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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:04 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 28, 2009 11:30am
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

Cable
Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
Sh*t! I saw a clean 3-wave down followed by 5-wave up too. Cable is quite stubborn. I suspect it may be doing something funny there. It may register a new high again? If that's the case, it got hit again today,trying to catch top of Cable

Here is a 4 hour chart. I believe Cable wants to hit the 61.8 retrace @ 1.4416.
Attached Thumbnails   

  #1368   
Jan 28, 2009 11:41am
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye
Here is a 4 hour chart. I believe Cable wants to hit the 61.8 retrace @ 1.4416.

Yeah, it should be the last defend for the entire impulsive down move. Is it common to have W4 retrace to or even more than 61.8% of W3? the probability for W5 failure is high in that case right?

  #1369   
Jan 28, 2009 11:44am
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

Cable
Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
Yeah, it should be the last defend for the entire impulsive down move. Is it common to have W4 retrace to or even more than 61.8% of W3? the probability for W5 failure is high in that case right?

I really believe we are going to see some major truncation. Looking at the Dollar Index, we look to be starting a big C wave down in it's correction, so I am anticipating some medium term Dollar weakness.

  #1370   
Jan 28, 2009 11:49am
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 200ema
Hi Pipeye,

The only time frame I can count 5 waves down on right now is the 1 minute chart.


Do you think it is the top of 2 at .786 fib in M5 ?
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  #1371   
Jan 28, 2009 11:50am
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye
I really believe we are going to see some major truncation. Looking at the Dollar Index, we look to be starting a big C wave down in it's correction, so I am anticipating some medium term Dollar weakness.

Yeah, the probability is high that we will see 5th wave truncation. I'm hoping that Cable can go down abit, so that I can scale out my positions. Bad day!

  #1372   
Jan 28, 2009 11:53am
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by samdani786
Do you think it is the top of 2 at .786 fib in M5 ?

HI Sam,
It's quite possible. I can count 5-wave down on M1 time frame too. Hope it can go down a bit further. Cheers

  #1373   
Jan 28, 2009 12:00pm
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
HI Sam,
It's quite possible. I can count 5-wave down on M1 time frame too. Hope it can go down a bit further. Cheers


see the thing is that i see 5 wave up in euro so that means it need to come down for correction and usually euro and gbp moves side by side.
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1374   
Jan 28, 2009 12:16pm
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

Cable
Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
HI Sam,
It's quite possible. I can count 5-wave down on M1 time frame too. Hope it can go down a bit further. Cheers



If you take a closer look at the 1min chart, you can't find five down without some overlap. Not to mention, the 5 up on the 5min, indicates that we have at least 5 more small waves up to come.

The Eur/GBP is losing on the day, which tells me that the Pound has greater relative strength at the moment, so it is possible that it creates another high.

  #1375   
Jan 28, 2009 12:16pm
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by samdani786
see the thing is that i see 5 wave up in euro so that means it need to come down for correction and usually euro and gbp moves side by side.

Well, eur and gbp do not necessarily move side by side. Cable also depends on eurgbp and gbpjpy. Right now, I see the 5-wave impulsive up move of gbpjpy is probably over. The it will be followed by a correction. So in very short term, we could see some down move of gbpusd. However, I anticipate that there will be some USD weakness coming soon. Cheers

  #1376   
Jan 28, 2009 12:24pm
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye
If you take a closer look at the 1min chart, you can't find five down without some overlap. Not to mention, the 5 up on the 5min, indicates that we have at least 5 more small waves up to come.

The Eur/GBP is losing on the day, which tells me that the Pound has greater relative strength at the moment, so it is possible that it creates another high.


yeah you are 100% right on that. I see the 5 waves up on M5.
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  #1377   
Jan 28, 2009 12:24pm
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye
If you take a closer look at the 1min chart, you can't find five down without some overlap. Not to mention, the 5 up on the 5min, indicates that we have at least 5 more small waves up to come.

The Eur/GBP is losing on the day, which tells me that the Pound has greater relative strength at the moment, so it is possible that it creates another high.


I noticed that too. Gbpusd is likely to register a new high, which is probably right at 61.8% Fib retracement of W3 down. Then, we probably see at least a decent pull-back to the down side from there. Cheers!

  #1378   
Jan 28, 2009 12:30pm
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
Well, eur and gbp do not necessarily move side by side. Cable also depends on eurgbp and gbpjpy. Right now, I see the 5-wave impulsive up move of gbpjpy is probably over. The it will be followed by a correction. So in very short term, we could see some down move of gbpusd. However, I anticipate that there will be some USD weakness coming soon. Cheers

isnt it that the gbp/jpy is the multiple product of gbp/usd and usd/jpy ? cause if you multiply the price of usd/jpy and gbp/usd, you come up with the price of gbp/jyp ?
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  #1379   
Jan 28, 2009 12:37pm
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by samdani786
isnt it that the gbp/jpy is the multiple product of gbp/usd and usd/jpy ? cause if you multiply the price of usd/jpy and gbp/usd, you come up with the price of gbp/jyp ?

