一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

AR 30

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Course members who do a little chart work are making profits like those below, so get with it. Below are profirs from only 5 trades in Silver in a bit over 6 months that netted after your commisions a bit over $10,000. Assuming a margin of 20% or double the usual requirement, you needed $5,000 to start. Your course members should follow the late Roger Babson's Rule of keeping such a backlog of cash available. This 0-4 CL from which to measure the Action Ps in order to get the same distance from this CL for the H lines is the adaption of Newton's Law of Action and Reaction are equal and opposite in Physics to Price Fluctuations and is the Law to which he attributed the $50,000,000 he made. This profit below would be $20M per year approximately. Quadruple it for 4 years and you've made your first million. 6-8 (0-4) lines yearly average.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:29 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 31

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Another Action & Reaction Rule for price fluctuations is the (0 to 1) CCCCCL to measure action and reaction from. Remember the 揺qual & opposite?part of this Rule of the great Isaac Newton who discovered this rule in physics, and that my friend the late Roger Babson adapted to price fluctuations, and attributed his $50,000,000 fortune to. If you made $2000 each week for 50 years you抎 have $50,000,000. These lines are started from the closes, whereas (0-4) lines start at the extreme of range. Note that you have a high probability of profit by acting on each R line.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:30 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 32

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The dash line is a (3) to measure back to the top close for (A) distances as a CL to measure ahead to another parallel that is the (R) line where prices make a top. This alteration of the principle 揂ction & Reaction are equal and opposite?provides signals for additional Ps that are sometimes missed when we confine our lines to those Ps that are opposite. The other two (3) lines use the opposite principle: The top (3) has no A nor R lines so that you can practice drawing them and see the profits you can be making after your paper trading shows you that you have mastered this.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:30 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 33

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(0-4) is the Zero to Four line as a center line (CL) from which to measure the distance of the top pivot so you can measure an equal distance ahead or below for the reaction parallels each pointing to the low pivots from which prices will rise.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:31 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 34

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Course members who do a little chart work are making profits like those below, so get with it. Below are profirs from only 5 trades in Silver in a bit over 6 months that netted after your commisions a bit over $10,000. Assuming a margin of 20% or double the usual requirement, you needed $5,000 to start. Your course members should follow the late Roger Babson's Rule of keeping such a backlog of cash available. This 0-4 CL from which to measure the Action Ps in order to get the same distance from this CL for the H lines is the adaption of Newton's Law of Action and Reaction are equal and opposite in Physics to Price Fluctuations and is the Law to which he attributed the $50,000,000 he made. This profit below would be $20M per year approximately. Quadruple it for 4 years and you've made your first million. 6-8 (0-4) lines yearly average.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:32 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 35

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A drop from 97 to 37 in a bit over 1 year offered a potential profit of 60c. Each 10c drop showed a $5000 profit or enough to double the number of contracts held if margin was $5000 per contract. Therefore for each 10c drop in a 60c decline you find the number of contracts held is 32 if you started with one contract, and giving you two eks from profit on the first drop, 4 eks after the second drop, 8 after the next , etc. Of course the 10c in Mar & Apr in 74 would wipe you out if you had not sold at 70 area in ?4R4, or at 62 area @ R6. But use DTRs on DT to keep selling and UTRs on UT to keep buying with part of your profit each time at least. Not buy signal each time price rises from the left to meet the R line. Note sell signal each time that prices fall to the right of each R.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:33 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 36

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It doesn抰 seem to matter when you can抰 decide which is the proper P4 when you draw your 0-4 to use as a CL in the Action-Reaction Rule for if you try them both as done here in September and again in December Treasury Bonds, the R lines point to lows from which good profits can be made except where there is a gap. But even with a gap prices will probably come back near it so loss could be small. Note how this A-R method works on Relative Strength Index and Weekly Range Charts.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:34 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 37

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Case Study Course Example of Expanding Pivot Formation, of 0-4 line as a Center Line, and of 1-4 line as a Center Line (CL); also of the Moving Average lines as CL. These are only three of the CLs that can be used to measure Action and Reaction (A) and (R) from. Other CLs are Median Lines, (ML); Multi-pivot lines, (MPL); Peak to Low, (P-L); (Note that this P-L is usually a 0-5 line). Also, such is the marvelous order of Price Fluctuations that you may use lines between any two Ps as CLs. Can you now see how this application of Newton抯 Law about Action and Reaction applied to prices, was the principle to which Roger Babson attributed his $50 million ? First you should notice how Ps 1,3,5 are progressively higher while Ps 2&4 are points in a down sloping line giving you the E.P. Formation. You recall the E.P. Rule states that prices will drop at least that distance below the 0-4 line that they are previously above that line. Now if you had sold short near P5, you might put an order in to cover at 2.78 on June 17. But when prices gap and drop way below the R1 line on that day, you know from this that even though prices nearly always ally back toward that R line, they are seen going much lower. So you take your position accordingly, following the trend down until R2. Again drops below the price at which R2 intersects, signals another 100% drop as a high probability, to R3. Here you find the same signal. Remember that this continued drop to equidistant R1, R2, R3 is peculiar to the E.P. formation. Here only is the probability high that you can safely ride a long trend down by observing this phenomena which is meaningless to other investors who have not taken the Course. You may now start looking for the inverted E.P. on other charts as well as for this E.P. above. Please note how you can use the 30 day M.A. line together with the 10 day line to check how far probable declines will end. Here just consider the 30 day M.A. which on 4/24 the day of P1 closed about 60 points above the M.A. on that day. Similarly on the days of P4 and P5, about 60 points difference. Therefore you know there is a high probability that the drops on June 17 and July 6th, will be about the same distance of 60 points below the M.A. Line on that date. You get more accuracy in correspondence by measurement to the close usually than by measuring to the extreme of the range, for those days. A.H. Andrews, Director ?1971

