hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-11 19:45

Aug 18, 2008 10:25pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hmm i prefer somt like that



Thanks for the chart and correcting my wc.

Still in right side of the trade. I changed my tp to .8700 for wave E.
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 19, 2008 5:38am
Wilko
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Thanks for the chart and correcting my wc.

Still in right side of the trade. I changed my tp to .8700 for wave E.


Good call. I have gone long on the wave E also for a few pips.
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#168   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 19, 2008 6:16am
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Kiwi setup does works so far
closed short for 72+ pips
and went long from 7050 as plan says.
target at least double top target could extend to 7270
Lets see wht is going to happen at 7180
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#169   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 19, 2008 6:31am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Kiwi setup does works so far
closed short for 72+ pips
and went long from 7050 as plan says.
target at least double top target could extend to 7270
Lets see wht is going to happen at 7180

Hi! 5ysfx,
Sorry to interrupt, can you teach me how to put up a chart just like yours in a thread reply ?

Thank you, regards,
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#170   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 19, 2008 6:38am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Billionaire http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi! 5ysfx,
Sorry to interrupt, can you teach me how to put up a chart just like yours in a thread reply ?

Thank you, regards,

Thats easy just click on paperclip button near emoticon and u will figure out the rest http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
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#171   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 19, 2008 6:46am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar73675_4.gifBillionaire
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Thats easy just click on paperclip button near emoticon and u will figure out the rest http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif

Oh! Yes! I got it, how come I checked on every button except the paperclip! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif

Thank you, Sir.
Have a nice day!http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/rockon.gif
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Wilko
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Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Thanks for the chart and correcting my wc.

Still in right side of the trade. I changed my tp to .8700 for wave E.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilko http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Good call. I have gone long on the wave E also for a few pips.


Turned out well and got my pips ... Thanks for posting this one.
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#173   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 19, 2008 3:59pm
Wilko
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif AUD/USD
If wave 4 has finished (Not sure yet) then wave 5 could hit 0.8465
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#174   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 20, 2008 12:18am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Kiwi setup does works so far
closed short for 72+ pips
and went long from 7050 as plan says.
target at least double top target could extend to 7270
Lets see wht is going to happen at 7180

closed long for 97+ pips and went short at .7149
as wave C target will be at .7103
as wave 3 could be much lower.

.71 is a key now
EDIT

TP hit booked +46 and went long at .7095 TP around .7250-0.73

Setup is still valid Bluebottle ur prevoius aussie view should be fine.
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 20, 2008 7:17am Reason: to avoid spaming the board
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#175   
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Quick question aren't WolfeWaves the same thing as Elliot Waves?????
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#176   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 20, 2008 10:54am
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EurUsd pair.


I am targeting wave C.
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#177   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 21, 2008 2:06am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif usd chf
hello

star wave 4:3
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#178   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 21, 2008 7:03am
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hello
gold m15
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:24

Aug 22, 2008 7:32am
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Gold is definately in wave C...the blue count shows a possibility,..but the red count is the alternative which seem to be more convincing...so maybe we should see lower levels in gold in the coming days which would complete wave 5 of wave C...currently we are in wave 4 of wave C
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 7:53am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kevmcfoster http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Gold is definately in wave C...the blue count shows a possibility,..but the red count is the alternative which seem to be more convincing...so maybe we should see lower levels in gold in the coming days which would complete wave 5 of wave C...currently we are in wave 4 of wave C

welcome!!

good chart.
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#184   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 8:32am
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EurUsd Chart at H4 tf.

Once wave 4 ended, i believe it probably go more lower..but wave 4 ending is not yet confirmed..
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Last edited by Blue bottle, Aug 22, 2008 9:02am
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#185   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 8:40am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USDJPY
hi all,

USDJPY chart at weekly tf.

anyone please confirm the end of w4?http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif

...
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#186   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 9:06am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,

USDJPY chart at weekly tf.

anyone please confirm the end of w4?http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif

...


IMO not yet could easly go above 112 112.75 = 23.1 fibo level
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#187   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 9:39am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,

USDJPY chart at weekly tf.

anyone please confirm the end of w4?http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif

...

I doubt that's a Wave 3 you have on your chart. If you try to subdivide W3 you'll see that it's w4 overlaps into w1 teritory. The whole move down looks like a corrective move to me. And the bull move that started in March is also corrective.
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#188   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 9:41am
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Even more w3 of W3 is the shortest. There's no way that's a wave 3.
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#189   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 10:06am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Even more w3 of W3 is the shortest. There's no way that's a wave 3.


u have a point...

can i request for ur chart on usdjpy?

Welcome here and thanks a lot for joining us.
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#190   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 10:15am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
u have a point...

can i request for ur chart on usdjpy?

Welcome here and thanks a lot for joining us.

Sure, the move down I have it as . I didn't bother to subdivide as it is past now... But it is clearly a complex corrective move, 7 overlapping waves down.

The move up, , again overlapping so corrective, as expected after all. I think there still is steam to the upside before completing the wave but we are near the end of the correction in both time and price. If the current top is not the final top then I look for 113.3 - a big confluence here.
In terms of time I have August 26 or September 14 as the end of wave. These dates are not final meaning that the wave can finish whenever it wants but if the pattern of the wave, price and time coincide then the chance of a reversal is very very high.
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#191   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 10:33am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Sure, the move down I have it as . I didn't bother to subdivide as it is past now... But it is clearly a complex corrective move, 7 overlapping waves down.

The move up, , again overlapping so corrective, as expected after all. I think there still is steam to the upside before completing the wave but we are near the end of the correction in both time and price. If the current top is not the final top then I look for 113.3 - a big confluence here.
In terms of time I have August 26 or September 14 as the end of wave. These dates are not final meaning that the wave can finish whenever it wants but if the pattern of the wave, price and time coincide then the chance of a reversal is very very high.


Very impressive,

just curious, how did get the time as august 26 or sep 14?http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif
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#192   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 10:39am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Very impressive,

just curious, how did get the time as august 26 or sep 14?http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif

Derived out of particular Gann cycles that usdjpy vibrates in.
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#193   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 7:11pm
doji
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Derived out of particular Gann cycles that usdjpy vibrates in.

Hi, is there an MT4 indicator for Gann cycles? If so, can you point me to it?

I've long been looking for such a tool that I can use alongside EW for my trading.

Thanks in advance.
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#194   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 22, 2008 11:48pm
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GJ have completed the wave 4. So where how far the wave 5 is heading???

Note : THe chart is captured by l16Aug08, so, there should be one mroe candle. I juz lazy to open my mt4 and capture the chart image again. SOrry ..
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#195   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 23, 2008 4:09am
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kiwi forecast
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:25

Aug 24, 2008 1:12am
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hi all,

EurChf chart in daily and hourly time frame..

I expecting it to go 1.58 range..

Pls correct me if anything not right..
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #204   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 2:33am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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I have 2 possible count at this point for EurUsd pair.

Red & blue color abc waves.. confused which one is correct..

pls advice..
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#205   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 2:53am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
kiwi forecast


Good chart,http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

For me, kiwii now bec0me hard and confusing to count waves.. so no charts..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif, anyway learning from ur charts..
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#206   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 3:19am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Good chart,http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

For me, kiwii now bec0me hard and confusing to count waves.. so no charts..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif, anyway learning from ur charts..

I am glad that my chart could be usefull for some1 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,

EurChf chart in daily and hourly time frame..

I expecting it to go 1.58 range..

Pls correct me if anything not right..

im not 99% sure of this scenario but 75% could be http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif

gru24 mean december 24th

I will start to short near 164 from aprox 14th of september .

personally prefer second chart http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 24, 2008 4:06am
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#207   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 10:02am
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Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,

EurChf chart in daily and hourly time frame..

I expecting it to go 1.58 range..

Pls correct me if anything not right..

That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

P.S. Will open a thread about cycles later today.
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#208   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 10:13am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

P.S. Will open a thread about cycles later today.


Thanks soso for the chart.

now i am more confident about the setup.
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#209   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 11:14am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

P.S. Will open a thread about cycles later today.

Why do u think that eur/chf goin to drop from this level ?

Becuase from my point of view price is very bullish at 3H and daily chart.
Momentum and stochastic is positive and we have 10 bullish candles in a row(3H). and 3 in row at daily.
Price gonna accelerate more b4 major drop IMO.
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:29

Aug 24, 2008 1:39pm
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hi all,

my cable chart.. 30mins tf

..
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #214   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 1:51pm
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Here's my GU, but it doesn't use EW, wish I didn't considered as posting irrelevant subject in EW thread. Wish to help out a bit only
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#215   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 2:07pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,

my cable chart.. 30mins tf

..

very good chart bro and very probable scenario http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
but i doubt will it breach 186 according to momentum ;(
Strong resistance there.
pls have look at chart


Quote:
Originally Posted by mphpopular http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Here's my GU, but it doesn't use EW, wish I didn't considered as posting irrelevant subject in EW thread. Wish to help out a bit only


I dont trade cable lately but mostly agree with ur view.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
I believe that b4 it bounce higher first must drop a little more.
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 24, 2008 2:25pm Reason: added second chart
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#216   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 4:13pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Why do u think that eur/chf goin to drop from this level ?
Becuase from my point of view price is very bullish at 3H and daily chart.

There was a debate on another EW forum regarding this, I'll stick to my count for now the main reason is because the last rally on Daily was corrective in nature (see chart) meaning that it wasn't an impulse therefore lower prices are a high probability.
On the other hand the main count on Daily is bullish impulsive imo, but as I said I expect more correction/consolidation before going up again. I could be proved wrong, no problem I'll re-count my waves then.

This is the roadmap, trading is a completely diffrent issue, that's why you'll see many EW analysis chaning minds very often in the same time they are not trading but trying to "feel" the waves until they have a setup to position on the most probable scenario.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Momentum and stochastic is positive and we have 10 bullish candles in a row(3H). and 3 in row at daily.
Price gonna accelerate more b4 major drop IMO.