Yeah, you are right. So I think movement of gbpusd is also pretty much dependent on that of gbpjpy, which is likely to set up for a long trade after a correction coming near. Regards

  #1380   
Jan 28, 2009 12:41pm
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

Euro
Hey Guys,

Euro has already completed 5 waves up on the larger time frames. And if you look at the 5 min chart, we have a clear 5 waves down with a 3 wave retracement to the 50 fib. I am short from 1.3261 area.

This seems to fit with Euro being a little weaker that the Pound today.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:08 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 28, 2009 9:55pm
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts

AUD UPDATE
This is my counts for aud/usd. Please do comments and corrections
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  #1383   
Jan 29, 2009 12:38am
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts

chf update
This could be a good trade comming in as it has broken the outer trend line and testing the back side of it at 61.8 fib. Could be i and ii of 1
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  #1384   
Jan 29, 2009 3:04am
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts

chf
I am thinking about taking this trade. I need some feed back from you guys. some correction if i am wrong. Help me out please
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  #1385   
Jan 29, 2009 4:23am
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by samdani786
I am thinking about taking this trade. I need some feed back from you guys. some correction if i am wrong. Help me out please

Hi there,
I've got different count from yours. According to my count, either the last up move is W3 or WC, it needs to take out the recent high first to complete W5:3 or W5:C (I'm not sure whether it may have 5th wave failure or not). In my opinion, going short now is a bit hurried. So I will hold on first. You can wait and see whether there is a bigger 5-wave down move, then you can decide from there on. I think the Usd looks strong currently. So, no point fading it for the time being.Cheers
Attached Thumbnails   


  #1386   
Jan 29, 2009 8:21am
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts

chf
Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
Hi there,
I've got different count from yours. According to my count, either the last up move is W3 or WC, it needs to take out the recent high first to complete W5:3 or W5:C (I'm not sure whether it may have 5th wave failure or not). In my opinion, going short now is a bit hurried. So I will hold on first. You can wait and see whether there is a bigger 5-wave down move, then you can decide from there on. I think the Usd looks strong currently. So, no point fading it for the time being.Cheers


Thanks for ur reply man. Actually I opend the trade and went to sleep and woke up to closed it at the pivot. got lucky i gues. anyway nice trade to start the day
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  #1387   
Jan 29, 2009 1:32pm
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts

Euro/usd
If 12980/12880 holds as support. I think we will be good to go north.
Let me know if you have different counts please as i am still learning and need to know ur piont of veiws as well
Thanks
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:10 | 显示全部楼层
Jan 29, 2009 10:53pm
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by samdani786
If 12980/12880 holds as support. I think we will be good to go north.
Let me know if you have different counts please as i am still learning and need to know ur piont of veiws as well
Thanks


Hi there,
I've got different count from yours. If mine is correct, then we should see the final W5 down (seen on 4-hour timeframe). Your count looks absolutely possible to me. The key is to watch whether the downward move that you treat as double zigzag holds. Right now, it's already holding at 78.6% Fib Retracement and about to breach I think. If that level can't hold , then it's likely that the downward move is impulsive and the final downward W5 thought I mentioned above is quite likely to occur. I am also new to EW analysis. So, EW experts here may have different opinions. Cheers
Attached Thumbnails      

  #1389   
Jan 30, 2009 12:26pm
samdani786
Member
Member Since Feb 2008

95 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
Hi there,
I've got different count from yours. If mine is correct, then we should see the final W5 down (seen on 4-hour timeframe). Your count looks absolutely possible to me. The key is to watch whether the downward move that you treat as double zigzag holds. Right now, it's already holding at 78.6% Fib Retracement and about to breach I think. If that level can't hold , then it's likely that the downward move is impulsive and the final downward W5 thought I mentioned above is quite likely to occur. I am also new to EW analysis. So, EW experts here...


Hi nino, Very nice chart and solid counts you have there and so far the price is moving according to your count. I am watching the 127.65 level to break. I wish you all the best and have a good weekend
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  #1390   
Jan 31, 2009 3:34am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi all,

My cable chart.

Since wave 4 overlapped the range of wave 1, so the impulse count which i count before gone invalid.

