一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

The weak PPI data appears to be setting the stage for a drop in UK CPI, due to be released on Tuesday. While the BOE has remained relatively hawkish, a reading in line with expectations (-0.2% MoM, 2.3% YoY) would cut back speculation of a rate hike in September. Nevertheless, markets are still looking for a hike before the first quarter of 2008, and depending upon how CPI fares in coming months, it will likely occur in November or December.

That said, I see a lot of fundamental support for drop in GBPUSD to the 2.00 level, especially upon a break of short-term trendline support (see 4hr chart - currently just below 2.01)Attached Images






At this point, I think any bounces we see will be short lived. While we may see a few days of consolidation at these levels (1.9960-2.0050), a break below trendline support will likely ensue.
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hefeiddd

Who says corrections are tough to trade

hefeiddd

Range setup, Slow & Low!
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hefeiddd

do not rush, always wait!
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hefeiddd

hefeiddd

chart update from previous post.
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hefeiddd

Watch out for a reversal in Cable in the 2.0153-2.0271 zone. This is the 50%-61.8% of 2.0654-1.9651. The 161.8% extension of the prior advance is in the middle of this zone at 2.0204.
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hefeiddd

GBPUSD
A pair broke through the top border of daily descending trend, that now opens a road for growth to the strategic aim 2.0401. A rally to this aim assumes a local aim 2.0306, and if it shows resistance, then support level will be found at 2.0117. From that level pair will go up to the strategic purpose 2.0401.

There is the second variant of events development as well:
There is a resistance level at 2.0145, if pair doesn’t pass through it, support level will be found at 2.0029. From that level events will develop on the first scenario.
Growth is also possible straight to 2.0401.
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Trade recommendation:
to buy at 2.0029 with target on 2.0401, if pair finds resistance on 2.0145;
to buy at 2.0117 with target on 2.0401, if pair finds resistance on 2.0306.
to buy at 2.0029 with target on 2.0401.

hefeiddd

Dear John and all,

Checking my 4hours chart, at this point of time (Aug 29th/9:30GMT), certainly looks like the spot wants to stay into the rising daily channel and rising 4hours channel. 1.9980 looks good support. Long above 4hours SMA20? Potential 2.0-2.02 range?

If pair is back above weekly SMA20 (2.0028) I see reversal in place and potential test of 0270. Below 2.0 my outlook still bearish.

A.

11:00 GMT
Update. I got my daily quota: +35pips. Long @0100, Pft bkd 0135. Good Luck to you!Attached Images

hefeiddd

Pound Bullishness...till rates decision !! Well guyz ,entered a long on Pound @0150 , Pound and Euro Bullishness are INEVITABLE , especially the upcoming couple of weeks , Interest rate decisions are the key to all traders right now , SO GO WITH THE MARKET , However DOUBTS ALWAYS come in the week that preceed interest rate decision to re-ask ourselves , would the Feds keep interest rates or a CUT is on the move , So volatility will be outstanding , with range trading and hedging strategies to rule , For me it doesn't matter , I am in a Bullish stance for the Pound till rates decision . GOOD LUCK

hefeiddd

median line analysis
as refer to the last week post here is the followup chart.

resveral zone activated ?
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hefeiddd

price moving down from the reverse zone as compare to last week
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hefeiddd

GBPUSD: Sept 3-7, 2007.
This week BoE & ECB will play their cards. Our outlook still bullish, but looking for a potential range. Buy dips is the best strategy, but go short if possible for you.

Pair is still inside in a daily/4 hours rising channel, supporting our bullish outlook, but a RSI negative divergence in 4 hour channel, forming a triangle, shows a lack of momentum to go up.

If breaks 0270, 0400 is the target. If breaks below 2.0, 1.9850 is the target.

Adrian
http://my-fx-journal.blogspot.com/
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trading my 2.0270-2.00 range
Hi all,

I am still trading my 2.0270-2.00 range. Yesterday I was long @ 0047. Why? Weekly/Daily MA20 at 0035/43 and hourly/15 min studies extremely oversold... and I just was following the major trend... I got some pips before get home!
For the rest of the week I am still in the same range. I see the top somewhere in 0275-0300 zone... so, I will be bearish if failure around there, or a break below 2.0.
Yes, I know, the LT trend is bullish... and Central Banks are playing their cards... I see a potential trading range until Bernanke shows his cards...
Of course, a consolidated break above 0275 could push spot to 2.05... but it seems -at this point of time- a lack of momentum for that... (Everything is possible in this market!)
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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-14 08:56 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

GBPUSD

Trade signals:
Sell 2.0131, stop 2.0205, target 2.0020

hefeiddd

gbp/usd
hi
i think that target gbp/usd is until 2.0390
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hefeiddd

04:15 GMT
I would like to share with you my 4- chart. I see a rising price trend but a downtrend channel in the RSI. That tell you something?Attached Images

hefeiddd

gbp/ usd down trnd .to 1.9960



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hefeiddd

gbp/usd down trand . to 1.9960



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hefeiddd

gbp/usd
gbp/usd down trand to 1.9960
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hefeiddd

gbp/yen is flying
hi all gbp/yen is up with 300 or even 700 p t1 237 t2 240
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