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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:18 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (c) of flat is supposed to be forming. In case the supposition is correct it may assume the shape of impulse or diagonal triangle. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Upward pattern, formed recently, may be either an impulse (in case final upward wave [5] of i is formed) or “three” [A]-[B]-[C] of i (in case wave i forming is completed and correction ii is already forming). The type of the forming final wave, either it will be an impulse or a diagonal triangle (shown in grey color) will depend on it and on the depth of corrections ii and iv.

In the short-term plan final wave (c) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (c) of flat is supposed to be forming. In case the supposition is correct it may assume the shape of impulse or diagonal triangle. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Downward pattern, formed recently, may be either an impulse (in case final downward wave [5] of i is formed) or “three” [A]-[B]-[C] of i (in case wave i forming is completed and correction ii is already forming). The type of the forming final wave, either it will be an impulse or a diagonal triangle (shown in grey color) will depend on it and on the depth of corrections ii and iv.

In the short-term plan final wave (c) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective downward correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposed wave is assuming the shape of complicated downward corrective structure, a variety of wave counting variants is supposed. In this case channel edges and main corrective waves should be taken into consideration.

In the short-term plan forming of the final waves of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective upward correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposed wave is assuming the shape of complicated upward corrective structure, a variety of wave counting variants is supposed. In this case channel edges and main corrective waves should be taken into consideration.

In the short-term plan forming of the final waves of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 23, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:19 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The described currency pairs formed a very interesting wave picture, especially EUR and CHF. In the charts of USDCHF and EURUSD corrective wave in the shape of supposed flat has not reached its basic levels to be considered a completed flat or extended flat.

At the same time with the minimum set of waves in these patterns price has reached the level where this correction may be considered to be a running flat signifying immediate beginning of a strong price movement against the dollar.

This supposition will be confirmed in case new trend will begin with an impulse rather than corrective wave pattern. Otherwise I expect corrective wave to continue its forming.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First impulse of the final wave (c) of flat is almost completed. Its ending may be either the ending of the whole correction (this variant is given in grey color, running flat) or it may be the ending of the first sub-wave i of (c) of .

In the first case price should fall in the impulse mode, in the second case in the corrective mode. Both variants are equally probable.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Nevertheless, expected price movement is downward.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First impulse of the final wave (c) of flat is almost completed. Its ending may be either the ending of the whole correction (this variant is given in grey color, running flat) or it may be the ending of the first sub-wave i of (c) of .

In the first case price should rise in the impulse mode, in the second case in the corrective mode. Both variants are equally probable.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Nevertheless, expected price movement is upward.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Nevertheless, expected price movement is downward.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 24, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:20 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Corrective wave keeps forming.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat keeps forming, its completion is expected at the end of next week.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat keeps forming, its completion is expected at the end of next week.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan completion of wave (y) is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave (y) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 25, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:21 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Forming of corrective wave is supposed to complete one of these days this week in accordance with Monthly-0806.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan completion of wave (y) of is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave (y) of completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 28, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:29 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Forming of corrective wave is supposed to complete one of these days this week in accordance with Monthly-0806.

Though judging by wave structure of EUR and CHF the top of wave may be already formed on August 25.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed. Though it is also probable that the first waves of a new downward trend have formed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Downward impulse of a new trend may be forming.

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed. Though it is also probable that the first waves of a new upward trend have formed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. Upward impulse of a new trend may be forming.

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan completion of wave (y) of is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave (y) of completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 29, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:30 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Supposition that wave of Z is completed, that is that trend reversed against the dollar, is confirmed (refer to Daily-290806). Possible targets of final wave of zigzag [c] of Z will be given in September Wave Analysis this weekend.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is given in the chart. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 30, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:31 | 显示全部楼层
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September Wave Analysis will be released this weekend (02-03.09.2006) as September begins on Friday.

Introduction

Wave structures of the European currencies are quite similar at this stage of development of supposed third wave (iii) of final impulse [c].

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. The third wave (iii) of impulse is supposed to be forming. In the projection of this wave 110% of wave (i) length is marked. At this level Robert Balan advised to be aggressive in increase of positions.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. The third wave (iii) of impulse is supposed to be forming. In the projection of this wave 110% of wave (i) length is marked. At this level Robert Balan advised to be aggressive in increase of positions.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. The third wave (iii) of impulse is supposed to be forming. In the projection of this wave 110% of wave (i) length is marked. At this level Robert Balan advised to be aggressive in increase of positions.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart. First waves of downtrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 31, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:02 | 显示全部楼层
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September Wave Analysis will be released this weekend (02-03.09.2006) as September begins on Friday.

Introduction

Wave structures of the European currencies are quite similar at this stage of development of supposed third wave (iii) of final impulse [c]. That is why their alternate scenarios are also similar.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. The third wave (iii) of impulse is supposed to be forming. According to the alternate variant supposed impulse [c] may begin with wave (i) in the shape of the wedge.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. The third wave (iii) of impulse is supposed to be forming. According to the alternate variant supposed impulse [c] may begin with wave (i) in the shape of the wedge.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. The third wave (iii) of impulse is supposed to be forming. According to the alternate variant supposed impulse [c] may begin with wave (i) in the shape of the wedge.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are expected to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart. First waves of downtrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 1, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:02 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of [c] is supposed to be completed. First three waves of the third wave (iii) of [c] of impulse are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of [c] is supposed to be completed. First three waves of the third wave (iii) of [c] of impulse are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of [c] is supposed to be completed. First three waves of the third wave (iii) of [c] of impulse are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Adjusted variant of wave counting supposes that corrective wave 2 of upward impulse (C) is forming (refer to Monthly-0906).