Now came up with Ending Diagonal, I believe wave 5 is forming as diagonal..
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  #1391   
Jan 31, 2009 3:49am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
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  594 Posts


Cable chart...
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  #1392   
Feb 2, 2009 4:25am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
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  594 Posts


Hi all,

here is other possibility for Cable..
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  #1393   
Feb 2, 2009 7:55am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi all,

my gbpjpy chart.
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  #1394   
Feb 2, 2009 11:38am
Blue bottle
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  594 Posts


EurUsd 15 mins chart..
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  #1395   
Feb 2, 2009 11:48am
Blue bottle
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Possible triangle in AudUsd pair.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:10 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 2, 2009 9:53pm
Blue bottle
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  594 Posts


Hi all,

Here is my chart bullish chart for wave C
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  #1397   
Feb 3, 2009 2:10pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


gbp usd
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  #1398   
Feb 3, 2009 3:17pm
Pip-Stud
Member
Member Since Jan 2009

116 Posts

Hmmmm......
I Can only admire your work, I dont know anything about Elliott wave, But I know most professionals use it so Im sure it must be very effective, I wish I can Learn
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Hi all,

Here is my chart bullish chart for wave C



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  #1399   
Feb 4, 2009 12:25am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
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  594 Posts


UsdChf chart..
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  #1400   
Feb 4, 2009 2:44am
Blue bottle
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Here is my GbpJpy H1 chart for bearish..
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:12 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 4, 2009 2:57am
j-pax
Member
Member Since May 2008

36 Posts

eurchf
looks like a classic setup for a wave 3??
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  #1403   
Feb 4, 2009 3:51am
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

USD CHF H4
NO COMMENT
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  #1404   
Feb 4, 2009 4:35am
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

gbp jpy H1
NO COMMENT
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  #1405   
Feb 4, 2009 5:08pm
Blue bottle
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  594 Posts


Here is my cable h1 chart.
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  #1406   
Feb 5, 2009 4:54am
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

GBPUSD
NO COMMENT
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  #1407   
Feb 6, 2009 1:47am
bohebolo
Pattern Trader
Member Since Oct 2005

33 Posts

Update?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Here is my cable h1 chart.

Hey BB,
Do you have an updated chart for this?
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These all are about 3's & 5's

  #1408   
Feb 6, 2009 7:30am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi Bohebolo

my updated cable chart..
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Dec 7, 2008 4:40pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

IBM
IBM
Continue trend down w

correction wave in daily (wave 4=20-30$ trend up)

impuls in H1
after end wave 5 start corretion wave A-B-C
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  #3   
Dec 10, 2008 2:22pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

axp
axp 15m
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  #4   
Dec 10, 2008 2:52pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

BA
ba m -h1
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  #5   
Dec 10, 2008 3:17pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

ibm
ibm down trend
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  #6   
Dec 10, 2008 10:37pm
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006

  4,413 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari
ibm down trend

The 5-25-5 Oscillator on the bottom of chart is showing a higher high reading which should signify Wave 3.

At Wave 5 there is supposed to be divergence with Wave 3 or lower high.

Also Wave 1 appears to be about 1/4 the size of either Wave 3 or 5. Seems way out of proportion.

IMO more likely an ABC correctiion of some sort.
Last edited by SunTrader, Dec 10, 2008 10:51pm

  #7   
Dec 11, 2008 11:44am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader
The 5-25-5 Oscillator on the bottom of chart is showing a higher high reading which should signify Wave 3.

At Wave 5 there is supposed to be divergence with Wave 3 or lower high.

Also Wave 1 appears to be about 1/4 the size of either Wave 3 or 5. Seems way out of proportion.

IMO more likely an ABC correctiion of some sort.



OK
perhaps

tank you .

  #8   
Dec 29, 2008 1:29am
fry2010
Senior Member
Member Since Mar 2008

776 Posts


how do you guys decide what kind of waves these are? seems like there are endless possibilities? all i am capable of understanding are the 12345 impulsive and 123 corrective. Those bat and butterfly patterns elude me.

  #9   
Jan 12, 2009 8:38am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

dji
dji
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  #10   
Jan 12, 2009 8:41am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

xom
xom
w
d
h1
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  #11   
Jan 12, 2009 8:43am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

qqq
qqq
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  #12   
Jan 28, 2009 12:04pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


INTEL
DIS
PFE
MMM
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:16 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 7, 2009 5:35am
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts


gbp jpy
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  #1412   
Feb 7, 2009 2:48pm
saeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

  125 Posts

EUR GBP
EUR GBP
Perhaps end wave 5 !
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  #1413   
Feb 8, 2009 6:09am
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

GBP Usd-gbpjpy

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  #1414   
Feb 10, 2009 12:25am
Blue bottle
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  594 Posts


Hi all,

my usdcad chart..
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  #1415   
Feb 10, 2009 5:30am
Blue bottle
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Anybody LONG on AudUsd?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:24 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 10, 2009 6:36am
Blue bottle
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  594 Posts


My Kiwi count..

