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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:02 | 显示全部楼层
poundyen.doc (99.5 KB, 31 views)





GBPJPY- A wave termination.doc (57.5 KB, 60 views)


GBPJPY wave count w BULLISH BUTTERFLY.doc




http://screencast.com/t/vyfHuo8tMAP

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-18 16:11 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:04 | 显示全部楼层
SirFx

Attached 3 5 minute charts showing some different looks....

My feeling with this is that we are in a strong uptrend and that this may be a retrace only
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SirFx

Some people use the median line or harmonics to gauge what is happening regarding price....... a guide, not for entries....

Myself I use volume based charts for trading and they are so cluttered that it is actually unfair to post them in here as they need substantial explanations.

My entries are based on retraces when there is a marked trend, I am unable to calculate with any great success the turning points so I like my entry to be the first lower high after an uptrend. or the first higher low after a downtrend.

The attached charts show some divergences
Attached Images
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:07 | 显示全部楼层
Saturdays...
FxPipTitan

I can agree with you regarding Saturdays being a downer...... and Sundays, until the markets open can be a downer also..... lol

However, the break gives us time to reassess...

Regarding the trend for the open later today..... I will observe volumes and trend before I can evaluate..... seems to me that there can be substantial changes in direction on Sunday afternoons based on weekend developments..., however, the uptrend looks strong.

Have a great week at da market, everyone......!!!!!!
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nice bearish pattern on 60 minute chart
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Volume very light at this time.......
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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-18 16:27 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:29 | 显示全部楼层
SirFx

Thanks for posting your work....

I am looking at a 120 minute chart and see that the last three bars have had little volume and that there is a retracement in the price..... I expect that the uptrend will resume...( my expectations have not always been realized.lol), however, it may be a few bars until that begins....

I am posting my chart, I realize that there is a lot on it.....note that the longer term stochastics are high in the two charts.... I feel there is still substantial energy in the up move.. a minor retrace at this time.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:29 | 显示全部楼层
5min consolidation.doc (117.0 KB, 21 views)
2nd 5 min.doc (119.5 KB, 15 views)






15mingbpjpy.doc (122.0 KB, 41 views)


[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-18 16:46 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:32 | 显示全部楼层
out and now short
Took profits on my longs and I am short at 213.10. Running out of steam up here...
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:34 | 显示全部楼层
This down move may be a retrace of the upward move
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John

I see what you refer to on the daily, higher lows and equal or lower highs along that one line on my chart
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:36 | 显示全部楼层
I obviously got blown out of my GBPJPY position earlier, and a fresh look at the Dow gives me a different view on risk sentiment in the markets...will we see Bernanke the bear this morning?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:39 | 显示全部楼层
Weekly Alert Seems we must use caution against 210.50, if we break we will be making new lows for the week!!
We have also touched the neck line of the weekly downtrend! See below
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Here is the reason for retrace. Unsure of higher highs though.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:41 | 显示全部楼层
here is some potential reversal zones
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:43 | 显示全部楼层
.....and another divergence! As Titan would say.....GO TIME!

(alright, maybe not yet, but I bet it holds)
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:45 | 显示全部楼层
120 minute chart
couple looks at what might be occurring
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we may be heading a bit lower..
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approaching Fib resistance
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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-18 16:51 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:46 | 显示全部楼层
Broken trenline retests = second chance
I am sad that I missed this today and sorry that I could not point it out to those thinking of getting long today.
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30 minute volume

sorry re large chart but I wanted you to be able to see it clearly
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:50 | 显示全部楼层
weekly candle chart GJ
oftering to dear maratha if we have attention to weekly candle , we see most weekly candles have long lower wick . why?? i see GJ below 200
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:52 | 显示全部楼层
hi maratha , you agree with long or short on GJ .MAYBE we will see a retracement 208.74 but if attention to monthly GJ we see monthly trendline break
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:54 | 显示全部楼层
Gbpjpy
this may be an indication as to what to expect in the coming hours
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 16:58 | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 17:00 | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 17:05 | 显示全部楼层
I hope these work and make sense....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-18 17:07 | 显示全部楼层
Divergences
There are many indicators that show divergences..... and they show them in different ways....

On this chart I have a couple indicators each showing different things...

The best indicator and settings is the one that speaks the loudest to you. and that is an individual preference.
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Pairs and $DJI
I know this is a bit colorful.lol but it shows the relationship of Yen pairs to Dow
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