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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:17 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat B or 2 is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan upward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (v) of uptrend is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave iii of (v) is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan upward wave (v) is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat 2 is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (i) of downtrend (wave [c]) is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 26, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:18 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat B or 2 is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposedly, downward movement is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle. Currently wave (ii) of [c] forming is almost completed.

In the short-term plan downward wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposedly, upward movement is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle. Currently wave (ii) of [c] forming is almost completed.

In the short-term plan upward wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (v) of uptrend is supposed to be forming. As waves I of (v) and iii of (v) are almost equal in length, wave v may assume the shape of the extension. According to the alternate variant wave (v) may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Forming of wave iv of (v) is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan upward wave v of (v) is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat 2 is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Downward movement is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle. Currently wave (ii) of [c] forming is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan downward wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 27, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:19 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat B or 2 is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle, its wave (ii) of [c] is completed.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposedly, downward movement is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle. Currently wave (ii) of [c] forming is almost completed.

In the short-term plan downward wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle, its wave (ii) of [c] is completed.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposedly, upward movement is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle. Currently wave (ii) of [c] is completed.

In the short-term plan upward wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (v) of impulse [c] is supposed to be forming. It is probable that wave (v) is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle, its wave ii of (v) is completed.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposedly, upward movement is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle. Currently wave ii of (v) is completed.

In the short-term plan upward wave iii of (v) is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat 2 is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle, its wave (ii) of [c] is completed.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Downward movement is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle. Wave (ii) of [c] is completed.

In the short-term plan downward wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 28, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:19 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

USD strive for strengthening manifests itself in significant depth of second waves of supposed final diagonal triangles which keep forming. Price approaching to the critical levels increases probability of the alternate variants (given in the chart).

Though for full and clear wave picture before trend reverse to USD strengthening completion of the dollar fall in the shape of the diagonal triangle is desirable.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat B or 2 is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (v) of impulse [c] is supposed to be forming. It is probable that wave (v) is assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat 2 is supposed to be forming. Wave [c] may be assuming the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


5. USD/CAD


Variants of CAD fall before expected trend reverse upwards were already described in September this year (refer to USD/CAD fall may complete with an extension and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD)).



Figure 5. Wave counting on the daily chart.

According to the variant in Figure 5 wave (b) of [v] of the final zigzag of diagonal triangle 5 is assuming the shape of the horizontal triangle.

Targets adjustment with the help of the main waves of zigzag [v] is reasonable only after wave (b) completion. Preliminary, wave (c) of [v] ending may get into the projected area if its length makes about 62%... 78% of wave (a) of [v] length.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 29, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:20 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Currently it is difficult to make price forecasts as completion of correction construction, which has been forming since the mid of May, is not confirmed yet. Price projections of completion of the global movement against the dollar will be made after such a confirmation.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [z] of supposed triple (double) three X is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of wave X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of wave X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of wave X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (Figure 4) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X, is supposed to be almost completed (refer to Monthly-1006).

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 2, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:55 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

It is possible that currently final price movement against the dollar has begun. Though completion of correction construction, which has been forming since the mid of May, is not confirmed yet.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [z] of supposed triple three pattern X is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue, completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Waves of Z and [ii] of Z are supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.




Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle X completion is expected. Waves of Z and [ii] of Z are supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave (e) of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave [c] of Y), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle completion is expected. Waves (i) of [c] of Y and (ii) of [c] of Y are supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (refer to Figure 7 above) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X, is supposed to be almost completed (refer to Figure 5 in Monthly-1006).

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c] of 2), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Waves (i) of [c] of 2 and (ii) of [c] of 2 are supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 3, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:56 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

It is possible that currently final price movement against the dollar has begun. Though completion of the correction construction, which has been forming since the mid of May, is not confirmed yet.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [z] of supposed triple three pattern X is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue, completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.



3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave (e) of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave [c] of Y), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of Y is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.



4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (refer to Figure 7 above) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X (refer to Figure 5 in Monthly-1006), is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c] of 2), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of 2 is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 4, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:01 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Recent uncertainty of market participants may trigger forming of some horizontal wave construction, for example, final horizontal triangle which will complete many-week correction (refer to Figure v1).