You guys agree with it?
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  #1417   
Feb 11, 2009 5:21am
Blue bottle
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Cable chart.
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  #1418   
Feb 11, 2009 5:28am
Blue bottle
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EurGbp M5..
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  #1419   
Feb 11, 2009 8:44am
sherif dabes
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

2 Posts

Gold
Hi All
my gold Account
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  #1420   
Feb 12, 2009 1:45am
Blue bottle
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hi all,

my audusd chart
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  #1421   
Feb 12, 2009 1:51am
Rocroy
Senior Member
Member Since Jun 2007

  513 Posts


Haven't seen eurocharts here lately, so here is one




  #1422   
Feb 13, 2009 2:12am
Blue bottle
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hi all,

my cable h4 chart..
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  #1423   
Feb 13, 2009 2:34am
Blue bottle
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HI all,

Cable H1 chart
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  #1424   
Feb 13, 2009 2:46am
Blue bottle
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USDJPY 5mins chart
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:35 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 13, 2009 3:56am
Blue bottle
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  594 Posts


I'm still looking for short entry..
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  #1427   
Feb 13, 2009 5:18am
Blue bottle
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UsdCad H1
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  #1428   
Feb 13, 2009 7:28am
derek
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

  247 Posts


horizontal triangle abcde of wave (iv)

EURUSD 1H


  #1429   
Feb 14, 2009 2:26am
Blue bottle
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Hi all,

My USDJPY chart.

If it breaks triangle then i am expecting FLAT correction.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:36 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 17, 2009 1:39am
Blue bottle
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Hi all,

My UsdJpy chart..

Looks good to SHORT..
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  #1431   
Feb 17, 2009 2:18am
Blue bottle
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  594 Posts


Cable chart..
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  #1432   
Feb 17, 2009 2:19am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EURUSD CHART>>
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  #1433   
Feb 17, 2009 2:22am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EUR/CHF CHART
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  #1434   
Feb 17, 2009 2:24am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


testin
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  #1435   
Feb 17, 2009 2:26am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
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  594 Posts


UsdJpy..
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  #1436   
Feb 17, 2009 2:30am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurGbp..
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  #1437   
Feb 17, 2009 2:54am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EURCHF H4
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  #1438   
Feb 17, 2009 2:59am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Gbp Jpy Hourly Chart>>
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  #1439   
Feb 17, 2009 3:18am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by derek
horizontal triangle abcde of wave (iv)

EURUSD 1H


Hi Derek,

Pls resize your chart when you post...

It surely helps
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  #1440   
Feb 17, 2009 3:25am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
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  594 Posts


USDCAD
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:37 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 17, 2009 3:29am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


My alternative count for EURCHF
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  #1443   
Feb 17, 2009 3:38am
Spartan2008
Member
Member Since Dec 2008

9 Posts

USD/JPY
We have a bearish count in usd/jpy but where is your target ?? There is a bearish divergence also on 1h and 4h (macd)
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  #1444   
Feb 17, 2009 5:55am
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

?
Quote:
Originally Posted by fxterrapin
Calling LFB worthless tells me that you have a hidden agenda--like refering other traders to EWI (yes, it is obvious).

Also, your EW voodoo didn't catch the turn in E/U either. You stated months ago that E/U would break beyond 1.6.

And no Prechter is far from being a "genius", as you put it. He has turned commission whore like so many others.


Very constructive comment. Do you care to add anything useful to this forum, or are you just an angry little fella whose been spanked by Mother Market?

  #1445   
Feb 17, 2009 11:12am
fxterrapin
Member
Member Since May 2008

  412 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye
Very constructive comment. Do you care to add anything useful to this forum, or are you just an angry little fella whose been spanked by Mother Market?

You don't call exposing BS constructive? That would make you an odd little fella.

  #1446   
Feb 17, 2009 12:06pm
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

Black Magic
Quote:
Originally Posted by fxterrapin
You don't call exposing BS constructive? That would make you an odd little fella.

BS is calling EW voodoo. But then again, it would take an odd little fella without the requisite intellectual capacity to understand the Wave principles full power, to make such a silly comment. Enjoy your ignorance.

  #1447   
Feb 17, 2009 2:11pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi all,

I believe EURUSD & USDCHF are very near to the reversal.
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  #1448   
Feb 17, 2009 2:24pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


USDJPY.

Edit: pls ignore below chart. Missed something, need to recount.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:37 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 18, 2009 1:41am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
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  594 Posts


My EURGBP H4 Chart.
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  #1451   
Feb 18, 2009 1:54am
kevler
Member
Member Since Mar 2007

7 Posts





credit to 5waves.blogspot

  #1452   
Feb 18, 2009 2:32am
bohebolo
Pattern Trader
Member Since Oct 2005

33 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
USDJPY.

