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发表于 2009-4-7 18:02
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Posted on January 30, 2009 at 13:21 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
The attempt to break above the 90.00 zone is loosing steam, and the pair is again pushing slowly to the downside:take a look at this 1 hour chart and the descendant channel the pair is moving in: with 89.50 as a first support zone, a break under could take the pair to 89.10, followed by a congestion zone around 88.70. Resistances from actual price will be again, the 89.90/90.00 zone, followed by 90.35, and then 90.80. Above this last, expect more bullish to come.
Tags: usdjpy
Eur/Usd key level close
Posted on January 30, 2009 at 12:32 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Lot’s of bearish pressure here, if the pair manages to break under the 1.2800 level, get ready for more selling pressure: first support will be the zone around 1.2764/80, and if that gives up, the pair could quickly win momentum to 1.2710 and finally, 1.2648. Only above 1.2878 the pair could move up with some strength, with next resistances at 1.2945, 1.2980 zone and finally 1.3030.
Tags: eurusd
Majors’s sentiment for today
Posted on January 30, 2009 at 10:48 in Sentiment, Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Here is the majors sentiment for today:
Eur/Usd: Bearish
Gbp/Usd: Slightly Bullish
Usd/Chf: Slighthy Bullish
Usd/Jpy: Bearish
Eur/Gbp: Bearish
Tags: Majors trend
Starting the day
Posted on January 30, 2009 at 10:43 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Hi everyone, welcome back! Ok, the day is just starting, so to call a January end of month could be a little too early, but looking charts my friends, bigger ones I mean, the theory of “the less weak- winning battle” is still valid, and will be around us for some more time (and probably a long one), but remember! a battle is not the war! For the past months we have been seeing many battles across the board, and till now, Dollar and Japanese Yen remain the strongest; but don’t get too confident: Gbp is giving them a hell of a fight, and preparing to continue in that tone. Japanese Yen is looking tired, but may have still one more ace up the sleeve. Swissy is not telling me much, but that it’s positioning for a big big jump still not clear when and if able to. Our poor friend the Euro, seems positioned to continue suffering the “we-are-doing-fine” Trichet’s curse. Anyway! too much talking done! Let’s see what technicals have to offer today, maybe try shorter post and more pairs, let’s see if I have the time; check today’s calendar ( we have some good stuff in the U.S. today) while I look charts:
http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-calendar/
Have a great day!
Tags: eurusd
Gbp/Usd technical perspective
Posted on January 29, 2009 at 13:51 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
This pair remain bullish in 4 hours charts, yet take a look: recent high of 1.4330 has completed a pullback to an ascendant 4 hours trend line. With indicators still pointing to the upside, Above 1.4350/70 the pair will regain bullish strength, with next resistances at 1.4410, 1.4465 and finally the zone close to 1.4490/4520. Only under 1.4280 the pair can loose more steam and test supports at 1.4240, 1.4200 1.4153 and finally 1.4100 zone.
Tags: gbpusd
Eur/Usd for today
Posted on January 29, 2009 at 11:55 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Following our 4 hours charts, the pair break under the 1.3120 neck level mentioned yesterday, and quickly run to the downside, reaching a 1.3030 low, from where the pair has rebounded nicely. Right now, the pair is fighting the 1.3120 resistance level, and if remains under could mean the pullback to the figure neck, so as long as the pair remains under here we could see some bearish continuation, with first support at 1.3090 zone, followed by 1.3058 and 1.3030 today’s minimun. A break under it, could send the pair first to 1.3006 and then 1.2966. A confirmation above this 1.3120/30 will send the pair first to 1.3148, 1.3180 and 1.3220.
Tags: eurusd
Majors’s sentiment for today
Posted on January 29, 2009 at 10:12 in Sentiment by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Here is the majors sentiment for today:
Eur/Usd: Bearish
Gbp/Usd: Slightly Bullish
Usd/Chf: Bullish
Usd/Jpy: Slightly Bullish
Eur/Gbp: Bearish
Tags: Majors trend
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Tags: Majors, News
Usd/Chf failure to break up
Posted on January 28, 2009 at 16:28 in Long-Term Analysis, Short-Term Analysis by Valeria Bednarik1 Comment »
Swiss Franc, the weaker of the Europeans at the moment, has been unable to clearly break under the 1.1400 zone, and remains in a sort of ascendant channel in 4 hours charts, and the fact is that the inclination is not really worthy, as it should be more bullish. Anyway seems like and inverted flag so a break under the base, 1.1330 zone, should trigger some bearish momentum in the pair, with next important support close to 1.1240. A confirmation above the upside band, that tested a few minutes ago, the zone above 1.1440/50, should deny the figure and send the pair to 1.1520, our old 61.8% weekly charts Fibonacci zone.
Tags: Usd/Chf
Usd/Jpy probable breaking points
Posted on January 28, 2009 at 13:38 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
The pair continues telling nothing to me, moving in ranges, yet holding under the 90.00 key level. Quoting above the 4 hs 20 SMA, and turning it to the upside (still no confirmations here) above the 89.60 zone could move to 89.90/90.00 zone, where we have a daily descendant trend line. Let’s see if the pair manages to break above and confirm, triggering some more bullish rally there. On the other hand, under 89.10 the pair could retest the 88.80 zone, where we have an ascendant trend line and several candle minimums, so could probably give a nice short term rebound. If breaks under, next supports will be at 88.40, 88.05 and 87.55.