I don't follow indicators, they can be as overbought as they want to be and I'll not change my mind http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
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#217   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 4:15pm
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By the way 5ysfx, I beliebe your 1...5 counts from your Daily chart are not EW impulse waves right? Cause they sure aren't.
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#218   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 9:25pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
By the way 5ysfx, I beliebe your 1...5 counts from your Daily chart are not EW impulse waves right? Cause they sure aren't.


So tell me what is wrong below ?
This is a a eur/chf chart TF quarterly period 30 years.
Feel free to correct me http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#219   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 10:55pm
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UsdChf chart at H4
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#220   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 11:03pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdChf chart at H4

UsdChf in Daily chart..
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#221   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 24, 2008 11:55pm
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could it be ?
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#222   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 12:32am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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how abt this setup.. UsdJpy
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:30

Aug 25, 2008 1:02am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EUR/USD looks like it has a top in for wave (IV), and is finishing the last dozen pips on impulse wave 1 or (V) ending around 1.4690 - 95

May take a long on the correction up, with a target 2 at 1.4790, target 1 is to bank some quick profits, and let the second half go.

EurUsd chart..
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 1:41am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
good r/r worth to try small amount http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif


I SHORT from 110.11, with SL at 110.70.

Now 10 pips in green.
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#228   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 2:25am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
So tell me what is wrong below ?
This is a a eur/chf chart TF quarterly period 30 years.
Feel free to correct me http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

I have no idea what is the count on this large timeframes, although the abc looks alright from my pov...
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#229   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 2:32am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USDCAD
Here's another pair that looks good. LONG opportunity if prices reaches the 50%-62% retracement area of a of .
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#230   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 2:50am
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eur usd 15m
end wave 3
enter wave 4 =23-38%
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#231   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 3:12am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I have no idea what is the count on this large timeframes, although the abc looks alright from my pov...

If u have no idea y do u question my count then ?
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#232   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 3:22am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
If u have no idea y do u question my count then ?

I was (and still am) confused by the count in this snag http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...6&d=1219590778 not your 30-ish year count. Your blue 1....5 isn't an impulse but is noted like that and since we're in an EW thread I questioned if that is really a count or something not EW related.
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#233   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 3:27am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I was (and still am) confused by the count in this snag http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...6&d=1219590778 not your 30-ish year count. Your blue 1....5 isn't an impulse but is noted like that and since we're in an EW thread I questioned if that is really a count or something not EW related.

yeah u ur probably right this count should be abcde but i dont care about history only future if u know what i mean.
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#234   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 3:31am
Wilko
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Cable
Wave 5 looks complete as it is the same height as wave 1.
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#235   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 3:31am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURUSD
On H4 I think we started the last wave down. First target is 1.4525 and the second 1.4352.
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#236   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 3:34am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
yeah u ur probably right this count should be abcde but i dont care about history only future if u know what i mean.

Yeah history counts are mostly useless, suffice to know if it is a correction or impulse.
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#237   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 3:51am
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Zoom in USDCAD. I think the 5 of (c) is iminent to complet the Daily b wave down (see previous post with Daily).
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#238   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 4:02am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Yeah history counts are mostly useless, suffice to know if it is a correction or impulse.

I have one question/ask to u because i see that u can help me http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
How do u count waves in sideways trend there are no correction nor impulse waves.

btw we ride in diff direction http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
meanwhile i shorted kiwi for a few because i see inverted h&s at 15 min chart is forming http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif


added

blueb im with u mate i just shorted uj at 110.01 and long kiwi again lets ride 3rd wave i believe http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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Last edited by 5ysfx, Aug 25, 2008 4:21am
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#239   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 4:51am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Zoom in USDCAD. I think the 5 of (c) is iminent to complet the Daily b wave down (see previous post with Daily).


I agree with you,

Setup looks good for shorting..

Going short from 1.0484.
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:32

Aug 25, 2008 5:19am
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USDJPY, a bit of zoom in on H1. It looks like an expanding triangle although it could be a flat too and go down to ~109.50 before doing another high. If it does the high tomorrow (26 August) then expect a strong top.
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 5:27am
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Continuing http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=207.
Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
That's what I am expecting too! The break of the H4 trendline would confirm the beginning of the wave down imo.

The top is in place, for now. We still need to have the TL broken before loading shorts. I'll look to short on the break of 1.6170.
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#244   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 5:42am
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basically this is what see.
EW combined with some other stuff. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
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#245   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 9:45am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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anyone with this trade?
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#246   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 12:19pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Cable..
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#247   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 8:52pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Cable..


Cable Update
..
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#248   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 25, 2008 8:59pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
anyone with this trade?

AudUsd pair update..

Closed my trade with 70pips in profit..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#249   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 12:41am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurChf..
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#250   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 3:22am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Hi all Elliott traders,

I have a questions,

Which wave do you guys trade for better win ratio?http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif

My mentor always say wave C is the best and easy picking.
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#251   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 3:35am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EurChf..


Update..

I was lucky to get out with profit here..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=142857&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219736083   

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#252   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 3:39am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I agree with you,

Setup looks good for shorting..

Going short from 1.0484.


Failed here..

Hit my SL with -40 pips..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=142858&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219736379   

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#253   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 3:50am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/dollar.gif Wave 3 down for Euro/usd
EUR/USD appears to have favored the downside completion of wave (V). A top may be in on w.(IV) at 1.4907, and w.1 down did turn higher last night at 1.4695 as predicted for 100 pip move up to put in w.2 top. Today brought a nice impulsive w.i of 3 down that completed at 1.4670 with a clear 5 wave movement, to help see the trend looks down.

I am watching for an entry with the trend, short @ 1.4720-25 range where the previous wave iv was and .382 fibo. Catching wave 3-5 down is the goal.

With German IFO coming out in 10 minutes, that should be the time to be ready, just from a risk point of view. It is close now....

good trading.
__________________
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#254   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 4:08am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Failed here..

Hit my SL with -40 pips..

Yes it failed indeed, and this just shows how hard is to spot beforehand the form and the length of a correction...
As of now from my point of view we have again a short setup here. We are at a confluence of 38% and a=c. The question is how do we know the correction is done and dont get stopped again? We don't http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif, but every time we can enter either aggresive or conservative.
In the attached chart the aggresive entry would be at the break of the thin green line (marked 1)). The break of that line tells us that indeed the S/R that we found turned the price around and the large move that we anticipate might follow. However at this point we don't know if it is an impulse move down or just a small bounce or even another correction.
The safest entry is at the break of the green dotted line (marked 2)). It means that we have for a bottom to be in place and we enter on the break of the bottom. Again we don't know that the move will unfold in 5 waves (we never know) but looking at the pattern of the trend the chances are high. In the worst case scenario we'll get a 3 wave move if we're stopped out it would be for a small loss, or be.
Oh there is a 3rd kind of entry, the mindless entry http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/tongue.gifwhen one enters because he thinks price would turn around without any kind of confirmation from price itself. It looks like for some people it works though. Not for me.

P.S. Price could still go a bit higher, next S/R being at 1.0572 where again we have a confluence.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=142860&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219737817   

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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:33

Aug 26, 2008 4:26am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
1.4700 --> 1.4600

100 pips in 12 minutes, and out. nice.

German news was not well received, and EW waves were about to go down any how.

Yap, there were other technical formations to point out the direction. I posted the attached chart on another forum this morning, classic H&S pattern.

Now let's see if the targets are reached.
Attached Imageshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=142864&stc=1&d=1219739166



Aug 26, 2008 8:18am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
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EURCHF continues as expected. Funny thing is I missed the train, was expecting a wave 2 to retrace deeper (50%-62%) it only got to 33% unfortunately. So I am expecting another pullback to ride the short.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=142942&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219753068   

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#264   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 5:33pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EURCHF continues as expected. Funny thing is I missed the train, was expecting a wave 2 to retrace deeper (50%-62%) it only got to 33% unfortunately. So I am expecting another pullback to ride the short.

thanks guys for a lot of thoughtful info. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#265   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 26, 2008 5:40pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURO bottom This Week?
Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Talking about USD Index indeed this whole move up is clearly a correction, the fast move up that started in July is typical of a C wave so I too expect a top in the very near future. And this lines up pretty well with my thoughs on EURUSD and USDJPY. I think a new stage of USD weakening is about to begin very very soon. Probabily this week we'll see the top in USDX and USDJPY. And the bottom in EURUSD.

Yes, I think you have it nailed. Like Blue Bottle's chart showing the end of a large C from the 1.6037 high in EUR/USD, coming to an end soon. I am counting w.iv of 5 of (V) about half complete, likely done before tonight. Then there is the final small w.v of 5 of (V) of (C) to possibly end in 24-48 hours.

If this count is correct, and it looks confident - Be prepared! We are due to have at least a large scale correction of the past 1500 pip drop over 6 weeks, which should take much of September to take back 500-1000 pips up. My view is that after large (C) comes large (I), and will watch close for signs of 5 legs up in multiple degrees. starting with micro fractals .i, i, 1, (I), (1). Great time in a couple days to place a small lot long to leave alone for weeks to make money while we sleep.
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#266   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 2:33am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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AudUsd pair at H1 chart

What you guys thing??
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143219&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219818758   

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#267   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 2:56am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Yes, I think you have it nailed. Like Blue Bottle's chart showing the end of a large C from the 1.6037 high in EUR/USD, coming to an end soon. I am counting w.iv of 5 of (V) about half complete, likely done before tonight. Then there is the final small w.v of 5 of (V) of (C) to possibly end in 24-48 hours.

If this count is correct, and it looks confident - Be prepared! We are due to have at least a large scale correction of the past 1500 pip drop over 6 weeks, which should take much of September to take back 500-1000 pips up. My view is that after large (C) comes large (I), and will watch close for signs of 5 legs up in multiple degrees. starting with micro fractals .i, i, 1, (I), (1). Great time in a couple days to place a small lot long to leave alone for weeks to make money while we sleep.