Hi BB, great chart
But why did you label E Wave as 1-2-3-4-5 (impulsive)?
All I know, wave E should be subdivided as 3's (corrective)

just my 2 cent
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  #1453   
Feb 18, 2009 2:44am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by swiftpip
BB, I see you have A labeled around January 18th. Why would your label B not be the c of wave B from the decline from the 1/6 high of 94.63? If this is an A-B-C, can wave C be an A-B-C-D-E? I am still learing her and looking to better understand the wave counts.

Thanks

Tim


Quote:
Originally Posted by bohebolo
Hi BB, great chart
But why did you label E Wave as 1-2-3-4-5 (impulsive)?
All I know, wave E should be subdivided as 3's (corrective)

just my 2 cent


I guess i missed something, allow me to recount it again.

Thanks all for valuable feedback..
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  #1454   
Feb 18, 2009 3:17am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


USDCHF ..

Found that wave A is now equal to wave C..
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  #1455   
Feb 18, 2009 3:41am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi all,

EURCHF DAILY
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:38 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 18, 2009 4:04am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


AUDUSD HOURLY
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  #1457   
Feb 18, 2009 6:01am
belekas
Senior Member
Member Since Sep 2007

  2,862 Posts


@Blue bottle

GM - i would like to ask you for the best read available on Elliot Wave. Maybe some books to get the right feel on starting with EW?

Thanks.

  #1458   
Feb 18, 2009 1:39pm
swiftpip
Member
Member Since Mar 2008

28 Posts

USDJPY
I am still learning. how does this count look for USDJPY? Possible Flat correction before starting wave 5 down.
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  #1459   
Feb 18, 2009 7:32pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by belekas
@Blue bottle

GM - i would like to ask you for the best read available on Elliot Wave. Maybe some books to get the right feel on starting with EW?

Thanks.


Below are the some of good EW Books..

Elliott Wave Principle : Key to Market Behavior by Robert Prechter

Elliott Wave Principle : Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets by Robert Balan

Dynamic Trading : Dynamic Concepts in Time, Price & Pattern Analysis with Practical Strategies for Traders & Investors By Robert Miner

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  #1460   
Feb 19, 2009 1:54am
pips4life
Member
Member Since Apr 2007

195 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Below are the some of good EW Books..

Elliott Wave Principle : Key to Market Behavior by Robert Prechter

Elliott Wave Principle : Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets by Robert Balan

Dynamic Trading : Dynamic Concepts in Time, Price & Pattern Analysis with Practical Strategies for Traders & Investors By Robert Miner


Wow, good recommendations. I have read the 1st and 3rd which I found very helpful. Personally, I feel that it was good for me to start with the Prechter book to get the overall definitions, but it's somewhat of an academic approach if you will. However, to make it practical, it's hard to beat Dynamic Trading. A bit pricey but worth it, or, consider his newer book as well:
High Probability Trading Strategies, Entry to Exit Tactics for the Forex, Futures, and Stock Markets. by Robert Miner


Would you care to provide a mini-review of Balan's book? It's not available on Amazon but I see there are plenty of PDF's one can find on Google.

Thanks,
Pips4life

  #1461   
Feb 19, 2009 2:54am
doji
Member
Member Since Oct 2007

75 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pips4life
Wow, good recommendations....

I believe Balan's book is out of print now. And although free downloads can be had of it in pdf form, I'm wondering why no publisher has thought of re-issuing the book since it's the only one, as far as I know, that tackles Elliott Wave analysis as applied to forex.

  #1462   
Feb 19, 2009 3:00am
derek
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

  247 Posts


EURUSD, hourly
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:39 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 19, 2009 3:40am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


GBPJPY HOURLY CHART..
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  #1464   
Feb 19, 2009 4:23am
bonk
Member
Member Since Oct 2006

5 Posts


how about audusd?

  #1465   
Feb 19, 2009 4:56am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by bonk
how about audusd?

My previous count invalid already..

I will post u new chart later.
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  #1466   
Feb 19, 2009 4:56am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurGbp 1mins
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  #1467   
Feb 19, 2009 4:58am
bonk
Member
Member Since Oct 2006

5 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
My previous count invalid already..

I will post u new chart later.



