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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 09:56 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

It is possible that currently final price movement against the dollar has begun. Though completion of the correction construction, which has been forming since the mid of May, is not confirmed yet.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [z] of supposed triple three pattern X is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue, completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.



3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave (e) of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave [c] of Y), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of Y is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.



4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (refer to Figure 7 above) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X (refer to Figure 5 in Monthly-1006), is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c] of 2), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of 2 is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 4, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:01 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Recent uncertainty of market participants may trigger forming of some horizontal wave construction, for example, final horizontal triangle which will complete many-week correction (refer to Figure v1).



Figure v1. Final horizontal triangles in the charts of USD/CHF and EUR/USD.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [z] of supposed triple three pattern X is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue, completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave Z), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Supposed wave [iii] of Z is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave (e) of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of uptrend (wave [c] of Y), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of triangle completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of Y is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (refer to Figure 7 above) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X (refer to Figure Y5 in Monthly-1006), is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

First waves of downtrend (wave [c] of 2), which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Supposed wave (iii) of [c] of 2 is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 5, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:02 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Though many-week correction completion and beginning of the final price thrust against the dollar have not been confirmed yet. It is probable that correction will keep forming.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [z] of supposed triple three pattern X is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is expected to continue, completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave [e] of supposed horizontal triangle X is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Forming of final wave (e) of supposed horizontal triangle is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend (wave Z) are forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue, completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3, which may be either a triple zigzag in the extended flat 2 (refer to Figure 4 above) or a diagonal triangle of the final leg of zigzag X (refer to Figure Y5 in Monthly-1006), is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 6, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:03 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Though the worst apprehension, which has been expressed constantly, was confirmed: many-week correction keeps forming.

Currently another bifurcation point is forming (another forking). Once it is formed it will be clear which direction price chooses, whether my suppositions are confirmed or I should pass to the alternate variant. It is expected that the high, which is forming now, may be the ending of the many-week correction.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (e) of , forming now, may become the ending of the horizontal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% of the previous wave [a], is supposed to be almost completed. Such value is characteristic of extended or running flat forming.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 9, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:04 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Currently another bifurcation point is forming (another forking). Once it is formed it will be clear which direction price chooses. It is supposed that the high, which is forming now, may be the ending of the many-week correction.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 2.

In the short-term plan completion of correction X is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], forming now, may turn out to be the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 4.

In the short-term plan completion of correction X is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (e) of , forming now, may become the ending of the horizontal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective completion of triangle is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 6.

In the short-term plan completion of triangle is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% of the previous wave [a], is supposed to be almost completed. Such value is characteristic of extended or running flat forming.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in Figure 8.

In the short-term plan completion of wave is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 10, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:05 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Currently another bifurcation point is forming (another forking). Once it is formed it will be clear which direction price chooses. It is supposed that the high, which is forming now, may be the ending of the many-week correction.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:


1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [z], which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (z) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed triple three.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% point and is approaching 162% of wave [a] length, is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 11, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:06 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. European currencies price has reached the significant resistance level having formed proportional patterns. Currently forming high is supposed to become the ending of many-week correction. Moreover it will be another bifurcation point, after which forming it will be clear what direction price chooses.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzaga-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (y) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed double three pattern. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ), which has reached 127% point and is approaching 162% of wave [a] length, is supposed to be almost completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 12, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:07 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. European currencies price has reached the significant resistance level having formed proportional patterns. Currently forming high is supposed to become the ending of many-week correction. Moreover it will be another bifurcation point, after which forming it will be clear what direction price chooses.

Completion of correction is not confirmed yet.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be completed. Though forming downward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending upward impulse c or first waves of downward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be completed. Though forming upward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending downward impulse c or first waves of upward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (y) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed double three pattern. Wave counting has been adjusted slightly.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] may be completed. Though forming upward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending downward impulse [C] or first waves of upward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ) is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be completed. Though forming downward structure may be either a completed zigzag, that is another correction of extending upward impulse c or first waves of downward wedge or impulse, that is the very beginning of expected movement.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 13, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:08 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. European currencies price has reached the significant resistance level having formed proportional patterns. Though completion of many-week correction is not confirmed yet it may be stated that the wave structure was completed at the minor wave degree.

