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MACD俱乐部»论坛 › ◇ 技术分析区 ◇ › 〖期货技术交流〗 › 一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手
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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 16:42 | 显示全部楼层
1) Supposedly the strengthening of the US dollar hasn’t completed yet.
2) The forecast for November was released yesterday (refer to Monthly-1108).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of Decline.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel and above the critical level. At the moment the ending wave of zigzag [v] of C of (W) might be developing.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel and above the critical level. At the moment the ending wave of zigzag (v) of [c] of Y might be developing.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The supposed impulse (A) of [5] completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes beyond the upper border of the channel of impulse (A) itself. At the moment the ending wave of impulse 5 of (A) might be developing.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel and below the critical level. At the moment the ending wave of zigzag [v] of C of (Y) might be developing.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 3, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-5-1 11:08 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:17 | 显示全部楼层
1) The traders who opened mid-term positions in the favor of the US dollar according to my recommendations (refer to Daily-301008), can close them with total profit of more than 2000 pips or to place closer trailing-stop orders as the situation on the small time-frames becomes indefinite.
2) Supposedly the strengthening of the US dollar hasn’t completed yet.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel. At the moment the ending wave of zigzag [v] of C of (W) might be developing.
At the same time the alternate variant isn’t ruled out as downward price movement during the last days can be interpreted as a zigzag not an impulse.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel. At the moment the ending wave of zigzag (v) of [c] of Y might be developing.
At the same time the alternate variant isn’t ruled out as downward price movement during the last days can be interpreted as a zigzag not an impulse.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The supposed impulse (A) of [5] completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes beyond the upper border of the channel of impulse (A) itself.
If upward price movement continues a switch to the alternate scenario (refer to Figure Y2 in Monthly-1108) isn’t ruled out.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 4, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-5-1 11:09 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:17 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the price trend in the favor of the USD hasn’t completed yet.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel.
At the moment the wave counting suggest a pair of main scenarios of further price movement on the small time-frames. According to one of them wave [v] of C may be assuming the shape of a downward diagonal triangle. The critical and confirmatory levels are plotted on the chart for this scenario. The other scenario doesn’t rule out that wave [iv] of C continues developing in the form of a horizontal correction.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel.
At the moment the wave counting suggest a pair of the main scenarios of the further price movement on the small time-frames. According to one of them wave (v) of [c] may be assuming the shape of a downward diagonal triangle. The critical and confirmatory levels plotted on the chart are for this scenario. The other one doesn’t rule out that wave (iv) of [c] continues developing in the form of a horizontal correction.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The supposed impulse (A) of [5] completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes beyond the upper border of impulse (A) itself.
If upward movement of the price continues a switch to the alternate scenario isn’t ruled out (refer to Figure Y2 in Monthly-1108).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel.
Further upward price movement synchronous with the movement of the European currencies may mean that wave [v] of C is developing an extension. The critical and confirmatory levels plotted on the chart are for this scenario. the other scenario doesn’t rule out that wave [iv] of C continues developing in the form of a horizontal correction.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 5, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-5-4 08:17 编辑 ]

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:18 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the long-term price trend in the favor of the USD hasn’t completed yet.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of Decline .


Figure 1. Wave couning on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave couning on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel.
At the moment the wave counting suggest a pair of scenarios of the further price movement on small time-frames. According to one of them wave [v] of C is assuming the shape of a downward diagonal triangle (refer to the charts in Daily-051108). The other scenario doesn’t rule out that wave [iv] of C continues developing in the form of a horizontal correction.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave couning on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave couning on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel.
At the moment the wave counting suggest a pair of the main scenarios of the further price movement on small time-frames. According to one of them wave (v) of [c] may be assuming the shape of a downward diagonal triangle (refer to the charts in Daily-051108). The other one doesn’t rule out that wave (iv) of [c] continues developing in the form of a horizontal correction.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave couning on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave couning on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