Thanks

  #1468   
Feb 19, 2009 5:06am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


AUD/USD CHART
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  #1469   
Feb 19, 2009 5:26am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Here is other possibilities.. TRIANGLE
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:40 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 19, 2009 7:07am
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

euro usd h1
no comment
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  #1472   
Feb 19, 2009 7:01pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EURUSD M30
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  #1473   
Feb 22, 2009 3:52am
my30marahaba
Member
Member Since Sep 2008

464 Posts

USDCHF on daily wave
Dear All,
i'm new trader learning of this wave
would you please correction of this usdchf on daily wave

Thanks and regards,
my30marahaba
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  #1474   
Feb 22, 2009 9:39am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


USDCHF 5Mins Chart.
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  #1475   
Feb 22, 2009 10:20am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


GBPJPY Bearish count.
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  #1476   
Feb 22, 2009 10:34am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Some monthly and weekly charts..
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:41 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 22, 2009 11:22am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi all,

Here is my USD/SGD H1 and H4 charts..

I think most of you don't trade this pair, but I'm posting it here since i live in Singapore.
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  #1478   
Feb 22, 2009 3:45pm
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

GOLD
DAILLY
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  #1479   
Feb 22, 2009 3:49pm
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

EURO
H1-h4 My Perspective
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  #1480   
Feb 22, 2009 4:00pm
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

GBP USD H1-H4
First We Might Have A Little Decline
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  #1481   
Feb 22, 2009 8:09pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


USDCHF 5mins
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  #1482   
Feb 22, 2009 8:18pm
5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008

  2,708 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
USDCHF 5mins

yes fully agree
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Extraordinary trading journal

  #1483   
Feb 23, 2009 6:27am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx
yes fully agree


Thanks 5ysfx!!

Here is the updated USD/CHF 5Mins Chart
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  #1484   
Feb 23, 2009 7:45am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


HI all,

Cable Hourly...

Yellow color ABC correction is almost near ending stage, think. And this ABC is near the 61.8% fibo of 5 impulse waves..

Wave C from 1.4095 can be subdivided into abc, and sub wave C is equal to 162% of sub wave A.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:41 | 显示全部楼层
Feb 24, 2009 5:17am
ninohoang
Member
Member Since Jun 2008

30 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by bohebolo
Anyone has updated count for USDJPY?
I think I got lost on it...


My counts on usdjpy. The price is at WC of a flat now. However, I do not think WC is done just yet. It might go up to 99 in a 5-wave weary rally and end up with an ending diagonal at 50% or 61% Fib Ret level which are good places to go short there. I am expecting a big retracement of the recent up move testing the support trendline though. I think the price action may be going to be choppy and has a lot of overlapping portions. but finally will get up to 50% or 61.8% Fib level (even 78.6%). I find it difficult to trade in this condition and probably stay out of Yen pairs for a while
Attached Thumbnails      

  #1487   
Feb 24, 2009 5:54am
bohebolo
Pattern Trader
Member Since Oct 2005

33 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by ninohoang
My counts on usdjpy. The price is at WC of a flat now. However, I do not think WC is done just yet. It might go up to 99 in a 5-wave weary rally...

Thanks Nino and yes, it's better to wait until this flat correction is finished.
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  #1488   
Feb 24, 2009 7:10am
carefree183
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

11 Posts

USDJPY
H4-W
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  #1489   
Feb 25, 2009 5:00pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EURCHF M5
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  #1490   
Feb 26, 2009 10:44pm
derek
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

  247 Posts


GBPUSD

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  #1491   
Mar 1, 2009 8:37pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


GBPJPY 5Mins
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:42 | 显示全部楼层
Mar 2, 2009 7:28am
swiftpip
Member
Member Since Mar 2008

28 Posts

USDJPY
good morning all. Still working through my learnings of EW. Appreciate any feedback on my USDJPY count. Appears we are in wave 4 which should around the 96.30-96.40 range (not extending past terminus of wave 4 of of less degree).

Thank you

Tim
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  #1493   
Mar 3, 2009 8:21am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


USDCAD Triangle Chart..
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  #1494   
Mar 4, 2009 3:53pm
waves
Member
Member Since Jan 2009

1 Posts


Perfect! price for E should go 61.8% of wave C...measure that for your E wave target and a signal to look to go long......If we are wrong, let 1.3050 break and trade off the 1st retrace.......

  #1495   
Mar 5, 2009 4:05pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


GbpJpy Daily Chart..
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  #1496   
Mar 6, 2009 5:30am
Suj_cess
live life
Member Since Feb 2009

99 Posts


I personally think there is should be more contributions to this thread. Lets turn up the fire and heat this thread up a little bit. As an elliot waver, you all know this is by far one of the most accurate forecasting tools for the market. I really want to hear from you guys what you guys see on the charts. I am in Eurusd. Anyone who wants to discuss this particular pair using the Elliot's i am more than happy. Sometimes trying to locate those points can be difficult.

Anyway, this is what i see on the Eurusd chart. Any comment is welcome ofcourse. As for me...its friday night and i opening up my first beer waiting for the Non Farm data to be out.

