一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-地狱级炒手 - 〖期货技术交流〗 - MACD俱乐部_专业的技术分析交流

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:10

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:31

Introduction

Situation with all the pairs described below is quite ambiguous. On the one hand it corresponds with the monthly forecast (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005).

On the other hand, the waves, marked on the wave counting draft as and , may be the first waves of the global impulse (or diagonal triangle) against the dollar.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:* …“Imaginary Skewer”... * MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051212092342.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the middle of December at 1.27. For it downward support testing at 1.3000-1.3050 is required (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005), the price still can not do it yet, and wave in the shape of an impulse is also necessary for it. Wave may be much shorter if it assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051212092542.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple (or double) zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.22. For this upward support testing at 1.1850-1.1900 is required (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005). It is not done yet. Wave in the shape of an impulse is also necessary for it. Wave may be much shorter if it assumes the shape of a diagonal triangle.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051212092644.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Хis supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of a simple (or double) zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.78. The nearest alternative variant (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051212092733.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Several possible variants are shown in Figure 4. Completion of wave A is not confirmed yet. Wave may be treated as the downward wedge.

In the mid-term perspective impulse А completion is expected to be confirmed. Price behavior is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 12, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:32

Introduction

In the article Confirmation of the annual forecast by price movement and Robert R. Prechter's team, October, 17 (in Russian), prof's wave counting sequential transformation for this year was shown. As the result of this transformation, the difference between our forecasts was minimal in October, particularly, they differed by the shape of the final wave of many-weeks correction : According to my main scenario, the double (or triple) zigzag was expected (refer to Figure v1 below), whereas according to Robert Prechter, simple zigzag was presupposed (Figures v2 and v3 below).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085219.gif

Figure v1. EUR/USD wave counting in October.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085324.gif

Figure v2. Wave counting of Robert R. Prechter's team in October.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085424.gif

Figure v3. Wave counting of Robert R. Prechter's team in December.

Today I have received the last scenario modified by Robert R. Prechter's team (Figure v4, below).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085535.gif

Figure v4. The last wave counting of Robert R. Prechter's team.

Judging by this chart, prof's team also expects that the final wave of many-weeks correction is assuming the shape of double (or triple) zigzag.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085652.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the middle of December at 1.27 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)), is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085745.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Possible wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of impulse. Wave (i)of may be a wedge, this is a draft analysis.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085846.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple (or double) zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.22 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213085944.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Possible wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of impulse. Wave (i)of may be a wedge, this is a draft analysis.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213090033.gif

Figure 5 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х is supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of a simple (or double) zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.78 or 1.79**. The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)) is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213090124.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Possible wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave may have assumed the shape of the “wedge” with extension in the first wave, wave may have assumed the shape of a simple impulse.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213090215.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Completion of wave A is not confirmed yet. Wave may be treated as the downward wedge (refer to Figure 8 below), then supposed correction B may assume the shape of a simple zigzag.

In the mid-term perspective impulse А completion is expected to be confirmed. Price behavior is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051213090315.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Possible wave counting is shown in Figure 8.

In the short-term plan impulse A completion is supposed to be confirmed. Price behavior is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 13, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:33

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214080757.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the middle of December at 1.27 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214080941.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Previous wave counting is valid. Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of impulse, for its completion waves (iv) and (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214081248.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.22 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214081348.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Previous wave counting is valid. Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of impulse, for its completion waves (iv) and (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214081437.gif

Figure 5 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Хis supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.78 or 1.79**. The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement in Russian)) is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214081535.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Possible wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave may have assumed the shape of the “wedge” with extension in the first wave, wave may have assumed the shape of a simple impulse, for its completion waves (iv) and (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214081626.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Price broke the lower line of the channel. Expected wave A is completed.

Wave of B may be treated as a downward wedge (refer to Figure 8 below), then supposed correction B may assume the shape of a simple zigzag. At the same time this zigzag may be just a constituent of wave B.

In the mid-term perspective wave B is expected to be completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051214081714.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Possible wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of an impulse, for which completion (iv) and (v) waves forming is required.

In the short-term plan impulse forming is expected to be completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 14, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:34

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215074325.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the middle of December at 1.27 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215074425.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of impulse, for its completion waves (iv) and (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215074515.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.22 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215074708.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of impulse, for its completion waves (iv) and (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215074758.gif

Figure 5 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Хis supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.78 or 1.79**. The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement in Russian)) is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215074847.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave may have assumed the shape of the “wedge” with extension in the first wave, wave may have assumed the shape of a simple impulse, for its completion waves (iv) and (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215074943.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave of B may be treated as a downward wedge (refer to Figure 8 below), then supposed correction B may assume the shape of a simple zigzag. At the same time this zigzag may be just a constituent of wave B.

