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The learning cycle for a newbie trader
The learning cycle for a newbie trader
Hi folks.
Many of you don't know, but I used to be involved in training people in various things (not trading) and I thought I might share with you the journey that you take when beginning anything new. also if I show you my kind of writing style you might just buy my beginners forex book
This cycle is as true for trading as it is for learning to drive a car and consists of five components.
I'm going to take you through each stage so you can recognise exactly where you are in your trading journey.
Step One: Unconscious Incompetence.
This is the first step you take when starting to look into trading. you know that its a good way of making money cos you've heard so many things about it and heard of so many millionaires.Unfortunately, just like when you first desire to drive a car you think it will be easy - after all, how hard can it be?? - price either moves up or down - what's the big secret to that then - lets get cracking!
unfortunately, just as when you first take your place in front of a steering wheel you find very quickly that you haven't got the first clue about what you're trying to do. you take lots of trades and lots of risks. when you enter a trade it turns against you so you reverse and it turns again .. and again, and again.
you try to turn around your losses by doubling up every time you trade - sometimes you'll get away with it but more often than not you will come away scathed and bruised
Well this is stage one - you are totally oblivious to your incompetence at trading.Stage one can last for a week or two of trading but the market is usually swift and you move onto stage two.
Stage Two - Conscious Incompetence
Stage two is where you realise that there is more work involved in this and that you might actually have to work a few things out.
you consciously realise that you are an incompetent trader - you don't have the skills or the insight to turn a regular profit.
During this phase you will buy systems and e-books galore, read websites based everywhere from Russia to the Ukraine. and begin your search for the holy grail.
During this time you will be a system whore - you will flick from method to method day by day and week by week never sticking with one long enough to actually see if it does work. every time you came upon a new indicator you'll be ecstatic that this is the one that will make all the difference.
you will test out automated systems on Meta-trader, you'll play with moving averages, Fibonacci lines, support & resistance, Pivots, Fractals, Divergence, DMI, ADX, and a hundred other things all in the vein hope that your 'magic system' starts today.
you'll be a top and bottom picker, trying to find the exact point of reversal with your indicators and you'll find yourself chasing losing trades and even adding to them cos you are so sure you are right.
You'll go into the live chat room and see other traders making pips and you want to know why it's not you - you'll ask a million questions, some of which are so dumb that looking back you feel a bit silly. You'll then reach the point where you think all the ones who are calling pips after pips are liars - they cant be making that amount cos you've studied and you don't make that, you know as much as they do and they must be lying. but they're in there day after day and their account just grows whilst yours falls.
You will be like a teenager - the traders that make money will freely give you advice but you're stubborn and think that you know best - you take no notice and over leverage your account even though everyone says you are mad to - but you know better.
you'll consider following the calls that others make but even then it wont work so you try paying for signals from someone else - they don't work for you either.
This phase can last ages and ages - in fact in reality it can last well over a year - My own period lasted about 18 months.
Eventually you do begin to come out of this phase. You've probably committed more time and money than you ever thought you would, lost 2 or 3 loaded accounts and all but given up maybe 3 or 4 times.
Then comes stage 3
Stage 3 - The Eureka Moment
Towards the end of stage two you begin to realise that it's not the system that is making the difference.
you realise that its actually possible to make money with a simple moving average and nothing else IF you can get your head and money management right
You start to read books on the psychology of trading and identify with the characters portrayed in those books.
Finally comes the eureka moment.
The eureka moment causes a new connection to be made in your brain.
you suddenly realise that neither you, nor anyone else can accurately predict what the market will do in the next ten seconds, never mind the next 20 mins.
You start to work just one system that you mould to your own way of trading, you're starting to get happy and you define your risk threshold.
You start to take every trade that your 'edge' shows has a good probability of winning with.
when the trade turns bad you don't get angry or even because you know in your head that as you couldn't possibly predict it it isn't your fault - as soon as you realise that the trade is bad you close it . The next trade will have higher odds of success cos you know your simple system works.
You have realised in an instant that the trading game is about one thing - consistency of your 'edge' and your discipline to take all the trades no matter what.
You learn about proper money management and leverage - risk of account etc etc - and this time it actually soaks in and you think back to those who advised the same thing a year ago with a smile
you weren't ready then, but you are now.
The eureka moment came the moment that you truly accepted that you cannot predict the market.
