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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 06:48 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Price has not broken the trend channel of corrective wave X yet. Alternate variant is still possible, wave X may keep forming in the shape of the triple three pattern. It is shown in the chart in grey color.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. The third wave of impulse is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective completion of wave (iii) is expected. Correction (iv) is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. The third wave of impulse is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective completion of wave (iii) is expected. Correction (iv) is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Third wave of impulse is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective completion of wave (iii) is expected. Correction (iv) is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 4, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 06:49 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Price is balancing at the edge of the trend channel of corrective wave X. So alternate variant is still possible, wave X may keep forming in the shape of the triple three pattern. It is shown in the chart in grey color.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 2. Impulse [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 4. Impulse [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The last formed wave structure marks GBP out from the European currencies. Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 6. Wave [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective trend against the dollar is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Impulse [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 5, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 06:50 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Yesterday zigzag in favor of the dollar was formed, it may transform into an impulse (only final price thrust in favor of USD is required for it). In case it happens this impulse will be a serious signal of shift to the alternate scenario with wave X in the shape of the triple zigzag (refer to Another Bifurcation Point).

Wave structure, bent slightly against the dollar, which was formed by price overnight, is not completed yet. Its very final set of waves will specify either it is a corrective forth wave of the impulse mentioned above or beginning of wave (v) of [a] (refer to 120 min charts).

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 2. Impulse [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 4. Impulse [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The formed wave structure marks GBP out from the European currencies. Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 6. Wave [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 8.

In the short-term perspective wave picture is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 6, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 06:51 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

The main variant becomes less possible every day. Note the way of forming of GBP and JPY trend channels in favor of the dollar. In case this tendency continues I will have to move to the alternate scenario with wave X in the shape of the triple zigzag (refer to Another bifurcation point).

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 2. Impulse [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 4. Impulse [a] is supposed to be forming.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The formed wave structure marks GBP out from the European currencies. Quite ambiguous supposed impulse and forming trend channel in favor of the dollar make me uneasy. In case this tendency continues I will have to move to the alternate scenario.

In the short-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Quite rough supposed impulse [a] and forming trend channel in favor of the dollar make me uneasy. In case this tendency continues I will have to move to the alternate scenario.

In the short-term perspective wave picture is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 7, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 06:52 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

On Friday situation was favourable for the main variant and price almost completed supposed impulse [a]. In case the last wave of this impulse does not form the extension, tricky wave may form soon.

The alternate scenario with continuation of wave X forming in the shape of the triple zigzag (refer to Another bifurcation point) is still possible, though it has modified a bit.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome slightly the edge of the corrective channel.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of impulse [a] completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Extension in wave (v) of [a] may form.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome slightly the edge of the corrective channel.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of impulse [a] completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Extension in wave (v) of [a] may form.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome slightly the edge of the corrective channel.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of impulse [a] or [w] completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. In case supposition of zigzag [a] or [w] forming is correct, price may reach 1.8700.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome the edge of the corrective channel.

In the mid-term perspective confirmation of impulse [a] completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 8.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of impulse [a] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 10, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 06:56 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Yesterday price did nor form extension in impulse [a], quite rough final wave was left. Several variants of wave counting are possible because of almost horizontal structure, which has been forming since the beginning of the last week. Two most probable from my point of view scenarios are given in the correspondent sections.

The alternate scenario with continuation of wave X forming in the shape of the triple zigzag (refer to Another bifurcation point) is still possible, though it has modified a bit.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome slightly the edge of the corrective channel.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 2.

In the short-term perspective completion of wave is expected . Supposed wave [c] is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome slightly the edge of the corrective channel.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 4.

In the short-term perspective completion of wave is expected . Supposed wave [c] is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome slightly the edge of the corrective channel.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 6.

In the short-term perspective completion of wave is expected . Supposed wave [c] is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has overcome the edge of the corrective channel. Downtrend is forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Another possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 8.

In the short-term perspective forming of finishing waves of double zigzag [w] is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 11, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 06:59 | 显示全部楼层
Notice

1). Visit EWI's Free Week. It starts at www.elliottwave.com on July 12 at 5 pm Eastern. Though there is no FOREX market survey in the Free Week program, analysis and forecasts of experts are of great interest.