Very clearly explained.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

Looking the bottom too at 1.43 - 1.44 range, then go LONG to collect huge pipshttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143224&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219820117   

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#268   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 3:19am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I prefer wave 3, then 5, then C in that order.

w.1 paves the way by showing a 5 impulse, so you know which way the trend is in that time frame. Wave 2 is the setup, after I count 5, then 3 correction, I am in the zone to catch waves 3-5.

I work off a plan of measured objectives and fibo targets for the range, but put my trust in counting waves in the correct form. When I count the last C wave, and conservatively wait for a turn into the start of the smallest 5 impulse fractal, then I enter on the pullback. If the count is wrong, and goes the other way, my max risk is the gap between the start of w.1 and the end of w.2 - typically .382 of 1. If w.2 is not done and wants to continue, it is a rule that it cannot go beyond the start of w.1, or else the count is invalidated. One of the 3 rules in Elliot.

I also find w.2 much easier to read than w.4, which can be the most complex to figure out in large cycles, like the w.4 the USD Index has been in since March 17th, makes for choppy markets without clear trends. After 5 months in w.4 DX, it will be nice to see impulse waves for long runs inside channels.

Stock Indexes like S&P are in a Supercycle w.(C) now, entering the 3rd of the 3rd down. Wave A began in 2000, and B in 2003, so C is likely going to be a deep bear for a couple more years. This is the Trade of a lifetime shorting the Indexes, if you can do it on small margin. It took 34 years to reach a peak in large w.(V) and nearly everyone missed it, but it may only take 3 years to get back to a DOW level w.(4) from 1974.


Thanks.

I'm comfortable/good in drawing and finding correct waves, even though i make mistakes sometime. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Now focus on learning below things:
1.) trading Elliott wave,
2.) where to enter & exit,
3.) which wave to trade,
4.) which wave not to trade
5.) etc..

Your above post helps me to go 1 more step forward in learning process..Million thanks
Last edited by Blue bottle, Aug 27, 2008 3:32am
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#269   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 3:46am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Very clearly explained.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

Looking the bottom too at 1.43 - 1.44 range, then go LONG to collect huge pipshttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif..


Moving in the channel.

I gonna sell for wave 3 once it break it.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143241&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219823058   

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#270   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 5:14am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURUSD
Not clear imo, we could already have the bottom in place. There is a scenario that allows it once we go down to H1 for the last wave. And we have proportion between I and V.

All in all I will stay out for now until I see a clear impulse.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143274&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219828493   

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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:34

Aug 27, 2008 5:16am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USDJPY
USDJPY is at the crossroads, if 108.7 is cleary broken then I expect big impulse moves down to new lows for this year.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143275&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219828613   

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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #272   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 12:55pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
USDJPY is at the crossroads, if 108.7 is cleary broken then I expect big impulse moves down to new lows for this year.

hi,

i guess, UsdJpy not going in our way..

i entered short for wave C at 108.8 but now in -100 pipshttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143441&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219856031   

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#273   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 1:30pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi,

i guess, UsdJpy not going in our way..

i entered short for wave C at 108.8 but now in -100 pipshttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif

You should have waited for a clear break of 108.7 I guess...
__________________
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#274   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 2:03pm
anakmelayufx
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79 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi,

i guess, UsdJpy not going in our way..

i entered short for wave C at 108.8 but now in -100 pipshttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif

My expectation UJ will going up at least to 110.10 before turning back to south by tomorrow. According to my analysis we should have around 5 - 7 hours uptrend pattern before complete to swing back to south.
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#275   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 9:18pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
You should have waited for a clear break of 108.7 I guess...


i know its my fault, and my other system also bearish, tats why i went short..but still ok, my Lot size was very small (money management http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif)..

Pls don't offend my post and sorry..
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#276   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 9:27pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
AudUsd pair at H1 chart

What you guys thing??


Update..

i believe if break tat line, it may go higher for wave C of 2orB..Lets see..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143525&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219886730   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143526&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219886730   

Last edited by Blue bottle, Aug 27, 2008 9:59pm
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#277   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 9:35pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Nzd/Usd chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143527&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219887307   

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#278   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 9:40pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Eur/Gbp chart at weekly ..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143529&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219887610   

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#279   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 9:52pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Head and shoulder at Hourly chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143533&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219888392   

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#280   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 10:02pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Update..

i believe if break tat line, it may go higher for wave C of 2orB..Lets see..


Positive AUD news helped us in wave C..

I closed my trade with 102pips profithttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/dancing.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=143534&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1219888856   

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#281   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 27, 2008 11:19pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
EurUsd chart.


is it end of wave C of wave 2?


..
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Last edited by Blue bottle, Aug 28, 2008 1:12am
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#282   
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Quote:
Originally Posted by anakmelayufx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
My expectation UJ will going up at least to 110.10 before turning back to south by tomorrow. According to my analysis we should have around 5 - 7 hours uptrend pattern before complete to swing back to south.

Very good analysis..and it happening.

are u also using Elliott wave?
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#283   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 12:00am
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Hi 1235abc,

I am glad to see you back here..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#284   
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doji
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Blue Bottle,

As far as the EUR/USD pair is concerned, I believe it's not done with Wave C yet. It's still doing a Wave 4 correction now in my view.
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:35

Aug 28, 2008 4:45am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Blue Bottle,

As far as the EUR/USD pair is concerned, I believe it's not done with Wave C yet. It's still doing a Wave 4 correction now in my view.

hi doji,


If possible post me the chart for easy understanding..

Are u referring to the wave 4 (red color) wc in my chart?
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 5:14am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Where is the acceleration in w.3 of C ?
Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Blue Bottle,

As far as the EUR/USD pair is concerned, I believe it's not done with Wave C yet. It's still doing a Wave 4 correction now in my view.

Think you are right on this call.

Looks like w.1 of C started at Tuesdays low of 1.4571 and completed the first leg up at 1.4778, then dropped to a w.2 low of 1.4666, and is now working on the last half of w.3 up.

EURO Seems to be working on a double-3 correction in w.4 of C with support around 1.4745-50 at the previous w.iv of 3 and .618 retracement levels converge. The count relies on the top of w.1 @ 1.4740 holding, for w.4 not to be in the range of w.1

I may go long near 1.4750 if the count looks complete, likely give it a chance to show a small 5 up and 3 down to confirm the larger trend is up again.

US GDP in 3 hours, I expect it will not be good news - lower than forecast, and that should shoot EURO 100 pips higher in the channel to complete w.3 - but larger w.4 may return back to this level, seems to be the pattern.

The behavior looks like a 1,2, - i,ii start of an extended w.3. There should be some rapid acceleration in the middle of w.3 higher. before the US session goes for lunch.
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#288   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 6:13am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Think you are right on this call.

Looks like w.1 of C started at Tuesdays low of 1.4571 and completed the first leg up at 1.4778, then dropped to a w.2 low of 1.4666, and is now working on the last half of w.3 up.

EURO Seems to be working on a double-3 correction in w.4 of C with support around 1.4745-50 at the previous w.iv of 3 and .618 retracement levels converge. The count relies on the top of w.1 @ 1.4740 holding, for w.4 not to be in the range of w.1

I may go long near 1.4750 if the count looks complete, likely give it a chance to show a small 5 up and 3 down to confirm the larger trend is up again.

US GDP in 3 hours, I expect it will not be good news - lower than forecast, and that should shoot EURO 100 pips higher in the channel to complete w.3 - but larger w.4 may return back to this level, seems to be the pattern.

The behavior looks like a 1,2, - i,ii start of an extended w.3. There should be some rapid acceleration in the middle of w.3 higher. before the US session goes for lunch.


Thanks FXoffshore for the analysis..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

I missed something..need to redraw my waves..
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#289   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 6:26am
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enter wave c:4
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#290   
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doji
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Blue Bottle,

Can't post my chart as I don't know how. Besides, I'm using Oanda.

At any rate, I believe Wave 4 of Wave C is finished at this point and Wave 5 has begun.

I hope it does not go way up since I'm holding a short position and have been waiting for quite a while for this up-wave to finally end.

Btw, I'm referring to the most current wave. My computation puts the top of Wave 5 at around 1.4832.
Last edited by doji, Aug 28, 2008 7:09am Reason: additions
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#291   
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Very good analysis..and it happening.

are u also using Elliott wave?

yeah i am also using elliott wave together with a few indicator
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#292   
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Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Blue Bottle,

Can't post my chart as I don't know how. Besides, I'm using Oanda.

At any rate, I believe Wave 4 of Wave C is finished at this point and Wave 5 has begun.

I hope it does not go way up since I'm holding a short position and have been waiting for quite a while for this up-wave to finally end.

Btw, I'm referring to the most current wave. My computation puts the top of Wave 5 at around 1.4832.

Save your chart as image. Then in this page click 'add reply' then find 'manage attachment' and upload your image.

Remember save as JPG or smaller file size.
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#293   
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#294   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 1:00pm
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Eur/Usd

-------------------------------
End of wave "A " ................ ?
-------------------------------
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#295   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 5:51pm
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Short Term - Wavecount ............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
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Last edited by marketwavez, Aug 28, 2008 6:08pm
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#296   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 7:36pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Blue Bottle,

Can't post my chart as I don't know how. Besides, I'm using Oanda.

At any rate, I believe Wave 4 of Wave C is finished at this point and Wave 5 has begun.

I hope it does not go way up since I'm holding a short position and have been waiting for quite a while for this up-wave to finally end.

Btw, I'm referring to the most current wave. My computation puts the top of Wave 5 at around 1.4832.

Hope it helps you..
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#297   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 7:38pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Eur/Usd

-------------------------------
End of wave "A " ................ ?
-------------------------------
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Warm Welcome Marketwavez!!

I am glad that you joining us here in the thread..
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#298   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 8:12pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hope it helps you..

Thanks for the instruction on posting charts, I forgot how, appreciate the reminder that it can be done within FF tools.
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#299   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 28, 2008 8:45pm
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon5.gif EURO Juncture
I am at a crossroads with EURO alternate counts. I was favoring the completion of large w.(4) of C up above 1.5000 - but the waves make me question that now, and favor two possibilities with 3 counts - both are triangles.