Then comes stage four
Stage 4 - Conscious Competence
Ok, now you are making trades whenever your system tells you to.
you take losses just as easily as you take wins
you now let your winners run to their conclusion fully accepting the risk and knowing that your system makes more money than it loses and when you're on a loser you close it swiftly with little pain to your account
You are now at a point where you break even most of the time - day in day out, you will have weeks where you make 100 pips and weeks where you lose 100 pips - generally you are breaking even and not losing money.
you are now conscious of the fact that you are making calls that are generally good and you are getting respect from other traders as you chat the day away.
You still have to work at it and think about your trades but as this continues you begin to make more money than you lose consistently.
you'll start the day on a 20 pip win, take a 35 pip loss and have no feelings that you've given those pips back because you know that it will come back again.
you will now begin to make consistent pips week in and week out 25 pips one week, 50 the next and so on.
this lasts about 6 months
then comes Stage Five
Stage Five - Unconscious Competence
Now were cooking - just like driving a car, every day you get in your seat and trade - you do everything now on an unconscious level.
you are running on autopilot. You start to pick the really big trades and getting 100 pips in a day is becoming quite normal to you.
This is trading utopia - you have mastered your emotions and you are now a trader with a rapidly growing account.
you're a star in the trading chat room and people listen to what you say. you recognise yourself in their questions from about two years ago.
you pass on your advice but you know most of it is futile cos they're teenagers - some of them will get to where you are - some will do it fast and others will be slower - literally dozens and dozens will never get past stage two but a few will.
Trading is no longer exciting - in fact it's probably boring you to bits - like everything in life when you get good at it or do it for your job - it gets boring - you're doing your job and that's that.
You can now say with your head held high "I'm a currency trader"
I hope you've enjoyed this text and can recognise yourself in some stage or another - personally I'm at stage four now and am constantly making good amounts of pips - I've been trading in total for about 3 years and the first two were hell on earth.
for those of you reading this who stick with it, ill look forward to the banter we have together in the future when we are both bored to death during the trading day