2). I will be on vocation till August 14.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has not broken the edge of the channel, it seems to be gathering momentum.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has not broken the edge of the channel yet, it seems to be gathering momentum.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price is gathering momentum to break the edge of the channel.
In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, July, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has broken the edge of the corrective channel. Downtrend is forming.
In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 12, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:00 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

According to the main scenario wide correction (wave ) may be expected before the beginning of September (refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006). Its first wave (a) is supposed to be completed already.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has reached 50% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of flat, that is why its further deepening in the shape of zigzag is hardly probable.

In the short-term plan forming of downward part of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has almost reached 50% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of flat, that is why its further deepening in the shape of zigzag is hardly probable.

In the short-term plan forming of upward part of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has reached only 24% of Fibo level. The depth of such a retracement and price testing of the lower edge of the channel are characteristic of the fourth waves of impulse, that is why we can not be sure that wave [a] is completed. That is why final upward impulse (diagonal triangle) (v) of [a] is probable (the alternate variant is given in the upper part of the chart).

In the mid-term perspective correction is expected to keep forming. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 6. Nevertheless the nearest expected movement is expected to be upward.

In the short-term plan forming of upward part of correction or final impulse (diagonal triangle) is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has reached 62% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of zigzag, that is why its further deepening in the shape of double/triple zigzag is probable.

In the short-term plan forming of downward part of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 14, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:00 | 显示全部楼层
EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY: Brief Results

At the end of March 2006 in article Japanese triangles adjusted EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY forecasts were given. When I was taking the sun the pairs reached the projected levels. For the result refer to Figures i1..i4 below.



Figure i1. Final monthly chart of EUR/JPY.



Figure i2. Final weekly chart of EUR/JPY.

Note a large number of supposed skewed triangles in this part of the chart (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).



Figure i3. Final monthly chart of GBP/JPY.



Figure i4. Final weekly chart of GBP/JPY.


Introduction

I suppose that the reversal high of the local trend is forming currently.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has reached 50% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

Resistance level tested by RSI with the price at the base line of the trend channel may be treated as an additional signal in favor of the local trend downward reverse.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of flat, that is why its further deepening in the shape of zigzag is hardly probable.

In the short-term plan confirmation of wave (a) completion and forming of downward part of correction are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has almost reached 50% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

Resistance level tested by RSI with the price at the base line of the trend channel may be treated as an additional signal in favor of the local trend upward reverse.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of flat, that is why its further deepening in the shape of zigzag is hardly probable.

In the short-term plan confirmation of wave (a) completion and forming of upward part of correction are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has reached only 24% of Fibo level. The depth of such a retracement and price testing of the lower edge of the channel are characteristic of the fourth waves of impulse, that is why we can not be sure that wave [a] is completed. That is why final upward impulse (diagonal triangle) (v) of [a] is probable (the alternate variant is given in the upper part of the chart).

Resistance level tested by RSI with the price at the base line of the trend channel may be treated as an additional signal in favor of the local trend upward reverse.

In the mid-term perspective correction is expected to keep forming. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 6. Nevertheless the nearest expected movement is expected to be upward.

In the short-term plan confirmation of wave (a) completion and forming of upward part of correction or final impulse (diagonal triangle) are expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has reached 62% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of zigzag, that is why its further deepening in the shape of double/triple zigzag is probable.

In the short-term plan confirmation of wave (a) completion and forming of downward part of correction are expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 15, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:02 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has overpassed 50% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of flat, that is why its further deepening in the shape of zigzag is hardly probable. First waves of downward wave (b) are supposed to be forming. In case this supposition is correct it may be either a "three" pattern or a zigzag.

In the short-term plan downward part of correction is expected to form. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has almost reached 50% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of flat, that is why its further deepening in the shape of zigzag is hardly probable. First waves of upward wave (b) are supposed to be forming. In case this supposition is correct it may be either a "three" pattern or a zigzag.

In the short-term plan forming of upward part of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has reached only 24% of Fibo level. The depth of such a retracement and price testing of the lower edge of the channel are characteristic of the fourth waves of impulse, that is why we can not be sure that wave [a] is completed. That is why final upward impulse (diagonal triangle) (v) of [a] is probable (the alternate variant is given in the upper part of the chart).