It isn’t rule out that in the framework of the alternate scenario corrective wave (B) of [5] is developing in the form of a supposed zigzag (refer to Monthly-1108). If the supposition is true the mid-term price rise will continue.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave couning on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave couning on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel.
The continuation of the upward price movement synchronous with the movement of other European currencies may mean that wave [v] of C is developing an extension. The critical and confirmatory levels plotted on the charts are for this scenario. The other scenario doesn’t rule out that wave [iv] of C continues developing in the form of a horizontal correction.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 6, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:19 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the long-term price trend in the favor of the USD hasn’t completed yet. At the moment on the back of this trend local correction against the dollar of about 400 pips is expected.
The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending stage of the US dollar’s strengthening will start Monday right after the above-mentioned correction. That’s why the forecast for Monday may be released earlier than usually in order not to miss the optimal entry point. 1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of channel.
At the moment the wave counting doesn’t rule out that wave [iv] of C continues developing in the form of a horizontal triangle.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel.
At the moment the wave counting doesn’t rule out that wave (iv) of [c] continues developing in the form of a skewed triangle.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The last wave construction allows several variants of counting one of which is shown on the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 6. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel.
The wave construction of the last days allows several variants of counting one of which doesn’t rule out that either the supposed wave B of (Y) is developing in the form of a skewed triangle or wave C of (Y) is assuming the shape of a diagonal triangle.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 7, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:20 | 显示全部楼层
1) The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending stage of the US dollar’s strengthening will start in the nearest future right after the completion of the correction that is considered in detail in the article Barrier and Other Triangles. the main levels and targets sufficient to making trading plans are also given in this article.
2) The traders who opened short-term positions against the US dollar according to my recommendations it is time to think about their closing with the total profit of several hundreds pips (refer to Daily-071108).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel. But for the sake of completeness the price has to build up the ending wave [v] of C.
At the moment wave [iv] of C might be completing in the form of a horizontal triangle.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel. But for the sake of completeness the price has to build up the ending wave (v) of [c].
At the moment wave (iv) of [c] might be completing in the form of a skewed triangle.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The last wave construction allows several variants of counting one of which is shown in the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel. But for the sake of completeness the price has to build up the ending wave [v] of C.
At the moment wave [iv] of C might be completing in the form of a barrier (horizontal) triangle.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 10, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:21 | 显示全部楼层
Suppositions given in the article Barrier and Other Triangles and Daily-101108 are confirmed. Traders who placed orders in advance according to my recommendations may take the first portion of profit and plan further trade in the favor of the US dollar.
But note please the critical levels indicated in the today’s forecast. In spite of the fact that the expected targets aren’t reached yet if the price crosses the critical levels it may mean the mid-term trend reversal against the US dollar and consequently the reversal of mid-term trading positions.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel and the critical level.
At the moment downward wave [v] of C might be developing. If the price passes the confirmatory levels it will increase the advantage of the main scenario. If the price crosses the critical level it may mean the completion of zigzag A-B-C of (W) and the trend reversal.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the upper border of the channel and the critical level.
At the moment downward wave (v) of [c] might be developing. If the price passes the confirmatory level it will increase the advantage of the main scenario. if the price crosses the critical level it may mean the completion of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y and the trend reversal.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The last wave construction allows several variants of counting one of which is given in the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes below the lower border of the channel and the critical level.
At the moment upward wave [v] of C might be developing. If the price passes the confirmatory level it will increase the advantage of the main scenario. if the price crosses the critical level it may mean the completion of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) and the trend reversal.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 11, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:22 | 显示全部楼层
The stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. The projected levels of its completion were considered in the article Barrier and Other Triangles .
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel and the critical level.
At the moment downward wave [v] of C might be developing.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel and the critical level.
At the moment downward wave (v) of [c] might be developing.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The last wave construction allows several variants of counting, the updated variant of which is given in the charts.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel and the critical level.
At the moment upward wave [v] of C might be developing.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 12, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:22 | 显示全部楼层
The sage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. The traders who opened mid-term positions in the favor of the US dollar according to my recommendations (refer to Barrier and Other Triangles and Daily-101108), it is time to think of closing positions with a snug profit.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel.
At the moment downward wave [v] of C might be developing.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the upper border of the channel.
At the moment downward wave (v) of [c] might be developing.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting one of which is given in the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) completes developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the lower border of the channel.
At the moment upward wave [v] of C might be developing.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 13, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:23 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completed. There remains for us to expect the confirmation of this. If the supposition is true the beginning of a new stage of the price movement should be expected — the development of a long-lasting correction against the USD (refer to the article Possible Depthe of the Decline).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The supposed zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.56..1.60 levels.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting one of which is shown in the charts. If the supposition is true uptrend to the 103 mark and may be further should be expected.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The supposed zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.14..1.12 levels.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 14, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:26 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is mainly completed. But the price may draw the ending strokes of the current wave pattern. In this case there remains to wait patiently for the development of the price trend reversal against the USD and the development of a possible long-lasting correction (refer to the article Possible Depth of the Decline).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Without canceling the variants of counting considered last week (refer to for example Daily-141108), I offer here a quite possible alternate scenario. Zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

Zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.56..1.60 levels.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting one of which is shown in the chart. If the supposition is true uptrend to the 103 mark, possibly in the form of a diagonal triangle C of (B) of [5], should be expected.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

Zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion may be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.14..1.12 levels.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 17, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:27 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. But the ending strokes of the current wave pattern don’t rule out price movement up to 500 pips. If this is the case mid-term positions in the favor of the USD may be rather profitable.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels. But for the completion of the supposed diagonal triangle [v] of C of (W) downward zigzag (v) of [v] of C of (W) to the 1.20 mark is needed.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.56..1.60 levels. But for the completion of the supposed impulse (v) of [c] of Y a downward impulse or diagonal triangle v of (v) of [c] of Y to the 1.45 mark is needed.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several contradictory variants of counting one of which is shown in the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the USD strengthening of the Japanese yen will follow. But this supposition requires its confirmation.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.14..1.12 levels. But for the completion of the supposed diagonal triangle [v] of C of (W) upward zigzag (v) of [v] of C of (W) to the 1.25 mark is needed.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 18, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:30 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. But the ending strokes of the current wave pattern don’t rule out price movement up to 500 pips. If this is the case mid-term positions in the favor of the USD may be rather profitable. But this supposition requires confirmation.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels. For the completion of the supposed diagonal triangle [v] of C of (W) downward zigzag (v) of [v] of C of (W) to the 1.20 mark is needed.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.56..1.60 levels. For the completion of the supposed impulse (v) of [c] of Y a downward impulse or diagonal triangle v of (v) of [c] of Y to the 1.45 mark is needed.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several contradictory variants of counting one of which is shown in the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the USD the strengthening of the Japanese yen will follow. But this supposition requires confirmation.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.14..1.12 levels. For the completion of the supposed diagonal triangle [v] of C of (W) upward zigzag (v) of [v] of C of (W) to the 1.25 mark is needed.
In case the price fixes below the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 19, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:31 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing.
Please note that price surges similar to the yesterday’s surge against the USD often complete extended corrections, sometimes distorting the geometry of the whole wave pattern (refer to the second column of table 3-1 in my book).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be developing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels. For the completion of the supposed diagonal triangle [v] of C of (W) the price has to build up downward zigzag (v) of [v] of C of (W). It should be taken into consideration that in such contracting diagonal triangles the fifth wave tends to break the lower generating line.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.56..1.60 levels. For the completion of the supposed impulse (v) of [c] of Y the price has to build up a downward impulse or diagonal triangle v of (v) of [c] of Y.
After the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several contradictory variants of counting one of which is shown in the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the USD the strengthening of the JPY will follow. To confirm this supposition the price has to build up downward impulse 5 of (A) of [5].
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.14..1.12 levels. To complete the supposed diagonal triangle [v] of C of (W) the price has to build up upward zigzag (v) of [v] of C of (W). It should be taken into consideration that in such contracting diagonal triangles the fifth wave tends to break the upper generating line.
In case the price fixes below the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 20, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:32 | 显示全部楼层
1) The traders who open positions according to my recommendations (refer to Daily-181108), can close them with the total profit of about 1000 pips.
2) Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. At the same time in the framework of alternate scenarios (refer to Figures 2, 4, 6, 8) the preceding trend preserves its direction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

Supposedly the development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) is completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels.
The price didn’t reach targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.53..1.55 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several contradictory variants of counting a pair of which is shown in the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the US dollar the strengthening of the Japanese yen will continue as well. To confirm this supposition the price has to build up a downward impulse or diagonal triangle 5 of (A) of [5].
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.16..1.12 levels.
The price didn’t reach targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 21, 2008
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:32 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. But in the framework of alternate scenarios (refer to Figures 2,4,6,8) the preceding trend preserves its direction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.28..1.30 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out further downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.53..1.55 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out further downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several rather contradictory variants of counting a pair of which is shown on the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the USD the strengthening of the Japanese yen will continue as well. To confirm this supposition the price has to build up a downward impulse or diagonal triangle 5 of (A) of [5].
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels.
The price didn’t reach targets projected earlier doesn’t rule out the continuation of the uptrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 24, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:33 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completing. In the framework of alternate scenarios the beginning of the ending wave of this trend is expected in the near term that may provide a good opportunity for opening positions in the favor of the USD.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 4. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the1.53..1.60 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario. The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the downtrend in the framework of the alternate scenario. The fact that MACD 5-34-5 entered positive territory is an additional argument in the favor of the completion of the fourth wave iv of the supposed impulse (v) of [c] of Y in the near term.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.