Soultrader.
（ 树静风止翻译的中文）
大家好：
可能你们不知道，我经常参与培训工作（不是交易），我想在大家开始一件事情之前我可以和大家分享一下我的经验，同时，我也向你们展示一下我的写作风格，好让你们可以买我的外汇书籍。
这个关于交易的学习过程和学习驾驶汽车完全一样，有5个过程。
我将带领大家看看这些阶段，大家同时可以认识到自己处于交易的哪个阶段。
第一阶段：不知自己不称职
这是你开始交易的第一个阶段。你知道外汇交易是可以赚钱的好方法，因为你听说过很多这方面的事情，也知道有很多百万富翁。就像你开始想要开汽车时，你觉得这是件很容易的事情——毕竟，能有多困难呢？——价格不是向上就是向下——然后最可能发生什么呢？——大腿骨折了！
很不幸，就像你开始你的汽车驾驶一样，你发现你急于想知道你可以怎么做，你做了很多交易，承担了很多风险，当你开始做单了，行情就向相反方向运行，然后你反手，可是行情又反向。。。。。。一遍又一遍。。。。。。
你想通过加倍交易来挽回你的损失——有时候你成功了，但是，大部分的时候不行，你感到沮丧。
这就是第一阶段——你完全是一个不称职的交易者。第一阶段可能会持续一两个星期，但是市场是变动的，然后你进入了第二阶段。
第二阶段：知道自己不称职
在第二阶段，你认识到在外汇交易中有很多事要做，你必须找到一个有效的方法。
你意识到自己是一个不称职的交易者——你没有一个技巧或是直觉来维持你的稳定盈利。
在这个阶段，你会买一些系统和很多书，阅读网站的内容，希望能找到通往圣殿的方法。
这时，你成为了一个系统崇拜者——你不停地从一个方法跳到另一个方法，一天又一天，一周又一周，但是从来不持久地使用一个方法以检验其是否有效。每当你得到了一个指标，你就狂热地相信它，认为它可以消除一切差异。
你可能在Meta-trader中测试自动交易系统，你也可能使用移动平均线，菲波尼切线，支撑和阻力线，背离，DMI ,ADX等等。
你可能成为一个抄顶或抄底者，因为你相信你的指标给出的反转信号，你会发现你是一个追逐损失的交易者并且你还加仓，因为你相信你是对的。
你会去聊天室里看着其他交易者赚钱，你想知道为什么赚钱的不是你自己——你有成千上万个问题，有些是很愚笨的，回过头看的时候，你自己都觉得很傻。然后你认为这些能赚这么多点的人是在撒谎——因为你已经学习了这么多还不能赚到这么多点，这些人也不可能赚到，你和他们知道的一样多，那么他们肯定是在撒谎，但是他们天天在这儿，当你的帐户市值下降的时候，他们的市值在上升。
你这时就像一个毛头小子一样——那些赚钱的人免费地给你建议，但是你是如此固执，你认为你知道得最好——你根本不注意这些建议，你过度使用你的杠杆，人人都说你疯了——但是你认为你比别人强。
你也考虑过要跟随别人的信号，但是即使如此，它也不起作用，你也曾试过付费给别人给出的信号——但是还是不起作用。
这个阶段可能持续时间长一些——事实上，它可能持续一年——我自己就持续了18个月。
最后，你从这个阶段出来了，你可能已经付出了比你自己想象中更多的金钱和时间，你可能死过2-3次，而且可能放弃过3-4次。
然后，你来到了第三阶段
第三阶段：找到啦
在第二阶段的后期，你意识到并不是系统造成了差异
你意识到即使只使用一条简单的移动平均线的话，只要你能控制好你的头脑并正确管理资金，你就可以赚钱。
你开始看交易心理的书，并根据书中的内容来定义性格特征（这句我不是太懂，或许翻译得不太好）。
在找到啦的瞬间，你的大脑和成功形成了一个新的连接。
你突然意识到既不是你，也不是任何其他人可以精确地预测市场将在下个10秒钟走到哪里，更不要说下个20分钟。
你开始使用你自己的操作系统来交易，你开始高兴起来，并且你可以自己限定风险。
你开始根据你的“边缘”显示可能会赚大钱的信号进行每次交易。
当交易变坏的时候你并不生气，因为你在头脑中清楚地知道你不能预测它，这并不是你的错——一旦你意识到交易变坏的时候，你就会平仓。下一个交易的成功率会更高，因为你知道你的简单的系统是有效的。
你已经意识到交易游戏只有一件事——遵循你的“边缘”以及你的纪律来进行交易。
你已经学会正确地管理资金和杠杆——帐户的风险等等——现在帐户高歌猛进了，当你想起一年前那些给你建议的人时，你会露出会心一笑。
那时你是没有准备的人，但是现在你是了。
找到啦阶段在你的确接受了你不能预测市场的时候就来临了。
然后来到第四阶段。
第四阶段：知道自己称职
好了，现在只要系统告诉你交易，你就可以交易。
你对待亏损就像对待盈利一样。
你现在让你的盈利自己走到结束的时候，并且可以坦然接受风险，你知道你的系统会给你带来超过损失的利润，当你损失的时候，你会平仓，但是你很少感到难过。
这时候，你可能会进进出出，你可能在数星期内盈利100个点，然后又损失100个点——通常来说你不会亏损。
你可能开始盈利20个点，然后又损失35点，但是你对盈利变成亏损没有感觉，因为你知道它会回来的。
你现在可以持续盈利，25点一个星期，50点下个星期，如此往复。
这个阶段持续6个月。
然后来到第五阶段
第五阶段：不知道自己称职
现在就像开车一样，每天你坐到你的座位上开始交易——有开始无意识地进行交易。
你就像一个交易机器人。你开始进行真正大的交易，一天赚100个点对你来说也是正常的事情。
这个是交易乌托邦阶段——你可以控制你的情绪，你现在的帐户迅速增值。
在聊天室里你是明星，人们都在听你说什么。在他们的问题中你想起了两年前的你。
你给出建议，但是你知道大部分都没有什么用处，因为他们是毛头小子——有一些人可以到达你现在的阶段——有一些人会快一些，有些人会慢一些——很多人不会冲破第二阶段，但是的确有少部分人可以。
交易不再是兴奋的事情——事实上，它可能会很沉闷——就像生活中的每件事，你可以做的很好，就像你的工作——它开始乏味了——你在做你的工作，这就是全部。
你现在可以说你自己是一个“外汇交易者”。
我希望你们喜欢这篇文章，并且能够知道自己处于哪个阶段——个人来讲，我在第四阶段，并且我也赚了很多——我已经做了3年交易，前两年就像在地狱。
对于那些阅读这篇文章并坚持的人，我希望有一天当我们对交易厌倦，我们可以一起笑谈人生。
The learning cycle for a newbie trader - PART 2 ——by Soultrader2004
Hello everybody.
