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MACD俱乐部»论坛 › ◇ 技术分析区 ◇ › 〖期货技术交流〗 › 一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手
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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:36 | 显示全部楼层
1) The forecast for December was released on Sunday morning.
2) Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the downtrend at the moment is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5, not a zigzag. A pair of variant of possible ending of the supposed impulse are shown in the Figure.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

It isn’t ruled out that the downtrend at the moment is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)(v), not a zigzag. A variant of possible ending of the supposed impulse is shown in the Figure.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variant of counting a pair of which is given on the carts. Scenario synchronous with the European currencies is presented on the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v], not an impulse. A variant of possible ending of the supposed diagonal triangle is shown in the Figure.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 1, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:24 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:39 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5, not a zigzag. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 4 is developing.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Probably the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)(v), not a zigzag. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave (iv) is developing.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting the most probable of which is given on charts. If the supposition is true correction B of (B) of [5] is close to the completion.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

It isn’t ruled out that the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v], and not an impulse. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave [iv] is developing.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 2, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:26 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:40 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. Here the clarifications of the details are given.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. In this case it isn’ ruled out that at the moment wave 4 is developing.
The alternate scenario supposes that the price decline in the nearest future will complete wave 5 and the whole impulse.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). In this case it isn’ t ruled out that at the moment wave (iv) is developing.
The alternate scenario supposes that the price decline in the nearest future will end wave (v) and the whole impulse.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is presented on the charts.
The alternate scenario supposes that the price decline in the nearest future will end wave 5 and the whole impulse (A).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v]. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave [iv] is developing. The uptrend remains prevailing on this time-frame.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 3, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:32 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:41 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. Here the clarifications of the details on small time-frames are given.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 5 is completing and the whole impulse.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave (v) is completing and the whole impulse.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting. In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 5 is completing and the whole impulse (A)?.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v]. In this case it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave [v] is completing and the whole diagonal triangle.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 4, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 12:37 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:42 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. Here the details are clarified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If the supposition is true the price has to complete wave 5 to complete this impulse.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). If this is the case to complete the impulse the price has to complete wave (v).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting. In the framework of the alternate scenario it isn’t ruled out that at the moment wave 5 and the whole impulse 1-2-3-4-5 are completing.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v]. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete wave [v].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 5, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:11 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:43 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In this forecast the main and the alternate scenarios for each of the currency pair under consideration are clarified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete wave 5. In the framework of this supposition the wave counting allows several most probable scenarios.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete wave (v). In the framework of this supposition the wave counting allows a pair of most probable scenarios.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

At the moment there is no confirmation of the completion of downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5. But we can’t rule out such a possibility. We have to expect a confirmation of one of the scenarios.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v]. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete wave [v]. In the framework of this supposition the wave counting allows a pair of most probable scenarios.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 8, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:13 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:44 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing eaves (iv) and (v).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing waves [iv] and [v] of 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v]. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves [iv] and [v].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 9, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:32 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:44 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v),wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If the supposition is true to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing wave [5] of v of (iii).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v], wave [iv] of which assumes the shape of a skewed triangle. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves [iv] and [v].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 10, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.




[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:35 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:45 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4.Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v),wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If the supposition is true to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing wave v of (iii).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6.Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7.Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8.Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of a diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v], wave [iv] of which assumes the shape of a horizontal triangle. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves [iv] and [v].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 11, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:41 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:30 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v),wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If the supposition is true to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing wave v of (iii).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete the downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend at the moment is developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v], wave [iv] of which is assuming the shape of an extended correction. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing waves [iv] and [v].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 12, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:51 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:31 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly-1208. In this forecast the most probable scenario from my point of view for each of the currency under consideration are specified.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
At the same time there is no confirmation of the completion of wave 4. If upward price movement continues transition to the alternate scenario isn’t ruled out.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Supposedly the downtrend in developing the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v), wave v of (iii) of which assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing of wave v of (iii).
At the same time if the critical level is broken transition to the alternate scenario isn’t ruled out.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing of wave 5, which might be assuming the shape of a diagonal triangle.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the uptrend is developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v], wave [iv] of which is assuming the shape of an extended correction. If this is the case to complete this diagonal triangle the price has to complete developing of waves [iv] and [v].
At the same time wave [iv] may transform into a flat having turned the current zigzag (y) into impulse (c) that will lead to the alternate scenario.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 15, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 14:58 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:32 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In spite of the local weakening of the US dollar during the last several days it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the downtrend is developing in the form of impulse 1-2-3-4-5. If this is the case to complete this impulse the price has to complete developing waves 4 and 5.
The projected area for the completion of wave 4 may serve a strong resistance level in the area of the 1.38 mark.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The downtrend might be developing in the form of impulse (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v), wave (iv) of which may be assuming the shape of a double (triple) three.
The projected area for the terminus of wave (iv) may serve a strong resistance level in the area of the 1.55 mark.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which apparently is assuming the shape of a diagonal triangle.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The uptrend might be developing in the form of diagonal triangle -[ii]-[iii]-[iv]-[v], wave [iv] of which might be assuming the shape of a zigzag.
The projected area for the terminus of wave [iv] mau serve a strong resistance level in the area of the 1.15 mark.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 16, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:11 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:32 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In spite of the local weakening of the US dollar during the last several days it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.