It is supposed that forming wave ending may be the ending of the whole many-week correction. Moreover it will be another bifurcation point, after which forming it will be clear what direction price chooses.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed zigzag a-b-c of (y), which is forming now, may become the ending of the whole correction X.

In the mid-term perspective completion of wave X is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction X completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of supposed double zigzag (y) of , which is forming now, may become the ending of supposed double three pattern.

In the mid-term perspective completion of corrective wave is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave construction with the formula 3-3-3-3-3 (wave ) is supposed to be almost completed.

If this construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c may be almost completed.

In the short-term plan confirmation of correction completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 16, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 10:28 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Forming of two-week final phase of many-week trend against the dollar is supposed to have started. Wave structure and depth of this movement may suggest the scenario of price further movement.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed already.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to have formed.

If this construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 17, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 15:23 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

In the FOREX forecast, 2006 it was supposed that the trend against the dollar may keep forming at least till the second half of October 2006. In article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD) and Monthly Wave Analysis, October, 2006 it was specified that trend may reverse in favor of the dollar above the key pulse point around the 20th of October 2006.

Expectations have not been changed. Forming of two-week final phase of many-week trend against the dollar is supposed to have started. Wave structure and depth of this movement may suggest the scenario of price further movement.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed already.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction X is supposed to have formed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed, first waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to be completed.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave [C] is supposed to be completed. First waves of uptrend are forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Ending of many-week correction is supposed to have formed.

If this construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave c is supposed to be completed. First waves of downtrend are forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 18, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-19 15:37 编辑 ]
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:12 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave Z are supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave ii of (a) of Z of downtrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct short positions opening is possible on wave iii.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave Z are supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave ii of (a) of Z of uptrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct long positions opening is possible on wave iii.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of [c] of Y of uptrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct long positions opening is possible on wave (iii).

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

If the last construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Wave (ii) of [c] of 2 of downtrend is supposed to be completed. If the supposition is correct short positions opening is possible on wave (iii).

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 19, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:13 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave Z are supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current downward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse or zigzag.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave Z are supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current upward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse or zigzag.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final upward wave [c] are supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first corrective waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

If the last construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first downward waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.



Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 20, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:14 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current downward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse (a) or zigzag (w).

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current upward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse (a) or zigzag (w).

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave [c] is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first corrective waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

First waves of final downward wave [c] are supposed to be forming.

If the last construction is wave of extended or running flat, not a finishing diagonal triangle of zigzag from the alternate scenario, either a wide diagonal triangle or an impetuous impulse without clear-cut corrections may form as downward wave [c] of 2 (in accordance with alternation guidelines).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first downward waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 23, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:17 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Zigzag variant of current price movement against the dollar and possible alternate scenario tend to prevail.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current downward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse (a) or zigzag (w).

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag (ordinary, double or triple).

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current upward waves correlations the first pattern may assume the shape either of the impulse (a) or zigzag (w).

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave [c] is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first upward waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave [c], which may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Judging by current correlation of the first downward waves, final wave [c] may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 24, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:19 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

Zigzag variant of current price movement against the dollar and possible alternate scenario tend to prevail.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the double or triple zigzag.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction [x] is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the double or triple zigzag.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction [x] is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave [c] is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction (ii) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave [c], which may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle, is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction (ii) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 25, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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奖励:
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注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:20 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the double or triple zigzag.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction [x] is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the double or triple zigzag.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction [x] is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave [c] is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan uptrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction (ii) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave [c], which may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle, is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart.

In the short-term plan downtrend forming is expected to continue once supposed correction (ii) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 26, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006 and article Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the double or triple zigzag.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1006, Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the double or triple zigzag.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Daily-070906 and Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave [c] is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, corrective wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1006, Possible scenarios of USD strengthening (EWA of CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD). Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave [c], which may assume the shape of the diagonal triangle, is supposed to be forming.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave *** completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 27, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:25 | 显示全部楼层
GBP/JPY summary

Long-term forecast on GBP/JPY, with projected targets specification, was released on August 30, 2004 (refer to Figures 2 and 3 in article Another 25+ figures are possible). This cross rate was supposed to rise by at least 25 figures with the highest projected target at 224.07.