Either: [*]w.4 is forming as a triangle currently in w.d of 4, or;[*]w.5 is forming an ending diagonal triangle, currently in w.3 of 5. ??I suspect a break to happen soon for a small w.c from 1.4700 to the 0.786 fibo at 1.4622 at the bottom of the equality box in the lower part of the red oval. Resistance has been strong at 1.4722 - holding 5 times today. I treat that triangle as w.b in the 3 leg zig-zag down to the triangle lower trend line.

Either way, the best trade is likely the rise back up to 1.4650 range tonight is my current plan. Careful though. I lost 10 pips after the GDP this morning moved up - then came back down - I did not see the reversal coming until after some sleep and further reflection on all these A-B-C waves. Only a triangle can have 3 x threes in a row (3 x 5 actually) but the third three is the clue that impulse is not possible. Another clue is the overlap of waves, especially when w.4 dips into w.1 price - rules out an impulse and rules in a triangle type.

Will trade with tight stops and careful confirmation of turns. Not a time to pick tops or bottoms! (my bad habit).
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Aug 28, 2008 9:31pm
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:36

Aug 29, 2008 3:14am
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Originally Posted by PandoraBox http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
GJ wave 5

Good chart bro!

I shorted for wave 5 few days back, now 190 pips in greenhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/party.gif
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 3:18am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Good chart bro!

I shorted for wave 5 few days back, now 190 in greenhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/party.gif

Hi Blue,

Congrat bro, http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif I'm still hold 6 position short GJ around 1200 pips at different prices.
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#306   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 3:51am
Wilko
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I am at a crossroads with EURO alternate counts.

Great chart!! Keep them coming.

Here's my view on it
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#307   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 4:23am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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While the triangle alternative has come into focus, I cannot rule out the large C wave up to complete w.4.

After this mornings unexpected 3-wave decline in EUR/USD, where it narrowly missed dipping into to low to have an impulse count, it has started to climb again in small 5 waves when I drill down.
[*]I count 5 up from 1.4671 to 1.4764[*]followed by 3 corrective waves down to 1.4717[*]and a small w.1 up from that correction is near completion now.If my counts are correct, then the 5 wave impulses are still pointing north for long EURO trades.... It has taken on a 1,2 - i,ii, -.1,.2 start that explains the overlapping and lack of a prominent 3rd wave yet. If this is correct, then these extensions should take EURO beyond 1.5000 to complete large w.4 - so we can get on with w.5 down to complete larger C from the all time high of 1.6037 on July 15.

It is challenging, and risk in the cross roads of a bunch of a-b-c waves, to rule out one option or another. For now, both impulse up and triangle down are viable.

I give the benefit of the doubt to going long on the 5 wave evidence, and will look for small 3 wave pull backs to add longs, but always with stops and a mind on key levels that would require a reassessment, like a break of support at 1.4713 and 1.4692 would have bearish implications calling for short trading.
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#308   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 4:44am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Following the count in EUR
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilko http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Here's my view on it

I could be wrong, but I believe you are missing a 5 wave extension in the EUR fall that makes up the steepest part of w.3

Which means that an intermediate w.4 and 5 followed your w.3 in the same degree. The result should be the largest w.3 likely ended at 1.4631

I am confident that the count with the extra extension subdivision in the w.3 is counted properly, because there is a intermediate w.4 triangle that follows right after your w.3. That w.4 triangle in the 1.4980 to 1.4840 range is what leads to the fall into w.5 of large w.3 in the cascade from 1.4850s to 1.4666

I love w.4 triangles, they act as road maps to anchor and confirm counts after subdivisions have taken place.
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#309   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 6:00am
Wilko
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I could be wrong, but I believe you are missing a 5 wave extension in the EUR fall that makes up the steepest part of w.3

Which means that an intermediate w.4 and 5 followed your w.3 in the same degree. The result should be the largest w.3 likely ended at 1.4631

I am confident that the count with the extra extension subdivision in the w.3 is counted properly, because there is a intermediate w.4 triangle that follows right after your w.3. That w.4 triangle in the 1.4980 to 1.4840 range is what leads to the fall into w.5 of large w.3 in the cascade from 1.4850s to 1.4666

I love w.4 triangles, they act as road maps to anchor and confirm counts after subdivisions have taken place.


Thanks for the feedback and I can see what you mean. I'll work on my chart a bit more.
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#310   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 7:10am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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This chart speaks to me, so I thought I would share it. There are some interesting trend lines, and fibo/fractal geometry in EUR/USD.

Notice how price action climbs the red lines, then breaks on the 4th touch and tumbles. Lower highs, and lows. The red X marks the breaks.

Makes me think that perhaps "a" at 1.4909 may be it for large wave (IV) ?
It is at the apex of the previous 4th triangle, which is typical, right? I felt the rally in w.(IV) would have better form if it went up higher towards the fibo .382, but that is so high with the double extension in w.(III) way up there at 1.5168.

My gut tells me the terminal diagnosable triangle better matches this sideways to down consolidation. The falling trend line from w.(II) near the top is projected to meet the secondary trend line that forms the triangle - probaby at the juncture where w.E will stall against a wall of resistance, and spring down for the final w.(V) of C.

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#311   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 7:47am
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FXoffshore I like your idea of a triangle as w.IV, in fact there is a special type of triangle in fx where the lines of the triangle slant with the trend and not against it, it is called skewed triangle more details here.

All in all I believe the current move besides being corrective is also too complex to be worth trading. I like to talk about and analyze it but is not worth the risk to trade it imo. Better to stand aside and trade other pairs, EURCHF it is nearing a great setup for example.
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#312   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 11:06am
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GbpUsd

Woke up this morning to this ,,,,,,,,http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
- Price action violated the low of End of Wave " B "

this trade set-up is over
----------------------------------------------------
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Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=144077&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1220022331   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=144078&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1220022331   

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#313   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 11:19am
Wilko
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
GbpUsd

Woke up this morning to this ,,,,,,,,http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
- Price action violated the low of End of Wave " B "

this trade set-up is over
----------------------------------------------------
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

How are you picking the end of wave B http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif
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#314   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 2:31pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilko http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
How are you picking the end of wave B http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif

Green line drawn on chart at 8270 was End of Wave B .......
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#315   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 29, 2008 2:34pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Usd/Gbp :
-------------------
///////////////////////
Wave " 3 " ............
----------------------
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 06:59

Aug 31, 2008 7:36am
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beast update

fibo 61,8% did not hold.
lets see if will bounce frm 76.4% level
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 1:04pm
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif .786 Gippy - feedback please.
I'm have a bit a trouble nailing down the .786 on GBP/JPY.

Because of the capitulation low set on 03/17/2008 was a rather forceful bottom,
with a nearly 600 pip range that day and lowest price traded coming in
anywhere from 192.25 to 192.50, Could anyone out there sound off about
where they've pegged the St. Patricks Day low on Pound Yen ?

Of course, if we trade under 197 this week, it's a moot point.

Also, 2 other 100% retracement possibilities exist: the lows from 03/20 (19685) and 03/30 (19508).
Anyone targeting these as potential objectives ?

I am reminded that fib retracements are just spots on the map and only have
as much validity as are placed in them by the market as a collective whole.
No where is it written in stone that a market must stop on a dime at .xyz% retracement.

So, that being said, if one were short this pair, does it appear the .786 has ALREADY printed, or not quite yet?
If it has, i'm inclined to cover another piece and move my stop down just above the .707
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#319   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 3:34pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/6kt.gif768 Posts

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Gbp/Usd
Hmmmm , What do we have here ?.........

Talk about going to Hell in a Hand-Basket ..........http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif

- When will this slippage end ? ............

--------------------------------------------------------

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#320   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 3:48pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by toshi http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I'm have a bit a trouble nailing down the .786 on GBP/JPY.

Because of the capitulation low set on 03/17/2008 was a rather forceful bottom,
with a nearly 600 pip range that day and lowest price traded coming in
anywhere from 192.25 to 192.50, Could anyone out there sound off about
where they've pegged the St. Patricks Day low on Pound Yen ?

Of course, if we trade under 197 this week, it's a moot point.

Also, 2 other 100% retracement possibilities exist: the lows from 03/20 (19685) and 03/30 (19508).
Anyone targeting these as potential objectives ?

Can post a chart so we can visually see what you saying ?
thanx
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#321   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 3:51pm
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Gbp/Jpy

Here is a look at what may be occurring ............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

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#322   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 3:55pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Gbp/Usd
Hmmmm , What do we have here ?.........

Talk about going to Hell in a Hand-Basket ..........http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif

- When will this slippage end ? ............

Have no idea either http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
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#323   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 3:57pm
nedal26
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G/U Price now: 8145

G/J: = = : 196.75
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#324   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 4:23pm
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Okay, .786 is TOAST.

It is a holiday in the states and for as far back as I can remember,
this is one of the days in the year reserved for beating the hell out of the us dollar.
Any holiday actually that the US fed is closed is an opportunity to bash the buck.
If that holds true vis a vis the dollar yen then G/J is at the mercy of the JPY.
Since the Pound has been doing the driving as of late, and it looks sick as a dog,
it's shaping up to be another St. Patricks Day massacre !

Who woulda guessed the beast would find comfort at 19666, anybody hmmmm?

Watch market's reaction at 19508, if it prints. Could be good for 100 pip bounce.

After that, looking out a few days, we could be in for some major volatility.




Quote:
Originally Posted by toshi http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I'm have a bit a trouble nailing down the .786 on GBP/JPY.

Because of the capitulation low set on 03/17/2008 was a rather forceful bottom,
with a nearly 600 pip range that day and lowest price traded coming in
anywhere from 192.25 to 192.50, Could anyone out there sound off about
where they've pegged the St. Patricks Day low on Pound Yen ?

Of course, if we trade under 197 this week, it's a moot point.

