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发表于 2009-3-21 10:16
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Sunday, December 10, 2006SanDisk Corporation (Public, NASDAQ:SNDK) Revisited

Last week I posted a bearish flag alert for SNDK. I was day early on the call. In fact the morning after I posted my alert, SNDK gapped up invalidating the setup. However, by the following afternoon SNDK had succumbed to the weakness inherent in the setup and we realized that the previous day's rally was a dead cat bounce. The picture above is the 15 minute timeframe of last week's price action.
Where to next? Since this is third test of the $44.50 support zone, I have to assume that the test failed and we go lower. The first area of support is the recent lows at $43.25. Looking at the daily timeframe below, the near term target is a gap fill at $40.28, but in between those two levels we have another support are around $41.75.
In summary, SNDK is in a bearish trend. Two things need to happen on the daily timeframe in order for the bulls to take interest in the stock again: it needs to catch and hold its 20 day MA; and the RSI has to work its way back up to 50 and hang on that level.
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Posted by Jamie at 12/10/2006 10:23:00 AM 7 comments
Labels: Bearish_Flag, Support_Resistance
Friday, December 08, 2006Dummy Trade of the Day - NVE Corporation (Public, NASDAQ:NVEC)
Only one trade today as I had to leave the office at 2:00 EST. We had a weak open, but shortly after 10:00 things turned around. NVEC was a potential NR7 going into the session so I watched it closely. After a shaky open, it managed to hold yesterday's low as support in the early going. By 10:30 it looked well positioned to make a move higher so I took a low risk entry as soon as the 5th bar took out the fourth bar high. NVEC rallied nicely from $38.00 to $39.00 and then began to consolidate. After the ninth bar, I tightened my stop. By accident, I typed in $38.94 instead of $38.84. The stop out would have been inevitable either way. Once the consolidation started to narrow, I re-entered long just above $39.00 and took my exit at 1:30 just above $39.50.
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Posted by Jamie at 12/08/2006 07:21:00 PM 4 comments
Labels: Dummy, NR7
Pre-Market - Friday December 8th
This is not my trading watchlist. This is simply a list of stocks that showed some nice movement in the previous session. Bullish movers: AKAM, CCJ, QID, Crude, SLV, $STQ, $VIX (Key movement: people getting worried), MTG, PMI. Bearish movers: CMG, TDW, BUCY, TEX, XBH (Homebuilders), SNDK, SMH (so, semis in general), AAPL, RIMM, RACK, BIDU, CTSH, ANDE, CELG, VRTX, AMLN, GILD, GENZ, LEND, BSC, GS, NDAQ. Note: This is not meant to be a comprehensive list of all stocks that meet these qualifications. It is simply those which I have noticed and which caught my eye as I begin to put together my trading watchlist. -- ChartTrader @ Briefing Trader
My notes:
Jobs data seems to reinforce the soft landing theory which could be good for equities.
Potential NR7 NVEC
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Posted by Jamie at 12/08/2006 08:01:00 AM 0 comments
Thursday, December 07, 2006NASDAQ Technical Picture - Profit Taking Ahead of Jobs Data
We gapped up on the open and it was downhill from there. The SOX opened with a multi-month high and proceeded to carve out a bearish engulfing bar for the day. All tech sectors were weak ahead of tomorrow's much anticipated jobs data. Trying to determine how the markets will digest jobs data is always tricky. For some interesting insights on this topic check out Yaser Anwar's Investment Ideas
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Posted by Jamie at 12/07/2006 11:25:00 PM 0 comments
Labels: Bearish Engulfing, NASDAQ, SOX
Dummy Trade of the Day - Techwell, Inc. (Public, NASDAQ:TWLL)
TWLL was another potential NR7 play that I posted this morning. As I mentioned, it is not very liquid and so not for everyone's taste. After a quick lift on the open, it chopped around a bit before heading back up towards resistance. At resistance, it traded sideways for a long time until the rising 10 period EMA caught up. This presented a low risk dummy entry on a break of Monday's high. Lots of slippage on the entry, but it moved very nicely after that. In order to avoid slippage on the exit, I let it go when it appeared to be carving out a lower high.
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Posted by Jamie at 12/07/2006 08:06:00 PM 0 comments
Labels: Dummy, Gapper, NR7
Trade of the Day - Research In Motion NASDAQ (RIMM)
RIMM was set to crater from two downgrades this morning. Yesterday's NR7 bar hinted that the expansion would be quick. There was no low risk entry off of the OR, so I decided to scale into the position starting with 100 shares on a break of the OR low. This is a pricey stock and errors can be costly, hence the scaling in tactic. When price showed me that it was not going back to test $132, I added another 100 shares and when price took out the second bar low, I added another 100 shares. My target was $130 because round numbers tend to have strong psychological meaning for support and resistance. My original stop was $1.00. By the time price broke $131, I tightened the stop to $132.
Trader X pointed out that a low risk dummy entry could have been taken on a break of the 10th bar low. Notice how bars 8-10 all had highs of $131.15 reinforcing this as a strong resistance level.
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Posted by Jamie at 12/07/2006 07:41:00 PM 3 comments
Labels: Dummy, Gapper, NR7
Pre-Market
Looking at potential NR7 setups this morning RIMM (downgraded at Morgan Keegan) and TWLL (not very liquid).
Running late so that's it for this morning.
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Posted by Jamie at 12/07/2006 08:59:00 AM 3 comments
Labels: NR7
Wednesday, December 06, 2006NASDAQ Technical Picture - More of the Same NR Chop
Yesterday and today were NR days with lots of fakeouts and failures. I'm cautious about trading just one timeframe under these circumstances, so I'm keeping a wide range view of the 60 minute timeframe as well as the 15 minute on my screen at all times.
Today was a mixed bag for tech with no big winners or losers. Expect more of the same chop until Friday's jobs data. Initial Claims tomorrow at 8:30.
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Posted by Jamie at 12/06/2006 09:31:00 PM 2 comments
Labels: NASDAQ, NRB
highchartpatterns - 2 for 2
Last night the guys at highchartpatterns posted two freebies on their weblog - UARM and NTRI. They were 2 for 2. Nice work! Tonight they talk about timeframes.
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Posted by Jamie at 12/06/2006 08:47:00 PM 0 comments
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