In the mid-term perspective correction is expected to keep forming. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 6. The last downward movement may be treated as quite decent impulse (a). In case the supposition is correct after retracement of supposed wave (b) to 1.9030.. 1.9100 downward impulse or diagonal triangle may be expected again.

In the short-term plan forming of upward part of correction or final impulse (diagonal triangle) is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Correction (or its part) has overpassed 62% level. In case correction is not completed it will probably keep forming horizontally. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first “Three” pattern of correction is supposed to be formed in the shape of zigzag, that is why its further deepening in the shape of double/triple zigzag is probable. First waves of downward wave (b) are supposed to be forming. In case this supposition is correct it may be only a "three" pattern.

In the short-term plan forming of downward part of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 16, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.
金币:
奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:04 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) is forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first leg a of (b) of downward zigzag (b) is supposed to be formed already. In case the supposition is correct once corrective wave-link b of (b) is formed downward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected to form.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) is forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first leg a of (b) of upward zigzag (b) is supposed to be formed already. In case the supposition is correct once corrective wave-link b of (b) is formed upward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected to form.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) is supposed to keep forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first leg a of (b) of upward zigzag (b) is supposed to be formed already. In case the supposition is correct once corrective wave-link b of (b) is formed upward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected to form.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) is supposed to keep forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

The first leg a of (b) of downward zigzag (b) is supposed to be formed already. In case the supposition is correct once corrective wave-link b of (b) is formed downward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected to form. The alternate variant is shown in grey color in the chart.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 17, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:15 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) keeps forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave-link b of (b) is supposed to be forming, once it is completed forming of downward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) keeps forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave-link b of (b) is supposed to be forming, once it is completed forming of upward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) is supposed to keep forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Tricky wave (b) is supposed to be forming. In case the supposition is correct once wave b of (b) is completed forming of upward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected.

In the short-term plan supposed wave (b) is expected to keep forming. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) is supposed to keep forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave-link b of (b) is supposed to be forming, once it is completed forming of downward impulse (or diagonal triangle) may be expected.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 18, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:16 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) keeps forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Final leg c of (b) of zigzag (b) is expected to be forming. In case the supposition is correct price may reach 1.2140 if ideal pattern forms.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) keeps forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Final leg c of (b) of zigzag (b) is expected to be forming. In case the supposition is correct price may reach 1.2960 if ideal pattern forms.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of wave (a) or (w) is supposed to be completed. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal or downward correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

According to the adjusted variant of wave counting wave (b) or (x) began to form. In case the supposition is correct price should not break the critical level.

In the short-term plan supposed wave (b) or (x) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Corrective wave (b) is supposed to keep forming. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Final leg c of (b) of zigzag (b) is expected to be forming. In case the supposition is correct price may reach 114.00 if proportional pattern forms.

In the short-term plan supposed zigzag (b) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 21, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:17 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has fulfilled the minimal requirements for wave (b) of flat. Final wave (c) of flat may be forming. In case the supposition is correct , it may assume the shape of impulse or diagonal triangle. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Yesterday price has reached the lower edge of the zigzag channel, having formed packaged impulse c. Though the ending of this wave may be the ending either of the whole wave (b) or of its first sub-wave [1] of c of (b).

In the short-term plan confirmation of wave (b) completion and continuation of the final wave (c) forming are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Price has fulfilled the minimal requirements for wave (b) of flat. Final wave (c) of flat may be forming. In case the supposition is correct , it may assume the shape of impulse or diagonal triangle. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Yesterday price has reached the upper edge of the zigzag channel, having formed packaged impulse c. Though the ending of this wave may be the ending either of the whole wave (b) or of its first sub-wave [1] of c of (b).

In the short-term plan confirmation of wave (b) completion and continuation of the final wave (c) forming are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective downward correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposed wave is assuming the shape of complicated downward corrective structure, a variety of wave counting variants is presupposed. In this case channel edges and main corrective waves should be taken into account.

In the short-term plan forming of the final waves of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective upward correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposed wave is assuming the shape of complicated upward corrective structure, a variety of wave counting variants is presupposed. In this case channel edges and main corrective waves should be taken into account.

In the short-term plan forming of the final waves of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 22, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:18 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (c) of flat is supposed to be forming. In case the supposition is correct it may assume the shape of impulse or diagonal triangle. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Upward pattern, formed recently, may be either an impulse (in case final upward wave [5] of i is formed) or “three” [A]-[B]-[C] of i (in case wave i forming is completed and correction ii is already forming). The type of the forming final wave, either it will be an impulse or a diagonal triangle (shown in grey color) will depend on it and on the depth of corrections ii and iv.