Its TGIF....Happy Pippin !!
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  #1497   
Mar 6, 2009 6:59am
s.ZhouYun.h
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

  38 Posts


EU 4h chart
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  #1498   
Mar 6, 2009 8:00am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Suj_cess
I personally think there is should be more contributions to this thread. Lets turn up the fire and heat this thread up a little bit. As an elliot waver, you all know this is by far one of the most accurate forecasting tools for the market. I really want to hear from you guys what you guys see on the charts. I am in Eurusd. Anyone who wants to discuss this particular pair using the Elliot's i am more than happy. Sometimes trying to locate those points can be difficult.

Anyway, this is what i see on the Eurusd chart. Any comment is welcome ofcourse....


Very good chart friend!!

But I'm impatiently waiting for NON FARM date, and will count my charts after it.

Btw, just wondering what is TGIF?
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  #1499   
Mar 6, 2009 8:03am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by s.ZhouYun.h
EU 4h chart


wow your 1st post here, welcome!!

Keep posting.
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  #1500   
Mar 6, 2009 8:42am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurChf Daily Chart..


Bottom is near, i think.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:43 | 显示全部楼层
Mar 6, 2009 9:30am
Suj_cess
live life
Member Since Feb 2009

99 Posts


The current spike up on Eurusd is just a mere markets reverse reaction on the worse than expected Non-Farm data. I still see wave 5 heading downwards from here....we are probably hitting the high or maybe going up higher before heading down for wave 5. There is still room for wave 4 to go up...but very limited.
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  #1503   
Mar 6, 2009 1:55pm
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

Wave count violation
Quote:
Originally Posted by Suj_cess
The current spike up on Eurusd is just a mere markets reverse reaction on the worse than expected Non-Farm data. I still see wave 5 heading downwards from here....we are probably hitting the high or maybe going up higher before heading down for wave 5. There is still room for wave 4 to go up...but very limited.


Unfortunately your count as you have presented it, is invalid. Wave 4 has substantially violated the price territory of Wave 1.

  #1504   
Mar 6, 2009 3:52pm
Suj_cess
live life
Member Since Feb 2009

99 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye
Unfortunately your count as you have presented it, is invalid. Wave 4 has substantially violated the price territory of Wave 1.

Can you better represent wave 4 then? I thought its pretty obvious that wave 4, up till now, is still the highest point and not exceeding a 100% retracement of wave 3 and now already heading down for wave 5.

Please show me your chart...i hope im not wrong.
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  #1505   
Mar 6, 2009 6:56pm
pkimnyc
Senior Member
Member Since Oct 2007

  2,918 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Suj_cess
Can you better represent wave 4 then? I thought its pretty obvious that wave 4, up till now, is still the highest point and not exceeding a 100% retracement of wave 3 and now already heading down for wave 5.

Please show me your chart...i hope im not wrong.


looks @ the daily chart.
wouldn't count as impulse wave down from here.

got lost counting this down move, but the down move from 1.47 can be considered as B wave?

any thought?

  #1506   
Mar 6, 2009 7:10pm
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

Elliott Wave Principle
Quote:
Originally Posted by Suj_cess
Can you better represent wave 4 then? I thought its pretty obvious that wave 4, up till now, is still the highest point and not exceeding a 100% retracement of wave 3 and now already heading down for wave 5.

Please show me your chart...i hope im not wrong.


The two most important rules in Elliott Wave Theory are these (both taken from "Elliott Wave Principle" by Frost and Prechter):

Page 41: "The single most important rule that can be gleaned from a study of the various corrective patterns is that corrections are never fives"

Page 31: "In an impulse, wave 4 does not enter the territory of (i.e. overlap) wave 1."......"Elliott further discovered that in price terms, wave 3 is often the longest and never the shortest among the three actionary waves (1,3 and 5).

The only time that wave 4 can enter the price territory of wave 1 is in either a Leading or Ending diagonal. So, if what you depicted on your chart is either one of those, then your count could still be valid, but you haven't depicted it as such.

  #1507   
Mar 6, 2009 7:19pm
pkimnyc
Senior Member
Member Since Oct 2007

  2,918 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye
The two most important rules in Elliott Wave Theory are these (both taken from "Elliott Wave Principle" by Frost and Prechter):

Page 41: "The single most important rule that can be gleaned from a study of the various corrective patterns is that corrections are never fives"

Page 31: "In an impulse, wave 4 does not enter the territory of (i.e. overlap) wave 1."......"Elliott further discovered that in price terms, wave 3 is often the longest and never the shortest among the three...

spot on.

  #1508   
Mar 7, 2009 12:06am
s.ZhouYun.h
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

  38 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
wow your 1st post here, welcome!!

Keep posting.


Hi all,Hello(-_-)Blue blottle ,I very much enjoy the Elliott wave theory also enjoy this thread !!
Sorry, my English is very bad, hope and communicate U.S. study!