Also, 2 other 100% retracement possibilities exist: the lows from 03/20 (19685) and 03/30 (19508).
Anyone targeting these as potential objectives ?

I am reminded that fib retracements are just spots on the map and only have
as much validity as are placed in them by the market as a collective whole.
No where is it written in stone that a market must stop on a dime at .xyz% retracement.

So, that being said, if one were short this pair, does it appear the .786 has ALREADY printed, or not quite yet?
If it has, i'm inclined to cover another piece and move my stop down just above the .707


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#325   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 4:28pm
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Usd/Cad

A Ray of Hope ! ........... http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

---------------------------------------------
Only a Probability, ............ Not Cast in Stone !
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#326   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 4:44pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Eur/Usd
------------------------
Long-Term View........http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

---------------------------
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#327   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 4:45pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nedal26 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
G/U Price now: 8145

G/J: = = : 196.75


Hi Nedal,

I was wondering how did u get the numbers?
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#328   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Aug 31, 2008 6:15pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi Nedal,

I was wondering how did u get the numbers?


Maybe he got it from Oanda, FXstreet or special broker.
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#329   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 1, 2008 2:37am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Euro Wave (IV) triangle completing wave d --> e
EUR/USD is in a contracting triangle this appears self evident now. Wave D is near a bottom around 1.4615 range in the .786 fibo area, and could head up higher to form w.E to complete larger w.(IV) around 1.4690 -ish. There is a good trend line from the previous w.iv of (III) top at 1.5081 through 1.4904 w.c of this triangle. I doubt w.E will break above that trend line, or the one 20 pips higher from the all time high on July 15 as solid resistance, and may turn down for big w.(V) lower anywhere past 1.4650-ish. (triangle e wave is often short when the other 4 waves touch the trend lines).

The first move in w.i of w.1 of w.(V) should be a vertical drop. If you miss it, wait for the w.ii retracement, just make sure you count 5 down and 3 corrective wave back to .618 fibo or close as a safe entry. Stop would be above w.E high in the 1.4700-50 range, so a great risk/reward ratio opportunity. Timing, well, it may take until Tueday London open to make the start of w.(V), and even Wed for the w.ii retracement entry.

News that NATO will sanction Russia, or that Russia may retaliate with turning off gas pipeline to EU could be a huge news event. This is getting to be big, like the 1963 cuban missle crisis, and as important for Russia.
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#330   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 1, 2008 3:39am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EUR/USD is in a contracting triangle this appears self evident now. Wave D is near a bottom around 1.4615 range in the .786 fibo area, and could head up higher to form w.E to complete larger w.(IV) around 1.4690 -ish. There is a good trend line from the previous w.iv of (III) top at 1.5081 through 1.4904 w.c of this triangle. I doubt w.E will break above that trend line, or the one 20 pips higher from the all time high on July 15 as solid resistance, and may turn down for big w.(V) lower anywhere past 1.4650-ish. (triangle e wave is often short when the other 4 waves touch the trend lines).

The first move in w.i of w.1 of w.(V) should be a vertical drop. If you miss it, wait for the w.ii retracement, just make sure you count 5 down and 3 corrective wave back to .618 fibo or close as a safe entry. Stop would be above w.E high in the 1.4700-50 range, so a great risk/reward ratio opportunity. Timing, well, it may take until Tueday London open to make the start of w.(V), and even Wed for the w.ii retracement entry.

News that NATO will sanction Russia, or that Russia may retaliate with turning off gas pipeline to EU could be a huge news event. This is getting to be big, like the 1963 cuban missle crisis, and as important for Russia.


Great analysis FXoffshore, nice chart too.

i too believe that we are heading towards wave E..

Just entered long at 1.4644 for 80 pips profit.
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Last edited by Blue bottle, Sep 1, 2008 4:04am

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:00

Sep 1, 2008 4:21am
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Wish I were correct. STill in learning phase. Plz do correct me.
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Trendline I've drawn
Last edited by mphpopular, Sep 1, 2008 4:34am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 1, 2008 7:58am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar59904_2.giflancelot41
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Eur/usd
Hey traders!
One qiuck post from me. I received a lot of emails about my wave count on the EUR/USD daily, so I decided to post the chart in this tread.
Some good elliotticans in this tread. Nice work guys.

Here is my chart. Grega

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=144518&thumb=1&d=1220270288

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#333   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 1, 2008 1:36pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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Nice chart, Grega. Perfectly clear for all 2008 in a nutshell.

We have a nice short trade coming up when w.E is in place. Could take the intra-day long from w.D up to w.E for 150 pips, but it is counter-trend and at the turning point, so risk needs to be cut in half and monitored carefully. Otherwise wait a couple days for the turn around 1.4750-95.
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#334   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 1, 2008 6:08pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lancelot41 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hey traders!
One qiuck post from me. I received a lot of emails about my wave count on the EUR/USD daily, so I decided to post the chart in this tread.
Some good elliotticans in this tread. Nice work guys.

Here is my chart. Grega


Great work Grega..

am glad that you have chosen this thread to post ur charts..
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#335   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 1, 2008 6:27pm
Wilko
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lancelot41 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hey traders!
One qiuck post from me. I received a lot of emails about my wave count on the EUR/USD daily, so I decided to post the chart in this tread.
Some good elliotticans in this tread. Nice work guys.

Here is my chart. Grega

Attachment 144518

I concur - A super chart and very clear.
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#336   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 1, 2008 9:02pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon7.gif EURO wave (V) is underway as a diagonal triangle termination.
Now EURO has fallen below 1.4571 that represented the w.c triangle leg low, the prospect of a contracting triangle is broken/eliminated. It now becomes a terminal diagonal triangle - currently in w.iii of (V) of C.

This change in form, means wave (IV) was complete in the 3 wave upward movement that ended at 1.4907 a week ago. In other words, the final minor waves iv and v will complete the correction from the 1.6037 high. Target is likely the support from the rising trend line back to last June 2007, around 1.4500 and a declining trend line from the w.(III) low on Aug 15 at 1.4644.

That changes things greatly, from looking for a short opportunity for the duration of wave 5 down, to waiting for the end of (V) of C for the move up to test 1.6037 over Sept - Oct.

As a terminal triangle, we are assured that there can be no further corrective waves down can be added when this is done. Expect a large wave 5 starting with impulse waves, likely this time next week.
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#337   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 2:01am
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#338   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 9:24am
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Gbp/Usd

Short-Term Update :

--------------------------
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#339   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 12:10pm
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gold update zoom in
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#340   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 12:46pm
optical
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
gold update zoom in

ok..........
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#341   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 3:25pm
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My view for Gbp/Jpy pair.
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#342   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 3:26pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
My view for Gbp/Jpy pair.

thought wave 5 cannot be longer than wave 3.
just a thought.
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#343   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 3:46pm
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Cable chart..
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:01

Sep 2, 2008 4:21pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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my view of guppy in daily. i'm sure most of us figured it out where she is going.
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #347   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 4:28pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
thought wave 5 cannot be longer than wave 3.
just a thought.


Hi pkimnyc,

I believe, in some special cases wave 5 can be longer than wave 3, we call it as extended 5th wave. Pls refer figure 4-4 in the attachment..

Pls correct me again, if still i miss something.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/nailbiting.gif


This diagram is copied from Marketwavez post from other forum.
..
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#348   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 4:36pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi pkimnyc,

I believe, in some special cases wave 5 can be longer than wave 3, we call it as extended 5th wave. Pls refer figure 4-4 in the attachment..

Pls correct me again, if still i miss something.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/nailbiting.gif


This diagram is copied from Marketwavez post from other forum.
..

This is correct
Wave 3 is usually the longest but this is not a strict rule.
5th extended wave mostly occur at lower TF
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#349   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 4:39pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi pkimnyc,

I believe, in some special cases wave 5 can be longer than wave 3, we call it as extended 5th wave. Pls refer figure 4-4 in the attachment..

Pls correct me again, if still i miss something.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/nailbiting.gif


This diagram is copied from Marketwavez post from other forum.
..

thanks for the info bb.
i'm a newb at this, so i'm not in a position to correct somebody.
i thought it was just a general rule for EW. i'm still learning.
thanks again for widening my view.
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#350   
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
This is correct
Wave 3 is usually the longest but this is not a strict rule.
5th extended wave mostly occur at lower TF

thanks 5ysfx.
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#351   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 5:15pm
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pls help to identify waves in violet window
Really i have doubt on this count but its fit nicely to the wave 3
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#352   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 5:35pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif 3 Elliott rules
The rule is that: the 3rd wave can never be the shortest impulse wave compared to 1 or 5.

There are only 3 rules: [*]wave 2 NEVER goes beyond the start of wave 1[*]wave 4 NEVER overlaps wave 1[*]wave 3 is NEVER the shortest impulse wave compared to 1 or 5.The rest are guidelines, some strong but with rare exceptions, others are common or highly probable.

If rule 2 is broken, based on line values, not wicks on candles, then the impulse wave is a diagonal triangle - typically a termination, with the rare exception of a leading diagonal triangle.
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#353   
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Gpb/Jpy


Close The Gap ? ..............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif !

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#354   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 2, 2008 5:41pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
The rule is that: the 3rd wave can never be the shortest impulse wave compared to 1 or 5.

There are only 3 rules: [*]wave 2 NEVER goes beyond the start of wave 1[*]wave 4 NEVER overlaps wave 1[*]wave 3 is NEVER the shortest impulse wave compared to 1 or 5.The rest are guidelines, some strong but with rare exceptions, others are common or highly probable.

If rule 2 is broken, based on line values, not wicks on candles, then the impulse wave is a diagonal triangle - typically a termination, with the rare exception of a leading diagonal triangle.

Don't forget to read Pretcher's book ,the Elliott Wave Principle
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#355   
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thanks guys for all the useful info. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#356   
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon3.gif Elliot Wave Tutorial - Reference
Anyone with the interest can get a free online Elliott tutorial here:
http://www.elliottwave.com/tutorial/

A trader should really buy the Robert Prechter/Frost book Elliott Wave Principles, before making trade decisions on introductory reading. The deepest technical resource is the Glen Neely Method book, but it is challenging to get through. It is easier to read the Bible cover to cover than Neely, although his genius is worth falling asleep a few times on the same chapter.