Figure v1. Final horizontal triangles in the charts of USD/CHF and EUR/USD.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [z] of supposed triple three pattern X is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue, completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave (e) of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave [c] of Y), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of Y is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (refer to Figure 7 above) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X (refer to Figure Y5 in Monthly-1006), is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c] of 2), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of 2 is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 5, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:02 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Though many-week correction completion and beginning of the final price thrust against the dollar have not been confirmed yet. It is probable that correction will keep forming.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [z] of supposed triple three pattern X is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue, completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave (e) of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (refer to Figure 4 above) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X (refer to Figure Y5 in Monthly-1006), is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 6, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:03 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Though the worst apprehension, which has been expressed constantly, was confirmed: many-week correction keeps forming.

Currently another bifurcation point is forming (another forking). Once it is formed it will be clear which direction price chooses, whether my suppositions are confirmed or I should pass to the alternate variant. It is expected that the high, which is forming now, may be the ending of the many-week correction.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (e) of , forming now, may become the ending of the horizontal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% of the previous wave [a], is supposed to be almost completed. Such value is characteristic of extended or running flat forming.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 9, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:04 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Currently another bifurcation point is forming (another forking). Once it is formed it will be clear which direction price chooses. It is supposed that the high, which is forming now, may be the ending of the many-week correction.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 2.

In the short-term plan completion of correction X is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 4.

In the short-term plan completion of correction X is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (e) of , forming now, may become the ending of the horizontal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 6.

In the short-term plan completion of triangle is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% of the previous wave [a], is supposed to be almost completed. Such value is characteristic of extended or running flat forming.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 8.

In the short-term plan completion of wave is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 10, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:05 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Currently another bifurcation point is forming (another forking). Once it is formed it will be clear which direction price chooses. It is supposed that the high, which is forming now, may be the ending of the many-week correction.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (z) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed triple three.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% point and is approaching 162% of wave [a] length, is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 11, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:06 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. European currencies price has reached the significant resistance level having formed proportional patterns. Currently forming high is supposed to become the ending of many-week correction. Moreover it will be another bifurcation point, after which forming it will be clear what direction price chooses.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzaga-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (y) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed double three pattern. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% point and is approaching 162% of wave [a] length, is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 12, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:07 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. European currencies price has reached the significant resistance level having formed proportional patterns. Currently forming high is supposed to become the ending of many-week correction. Moreover it will be another bifurcation point, after which forming it will be clear what direction price chooses.

Completion of correction is not confirmed yet.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be completed. Though forming downward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending upward impulse c or first waves of downward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be completed. Though forming upward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending downward impulse c or first waves of upward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (y) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed double three pattern. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] may be completed. Though forming upward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending downward impulse [C] or first waves of upward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ) is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be completed. Though forming downward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending upward impulse c or first waves of downward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 13, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:08 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. European currencies price has reached the significant resistance level having formed proportional patterns. Though completion of many-week correction is not confirmed yet it may be stated that the wave structure was completed at the minor wave degree.

It is supposed that forming wave ending may be the ending of the whole many-week correction. Moreover it will be another bifurcation point, after which forming it will be clear what direction price chooses.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (y) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed double three pattern.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ) is supposed to be almost completed.

If this construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 16, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:28 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Forming of two-week final phase of many-week trend against the dollar is supposed to have started. Wave structure and depth of this movement may suggest the scenario of price further movement.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed already.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to have formed.

If this construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 17, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 15:23 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Forming of two-week final phase of many-week trend against the dollar is supposed to have started. Wave structure and depth of this movement may suggest the scenario of price further movement.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed already.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to have formed.

If this construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 18, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-19 15:37 编辑 ]
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:12 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave Z are supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave ii of (a) of Z of downtrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct short positions opening is possible on wave iii.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave Z are supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave ii of (a) of Z of uptrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct long positions opening is possible on wave iii.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of [c] of Y of uptrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct long positions opening is possible on wave (iii).

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

If the last construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of [c] of 2 of downtrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct short positions opening is possible on wave (iii).

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 19, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:13 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave Z are supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current downward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse or zigzag.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave Z are supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current upward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse or zigzag.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave [c] are supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first corrective waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

If the last construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first downward waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.



Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 20, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:14 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current downward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse (a) or zigzag (w).

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current upward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse (a) or zigzag (w).

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave [c] is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first corrective waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

If the last construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first downward waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 23, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

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