一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

Eurcad
Keep yours eyes peeled on EURCAD... I smell Free Money... LOL
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hefeiddd

As a contrary view:Attached Images

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-12 15:23 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

here is my chart...bottom line: bearish below 1.5594..first target at 1.5050Attached Images

hefeiddd

eurchf
Good day all,

It looks like a short term long position in the eur/chf. I'm not one for bucking the trend but it does not want to go below my iii . Please tell me if you have a different/ better count, I'm sure I missed something. A really tight stop is in order

Gordon
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hefeiddd

I closed my short EURCHF position for now, as per my chart, below.
Will wait for the end of the correction. The correction that I labeled a-b-c seems little shallow, I will expect another zig zag up before the trend down resumes.
MikeAttached Thumbnails






Aud Usd
It looks like an interesting setup in AUDUSD, see the chart.
Since yesterday we traced nice 5 waves down, followed by a W-X-Y correction to 61.8% fib.
Now we are starting a descent into wave 3, by the looks of it.
All on board!
Mike
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hefeiddd

Usdjpy
Looks like someone let the Bears in here !

Anyone have a decent count for the short term ?
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hefeiddd

Brad
i believe that the USDJPY correction is wave 2 and it will take a form of a W-X-Y double zig-zag that will take us to 104.40 area, but we will need to count the subwaves, once they develop.
BTW: Fib 50% is at 104.50

MikeAttached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Hey Brad, how about this one ?Attached Images

hefeiddd

cable
EG or anyone trading cable,

I am still in favour of an up move to complete wave B before substantial down move. I know the price action is not in favour of my view but cable has been known for making surprises.

Anyways I think we are close in terms of completion of wave (C) of B of B. It's all on the charts bellow. The more detailed picture on 4H shows that wave (C) would be equal to wave (A) at 1.9362 area which is also the previous low.


In my books that would be a good long entry if it gets there. Anyone agree ?
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hefeiddd

Here is what I think may be happening to the EUR/GBP according to the count I have below. I believe we are entering into a wave C which should take us down to fill in the gap between .7810-.7816. We should also test the trend line drawn of the April 23rd high that the pair broke through around .7800.
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hefeiddd

JimboFX

THANK you for putting up that chart. I am still stuck with 2 old long trades from the 1.99 levels. I managed to earn some from the moves yesterday prior to the news and a little more during the news doing scalps based on other systems.

I honestly am still looking for a clearer direction in my wave counts. This B of the BIGGER B seems to be playing out now as per the guideline found on PRECHTER"S book.

IN post # 3836 on page 456, I have explained part of my initial assesment on CABLE"S wave count believing that it was supposed to come down to 1.9545 still prior to going up to finish BIG "B" wave.

However, I still allowed some room for myself incase my count was in error when I started trading long even though 1.9545 was not yet achieved. this was 80% retrace of "A". HOWEVER, I just realized now that the minimum for a "B" to qualify as a "B" of a FLAT is at least 90% retrace of "A" as I review the guideline.

It was more like applying the guideline on the big "B" without applying the same guideline on the internal structure of the big "B" itself.

big "B" internal structure was /is supposed to be a flat or a triangle too. having finished a 3 wave structure up to 2.0396 from 1.9337 at nearly 61.8% retrace of big "A", this still cannot be the end of big "B" but most likely just the 1st leg of the whole structure.

SO a retrace down is inorder for the " b " of this big "B", which i thought was at 80% ( 1.9545 ) but now verified to be a must @ 90% retrace @ 1.9443 or lower down to 132.8% ( 1.8932 ) if this was an irregular FLAT.

I am now looking for an opportunity to go SHORT while my old longs are recovering.

HOPEFULLY , attached chart would be able to illustrate what I am saying here.

EG

PS.

Today may see CABLE move up to the DAILY PIVOT @ 1.9600 or up to 1.9653 @ the Murrey Math strong resistance level before it starts dropping again. something I use when I can't have a clear wave count on the lower time frames.

PS 2...
just a heads up for those watching patterns. a harmonic/PESAVENTO Bullish pattern is developing on the 4 hour chart which actually shows a potential reversal to the upside as early as 1.9530 level. and to as low as 1.9273

but with EW counts we could see that we can have that reversal as early as the 90% retrace @ 1.9443
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hefeiddd

Update on #7074
Last night I posted a chart on the EURUSD in an attempt to offer a contrary to Jamie's view. However, it turned out to be another bullish count I am now updating. Therefore, I would like someone to post a bearish one. Thank you
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hefeiddd

Here is a possible short-term count:Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

I made the same count before I saw yours. Here it is. The crosses with EUR and GBP have similar wave counts, I believe.
The 102.69 level is totally critical - it is possible, if it holds, to see another upswing to 106.xxAttached Images

hefeiddd

EURUSD is testing a potential resisting trendline RIGHT NOW....the rally has unfolded in 3 legs to this point. I am bearish as long as price is below 1.5594 (previous peak). Bearish potential in coming weeks is enormous...1.50 and below.
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hefeiddd

The USDCAD makes a strong case for USD strength to resume soon also. Risk is well defined at just below parity. I have not labeled the waves....but they are very clear here. Bigger picture, the drop to .9997 could have ended as a truncation (wave Y to complete W-X-Y from 1.0324).
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hefeiddd

Eur/Usd -

Why Does it matter if everyone believes the Dollar has bottomed or not?

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Here is a look at what may be occuring ........
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hefeiddd

Bummer Market, I never did see your original chart posting on this. (Still can't find it.)

By the way, how do you quote a message keeping the charts in tact?

Here's what may be happening according to AGET:

hefeiddd

EURUSD 15 minute
For comparison only. Counts always subject to change.

hefeiddd

Nice chart. Here is another view I just worked up. Like an ABC correction to the .382 correction level of the entire drop from 1.60 that:

1. Is either already complete
2. May have another B leg down
3. May be moving up now to complete the C legAttached Thumbnails