Besides free resources like Blue's thread here, traders with moderate stakes should consider paying a service like Grega Horvat's new email service in conjuction with LFB, or Elliott Wave International chief currency chartist Jim Martens and team. Like golf, it pays to take some professional lessons, before ingraining bad habits through practice. Iron sharpens iron.

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#357   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 3, 2008 1:18am
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Gbp/Usd

Fresh New Lows ! ............. !
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#358   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 3, 2008 8:16am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Gpb/Jpy


Close The Gap ? ..............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif !
---------------------------------------

Gbp/Jpy

Good Morning ,

Trade set-up is now UNABLE ............

there is no End of Wave B low,.... was waiting to go long @194.50

- Price-action is making new lows ............
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#359   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 3, 2008 8:27am
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UsdChf chart..
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#360   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 3, 2008 9:30pm
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif usd chf
end wave 3 h4
end wave a:4-15m?
end wave a:a:4-15m?
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:02

Sep 3, 2008 9:40pm
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon10.gif gbp aud
gbp aud start wave 5
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #362   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 1:29am
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hi all,

if weekly trend line is broken for real, then i think we are in wave 5.
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#363   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 4:00am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Euro Wave V about to begin?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,

if weekly trend line is broken for real, then i think we are in wave 5.

Agree, Blue, we are completing larger W.4 of (V) - but cannot confirm completion of w.4 yet?

Prices action is still moving higher/sideways. Possible triangle?

The mood should be ripe for completing the final waves in the big correction after the interest rate announcement (is held?) and the market moves on.

I think Oil still has to finish the final leg of its correction, at least. Many of the majors will turn on the same day, and that day is not far off now. Anyone have a good read on the wave count for Oil?
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#364   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 9:14am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,

if weekly trend line is broken for real, then i think we are in wave 5.

So I will wish for the touch of the next target at the major trendline.
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Trendline I've drawn
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#365   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 11:11am
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Possible wave count for USDCAD pair..
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#366   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 11:43am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
end wave 3 h4
end wave a:4-15m?
end wave a:a:4-15m?



Nice count bro!! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
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#367   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 12:00pm
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small tf setup..
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#368   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 12:17pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Possible wave count for USDCAD pair..


Zoomed view..
.
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#369   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 2:30pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
small tf setup..

GbpJpy update..

Closed my short with 110 pips profit..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#370   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 2:38pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurUsd chart..
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#371   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 4, 2008 5:31pm
Wilko
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Triangle - false breakout
I like trading triangles and usually make good pips on them. I have noticed that in most cases there is a false breakout first which is also a good entry point.

Just curious if anyone else sees false breakouts on a regular basis???
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#372   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 8, 2008 4:59am
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EurChf chart..
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#373   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 8, 2008 5:06am
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EurGbp chart.
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#374   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 6:46am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurUsd chart.
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#375   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 10:30am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EurGbp
EurGbp in h4
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:06

Sep 9, 2008 10:31am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EurGbp in h4


Weekly chart.
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #377   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 10:36am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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UsdCad in small tf
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#378   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 11:15am
split_unit
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38 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif my count
even though am not an expert at the wave theory and am still in the learning process heres my count for the EUROUSD 15 min chart... i hope some1 finds it useful.
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#379   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 11:22am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by split_unit http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
even though am not an expert at the wave theory and am still in the learning process heres my count for the EUROUSD 15 min chart... i hope some1 finds it useful.


Good chart Split_unit.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

Share with us other charts too if possible.. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#380   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 11:26am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/4kt.gif2,708 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif My scenario, my sponsor :D
My count
Gold should hld at 777$ and aj at 8670 today best till the end of week ;D

C wave might be much longer in time.

Previous gold count still valid.next target 850$
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#381   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 4:10pm
split_unit
Buy the Rumor,Sell the Fact
Member Since Jul 2008

38 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Good chart Split_unit.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

Share with us other charts too if possible.. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

thank you for the compliment. I hope to contribute to this thread with my charts so that we could all learn and benefit.
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#382   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 9, 2008 5:10pm
split_unit
Buy the Rumor,Sell the Fact
Member Since Jul 2008

38 Posts

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GBPJPY chart my count...we can see that price is forming a flag on the 15 min chart and it might break down...or might not...just wanted to share it
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#383   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 10, 2008 9:09am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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anybody with this setup??
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#384   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 10, 2008 6:01pm
split_unit
Buy the Rumor,Sell the Fact
Member Since Jul 2008

38 Posts

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it does look like a valid count to me...but i dont trade the pair http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
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#385   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 10, 2008 8:22pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Count 1 2 3 4 5
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
anybody with this setup??

Hey, Blue...

Can you count 5 waves down in 1? and in 3?
I can see 3 waves in 1, and it ends with a steep move like a w.3, but without w.4-5?? 3 is not the normal form with visible corrections and a step move in the middle.

A trick is to confirm the count in other major currencies, like I do with CHF/USD when EUR/USD is confusing. (I only trade EUR, with minor exceptions. ) Or gold. It also helps to find a MACD to confirm waves, some are better and settings are important. I also drill down to a small TF chart at smallest bar view, to see more ticks and price action. Hope that helps.

If in doubt, stay out.
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#386   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 11, 2008 7:49am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hey, Blue...

Can you count 5 waves down in 1? and in 3?
I can see 3 waves in 1, and it ends with a steep move like a w.3, but without w.4-5?? 3 is not the normal form with visible corrections and a step move in the middle.

A trick is to confirm the count in other major currencies, like I do with CHF/USD when EUR/USD is confusing. (I only trade EUR, with minor exceptions. ) Or gold. It also helps to find a MACD to confirm waves, some are better and settings are important. I also drill down to a small TF chart at smallest bar view, to see more ticks and price action. Hope that helps.

If in doubt, stay out.


Thanks FXoffshore for reviewing my chart. In future i will more careful in counting.

Thanks for sharing your tricks in confirm the count with other currencies..
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#387   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 11, 2008 5:58pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
gbp aud start wave 5

end wave 3:5
enter wave 4:5
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#388   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 11, 2008 6:06pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif nzd usd daily
nzad usd daily end wave 3:3
enter wave 4
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#389   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 11, 2008 6:10pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif cad jpy
cad jpy start wave 3 or c
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:07

Sep 13, 2008 11:52am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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AudUsd chart.

We may expect long movement since end of wave 5 was reached, most probably.
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #395   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 15, 2008 10:25am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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EurUsd chart.
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#396   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 16, 2008 6:32pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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Hi all,

UsdJpy chart.
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#397   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 16, 2008 9:51pm
doji
Member
Member Since Oct 2007

75 Posts

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Hi, bluebottle.

In your EUR/USD chart, is that an A-wave or Wave 1 of a bullish reversal?

I'm inclined to think it's the latter.
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#398   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 17, 2008 7:58am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi, bluebottle.

In your EUR/USD chart, is that an A-wave or Wave 1 of a bullish reversal?

I'm inclined to think it's the latter.


Its wave-A.

Sorry for it.
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#399   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 17, 2008 8:05am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Cable chart.
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#400   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 17, 2008 8:18am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EurUsd chart.



EurUsd chart.

If i am not wrong, end of wave-B is there and now in direction for wave-C
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#401   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 17, 2008 8:47am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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UsdJpy chart.
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#402   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 17, 2008 5:54pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Mixed counts
Blue, your Yen chart wave 1 should be labeled 1-5, if it is an impulse.
Or, in 3: counts if you see that as an A down, then 2 would be B.
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#403   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 17, 2008 5:56pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Oil Elliott Chart
I have re-examined the Oil chart wave 2 zig-zag, and have come up with the following count.

Based on equality, 61.8 fibo, dynamic trend channel, and previous wave iv of 3, the confluence is around $87

and the time is around Sept 26 or 29th - Oct 1. shown by the red-dash oval.
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:08

Sep 18, 2008 8:19am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar20353_2.gifkevmcfoster
Jai Shewaramani
Member Since Sep 2006

82 Posts

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Gold...interesting wave count so far
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #409   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 19, 2008 8:53pm
doji
Member
Member Since Oct 2007

75 Posts

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So, guys, where do you think we are now on the EUR/USD pair? I got a bit confused -- and lost some because of it.

From the weekly chart, it would seem that what we're seeing is a Wave 4 correction. And yet, it could also be Wave 5, a resumption of the up-move of a few months back.

I think the subjectivity of EW analysis is, paradoxically, its strength. If people interpreted price action in the same uniform way, as other indicators make us do, then who'd be left to take the other side of the trade?
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#410   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 20, 2008 10:19pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/4kt.gif2,708 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif U never know..
Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
So, guys, where do you think we are now on the EUR/USD pair? I got a bit confused -- and lost some because of it.

From the weekly chart, it would seem that what we're seeing is a Wave 4 correction. And yet, it could also be Wave 5, a resumption of the up-move of a few months back.

I think the subjectivity of EW analysis is, paradoxically, its strength. If people interpreted price action in the same uniform way, as other indicators make us do, then who'd be left to take the other side of the trade?

Hi

EW seems to be dead when FOMC manipulate the market.
U know what i mean http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
My scenario.
What do you think ?
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#411   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 21, 2008 12:05am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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My EurUsd chart..


I believe we may head to another new high in 1.6400 range for wave-5. But wave-4(yellow count) is too large for w4... so need further confirmation.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=149938&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1221969894   

Last edited by Blue bottle, Sep 21, 2008 12:38am
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#412   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 21, 2008 12:16am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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EurUsd in small tf..
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#413   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 9:10am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Cable chart.

Cable update for my previous chart.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=150269&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222089044   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=150270&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222089044   

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#414   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 10:10am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Hi all,

EurUsd chart.

i am waiting for wave-C end to go short..
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#415   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 8:32pm
doji
Member
Member Since Oct 2007

75 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Me. too.

