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发表于 2009-4-7 10:09
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ES & EC Futures Analysis Daily SP and Euro Emini Futures Analysis
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Monday Intranight Market Analysis- Written by admin
- Posted April 6, 2009 at 8:11 pm
Update 9:14 pm EST: GAME TIME , GO MSUUpdate 9:07pm EST: 1.3374 is a short ambush on the Euro, looks like first high probability short entry opp.
Good Evening Traders,
after resistance at 833.25 ambush from globex highs ES has pulled back and sees like it has formed a short term double top at that level, with target of that double top being exactly 50% ambush long fom the daily lows at the bottom of channel in place from the lows. Keep an eye on the chanel support and 826.5 level on the way down:
Euro is now trading inside the ambush zone of last week’s run after breaking 1.3349 50% line earlier in the session.
Good luck and good trading to all
Vlad
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Filed under: EC (6E) Euro, ES - SP500 Emini, Intraday
Monday April 6 Market Summary- Written by admin
- Posted at 4:48 pm
Hey Traders,
another of false hope for the bears, closing at session highs and trading as many as 15 pts above the daily low, putting in a daily doji:
 ES was trading as high as 848 in pre-market, which would have resulted in the open above the trendline, which seemed rather unlikely. ES traded into Thursday’s gap and the made a new high $tick of the day while stll at the lows which marked trend reversal perfectly followed by some green 2500tick candles and new uptrend channel that has not been broken all the way into the close. Another factor behind the strong close:
On the upside besides the November - January highs trendline there is not much resistance on the way up. On the way down here are some short term support levels:
 On the way down expected resistance is gap fill as well as 50% retracement of the move up in 809-810 area. After that it would be 23.6% retracement of the whole rally at 800.25, also great psychological level. It is not out of question tha twe could see retracement of 38% or 773.5 and still resuming higher.
Trend rotations on 100k contract charts have been working great lately, and had another great signal today.
——————
Euro came close to 1.3349 50% retracement of the recent rally and bounced. Euro is expected to trade in 1.3349 - 1.3469 range. Retracement to 1.3469 and back down to 1.335 area would result in completion of head and shoulers patter, the target of which would be retest of multimonth lows on the Euro:
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Gold has a near 3% down day after recently breaking some significant support levels and has extended further into oversold territory with levels not seen since 700 low. There are also few support /resistance lines to watch as well as 855.3 which is 50% retracement the move from yearly highs.
Thats about it for today’s summary, if you find information on this blog helpful feel free to tell your trader friends about it, you can also follow EsEcFutures.com on twitter for intraday TA updated @ http://twitter.com/esecfutures
Thanks for visiting
Vlad
Comments
Filed under: Daily, EC (6E) Euro, ES - SP500 Emini, Gold (GC)
Monday April 6 Intraday Market Analysis- Written by admin
- Posted at 9:12 am
Update Cash Close: good day overall, check back for daily updates and significant levels later on, feel free to follow on twitter and spread the word if you find information on this blog useful.
Update 3:58pm eST: that ambush finally tagged, have been waiting in line to short it since $tick hod around the lows, risk free trade, we shall see what it does.
Update 3:50pm EST: 10 minutes till cash close and es has just reach first upside target with huge level of 833.25, bears just cant seem to catch a break.
Update 3:35pm EST: Al from the lows now 824.5 still around bottom of the channel
Update 3:24 pm EST: Al from lows is now 824.25 also bottom of the channel
Update 3:21pm EST; 831.5 daily highs and 833.25 AS from globex highs are withing reach. 100k chart is putting in second green candle, possible trend change. Channel is still being respected
Update 3:15 pm est: rather uneventful last hour so far. Watch 823.5 ambush from the daily lows, also at the bottom of channel
Update 3pm EST: Watching the following channel for clues as long with previously mentioned targets:
Update 2:52pm EST: ES breaking out, upside targets still 831.5 and 833.25 ambush zone, 2500 tick is green again
Update, 2:45pm EST: last hour madness coming up soon, ES still stuck in ambush consolidation range, Euro and Gold are tired from hard day of work, hourly 60m, 100k, 2500t are all pointing down for now, of course considering recent 20pt/20min moves in last hour that doesnt mean much
Update 2:10pm EST: pierced 61% line at 826.75, next upside target 831.5
822.75 is AL on the downside
Update 1:54 pm EST: Bullish roadmap, shall the bullish run continue, bulls will need to get this past 825 daily ambush short, 831.5 session highs and lastly 833.25 ambush zone from globex highs. Currently the largest green trend time frame is 2500 tick, see screenshot:
Update 1:47pm EST: ES is back at 825 daily ambush in high tick
Update 1:36pm EST: looking at possible head and shoulders scenario on the euro. Retrace to 1.3465 would complete the right shoulder, target of the pattern if successful is 1.3139 or roughly the retest of recent low.
Update 1:12pm EST: 2500 tick trend put in 3 green bars, as ES is trading up to 825 daily 50%
break above 826.75 makes retest of globex ambush at 833.25 likely. If successful 61% target of 825 ambush is Thursday Gap fill.
Update 12:55pm EST: new high $tick of the day while trading at the lows, could signal trend change, still watching 825
Update 12:7pm EST: considering current low holds Trading hours only daily 50% is 825.
Update 12:43pm est: 100k trend keeping on the right side of the trend once again, looking for reversal signals inside the gap at least on 2500k tick chart to consider long positions
Update 12:26 EST: More new lows for ES emini without confirmation by $Tick that it could be intermediate term low. ES is currently in no mans land inside of the gap with all trend charts pointing down.
Euro looks like a bear flag, yet is right above 1.3348 ambush long from the recent lows.
Update Noon EST: ES is now trading within the Thursday gap all trends are red, Euro is apporaching 1.3348 ambush long from the lows of the move. Recent low on ES was not marked by new low Tick.
Update 10:48am EST: ES trading up to 827.5 short ambush, watch for break above 828.5 to consider trend change
Update 10:43am EST: euro traded in 1.3387-1.304 fib confluence zone and found support, if that should fail watch 1.3348 level as 50% retracement and previous resistance that should become support.
Update 10:32am EST: Friday’s lows tested with new low tick of the day , could see a short term bounce here. Also watching 827.5 short ambush for further direction
Update 10:26am EST: Euro approaching 1.3387-1.3403 Fib confluence support zone
Update 10:16am EST: support to the downside expected at 823, see image below
Update 10:09am EST: ES 835 is half gap fill, 836.5 AS
Update 10:04am EST: 1.3507 on EC euro emini is 50% retracement form the highs, should see some resistance there
ES 836.5 is ambush short from Globex highs
Update 9:51aM EST:
If euro break current lows, next support level at 1.3387-1.3403 Fib confluence zone
ES is looking rather week, waiting on retest of Friday’s low for a clue on further direction or for $tick to start new bullish trend
Good Morning Traders,
some wild trading overnight, yet pretty predictable. After gapping up over long term daily trendline ES emini could not hold and pulled back to 833.75 ambush where it tagged it to a tick and bounced for 13 points, and then it started rolling over into US open.
Looks like we have H&S forming on smaller time frame, so watch for retracement to back to the ambush zone to complete the right shoulder:
The target of this formation is Gap fill and 50% retracement from Wednesday’s lows at 810.75 to the tick.
If this does start to play out expect some support at 823 on the downside:
Good Luck and Good Trading this week
Vlad |
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