In the short-term plan final wave (c) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final wave (c) of flat is supposed to be forming. In case the supposition is correct it may assume the shape of impulse or diagonal triangle. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective horizontal correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Downward pattern, formed recently, may be either an impulse (in case final downward wave [5] of i is formed) or “three” [A]-[B]-[C] of i (in case wave i forming is completed and correction ii is already forming). The type of the forming final wave, either it will be an impulse or a diagonal triangle (shown in grey color) will depend on it and on the depth of corrections ii and iv.

In the short-term plan final wave (c) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective downward correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposed wave is assuming the shape of complicated downward corrective structure, a variety of wave counting variants is supposed. In this case channel edges and main corrective waves should be taken into consideration.

In the short-term plan forming of the final waves of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective upward correction is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Supposed wave is assuming the shape of complicated upward corrective structure, a variety of wave counting variants is supposed. In this case channel edges and main corrective waves should be taken into consideration.

In the short-term plan forming of the final waves of correction is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 23, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:19 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The described currency pairs formed a very interesting wave picture, especially EUR and CHF. In the charts of USDCHF and EURUSD corrective wave in the shape of supposed flat has not reached its basic levels to be considered a completed flat or extended flat.

At the same time with the minimum set of waves in these patterns price has reached the level where this correction may be considered to be a running flat signifying immediate beginning of a strong price movement against the dollar.

This supposition will be confirmed in case new trend will begin with an impulse rather than corrective wave pattern. Otherwise I expect corrective wave to continue its forming.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First impulse of the final wave (c) of flat is almost completed. Its ending may be either the ending of the whole correction (this variant is given in grey color, running flat) or it may be the ending of the first sub-wave i of (c) of .

In the first case price should fall in the impulse mode, in the second case in the corrective mode. Both variants are equally probable.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Nevertheless, expected price movement is downward.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First impulse of the final wave (c) of flat is almost completed. Its ending may be either the ending of the whole correction (this variant is given in grey color, running flat) or it may be the ending of the first sub-wave i of (c) of .

In the first case price should rise in the impulse mode, in the second case in the corrective mode. Both variants are equally probable.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Nevertheless, expected price movement is upward.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Nevertheless, expected price movement is downward.

In the short-term plan wave picture is supposed to become clearer, one of the variants is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 24, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:20 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Corrective wave keeps forming.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat keeps forming, its completion is expected at the end of next week.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat keeps forming, its completion is expected at the end of next week.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan completion of wave (y) is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave (y) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 25, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:21 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Forming of corrective wave is supposed to complete one of these days this week in accordance with Monthly-0806.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. There are two most probable scenarios of development of impulse (c) final waves: the fifth wave assumes the shape of the diagonal triangle or the fourth wave assumes the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed Triangles in FX (EWA)).

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart.

In the short-term plan completion of wave (y) of is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave (y) of completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 28, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:29 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Forming of corrective wave is supposed to complete one of these days this week in accordance with Monthly-0806.

Though judging by wave structure of EUR and CHF the top of wave may be already formed on August 25.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed. Though it is also probable that the first waves of a new downward trend have formed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants are given in the chart. Downward impulse of a new trend may be forming.

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final impulse (c) of supposed flat is almost completed. Though it is also probable that the first waves of a new upward trend have formed.

In the mid-term perspective completion of flat is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are given in the chart. Upward impulse of a new trend may be forming.

In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of downward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level. Alternate variant of wave counting is given in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan completion of wave (y) of is expected. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of upward corrective wave continues. Ending of the second wave-link X is the critical level.

In the mid-term perspective completion of correction and trend reverse against the dollar are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan wave (y) of completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 29, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 07:30 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Supposition that wave of Z is completed, that is that trend reversed against the dollar, is confirmed (refer to Daily-290806). Possible targets of final wave of zigzag [c] of Z will be given in September Wave Analysis this weekend.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective upward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is given in the chart. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2006, Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final impulse [c] of supposed zigzag Z are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downward wave [c] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants is given in the chart. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan wave (iii) is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 30, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

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