Tags: usdjpy
Gbp/Usd follow up
Posted on January 28, 2009 at 12:07 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Gbp continues pushing higher, ready to break the daily maximum. as the pair remains above the 1.4300. If passes 1.4330, next target will be the 61.8% retracement of this week Fibo, @ 1.4366, followed by the zone 1.4395, and a more tough resistance at 1.4445/60 zone. Regarding supports, consider 1.4280, 1.4240 zone, 1.4205, and finally the zone between 1.4120/35.
Tags: gbpusd
Happy birthday my friend!
Posted on January 28, 2009 at 11:09 in Uncategorized by Valeria Bednarik2 Comments »
A year ago, an Argentinean colegue trader, that hardly speaks English, told me that there was a vacancy on Fxstreet.com blogs. He told me to do it, he support me, he said: “you can do it!”. In fact he was the one that push me here (for your joy or hate  ) so thank or blame him whatever you feel about this blog.
Leaving jokes a side, he has been a good friend, a trading partner and a huge support in my beginnings. Life is worthless without the support of the ones we love. Today is his birthday, so for you, PARA VOS FABRICIO have a great and happy birthday!.
Tags: personal stuff
Eur/Usd short term
Posted on January 28, 2009 at 11:02 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
The Euro rebounded again in the 200 EMA, and seems to me that, although bullish pressure is still there in the short term, the movement is loosing steam: the last couple of days the pair move in a 200 pips range, and any break of the extremes will probably mean a good number of pips each side. From actual price, consider a first resistance @ 1.3275, followed by the mentioned EMA and today’s high at 1.3115; a 4 hours candle openning above it, could send the pair to the zone @ 1.3370 where we have the roof of the inverted triangle, probable maximum for today. Regarding supports, under 1.3225 we have 1.3200 zone, followed by 1.3145 and 1.3115. Under this last, the pair could confirm a small double roof formation, of @ 200 pips, and from there trigger some bearish momentum, first to 1.3061 and more likely close to 1.3020/30.
Tags: eurusd
Majors’s sentiment for today
Posted on January 28, 2009 at 10:06 in Sentiment by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Here is the majors sentiment for today:
Eur/Usd: Bullish
Gbp/Usd: Bullish
Usd/Chf: Neutral
Usd/Jpy: Neutral
Eur/Gbp: Bearish
Tags: Majors trend
Starting the day
Posted on January 28, 2009 at 9:55 in Starting the day by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Hi everyone, how are you? Welcome to a new day in forex market. Nothing really new under the sun, except that Euro and Gbp have made a new high during Asian session, and are slowly continuing to the upside, suggesting more selling pressure for greenback on the FOMC’s day. Indeed, American monetary future policy will be decided today, and next steps out of crisis, so, maybe will worth pay extra attention to what they say, and try to read in between lines.
http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-calendar/
Have a great day!
Tags: Majors, News
Usd/Jpy intraday perspective
Posted on January 27, 2009 at 13:51 in Uncategorized by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
The descendant trend line we have been seeing these days is broken but because of lateralization, meaning is not something to keep on watching. I left it in the charts anyway, just to show and share it with you. Anyway, the pair is slowly tending to the upside, guided by an ascendant channel you can also see in this chart. the pair remains above the 20 SMA and is turning it to the upside, but as yesterday, only above 90.30 we can see the pair a bit more bullish: actual sideways levels anyway, are not telling that much of a bearish continuation. Resistances like yesterday, will be at the 89.50 zone, followed by 90.00 and 90.30. Supports from here, will be at 88.90, 88.53/61, and then the 88.20 zone.
Eur/Usd in the short term
Posted on January 27, 2009 at 13:30 in Short-Term Analysis by Valeria BednarikNo Comments »
Eur/Usd has reached in today’s high, two key points you can see in this 4 hours charts: the 200 EMA ( I told you many times is a good dynamic resistance/support for the pair) and the roof of a non conventional figure, an inverted triangle that usually is consider a trend change figure, although is not the most reliable one, at least for me. Right now, the pair is almost flat around 1.3175, and tending to today’s low @ 1.3140. Under that zone, next supports to consider will be 1.3090 zone, followed by 1.3050, and finally 1.3010. Regarding resistances, above 1,3215 the pair could retry to gain the 1.3260 zone, 1,3288 and finally 1.3330.
Tags: eurusd
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Anyway, GBP! The pair has seems to find a roof and in this 4 hours charts, we could see a figure underway: a head and shoulder’s formation (second shoulder at this time) with a neck at the 1.4050/60 level. That could be consider and inflexion point to the downside, while the head’s maximum (coincident with the 200 EMA) at 1.4550 could play the same roll to the upside. At the moment the pair is quite sideways, with flat indicators, flat 20 SMA in 4 hours charts, suggesting very little in fact, but pointing to the downside for me: each candle brings a new relative minimum and that’s the most I can read right now. Consider 1.4140 to be the first important support from here, followed by the zone @ 1.4090 and then the mentioned neck zone 1.4050/60. A confirmation under, could trigger more bearish in the pair, first to 1.4000 and finally to 1.3936 zone. Regarding resistances, above 1.4265 we have 1.4286, 1.4341, and 1.4405.