Did a counter-trend trade (short) yesterday to my regret. I swear I'll stick to my original plan and not be tempted to enter on a corrective wave. :-{

Btw, Wave C has ended now, right?
Last edited by doji, Sep 22, 2008 8:37pm Reason: error
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#416   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 9:41pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar79975_2.gifmy30marahaba
Member
Member Since Sep 2008

464 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi all,

EurUsd chart.

i am waiting for wave-C end to go short..


Dear Sir,

I need your advise I try to learn about the wave method on UJ
now i draw inside the uj chart would you please to tell me is that right that C point is not complete yet - UJ ????

Thanks and regard's
my30marahaba
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#417   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 10:40pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar59794_10.gifnaatha
Member
Member Since Jan 2008

179 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
just for compare with GU 1h, - a funny pic
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#418   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 11:37pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by my30marahaba http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Dear Sir,

I need your advise I try to learn about the wave method on UJ
now i draw inside the uj chart would you please to tell me is that right that C point is not complete yet - UJ ????

Thanks and regard's
my30marahaba


Hi My30marabaha,

Pls refer my chart for UsdJpy. This pair now every complicated to count waves, so i might be wrong too.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=150515&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222141080   

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#419   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 11:39pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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UsdJpy chart in 1 hour tf.
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#420   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 11:42pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi My30marabaha,

Pls refer my chart for UsdJpy. This pair now every complicated to count waves, so i might be wrong too.

Weekly chart.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=150517&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222141334   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:08

Sep 22, 2008 11:47pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi My30marabaha,

Pls refer my chart for UsdJpy. This pair now every complicated to count waves, so i might be wrong too.


My 15min chart
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=150519&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222141642   

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #423   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 22, 2008 11:52pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar79975_2.gifmy30marahaba
Member
Member Since Sep 2008

464 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Weekly chart.

Thank you sir for your explanation of UJ wave
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gifhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

Regards,
My30marahaba
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#424   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 23, 2008 12:06am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar79975_2.gifmy30marahaba
Member
Member Since Sep 2008

464 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
My 15min chart

yes sir, now i'm waiting for eversal long after complite the shouder on this uj but on the weekly chart still weak bearish....let see on the daily chart & weekly the formed looks like S-H-S.

here the daily chart.. & weekly...

regards,
my30marahaba
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#425   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 23, 2008 1:35am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/4kt.gif2,708 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon14.gif Would be nice
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Weekly chart.

ur chart is correlating with my usd index prediction http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#426   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 23, 2008 9:24am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
UsdJpy chart.
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#427   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 23, 2008 11:39pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdJpy chart.


Green count is my alternative in 12345.
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#428   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 23, 2008 11:53pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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AudUsd chart.
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#429   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 2:24am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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GbpJpy chart.

ABCDE is ended.. so expect to go higher..
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#430   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 2:26am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Gbp Jpy chart.

ABCDE is ended.. so expect to go higher..


Entered BUY from 196.45.
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#431   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 2:35am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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UsdCad chart.
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#432   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 3:57am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif CAD
Blue, there is a good weekly CAD chart showing a large triangle and support level around 1.2050 - look in the news section from James Chen.
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=108707

A triangle would suggest a bounce to complete wave E, before crashing down to test a new low over the next few months.

My Eur long was good for 670 pip up to last night, then banked. USD may give a lot more back, but looking for a few clues on a small wave 5 start.
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#433   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 4:29am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Blue, there is a good weekly CAD chart showing a large triangle and support level around 1.2050 - look in the news section from James Chen.
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=108707

A triangle would suggest a bounce to complete wave E, before crashing down to test a new low over the next few months.

My Eur long was good for 670 pip up to last night, then banked. USD may give a lot more back, but looking for a few clues on a small wave 5 start.


Your are rockinghttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif.. 670pips in Eur, congrats.

I only managed 200+ pips in EurUsd long, closed my trade early.
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#434   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 4:30am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Blue, there is a good weekly CAD chart showing a large triangle and support level around 1.2050 - look in the news section from James Chen.
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=108707

A triangle would suggest a bounce to complete wave E, before crashing down to test a new low over the next few months.

My Eur long was good for 670 pip up to last night, then banked. USD may give a lot more back, but looking for a few clues on a small wave 5 start.


Attached here USDCAD for reference..
Attached Imageshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=150967&stc=1&d=1222245026

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:09

Sep 24, 2008 6:20am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Cable chart.


Red color label is my alternative count..
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #439   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 8:08pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar70235_12.gifNuckingFuts
Nudist
Member Since May 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10+kt.gif1,105 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Go easy on me
I got something right here http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/rolling_on_the_floor.gif

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=131352&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1216355024

or

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=131353&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1216355024

Should we expect wave 5 or 3 in the coming months?

Quote:
Originally Posted by NuckingFuts http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
As you can see I am definitely not an Elliot Waver.

Wishful thinking EW experts?

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#440   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 9:07pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EUR Elliot
Quote:
Originally Posted by NuckingFuts http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I got something right here

Should we expect wave 5 or 3 in the coming months?

Looks like you got it. Nice to start on the monthly to get your bearings and foundation correct, otherwise it get harder in smaller time frames.

Both charts are good. I support your first chart, and am looking for wave 5 up, if 4 is done.
My reasoning is that chart 2 loses the count by getting the "degree" mixed up.

The second chart is accurate if 5 is the end of larger degree 1.
And C is the end of larger degree 2. IMHO.

It is like a computer code, where subsets are nested. With just one nesting, it is easy to follow, but when you have 10 nestings, then you have to punctuate your code to avoid an unclosed bracket. i.e. the last </ >
<A>
. . .<a>
. . .</a>
</A>

There are guidelines for degree, and structure in Elliott, which help in learning. Old timers can look at any chart and count waves, including some subsets like an extension (a wave inside a wave - typical in a 3rd wave for forex).

Hope that helps a bit. Keep posting your charts! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#441   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 9:18pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar70235_12.gifNuckingFuts
Nudist
Member Since May 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10+kt.gif1,105 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Looks like you got it. Nice to start on the monthly to get your bearings and foundation correct, otherwise it get harder in smaller time frames.

I support your first chart, and am looking for wave 5 up, if 4 is done.
My reasoning is that chart 2 loses the count by getting the "degree" mixed up.

It is like a computer code, where subsets are nested. With just one nesting, it is easy to follow, but when you have 10 nestings, then you have to punctuate your code to avoid an unclosed bracket.
<A>
<a>
</a>
</A>

There are guidelines for degree, and structure in Elliott, which help in learning. Old timers can look at any chart and count waves, including some subsets like an extension (a wave inside a wave - typical in a 3rd wave for forex).

Hope that helps a bit. Keep posting your charts! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Thanks FXoffshore, sure does help.

My only concern with EW is exactly where to start the count. I will be looking right into this when I can as I find it quite similar to the electrical impulses of the human heart beat (QRS complex etc..). At least the concept anyway.

There has to be a pulse in the market, it's driven by many of them http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
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#442   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 9:23pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History &amp; Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/euro.gif EUR Crossroad
Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Guys, has Wave-C ended on the EUR/USD pair?

It looks to me like it's still completing Wave 4, and is, therefore due for another wave up ?

Am I wrong?

Thanks!

Great question. We at the crossroads now.
With the past 2 week rally still in 3 waves, it could be either: [*]A-B-C as part of intermediate w.4 of large w.C (or)[*]1-2-3 as part of large w.5I got out at 1.4800 with 670pips to see what direction the market would take. I lean toward we are in a 4, looking for 5 to break higher soon/tonight? Reason, all the impulses waves up, not all zig-zags?
But I'll wait for the market to lead.

Personally, I am looking at support to hold at 1.4570 if it gets that low, or a break above 1.4750 range.
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#443   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 9:29pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History &amp; Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Heart Impulse Waves
Quote:
Originally Posted by NuckingFuts http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I will be looking right into this when I can as I find it quite similar to the electrical impulses of the human heart beat (QRS complex etc..). At least the concept anyway.

There has to be a pulse in the market, it's driven by many of them http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif

Yes, good impulse wave remind me of a heart beat shape. Our designer shows clues that math and fractals are in all His creations.

I would love to hear what you find on heart impulses - summary or article links? Please let us know.... http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/nerd.gif
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#444   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 10:09pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History &amp; Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Not really
There are turning points at times, this is one of them for me. Another trader could say I'm long until 1.5500. My style is conservative because I trade a large capital base, my priority is preservation of capital, profits come second.

Generally, when I see 5 waves one way, then a 3 correction, I am in, and make out well. I can see that in any time frame, in most securities.

I can trade a naked chart by price action alone. Or candles, or S&R. Been there and done that. I was trading 30 years ago, kid.

I would be glad to answer your questions, and can be patient, but I deserve respect - don't be rude to me.
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#445   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 24, 2008 10:17pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar79975_2.gifmy30marahaba
Member
Member Since Sep 2008

464 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon5.gif
Quote:
Originally Posted by steelhead http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Perfect post on why this indicator cannot be trusted. Could be a-b-c as part of itermediate wave 4? or 123 as part of wave 5? Come on this is hilarious.

Again this is why you cant trust it. Could be this or could be that. Ten different traders will give you ten different scenarios about elliot waves.

Dear Sir,

Would you please correction of the CHF chart I try learned of this wave method.. looks like good for take the short if the support break .

Please advise the point C am i right to draw base on this wave method

best regards,
my30marahabahttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/peace.gifhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif
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#446   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 2:27am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History &amp; Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon12.gif How to start a count
Quote:
Originally Posted by NuckingFuts http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Thanks FXoffshore, sure does help. My only concern with EW is exactly where to start the count. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif

That is a good question, it is the kernel of Elliott skills. It depends on the trader, so others may do it a different way. By all means speak up, anyone.