The euro’s rise during the last days increases the chances of zigzag scenario considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be expected before opening short positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.

The pound’s rise during the last days doesn’t rule out developing of wave (iv) in the form of expanded flat a-b-c of (iv). If this is the case we should expect the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave c of (iv) before opening short positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which might be assuming the shape of a diagonal triangle.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.

The decline of the Swiss franc during the last days increases the chances of the scenario with a triple zigzag considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case we should expect the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) before opening long positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 17, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:20 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:33 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In spite of the local weakening of the US dollar during the last several days it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The euro’s rise during the last days increases chances of zigzag scenario considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be confirmed before opening short positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The rise of the pound during the last days doesn’t rule out developing of wave (iv) in the form of expanded flat a-b-c of (iv). If this is the case the completion of the supposed wave c of (iv) should be confirmed before opening short positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which may turn to be not the most harmonious impulse.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The decline of the Swiss franc during the last days increases chances of the scenario with a triple zigzag considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be confirmed before opening long positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 18, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:24 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:35 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In spite of the local weakening of the US dollar during the last several days it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The euro’s rise during the last days increases chances of the zigzag scenario considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be confirmed before opening mid-term short positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The pound’s rise during the last days doesn’t rule out development of wave (iv) in the form of expanded flat a-b-c of (iv). If this is the case the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave c of (iv) should be expected before opening mid-term short positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5 that might turn to be not the most well-shaped impulse.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The decline of the Swiss franc during the last days increases the chances of the scenario with a triple zigzag considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be expected before opening mid-term long positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 19, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:26 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:35 | 显示全部楼层
Variants of possible ending of another round of the US dollar’s strengthening were considered in Monthly -1208. In my opinion in spite of the local weakening of the US dollar that will last for some time it is premature to speak of the completion of the trend in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The euro’s rise during the last days increases chances of the zigzag scenario considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case before opening mid-term short position confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be expected.
At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term long positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The pound’s rise during the last days doesn’t rule out developing of wave (iv) in the form of expanded flat a-b-c of (iv). If this is the case before opening mid-term short positions confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave c of (iv) should be expected.
At the moment the fourth wave (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term long positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing of wave 5 that might turn to be not the most well-shaped impulse.
At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term short positions.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The decline of the Swiss franc during the last days increases chances of the scenario with a triple zigzag considered in Monthly-1208. If this is the case before opening mid-term long positions confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave C of (X) should be expected.
At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term short positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 22, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.




[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:29 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:36 | 显示全部楼层
Most probably until the end of Catholic Christmas trading activity on the FX market will be thin.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term long positions. But the current correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

At the moment the fourth wave (iv) (or its part) might be completed. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term long positions. But the current correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which may turn to be not the most well-shaped impulse.
At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term short positions. But the current correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short-term short positions. But the current correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 23, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:31 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:37 | 显示全部楼层
Tomorrow is Christmas, and many traders are on vacation. That’s why the market activity will be thin today and tomorrow (European Union (EUR), Great Britain (GBP), Switzerland (CHF), USA (USD), Australia (AUD), Canada (CAD), New Zealand (NZD)).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short term long positions. But the current correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

At the moment the fourth wave (iv) (or its part) might be completed. If wave (iv) continues developing in the form of a triple three it gives good chances for opening short term long positions. But the current local correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing wave 5, which might turn to be not the most well shaped impulse.
At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short term short positions. But the current correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short term short positions. But the current correction may last until the end of Catholic Christmas.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 24, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-30 15:32 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:38 | 显示全部楼层
Catholic Christmas is over but on the last day of this working week some FX traders continues to rest and some of them have a part-time working day (refer to Trading terms and schedule for Christmas and New year hollidays). That’s why we shouldn’t expect special activity on the market.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short term long positions. But the current correction may last until the beginning of the next week.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

At the moment the fourth wave (iv) (or only its part) might be completed. If wave (iv) continues developing in the form of a triple three it gives good chances for opening short term long positions. But the current local correction may last until the beginning of the next week.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing of wave5 which might turn to be not the most well-shaped impulse.
At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short term short positions. But the current correction may last until the beginning of the next week.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short term short positions. But the current correction last to the beginning of the next week.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 26, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-28 13:31 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:39 | 显示全部楼层
Catholic Christmas is over and that’s why one should listen carefully to the waking up market. It isn’t ruled out that now wave patterns that will determine the shape and direction of the further long-term price movement will develop.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The fourth wave [iv] (or its first part ) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. But before choosing between given scenarios it is necessary to expect the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave (X).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

It isn’t ruled out that the fourth wave (iv) (or only its part) is completed. If wave (iv) continues developing in the form of a triple three it gives good chances for opening short term long positions. We have to wait patiently to see which variant the price will choose.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Supposedly in order to complete downward impulse 1-2-3-4-5 the price has to complete developing of wave 5, which might turn to be not the most well shaped impulse.
At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completing in the form of a zigzag. If this is the case it gives good chances for opening short term short positions.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1208 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

At the moment the fourth wave [iv] (or its first part) might be completed in the form of a zigzag. We have to wait patiently for the confirmation of the completion of the supposed wave (X).
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 29, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-28 13:34 编辑 ]

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