Can't believe that it's 18 months since I wrote that thread - Jan 2005 it was.
Well, as they say 'you never stop learning in this game' and that's certainly true.
I thought it was time to add to the original thread with a new one - my last 18 months have been very interesting and many things have happened that I thought I would share with you that you may find useful.
At the time I wrote that thread I was an intraday trader and had been making money consistently for about 18 months - I thought that was it, I had made it as a trader and was at the end of my learning curve.
How wrong I was.
I don't think that this series of threads will ever end, I expect I will be writing another update in 2008.
When I look back at the last 18 months I cant believe how much ive changed from what I thought was the end of my cycle.
At the time I was daytrading several strategies which made me money. In the ensuing months I just kept on testing new ideas - reading systems on here and other forums and testing them also.
I got together with a bunch of traders in voice rooms and again started working on systems and testing. - again day in day out testing and trading - making money yes but never really getting closer to that dream that we all have of trading /easily, without emotion/ and having that millionaires lifestyle.
Systems development started to become easier when I looked at the market holistically - I.e. not tying myself down to a single timeframe and watching at a macro level as well as a micro level.
This resulted in the several screens I now have in my office so I could see all the timeframes at once - I was still specialising in GBP as to have more meant yet more screens and I thought that the study of cable would make me more than enough money.
I did what many of you will do in the future. I developed systems, gave some away and sold some also - The Hilda system was in my opinion my crowning glory - a system that I could trade on any timeframe on any currency. I spent the time and sold my system to many people.
When the fun of selling that and helping others died down I again started improving on it etc etc etc.
But then the realisation started to hit me.
All of this system work, selling etc wasn't getting me any closer to my goal of actually enjoying the money I was making.
You see a journey to a goal is a weird thing. all of the fun is in the actual journey to the goal and when you get there its very easy to start moving backwards to do it again.
what i'm about to explain to you is I think the final cycle in the journey to be a great trader and realising your ambitions. I may be wrong and find a Eighth step within the next two years lol - but for now this is the best I can offer you.
*Step 6 The wake up call
When the newbie trader reaches step five he/she thinks that's it. They now make money well, look back on the forums and chat rooms they've used for so long and with a smile see the struggle they have been through repeated day after day as new people begin their journey.
They see the highs and lows that they experienced, the heartache, the 'head in the gas oven' moments and the movement from sheer despair to brilliant exuberance.
They continue to design systems to test - spend hours upon hours of hand testing with a smile - they know that no amount of computer testing is good enough to give you the confidence to trade the system properly.
They test and test - still believing that there is a system out there which beats the one they are using now.
They continue to get the latest designer indicator - hell, they even pay for them now as they know that a few hundred bucks for an indicator is worth it if it increases the take.
Trading becomes a real chore and the rot starts to set in. Here they are watching charts all day long for that setup which pays the mortgage and buys the new car or house.
The system they are using is still indicator based, still needs a shedload of charts open and still relies on a good charting feed.
Even though they don't realise it for the most part, although their system is mechanical they still have decisions to make - when to close a trade, when not to trade, avoid the news etc etc.
One day they wake up.....
*Step 7 - Learning NOT to trade
Yes, you read it right.
what happens to a trader in this cycle is that they get so wrapped up looking for improvements to their trading that they forget what they started trading for in the first place - for freedom.
Yet here they are every day sat by the pc, still after 4 or 5 years testing new stuff, taking trades and even though they don't realise it making discretionary decisions on their trading.
If they want to go out for the day of course they can - and they can enjoy their money. but whilst they are away they make no money because their systems main component is themselves.
Here's what's happened.
The definition of success according to Earl Nightingale is the realisation of a worthy goal. however success isn't all it's cracked up to be.
The journey to this point in the traders life has been exciting, exhilarating, despairing and all of those things we call emotional.
This emotion is like a drug and we get used to it - it takes so long to reach our goal that the highs and low's become a part of our personality.
when we reach the goal - we can't stop.until the wake up call of course.
At this point we realise that the answer has been staring us in the face from every book we ever read, every forum we visited and in reality every trade we ever made.
In stage seven the trader realises he needs to work on one more system - the last one he will ever work on. (I think!)
It will be completely mechanical. No user decisions to make, no worry about news, no worry about what the 'experts' say or what's happening in the news.
Now some traders will pooh pooh this - many city traders work on fundamentals etc etc - but ask yourself the question - if they are so good why aren't they trading their own accounts?