In summary, I look for certain distinguishing or unique patterns, in tight bar view, never candles. Sometimes line view removes noise. [*]a vertical move is often a wave 3, sometimes w.1 starts like a rocket[*]a contracting triangle is typical of a wave 4 or B (never a w.2)[*]a sharp 3 wave retracement is a typical w.2[*]a meandering retracement may be a w.4a significant bottom or top is tricky because it is not always the extreme tick, like in the case of a truncated w.5 - so avoid starting there.

I start by looking on weekly or daily charts, then progress to smaller time frames to get it right. I look for those vertical or triangle patterns to anchor my count. then start counting 3s or 5s, applying labeling after some prep has been done.

When it comes to labeling, I don't begin there, it is the last thing I do. Also, I consider alternative counts, so I can eliminate them or prioritize them as the market moves. 'ALT' counts are risk management for me, plan B and C are on the table, but the preferred count is the one that satisfies the most rules/guidelines. The temptation is to favor a count that supports a traders presupposed bias, guard against that. Be open to all counts that are valid, but experience will teach which ones are likely. If a rule is violated, let the count go - don't ignore the solid violation.

I compare intra-market charts as well, other currencies, like Swissy is great for Eur to confirm a count. Gbp/Usd is good also. Gold and Oil have been highly correlated with EUR, and make advance moves that help.

Often I will confirm a count using a MACD like oscillator that ebbs and flows over a 0 line. Wave threes have the biggest hump, w.4 crosses the naught line, and w.5 almost always shows divergence.

Another standard is to put every trend into equal channels. After a while you get to know the personality of patterns and where they will go within the channel. As soon as 1 and 2 appear to be done, I'll put a channel on it as a guide where 3 will touch, 4 will retrace, and 5 will finish. 2 and 4 are your base line, or 0 and B in a correction. Very powerful and reliable tool.

My goal is to find and track setup wave (2, 4, B) to enter clear 3, 5, or C impulses. 3 and C are the relaible money makers, and since they are fractal, they are in different degrees/char time frames for any currency.

I favor majors, like EUR/USD, over synthetic pairs. Try to stick to one or two currencies that are not correlated or inverse.

There is much more, but that is a summary. Get Prechters book, or Neely if you are a geek. And practise. Post your charts here and ask for feedback.

It is not true that 10 traders will give 10 different EW counts, it is a myth. There can only be a few valid counts, typically 2, but up to 4+ in wave 4. Complex corrections are the hardest to count, so don't sweat those, remember that the rules for impulse wave are quite strict, and if it is not a clear impulse 5: - then by default it is a correction. If bars are going sideways or overlaping a lot, it is a correction. If you don't know what it is, it is a correction.

Like a puzzle, Focus on what you can identify, and leave the toughest for last, is good advice.

This thread can help, or Grega EW by daily email is a bargain for $39/mo, learn from a pro if you want to learn fast. I use Grega and Elliott Wave International paid subscriptions - to confirm or challenge my counts. At the highest levels, they best tend to have about the same counts. Jaime Saettle at DailyFX has a good free perspective. Some in this group are excellent.
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Last edited by FXoffshore, Sep 25, 2008 2:45am
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#447   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 3:11am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History &amp; Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Eur going higher
A small 5 impulse is just completing in EUR, will look for entry long after a 3 wave correction, around 1.4695. It should keep going up, but caution NY opening for news.
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#448   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 3:30am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
That is a good question, it is the kernel of Elliott skills. It depends on the trader, so others may do it a different way. By all means speak up, anyone.

In summary, I look for certain distinguishing or unique patterns, in tight bar view, never candles. Sometimes line view removes noise. [*]a vertical move is often a wave 3, sometimes w.1 starts like a rocket[*]a contracting triangle is typical of a wave 4 or B (never a w.2)[*]a sharp 3 wave retracement is a typical w.2[*]a meandering retracement may be a w.4a significant bottom or top is tricky because it is not always the extreme tick, like in the case of a truncated w.5 - so avoid starting there.

I start by looking on weekly or daily charts, then progress to smaller time frames to get it right. I look for those vertical or triangle patterns to anchor my count. then start counting 3s or 5s, applying labeling after some prep has been done.

When it comes to labeling, I don't begin there, it is the last thing I do. Also, I consider alternative counts, so I can eliminate them or prioritize them as the market moves. 'ALT' counts are risk management for me, plan B and C are on the table, but the preferred count is the one that satisfies the most rules/guidelines. The temptation is to favor a count that supports a traders presupposed bias, guard against that. Be open to all counts that are valid, but experience will teach which ones are likely. If a rule is violated, let the count go - don't ignore the solid violation.

I compare intra-market charts as well, other currencies, like Swissy is great for Eur to confirm a count. Gbp/Usd is good also. Gold and Oil have been highly correlated with EUR, and make advance moves that help.

Often I will confirm a count using a MACD like oscillator that ebbs and flows over a 0 line. Wave threes have the biggest hump, w.4 crosses the naught line, and w.5 almost always shows divergence.

Another standard is to put every trend into equal channels. After a while you get to know the personality of patterns and where they will go within the channel. As soon as 1 and 2 appear to be done, I'll put a channel on it as a guide where 3 will touch, 4 will retrace, and 5 will finish. 2 and 4 are your base line, or 0 and B in a correction. Very powerful and reliable tool.

My goal is to find and track setup wave (2, 4, B) to enter clear 3, 5, or C impulses. 3 and C are the relaible money makers, and since they are fractal, they are in different degrees/char time frames for any currency.

I favor majors, like EUR/USD, over synthetic pairs. Try to stick to one or two currencies that are not correlated or inverse.

There is much more, but that is a summary. Get Prechters book, or Neely if you are a geek. And practise. Post your charts here and ask for feedback.

It is not true that 10 traders will give 10 different EW counts, it is a myth. There can only be a few valid counts, typically 2, but up to 4+ in wave 4. Complex corrections are the hardest to count, so don't sweat those, remember that the rules for impulse wave are quite strict, and if it is not a clear impulse 5: - then by default it is a correction. If bars are going sideways or overlaping a lot, it is a correction. If you don't know what it is, it is a correction.

Like a puzzle, Focus on what you can identify, and leave the toughest for last, is good advice.

This thread can help, or Grega EW by daily email is a bargain for $39/mo, learn from a pro if you want to learn fast. I use Grega and Elliott Wave International paid subscriptions - to confirm or challenge my counts. At the highest levels, they best tend to have about the same counts. Jaime Saettle at DailyFX has a good free perspective. Some in this group are excellent.

Your are the man!!

Thanks a lot FXoffshore for sharing your knowledge with us.

It helps me in many ways.

Attached 1-5wave EurUsd chart which you mention above.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=151292&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222327829   

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#449   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 3:47am
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My AudUsd chart.

wave B is 62% of wave A, so i guess it ended at 0.8426.

I gonna short it for wave C.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=151297&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222328752   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 07:11

Sep 25, 2008 7:30am
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Eur/Usd
Does anyone else see this as the possible start of wave 2 of 5 on the Eur/Usd. Looks like a double zig-zag, completing at the 78.6.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=151363&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1222342225   

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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 7:53am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar57113_1.gifBsitd
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1 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif wave 2 complete
agree. wave 2 rarely exceeds 78.6 do not see 5 waves in c wave unless alternation of wave 2 is complex and wave four simple My 2 cents
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#454   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 9:33am
pipeye
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149 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Eur/Usd (update)
Does anyone else share this perspective? I am pretty new to this.
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#455   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 12:14pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon14.gif 3 correction
Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Does anyone else share this perspective? I am pretty new to this.

Think we can count three completing in Euro now. Entry long is near.
However, I would wait for a hold near 1.4630 and the turn up, because 2 is very deep.
Risk is at 1.4602, if it goes that far, the count is wrong, and step aside.
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Last edited by FXoffshore, Sep 25, 2008 12:29pm
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#456   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 12:56pm
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gold
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#457   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 3:02pm
Wilko
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27 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Cable
Just my view at the moment ...
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#458   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 5:52pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon14.gif Golden chart
Quote:
Originally Posted by kevmcfoster http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
gold

Good chart, thanks. I agree that the degree of Gold correction goes back to 1999, so it is large, not intermediate. The large w.B is likely where are at now, with a new low in w.C months down the road. $600 is my target for an entry, to go long, and add some coins. I am constantly amazed how news events do not change the large Elliot counts, they just add fuel to the trend. It makes me wonder how this credit crises and bank fiasco will hold it together to complete the trends, before a meltdown happens?

Do you look at oil also? I would like to exchange ideas about oils pattern. Will we see another low below $90 this fall?
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#459   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 6:06pm
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif eu 15M
chart
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#460   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 6:28pm
Gwyndaf
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8 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Gwyndaf
Pipeye, I think you're reading too much into it, would you really want to trade the (iii) to (iv) fo instance? probably not anyway, but I notice you're trading the 15 min chart, I stopped using 15 mins and 30 mins a while ago, but I do use the 5 min chart for entries, sometimes trade off of it, and use the 1 hour for planning.

My suggestion would be to do the same kind of view with a 1 Hour chart and take as a 1 , you're (v)/1 as a 2, and then expect wave 3 to end lower than .

In all my EW readings I have never come accros 15 and 30 minb charts, 5min seems to work!
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#461   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 25, 2008 7:35pm
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif gold
my view
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#462   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 26, 2008 2:41am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Gold targets
Where do you see Gold going? Dow you have any targets or support zones?
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#463   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 26, 2008 2:49am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Where do you see Gold going? Dow you have any targets or support zones?

previous resistance ~847
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#464   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 26, 2008 1:50pm
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Cable.

2 possible wc (red & blue color) for this pair.

If market movies with Red WC then we may possibly see 1 more up move for w5. Its too in moving in channel form, so it may touch the lower channel for w4 and go up for w5.

If w4 touches w1 then this 12345 will become invalid..now almost very near to w1.

Lets wait and see..
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#465   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Sep 27, 2008 5:03pm
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EU update
Hi all

Here is my second view for EUR/USD i think this time is more mature and reliable.
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