Last week, 2 years and 2 months later, the highest value of GBP/JPY reached 224.32 (refer to Figure v1 below). Cross rate has passed about 30 figures, once the forecast was released, and realized it.



Figure v1. Wave counting on the weekly chart.

This two-year rally is interesting because of the following moments:
  • The fourth wave [iv] of the diagonal triangle is supposed to have assumed the shape of the skewed triangle (refer to Skewed triangles in FX).
  • Zigzag A-B-C of (Y) shows manifestation of alternation guidelines in zigzags, that is the second leg of the zigzag was formed more widely than the first one.
  • Another technical target, with zigzag legs correlation in the shape of fibo coefficient 1.27 (C=A*1.27), is at 225.89.
  • In case C=A*1.618, the target turns out to be at 235.85, though more likely it applies to the alternate scenario (it is given in the upper part of the chart).
  • As the second leg of zigzag C of (Y) is supposed to have assumed the shape of the contracting diagonal triangle, price may break upwards with confidence its upper generating line rather than just test it, as we see now. Moreover, judging by the wave structure, final wave [v] of C may continue its upward forming in the direction of another technical target at 225.89.
  • Alternate variant is still valid: diagonal triangle may assume a larger shape (it is given in the upper part of the chart). In this case the second technical target 235.85 seems to be quite reachable.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1106 and article Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag. Supposed first wave (i) of downtrend may be assuming the shape of the wedge.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1106, Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag. Supposed first wave (i) of uptrend may be assuming the shape of the wedge.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1106, Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag. Supposed first wave (i) of uptrend may be assuming the shape of the impulse.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend forming is supposed to continue, wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1106, Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Downward wave C or Y is supposed to be forming. Expected movement of the European currencies may be specified as an impulsive one, whereas the yen is not going to show its cards yet.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue, wave **B or X* completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 30, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-19 17:26 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction

It is high time for opened mid-term positions against the dollar (refer to Daily-161006, Daily-171006, Daily-241006) to be closed wholly or partly until the expected correction ends.

Note
  • Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.
  • The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.
  • Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.
  • It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.
  • Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.
  • Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:



1. USD/CHF


For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-1106 and article Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final downward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag. The first wave (i) of downtrend may be assuming the shape of the wedge.

According to the alternate scenario, described in article Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007, corrective wave X may keep forming in the shape of the triple three.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend is supposed to form after urgent correction and confirmation of wave X completion. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. Forming of final downward short thrust [5] of v is enough for completion of supposed impulse v of (i)?. Then correction should follow. Current wave counting may be adjusted depending on its depth and length.

In the short-term plan supposed correction (ii) is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


2. EUR/USD


For EUR survey wave counting refer to Месячном-1106, Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag. The first wave (i) of uptrend may be assuming the shape of the wedge.

According to the alternate scenario, described in article Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007, corrective wave X may keep forming in the shape of some extended correction.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is supposed to form after urgent correction and confirmation of wave X completion. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. Forming of final upward short thrust [5] of v is enough for completion of supposed impulse v of (i)?. Then correction should follow. Current wave counting may be adjusted depending on its depth and length.

In the short-term plan supposed correction (ii) is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


3. GBP/USD


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1106, Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Final upward wave Z is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of the zigzag. The first wave (i) of uptrend may be assuming the shape of the impulse.

According to the alternate scenario, described in article Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007, corrective wave X may keep forming in the shape of some extended correction.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is supposed to form after urgent correction and confirmation of wave X completion. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. Forming of final upward short thrust [5] of v is enough for completion of supposed impulse v of (i)?. Then correction is expected, especially as the upper edge of the trend channel has been already broken. Current wave counting may be adjusted depending on correction depth and length.

In the short-term plan supposed correction (ii) is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


4. USD/JPY


For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly-1106, Check point. USD fall may continue till May 2007. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Downward wave C or Y is supposed to be forming. Expected movement of the European currencies may be specified as an impulsive one, whereas JPY movement is still possible both in the shape of the impulse and of some diagonal structure.

In the mid-term perspective downtrend forming is supposed to continue after expected correction and confirmation of wave **B or X* completion. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.



Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is given in the chart. Forming of final downward short thrust v is enough for completion of supposed impulse (i)?. Then correction is expected. Current wave counting may be adjusted depending on correction depth and length.

In the short-term plan supposed correction (ii)? is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.


Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
October 31, 2006
The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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