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart. First waves of downward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan wave [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 4, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:03 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Final prices movement against the dollar, described in Monthly-0906, is still expected.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to form once correction of Z is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Impulse [C] of y of double zigzag (y) is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan completion of corrective wave is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to form once correction of Z is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Impulse [C] of y of double zigzag (y) is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan completion of corrective wave is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the single zigzag pattern is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is expected to form once correction (iv) of [c] is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Impulse c of zigzag (iv) is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan completion of correction (iv) is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

According to the current variant of wave counting corrective wave 2 of upward impulse (C) is forming (refer to Monthly-0906).

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of impulse [c] is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan downward impulse [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 11, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:08 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Final prices movement against the dollar, described in Monthly-0906, is still expected.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and further forming of downward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c]) are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion and further forming of downward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and further forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave [c]) are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion and further forming of upward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the single zigzag pattern is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction (iv) of [c] completion and further forming of upward wave (v) of [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave (v)) are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction (iv) completion and further forming of upward wave (v) are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is almost completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction of 2 is expected. Downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Final waves of zigzag (y) are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Downward wave [c] is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 12, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:09 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Final prices movement against the dollar, described in Monthly-0906, is still expected.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective correction of Z completion is supposed to be confirmed. Downward wave [c] of Z is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The fact that price has crossed the critical level supposes changing of the wave counting. One of possible variants, where wave (y) assumes the shape of the zigzag, is given in the chart. Though wave (y) still may continue to transfer into the triple zigzag.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion and forming of downward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants, where wave (y) assumes the shape of the zigzag, is given in the chart. Though wave (y) still may continue to transfer into the triple zigzag.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion and forming of upward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the single zigzag pattern is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction (iv) of [c] completion and further forming of upward wave (v) of [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave (v)) are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction (iv) completion and further forming of upward wave (v) are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is supposed to be almost completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction of 2 is expected. Downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Downward wave [c] is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 13, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:09 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Final prices movement against the dollar, described in Monthly-0906, is still expected. Beginning of final movement against the dollar (wave [c]) is just a supposition before completion of supposed correction (refer to Point 1 of the Note below) is not confirmed.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective correction of Z completion is supposed to be confirmed. Downward wave [c] of Z is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the single zigzag pattern is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is supposed to be completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 14, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:11 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Final prices movement against the dollar, described in Monthly-0906, is still expected. Beginning of final movement against the dollar (wave [c]) is just a supposition before completion of supposed correction (refer to Point 1 of the Note below) is not confirmed.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective correction of Z completion is supposed to be confirmed. Downward wave [c] of Z is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the single zigzag pattern is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is supposed to be completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat. It is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 15, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:13 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Adjusted variants of wave counting are given in Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD).

Final prices movement against the dollar, described in Monthly-0906, is still expected.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave of flat B or 2 is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of B or 2 completion is expected. Downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-060906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the single zigzag pattern is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is supposed to be completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat. It is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 18, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:14 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Adjusted variants of wave counting are given in Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD).

Final prices movement against the dollar, described in Monthly-0906, is still expected.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave of flat B or 2 is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of B or 2 completion is expected. Downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c]) are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective confirmation of correction completion and further forming of downward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave [c]) are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective confirmation of correction completion and further forming of upward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the zigzag is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming. For details refer to Figure 6.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Forming of first waves i and ii of uptrend (wave (v)) is supposed to be completed.

In the short-term perspective forming of upward wave (v) is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is supposed to be completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat. It is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c]) are expect to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of upward wave (v) is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.
In the short-term perspective confirmation of correction completion and further forming of downward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 19, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:15 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Market participants uncertainty may be explained by expectations of the Fed rates announcement (today at 22:15 (Moscow time)).

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave of flat B or 2 is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of B or 2 completion is expected. Downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and further forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the ordinary zigzag is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is supposed to be completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat. It is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 20, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:15 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave of flat B or 2 is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of B or 2 completion is expected. Downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend are supposed to be forming (wave [c]).

In the short term plan confirmation of correction completion and further forming of downward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave of zigzag Z in the shape of the double three pattern is supposed to be completed. Though it is not confirmed yet.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of correction of Z completion and further forming of upward wave [c] of Z are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend are supposed to be forming (wave [c]).

In the short term plan confirmation of correction completion and further forming of upward wave [c] are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of corrective wave (iv) of [c] in the shape of the ordinary zigzag is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Forming of first waves i and ii of uptrend (wave (v)) is supposed to be completed.

In the short-term plan forming of upward wave (v) is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave of correction 2 is supposed to be completed, it is assuming the shape of the flat.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend are supposed to be forming (wave [c]).

In the short term plan downward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 21, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:16 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat B or 2 is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan upward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (v) of uptrend is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave iii of (v) is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan upward wave (v) is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat 2 is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave iii (or (iii)) of downtrend (wave [c]) is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 22, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:17 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat B or 2 is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of B or 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of zigzag Z is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (iii) of [c] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan upward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (v) of uptrend is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave (v) of [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave iii of (v) is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan upward wave (v) is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave [c] of flat 2 is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of 2 is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave iii (or (iii)) of downtrend (wave [c]) is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downward wave [c] is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 25, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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