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:35 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 38

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The Median Line Method for Foreseeing Trends Below is a stock market index which you will find valuable in anticipating what your stocks are going to do, whether they will continue to rise or fall and how fast. These are the facts everyone wants to know, and this method has not been revealed before to the best of our knowledge. Those who acted on this method got out of their stock either at the end of February or April right near the top. Start with any pivot such as low pivot 1 and draw a line bisecting the distance between pivots 2 and 3. On April 1st all the information you had as to prices ended at pivot 3. This bisecting line is always a test barrier, whatever pivot you start from. If prices fail to rise above the barrier, the rise is finished, as turns out to be the case at pivot 4. Next, as time passes and new prices develop a pivot at 4, start at pivot 2 and draw a line bisecting 3 and 4. You will see that this dash line is steeper down than the up?slope of 1-4. So this is like a vector diagram of forces showing the trend will be steadily down along the dash line until medians point upward again. So continue to draw these lines so you may get in near the bottom. Similarly in a rising market, you will notice that the fastest gains are always made when bisectors from higher and lower pivots point in the same direction. This method is superior to the Moving Average Method of recognising Trends in that there is less 搘hip saw? and closer positions to the bottoms and top pivots are possible. One reason for this is that there is a probability that when prices do pass through the bisecting lines, they will return to it before continued movement in the newly indicated direction. (Rule #7 ?Penetration Rule)

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:36 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 39

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揃elieve it or Not?/b> You can learn here in this page of our Case Study Course, how to anticipate, for the months ahead, when to take profitable action in the stock market. You can do this be simple graphic mathematics. At the end of March, this chart gave you all the information you needed to make money in the stock market during the next seven months, by buying near the lows and selling near the high pivots. 揾ere抯 How? so drink deep of the new revelations from this Fount of Wisdom. You draw a Median Line (ML) as shown from 1 bisecting the distance between 2 and 3. Then draw another ML from b, bisecting the distance between these same pivots 2 and 3 again. One of our discoveries is that when prices meet one of these ML lines, the probability of a countermove starting at or near the meeting point is high. So whenever prices drop to meet the ML from b on the chart, and stop, you can buy with 搃mpunity and abandon? figuratively. And when they rise to meet the ML from 1, you can sell. Our next step is to use our Action-Reaction Method in combination with the above Median Line (ML) Method. So draw a Down Trend line (DTL) from the bottom of the range each week that a low pivot shows. We call these lines Action or A lines. And to the right of the SRL you draw other parallel lines, each equidistant from the DTL to its corresponding A line. We call these new lines Reaction Lines (RL), for when pries meet these lines in the future, they react downward, whereas the price rose from each of the corresponding Action or A lines in the past history as shown by our chart. So you Sell when in the future prices rise to meet these lines. Now to see how these lines we drew actually work, loosen the rest of the chart from the back of this sheet and fold it over so you can see it from this side. You see that the ML from b told you to buy at 3, 5 and 7,& 9 and that the DTLs enabled you to sell at 4, 6, 8 pivots. This was always before a drop of enough percentage to give you a nice profit. Next week our Case Study will enable you to apply our A-R lines so you will have still another method for knowing the right times to buy in contract to this weeks use of A-R lines showing when to sell.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:37 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 40

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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:38 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 41