Anyway, this is my experience and not theirs - these two extra steps are what's happened to me and that's why I did it in a new thread as opposed to tagging it onto the first one which is kind of generic.
so in stage 7 the trader starts to work on this totally mechanical system and after a lot of backtesting by hand and parameter changes etc etc he finally has it.
he can now work for a few minutes a day or even automate the system and not work at all. if he wants to go out then he makes money whilst he's out.
This is the stage I'm now at and happily enjoying the money I'm making and I may be wrong but I think that's what the majority of people who come into this business would like to happen.
This stage will make me rich beyond my wildest dreams. but what you reading this have to realise is that you MUST go through all that shit to get here - it's like going from being a teenager to being an adult - there are no short cuts.
That's why I laugh when I see people posting that they are consistently profitable after a few months or even a couple of years - they may be, but it wont be for long. I think that even if you say this in chat rooms and on forums like this you know the truth yourself.
So that's the last two stages at the moment - might get bigger with more steps in the future though cos I don't know what I don't know yet.
you may be at this stage and you may be wondering how you will know if you have a truly mechanical system - well if your system is truly mechanical you should answer the following questions with a yes.
1. do you have a clearly defined entry point that wouldn't change no matter who was trading the system?
2. Do you have a clearly defined stop level that would not change no matter who was trading the system?
3. If NFP or a similar high volatility news item was due in 3 seconds and your system signalled an entry would you take it?
4. Do you have a clearly defined way to close your trade that would not change no matter who was trading it?
5. could you tell your 12 year old son what to do to trade the system and his results would be no different to yours?
If you answered truthfully 'yes' to each question then congratulations you have a truly mechanical system - now you've got to make sure it makes money - that bit is up to you.
Hope this helps some out there who are struggling away. Know that there is a light at the end of the tunnel, but it's a bloody long tunnel! see you at the light end.
树静风止的中文翻译
大家好
难以置信从我写第1篇文章至今已经18个月了。
就像别人说的那样，你在这场游戏中永远不能停止，他们说的的确是真的。
我想应该及时把新的内容加到旧的上去了——我过去18个月的交易很有意思，发生了很多事情，我想和你们分享一下，希望能对你们有用。
