document!

BTW, the forum is ALMOST UP. I had to fix the attachments so taht people can easily attach their charts and I'm working on implementing the name.


Will update you guys as soon as it becomes available.
Attached Thumbnails   

Last edited by s3padrian, Feb 6, 2008 11:46pm

  #1903   
Feb 7, 2008 2:30am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Hello S3padrian !!!
I suppose such variant. I see neutral triangle in supposial b wave. But wave analysis gives us only probabilities
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1904   
Feb 7, 2008 2:47am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Eur/Usd

Been trying to post but this forum has not been
working properly yesterday all day ........Why ?

---------------------------------------------------------------
Eur/Usd

Probable Wave-count ..........

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone !
------------------------------------------------------------------


  #1905   
Feb 7, 2008 2:52am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Nzd/Usd

Probable Wave -count ..........

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone !


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 07:33 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 7, 2008 3:02am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Cad

Probable Wave -count ..........

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone !

---------------------------------------------------------
( I will update this chart tommorow -) Gotta get some sleep ...
Attached Thumbnails   

  #1907   
Feb 7, 2008 11:52am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


It looks like the variant with neutral triangle on usd/jpy start working .but to say smth is early.

  #1908   
Feb 7, 2008 11:57am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Marketwavez, I think your variant on usd/cad is good, and you'll see profit tomorrow on news of Canada (unemployment change) if it will be bad of course for canadian economic. Otherwise ...

  #1909   
Feb 7, 2008 1:18pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Serega
It looks like the variant with neutral triangle on usd/jpy start working .but to say smth is early.

I think we're right about the Neutral triangle. Especially with today's rally.

My question is if this is C ...what are Neely's predictions of C after a Neutral Triangle?

  #1910   
Feb 7, 2008 1:35pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Hello S3padrian I suppose its C. Going for my profit
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1911   
Feb 7, 2008 1:44pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


http://www.neowave.com/qow/qow-archive-76.asp Quote:
Originally Posted by s3padrian
I think we're right about the Neutral triangle. Especially with today's rally.

My question is if this is C ...what are Neely's predictions of C after a Neutral Triangle?




Here is the answer on your question about the thrust after neutral triangle
http://www.neowave.com/qow/qow-archive-76.asp

  #1912   
Feb 7, 2008 2:06pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Gbp/Jpy

Probable Wave -count ..........

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone !



  #1913   
Feb 7, 2008 2:28pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


We're up!


www.waveace.com

come on in and tell me what you think!

  #1914   
Feb 7, 2008 2:39pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by s3padrian
We're up!


www.waveace.com

come on in and tell me what you think!


Adrian ,

( this can be seen as a promotion for your forum )
----------------------------------------------------------------

The moderators can look at this as if you are breaking the forum rules
in here and in turn give you an infraction .............

So ,
Please don't post this link anymore .......
I for one enjoy and appreciate your posts - and wouldn't want to see you go
------------------------------------------------------------------
Just Post your thouhgts in here : or start a thread of your own
You will get feedback ,.....We will respond to you ....
Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 8, 2008 1:25am

  #1915   
Feb 7, 2008 2:41pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Its my variant of GBP/JPY. Are we are going up, Marketwavez?
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1916   
Feb 7, 2008 3:09pm
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


so we should be looking to short USDJPY soon/now?

  #1917   
Feb 7, 2008 3:27pm
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Eur/Usd/

Wow!............ Success ! ....................

Here's how Yesterday's projection has now turned out

Both targets have been reached
----------------------------------------------------------
See Original Post : Post #1905
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=127

Time to go play golf,,,,,,,

---------------------------------
( Double click on chart to enlarge )
Attached Thumbnails         


  #1918   
Feb 7, 2008 3:46pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Congratulations Marketwavez I see you have good days. Good luck

  #1919   
Feb 8, 2008 2:17am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Thanx alot for that ...........

