一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

Gbpjpy Hourly Chart
I'm not sure we're going to see price retrace as I thought it may a little earlier.... The down trend line was broken yesterday on the daily chart... Looking at the hourly chart .. The 20 day SMA is coming right up under price and will probably support it... if not send it higher...
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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-9 06:17 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

Throwing this out as a possibility. Not sure if my wave 1 is valid this way though.
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Here is what I have come up with for the GBP/JPY and it also fits with Brads count from last night with the rise up. I believe we would be coming into a wave 4 and then a 5 that would take us up to around the April 4 high of 205.12. It could possibly go a bit further but I believe it may stay below the 61.8% fib line of the Feb 26 - Mar 16 decline. Lets see how far off I am.
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hefeiddd

GBPUSD M5 count update from earlier today.Attached Thumbnails  

hefeiddd

USDCHF M5 update from yesterday ... correction not over ... wave 5 of C currently underway.Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

This is the H1 GBPUSD count I am following ... don't know if it's correct, but the count being correct doesn't matter much as long as we can predict the next short term move and use proper R/R to trade it in case we're wrong.

I think we are both agreeing that the next short term move is down ... however, you might want to confirm it before setting up your trade.

Care to comment???Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

USD/CAD update ... final leg of wave 4 underway. 1.0164 is key level, the count is not valid if this level is violated. Nice short window of opportunity (WOO) with stop behind 1.0164 ... wating for trade to meet risk management to short the pair.Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

This is my count but i confuse about the wave 3 just have 3 mono wave and the internal relationship Fibo not good. Do u agree with me? Any comment welcome.
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hefeiddd

Hi see my count below!

Regards

RayAttached Images

hefeiddd

Eur
Hi guys i thought that i might put this out. Below is the EURGBP chart H1

We have a break of a trend line at the moment a hourly close below there to set shorts. I dont have a very good count on it at the moment.

I wonder if Jimbo or Justy if you guys have one.

Thanks

Ray
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hefeiddd

cable
Here's a view if your hearts really bullish on cable. H4 chart.

regards

Ray
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hefeiddd

EUR/GBP Waves
Hi Brad/Mike/justy/jimbo/ or anyone else,

Could you take a look at the weekly chart and count on EURGBP and give me your views.

Thanks

Ray
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hefeiddd

Usdjpy
An update from yesterday!

Time to go long?

Ray
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hefeiddd

M15 count ... four more waves to go!! Currenlty wave 2 of 4 underway.

Anyone else following this pair care to comment?Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

I have 2 charts this morning:

EUR/USD
USD/CHF

There is till one chance that AT's counts are alive. We have to stop right here on both of these pairs. If the EUR can hold the ascending triangle here we may have one more rally to another high to finish the pattern. Also in the Swiss the triangle has throw over and is not completely dead yet. If it can stop here and start lower it may make one more desperate move lower before a huge USD rally. Conversely, if the move continues in the present direction I would guess that both of those scenarios (lower $) are dead.
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hefeiddd

GBPJPY Update
Update on GbpJpy.. Still holding long from 200.75 , Stops now protecting profits... Almost at the first target... Price has rallied up nicely the last few days .. Probably see the first target hit by later today or Monday...
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GBPJPY --- Here's what I've got for a count on the 4 hour chart so far ...
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hefeiddd

Morning Ray... My first TARGET is at 209.50 ... The second TARGET is at 221.78 Attached Thumbnails  

  

hefeiddd

Eurjpy Hi all ,

I post the eurjpy daily and weekly chart.on weely based, I see a diagnal, if that is true, we will see the down leg e and this pair will thurst like GBPJPY.

As for the daily, I guess we are in wave 3, maybe that will be a impulsive wave, I am not sure..

GBP JPY starts to take off, so I think maybe I should chane my view on EURJPY. but not sure my count is right.
If you don't mind, please correct me if any mistake happened.

thanks a lot

Chakow
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GBPCHF short opportunity
Hi All,

I post a GBPCHF h1 chart, it seems wave3( or A) has comleted,
Look for go short now forwave iv, target, 2.01 around, any view about that?



many thanks!


chakiw
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hefeiddd

Aud/usd
Hi Guys,

Five waves down can be counted on the short term charts in AUD/USD. The 50.0% fibo and the previous fourth wave of one lessor degree line up together at .09332. If price can get up to that level, a short trade with stops above the highs at 0.9394 should offer a good setup.
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Going Down?
That was quick. An A-B-C correction has rallied up to the 50.0% fibo of the previous decline. Also, I don't know if this is important, but wave 'C' extended to the 161.8% extension of wave 'A.' ...Just FYI.
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hefeiddd

Gbp/aud
The GBP/AUD may be setting up for a nice little rally. On the daily chart, the decline can be counted in five waves and is in the form of a diagonal. The fifth wave can be viewed as a truncated wave. There is not enough price action prior to this diagonal to know wether it's a leading or an ending diagonal. But, as we have all just seen in GBP/USD, thrusts from diagonals are often swift and deep. Looking to the 60 minute chart in GBP/AUD, a breakout may be setting up. There are five waves to the upside so we can expect at least one more rally after a correction. Wether this next rally would be wave '3' or wave 'C,' I don't know. At a minimum, the 100% extension would give a rally of ~580 points.

Support should be strong in the 2.1314 - 2.1177 zone, which is the 38.2% - 61.8% fibo and area of previous fourth wave of one lessor degree. I'm looking to go long there with stops at the lows which are at 2.0955. You can obviously see that's a 300 point stop, so sound money management comes into play here. It may be a good idea to reduce position size in the beginning of the trade.
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hefeiddd

Sure

Here it is:Attached Thumbnails