  #1509   
Mar 7, 2009 12:25am
GreekEagle
GreekEagle
Member Since Sep 2006

23 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Suj_cess
The current spike up on Eurusd is just a mere markets reverse reaction on the worse than expected Non-Farm data. I still see wave 5 heading downwards from here....we are probably hitting the high or maybe going up higher before heading down for wave 5. There is still room for wave 4 to go up...but very limited.

I guess you make your own rules for Elliot waves. I have this to tell you if you DONT KNOW Elliot Waves then shut up & stop LYING TO PEOPLE. For your info go BACK TO SCHOOL WAVE 4 CANNOT I REPEAT CANNOT GO INTO WAVE 1 & AS YOU CAN CLEARY SEE IT HAS RETRACED PAST THE BOTTOM OF WAVE 1

  #1510   
Mar 7, 2009 1:30am
s.ZhouYun.h
Member
Member Since Feb 2009

  38 Posts


My eu_1H Chart& uchf_4H Chart
Attached Thumbnails      

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:44 | 显示全部楼层
Mar 8, 2009 7:38pm
Suj_cess
live life
Member Since Feb 2009

99 Posts


Thanks for the advice. Sorry if i caused any hostility for this thread. I posted what i see and i believe in, i could be right...i could be wrong...and i believe that happens to all of us all the time and thats is why we are in this forum...to share knowledge. I said in my ealier post that i will be happy to hear your opinion about eurusd EW counts.

So, what do we see here? i still think my smaller counts(purple) is correct but the larger counts (yellow)....hmmm...since everyone is disagreeing with me...any thoughts?
Attached Thumbnails   

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Mar 9, 2009 1:57am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Cable m5 chart..
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1533   
Mar 9, 2009 2:17am
NuckingFuts
Nudist
Member Since May 2008

  1,105 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Suj_cess
Try elliottwave.com
They have lots of free materials that covers quite a depth about EW.


Thanks bud, I'm looking at the site now. Should keep me busy until the book arrives.

I prefer a hard copy so I can read it when on the move.

I went with the Prechter book.
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  #1534   
Mar 9, 2009 2:22am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Hi all,

Here is my USDJPY chart..

Its my alternate count. If its true, TOP is still NOT in place.

And i'm think of triangle in wave 4.
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1535   
Mar 9, 2009 3:19am
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


EurCHf m30 chart..
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-12 12:45 | 显示全部楼层
Mar 9, 2009 1:18pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


HI ALL,
Here is USDCHF chart..
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1539   
Mar 9, 2009 4:25pm
pkimnyc
Senior Member
Member Since Oct 2007

  2,918 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
EWP is good, especially for starters. If you find EWA interesting but you're looking for a more practical approach I recommend Dynamic Trading by Miner. Most helpful imo.

soso,

good to see you.
how have you been?
hope everything is ok.

  #1540   
Mar 9, 2009 5:11pm
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc
soso,

good to see you.
how have you been?
hope everything is ok.


Hello pkimnyc, I'm fine thanks for asking. Working, relaxing & trading, in this order . Not much time for posting but I'm keeping an eye on this thread at least once a few days.
Hope you're ok too and have a great day!
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  #1541   
Mar 9, 2009 6:11pm
doji
Member
Member Since Oct 2007

75 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by soso
EWP is good, especially for starters. If you find EWA interesting but you're looking for a more practical approach I recommend Dynamic Trading by Miner. Most helpful imo.

I second this. Am reading Miner now and finding him quite instructive.

  #1542   
Mar 9, 2009 7:08pm
welshguy2000
Member
Member Since Aug 2007

175 Posts

Reference book:
Good evening all,

i know only the basics about Elliot wave, however i've purchased this book:
Applying Elliott Wave Theory Profitably

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Applying-Ell...6557331&sr=1-3

is there anything i should read 1st?

cheers WG
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  #1543   
Mar 9, 2009 8:47pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Cable Chart..

Not sure what pushing cable still down..

I'm looking for retrace once it complete wave C(black & blue color count)
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1544   
Mar 9, 2009 8:51pm
Blue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

  594 Posts


Here is cable Hourly chart.
Attached Thumbnails   

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  #1545   
Mar 10, 2009 5:03am
soso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007

  177 Posts


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle
Cable Chart..

Not sure what pushing cable still down..

I'm looking for retrace once it complete wave C(black & blue color count)


Very nice work BB as usual!

I'm watching an alternate count (but close!), mainly because cable stopped at a conflunce of projections and it could already have the bottom in place.
If you have a look at each wave down of this correction it is a 3 wave move, so I wouldnt rule out the same outcome
for this last wave...
Attached Thumbnails   

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