Figure 9. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several contradictory variants of counting a pair of which is given in the charts. It isn’t ruled out that along with the ending strengthening of the USD the strengthening of the Japanese yen will continue as well. To confirm this supposition the price has to build up a downward impulse or diagonal triangle 5 of (A) of [5].
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenario may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 10. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 11. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.



Figure 12. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completing. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels.
The price didn’t reach the targets projected earlier that doesn’t rule out the continuation of the uptrend in the framework of the alternate scenario. The fact that MACD 5-34-5 entered the negative territory is an additional argument in the favor of the completion of the fourth (iv) of the supposed impulse [v] of C of (Y) in the near term.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 25, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:34 | 显示全部楼层
1) It isn’t ruled out that another stage of the US dollar’s strengthening is completed. If the supposition is true a durable correction – horizontal or with an inclination against the dollar might develop.
2) the traders who chose the most risky way of play of placing orders in advance (см. Brief course on Elliott Wave Principle. Part 3. ) according to the alternate scenario (см. Daily-251108 ), it is better to close positions with a small profit and with the minimum losses before the wave counting is cleared up.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels. The developing upward impulse or [a] may be the beginning of a durable correction (X).
The alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled but its chances decreased considerably.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed in the price fixes above the 1.53..1.60 levels. The developing upward impulse (i) or (a) may be the beginning of a durable correction XX.
The alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet but its chances decreased considerably.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is given on the charts. At the moment both of them point to the weakening of the USD in the nearest future (the decline of USD/JPY), synchronous with the European currencies.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenarios may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels. The developing downward impulse or [a] may be the beginning of a durable correction (XX).
The alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled but its chances decreased considerably.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 26, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:35 | 显示全部楼层
It isn’t ruled out that another round of the US dollar’s strengthening is completed. If the supposition is true a durable correction – horizontal or with an inclination against the dollar might develop.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .


Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels. The developing upward impulse or [a] may be the beginning of a durable correction (X).
The possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of EUR/USD) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y is completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.53..1.60 levels. The developing upward impulse (i) or (a) may be the beginning of a durable correction XX.
The possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of GBP/USD) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is given in the charts. At the moment they both point to possible weakening of the USD (the decline of USD/JPY), synchronous with the European currencies in the nearest future.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenarios may be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dt.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels. The developing downward impulse or [a] may be the beginning of a durable correction (XX).
The possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the rise of USD/CHF) as the alternate scenario, considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 27, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.



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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:36 | 显示全部楼层
1) For the last several days there were several letters in which wave analysts pay attention to the fact that the terminus of the wave ii of (i) of [a] of GBP/USD went beyond the beginning of the impulse (i) (refer to Figure 4, below).
I would like to note that there is no breach of the rules here. The relative position of the main waves of a pattern is determined by their terminuses, while the component parts of the main waves can enter the «forbidden» territory. I wrote about this in 2004 году (refer to Some explanations) and mentioned in my book (page 197).


Figure i1. Wave counting draft on the doubtful section of GBP/USD.

Please note that in this case the terminus of wave [w] of ii and not the terminus of wave ii itself went beyond the beginning of wave i. from my pint of view such an intersection of waves is quite acceptable.
2) Forecast for December will be released this weekend.
3) It isn’t ruled out that another round of the US dollar’s strengthening is completed. If the supposition is true a durable correction – horizontal or with an inclination against the dollar might develop.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 1. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

The development of zigzag A-B-C of (W) might be completed. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes above the 1.31..1.33 levels. The developing uptrend may be the beginning of a durable correction (X).
At the same time the possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of EUR/USD)as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline .

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 1.

The development of zigzag [a]--[c] of Y is completed. Its completion will be confirmed if the price fixes above the 1.53..1.60 levels. The developing uptrend may be the beginning of a durable correction XX.
At the same time the possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the decline of GBP/USD) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3dt.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Possible alternate.

The current wave construction allows several variants of counting a pair of which is given in the charts. At the moment they both point to the US dollar’s weakening (the decline of USD/JPY), synchronous with the European currencies.
In case the price fixes above the critical level the current scenarios can be cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly -1108 and to the article Possible Depth of the Decline.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant 3dz.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3dz.

Supposedly the development of zigzag A-B-C of (Y) is completed. Its completion will be confirmed after the price fixes below the 1.18..1.16 levels. The developing downtrend may be the beginning of a durable correction (XX).
At the same time the possibility of the dollar’s strengthening (the rise of USD/CHF) as the alternate scenario considered earlier isn’t cancelled yet.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 28, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-29 11:47 编辑 ]

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