在我写那篇文章的时候，我是一个日交易者，并且在市场中持续盈利了18个月——我想我已经成为了一个交易者，而且我已经站在学习曲线的末端了。
可是我完全错误了
我认为这些文章永远也不会结束，我希望我能在2008年更新一下。
当我回首我这18个月的交易时，我难以相信从我认为我已经站在学习曲线的末端到现在发生了这么大的变化。
那个时候我用几个日内交易策略，那些让我有所盈利。在后来的几个月中，我不断测试新的策略——从这个或那个论坛读一些交易系统并测试它们。
我和一些交易者在一个语音工作室一起工作，并开始测试系统——没日没夜地测试并交易——的确赚了钱，但是并没有离理想更近一些I——我们希望交易变得简单，没有情感因素，并且过上百万富翁的生活。
当我以历史的眼光观察市场时，系统的形成开始变得容易了——我没有试过使用一个单一的时间框架并从宏观和微观的角度来观察。
这样在我的办公室里我就有了好几个显示器，我可以同时看到好几个时间框架的图形——我还是更关注GBP关注更多意味着更多的屏幕，我想研究英镑可以让我赚更多的钱。
我做了很多你们将来要做的事情，我发展了系统，抛弃了一些并出售了一些——我认为Hilda系统是我最耀眼的明珠——利用这个系统可以交易任何时段的任何货币。我花费了时间，然后向许多人出售系统I
当出售系统帮助他人的乐趣消失后，我又开始优化它，如此循环。
但是现实开始打击我
所有这些系统是有效的，出售这些系统并没有让我离我享受赚钱的乐趣更近一些。
你发现达到目标的过程是一件古怪的事情，所有的乐趣在于到达目标的过程，当你到达那儿的时候，你发现你很容易回到起点再来一遍。
我想告诉你们的是：我认为旅程的终点是成为一个伟大的交易员并清楚你的理想。我可能是错误的，在未来的两年内可能有第8步——但是现在我能给你的最好建议就是这些了。
*第6步 唤醒一切Step 6 The wake up call
当新手走到第5步是，他认为他已经到达终点了。他们心在可以赚一些钱，当他们回到论坛和聊天室时，他们微笑着看那些新人们在努力奋斗，而这正是新人们每天都在重复做的事情。
他们看到他们所经历的高峰和低谷，心痛，“在瓦斯炉上的脑袋”，以及从天堂到地狱的过程。
他们在设计系统并测试系统——一个小时一个小时地微笑着画图——他们知道没有计算机可以好到可以给你信心，让你可以认为系统能够正确交易。
他们反复测试——始终相信肯定有一个系统要比现在在用的系统更好。
他们使用最新的设计指标——他们甚至购买这些指标，因为他们相信为这些指标付费是物有所值。
交易成为一项家务事，他们整天盯着图标，因为那些可以付新车和房子的贷款。
他们使用的系统还是主要基于指标的，还需要打开一些图表并且以来与好的图表反馈。
即使这样他们也没有意识到在很多时候，虽然他们的系统是机械的，他们仍然需要做出决定——何时平仓，何时不交易，避开消息等等。
有一天，他们醒了。。。
*第7步——学会不交易
是的，你读的是正确的。
在这个过程中交易者被提高他们的交易水平束缚住了，以至于他们忘记了他们开始交易的目的——自由
现在他们每天坐在计算机前，4-5年后还在测试新的东西，做交易，尽管他们没有意识到在他们的交易中可以任意做决定
如果他们想走出来他们也是可以的——他们可以享受金钱，但是当他们走出来的时候，他们就不再赚钱了，因为保持系统一致性的是他们自己。
这就是事情发生的原因
Earl Nightingale 定义的成功概念是对物有所值的目标的实现，但是成功不是这样简单的。
对交易者来说，达到成功的旅程是令人兴奋的，令人兴高采烈，因为我们都是有感情的人。
这种感情就像毒品，我们沉溺其中——达到目标的时间如此长久，高峰和低谷已经成为我们人性中的一部分。
当我们达到目标时——我们不能停止，直到我们被唤醒。
在这一点上，我们意识到答案来自于我们每天都在阅读的图书中，以及我们每天登陆的论坛中，还有我们每天都在进行的交易中。
在这个阶段，交易者意识到它应该拥有不仅一个系统——最后一个应该是他没有使用的（我这样推测！）
它应该是完全机械的。不需要使用者做决定，不用担心新闻数据，不用担心专家怎么说了或者发生了什么样的新闻。
现在许多交易者可能对此不屑一顾——许多城市交易者（citytraders)根据基本面交易——但是问你自己一个问题——如果他们够棒，为什么他们不交易自己的账户？
无论如何，这是我的经验不是他们的——这两个阶段在我身上发生了，这就是我为什么发这个帖子的原因。
在第7阶段，交易者开始建立机械教育系统，经过许多手工回测以及参数修改，他最后发展出一套机械交易系统。
他现在可以一天只工作几分钟，甚至可以在他外出的时候用系统自动交易，这样他即使外出也可以赚钱。
这就是我所在的阶段，并且我很为这样赚来的钱高兴，我可能错了，但是我想这是大多数人来到交易场中所希望做到的事
在这个阶段，我可以赚钱，但是离梦想还很远，但是你在读这些的时候，你要知道你必须走过这些路才能达到梦想——就像从少年走向成年一样——没有捷径可走。
这就是为什么我看到有人法贴字说他们持续数月甚至几年英里时我都会发笑——他们可能是对的，但是时间不会太长。我认为如果你在论坛或聊天室说这些时，你是知道事实的真相的。
所以这是目前为止的最后两个阶段——也学将来还可以进一大步，我不能说，因为我不知道。
你可能处于这个阶段，并且想知道自己是否也拥有自动交易系统——好，如果你的系统是真正的机械交易系统，你必须回答下面的问题：
1 不管是谁在交易，你的入场点都是明确的，不会因为执行者的不同发生变化吗？
2. 不管是谁在交易，你的止损都是明确的，不会因为执行者的不同发生变化吗？
3. 如果 NFP或者更高波动的新闻在3秒内发生，你的系统发出了一个买入信号，你会行动吗？
4. 不管是谁在交易，你的离场都是明确的，不会因为执行者的不同发生变化吗？
5. 当你告诉你12岁的儿子如何交易，他的结果和你的没有什么两样吗？
如果你对每个问题的回答都是准确无误的肯定，你就拥有了一套真正的机械交易系统——现在你可以肯定它可以赚钱——这点取决于你。
希望这些对奋斗着的人们有用。我知道，在通道的那头有光亮，但是这是一条鲜血淋淋的漫长道路。希望在光亮的那头看到你们。 |
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