------------------------------------
Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 8, 2008 2:45am

  #1920   
Feb 8, 2008 2:33am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


This is an open Forum :
- a place to see what others are thinking .......
( otherwise you shouldn't be in here )

-Forums like these are just a place to exchange thoughts and Ideas
----------------------------------------------------------------------
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
These charts are put here to give a visual premise :
- So you see what is being talked about visually ,........
-------------------------------------------------------------
All wave-counts are to be respected in here
If you don't agree,,,,,,,,,,,,That's Ok

- Just post your charts and state your case !

-----------------------------------------------------------
Time will then tell all .................
.

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 15:39 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 8, 2008 2:42am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez
Usd/Cad

Probable Wave -count ..........

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone !

---------------------------------------------------------
( I will update this chart tomorrow -) Gotta get some sleep ...


This is the update to the Usd/Cad as promised .....
( See Original chart posted just above )

Now Looking for Price Action to push toward an " End of Wave 5 "

//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 8, 2008 2:54am
  #1922   
Feb 8, 2008 7:42am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/ Cad

UPDATE TIME :
----------------------------------------------------
Oops ! ...................
Somethings in the News must have just caused this movement !

///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////


  #1923   
Feb 8, 2008 10:12am
marketwavez
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2006

  768 Posts


Usd/Cad - News Article
--------------------------------


  #1924   
Feb 10, 2008 9:25am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


:wave: everybody!!!!
Eur/gbp. Two variants red and black. It is not forecast, it is possible variants of movement of the pair in future. I stands on that pair will go up to 0.77
Good luck
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1925   
Feb 10, 2008 9:41am
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Just possible variant
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1926   
Feb 11, 2008 10:42am
s3padrian
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

373 Posts


Looks like the Neutral Triangle is holding up, but that (c) just doesn't cut it for me. I'm still shorting highs though.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-11 15:39 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 11, 2008 2:45pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


GBP/USD 15 MIN. The dreams of my mind

Good luck guys
Attached Thumbnails   

  #1929   
Feb 12, 2008 12:29pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Gbp 30 min. Update. Cable reached the first target.
Tomorrow inflation report and it should be taken into consideration!!!!!
Besides core cpi USA.
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1930   
Feb 12, 2008 12:56pm
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Serega
Gbp 30 min. Update. Cable reached the first target.
Tomorrow inflation report and it should be taken into consideration!!!!!
Besides core cpi USA.


Hello serega, it looks like the counting that we talk about last week is finnaly confirmed. many pips

  #1931   
Feb 12, 2008 3:32pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by money
Hello serega, it looks like the counting that we talk about last week is finnaly confirmed. many pips

I hope you are also satisfied

  #1932   
Feb 12, 2008 3:48pm
money
Multiple Usernames
Member Since Jul 2007

  106 Posts

gbp_usd
yes, i am very stasifite
I really hope for higher and higher up trend, we are very closely on counting here. just samll differences...

anyway here is my picture.




  #1933   
Feb 12, 2008 4:21pm
Serega
Member
Member Since Jun 2007

162 Posts


money i supose that todays low - is the zero point for impuls up. I have another variant, that today we had the 1 wave and tomorrow we may expect 3 wave, because i like to combine news with impulses, so inflation report can be a good reason for 3 wave.

Besides I was looking through gbp/aud, and it seems to me it also is looking up

  #1934   
Feb 12, 2008 5:23pm
el grande
Latagaw FOREX_ EWA
Member Since Nov 2006

  1,793 Posts

EURUSD
2 views on the EURUSD

Candlestick chart shows the anomalies in a triangle on the 4th wave.

But the line chart shows a set of fitting trendlines to visualize a triangle.

3 targets proposed

based on the triangle height
start from the wave "e" end TP@ 1.5042
start at breakout from triangle TP @ 1.5364

If we use the FIB Extention Tool to Project based on the Guideline of Extention..... TP @ FE 61.8 @ 1.5497

If Based on the Guideline of Equality TP range is almost same as the Height of the triangle.

EG

PS.

Thank you to everyone who kept posting their EW charts here.
Attached Thumbnails         

__________________
EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS


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