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AR 42

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Professor Anderson抯 Five Pivot Rules The late R. N. Elliot and John C. Sinclair of Francis I Dupont & Company were the first to point out that all bull markets are composed of five fluctuations, three up and two down during the rise, and a down 杣p-down formation during the correction, or counter move following the rise. Elliot抯 contention was that this followed a law of nature. Your director has had pleasant and informative discussions with Mr. Clyde Morse, a former co?worker with Elliot, and incidentally the grandson of Morse of telegraph fame. Mr. Morse stated that those apparent inconsistencies where there could be more than five trends counted were termed extensions by Elliot. Professor Anderson抯 Rule differs from Elliot抯 in observing 5 P after the zero starting pint for the first rise, and 5 P on the down trend before a down trend line is crossed by rising prices. On the enclosed charts you can see Elliot抯 3 down moves indicated by a, b, c. But in nearly every case you can count 5 pivots after the 0-4 line has been penetrated before the next five Ps follow the crossing of the resulting trend line, and action taken. The EP formation is a special case of the Five Pivot Rule. It is special because it alone indicates a minimum drop where R equals A max in nearly every case as shown in the Oct ?6 Copper, where the 0-4 line has been drawn in. You should draw in the other 0-4 lines for experience. And notice that on frequent occasions the drop after other rising 0-5 has been penetrated may be less than the farthest P above the 0-4 line. Also on very rare occasions this line may be penetrated temporarily, for a very short distance, before a new resumption of the original trend that continues until another 5 P has formed. The first of the above cases is shown in red on the Feb bellies chart [Ed: Chart at AR44]. The second case of temporary penetration is on this same chart at P6 in August. The resulting 搘hip-saw?loss may usually be more than offset by prompt action when prices cross either the minor trend line from 5 to 6 in August, or the upward slanting line drawn through the 3 and 5 in July, as examples. Eventually the extension of any 0-4 line will be crossed and will provide a good gain more than making up any of these rare whip-saw losses. (Shown by the October drop in Feb. Bellies chart) The great Helmholtz wrote, 揙f all branches of human knowledge there is none like geometry. It escapes the tedious and troublesome task of collecting experimental facts. The sole form of its scientific method is deduction? You have noticed that the morphological approach used in this Course employs simple geometry. It provides consistently unusual profits as long as its rules are acted on. As Helmholtz indicated it avoids the endless facts upon which fundamentalists base their approach toward price prediction. Alan H. Andrews, Director

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:39 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 43

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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:40 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 44

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Professor Anderson抯 5 Pivot Rule Zero to Fourth Pivot Rule Expanding Pivot Rule

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:41 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 45

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Professor Anderson抯 5 Pivot Rule Zero to Fourth Pivot Rule Expanding Pivot Rule

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:41 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 46

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As soon as you draw your (0-3) as CL for A-R rule start as soon as possible to draw you抮e a lines through the top close of each real UT (up trend). Then as new ranges develop from day to day you see where prices will intercept the R lines if they fall to them that day. And if they pass through each or any R that shows the probability of new lows, beyond the recent ones. What distinguishes the close used for the A line is, it is the close at the top of each fluctuation, with a UT before it and a DT following it.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:43 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 47

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If you drew in the (A) and (R) lines on May Soybean meal chart as suggested in previous study you see they looked like the lines on the lower left chart. As you notice, 揥here lines converge with price, a pivot (P) is formed? an important Rule. Also note that the centerlines were all multi-pivot lines (MPL). Note that (A)6 above the MPL6 that slopes about 45 degrees had its corresponding (R) at the final low, but it was also the (R) above that MPL6 that was at the peak pivot. The chart on the right [in this document it is the second chart below ?Ed] shows that fluctuations during July and August enabled you to draw several MPL converging around Nov 22. The one with the most Ps was MMPL14. Lay over this the rib of a fan and note how price movement in September and October enabled you to slide your pivot finder along this MMPL14 until ribs O and P were over MPLs in those months. This located the center of the fan also near Nov 22. As prices dropped along MMPL14 in July and August there were 4 rallies which enabled you to draw WMPL and similarly at W, Y, Z. Notice that the slope of these lines prognosticated a center around the November 15 low. And note that these lines fitted the 10 degree angles made by the ribs. This particular chart is of special interest in many ways. Particularly because the upribs pointed to a low. And these lines were indicated months before anyone dreamed that this Salad oil didn抰 exist as stated by the Salad Oil King. Does this fact show that there are no secrets in the world of mathematics that determined where the top and low peaks were to come?

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:44 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 48

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The Gold chart shows a similar pattern to that of Silver. Since this is a chart I used before there will be no explanation of the course lines that I had upon it. The lines should be apparent to you nevertheless. Since we are discussing EP抯 just note that activity within the semi-circle I have drawn. P1 was on Feb 23, P2 was on Feb 27, P3 was on Feb 27, P4 was on Mar 1, and P5 was on Mar 5. There are numerous other reasons for selling this market on Mar 5 to coincide with this EP. Most notably the 5 P抯 on the UT from 1-26 and the 11-17 ML 11-30/1-26. We certainly hope this helps in your study of course methods.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:45 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 49

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This cotton chart from July 1984 shows a classic EP formation. After a long rise from Feb 13 the market topped out with an EP. This is shown by the circled numbers at each P. NO discussion is made of the other lines as they were already on the chart from my previous trading. The dates for the P抯 are: P1 Mar 12, P2 Mar 19, P3 Mar 21, P4 Mar 27, P5 Apr 2.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:45 编辑 ]

hefeiddd

AR 50

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I went back and found some older 1984 charts that I had remembered using for trades and have included them in this letter for our discussion of EP抯. This silver chart shows a good example of an EP, contained within the half circle, and numbered from one to five. Just so there will be no confusion whatsoever I am including the dates of the P抯 so you can follow along. P1 was on Feb 23, P2 was on Feb 27, P3 was on Feb 27, P4 was on Mar 1, P5 was on Mar 5.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-4-19 08:46 编辑 ]