In the mid-term perspective wave B is expected to be completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051215075053.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of an impulse, for which completion (iv) and (v) waves forming is required. In case waves (i) and (v) are equal, impulse completion may be expected around 116.

In the short-term plan impulse forming is expected to be completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 15, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:35

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216084406.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the middle of December at 1.27 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming, uptrend is supposed to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216084512.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of impulse, for its completion final wave (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Uptrend is supposed to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216084606.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.22 (refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005) and form wave in the shape of an impulse.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Downtrend is supposed to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216084654.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of an impulse, for its completion final wave (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Downtrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216084752.gif

Figure 5 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Хis supposed to be forming, it may assume the shape of a simple zigzag with completion in the mid of December at 1.78 or 1.79**. The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement in Russian)) is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х is expected to complete its forming. Downtrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216084846.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave may have assumed the shape of the “wedge” with extension in the first wave, wave may have assumed the shape of a simple impulse, for its completion final wave (v) forming is required.

In the short-term plan wave is expected to complete its forming. Downtrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216084938.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave of B may be treated as a downward wedge (refer to Figure 8 below), then supposed correction B may assume the shape of a simple zigzag. At the same time this zigzag may be just a constituent of wave B.

In the mid-term perspective wave B is expected to be completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051216085056.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of an impulse, for which completion wave (v) forming completion is required.

In the short-term plan impulse forming is expected to be completed. Uptrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 16, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:36

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219090947.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed and first waves of many-weeks uptrend are forming. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х completion is expected to be confirmed, uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219091032.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of many-weeks uptrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed, uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219091114.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed or almost completed. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is supposed to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219091158.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219091251.gif

Figure 5 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed or almost completed. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is supposed to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219091329.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219091410.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed and first waves of uptrend are forming. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term perspective wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051219091446.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of uptrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]At Cross-Road (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 19, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:37

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220082843.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed and first waves of many-weeks uptrend are forming. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х completion is expected to be confirmed, uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220082924.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of many-weeks uptrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed, uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220083005.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed or almost completed. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220083047.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220083130.gif

Figure 5 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed or almost completed. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

The nearest alternative variant (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian), is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan wave Х completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220083214.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Wave is supposed to be almost completed.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220083256.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed and first waves of uptrend are forming. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term perspective wave X completion is expected to be confirmed. Uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051220083336.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of uptrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected to be confirmed. Uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 20, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:38

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073104.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed and first waves of many-weeks uptrend are forming. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073147.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of many-weeks uptrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073229.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073308.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of many-weeks downtrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073351.gif

Figure 5 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073442.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of many-weeks downtrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073526.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag with wave in the shape of an impulse. Wave X is supposed to be completed and first waves of uptrend are forming. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051221073606.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of uptrend are supposed to be forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 21, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:39

Ad

I am often asked about GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY. I still think that after extended correction price upward thrust should be awaited. Correction may continue till March, 2006.

Though according to the alternative scenario, upward movement may be finished in March, 2006.

In details, problems with these cross-rates will be described next year.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Annual-05 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222083753.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag. First waves of many-weeks uptrend are supposed to be forming. Wave high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222083844.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag. First waves of many-weeks downtrend are supposed to be forming. Wave high of the renewed counting is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222083931.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag. First waves of many-weeks downtrend are supposed to be forming. Wave high of the renewed counting is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222084041.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave Х took the form of a simple zigzag. First waves of many-weeks uptrend are supposed to be forming. Wave high of the renewed counting is the critical level for this scenario.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

5. USD/CAD

Supposition that wave (B) was forming in the shape of a triple zigzag was confirmed (refer to Illustrated CAD (EWA of USD/CAD) (in Russian)). The nearest target (1.1443), defined in September (refer to CAD Himself (alternative USD/CAD), was tested (December low = 1.1425).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222084128.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on the daily chart.

Wave (C) of (expanded) flat is supposed to be forming. Its targets will be described later.

6. EUR/JPY

Though the first target was tested and the second one was almost reached, forecasted 20 figures may be still ahead ( Possible Trade of 20 Figures Length (in Russian)).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222084214.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on the weekly chart.

Extended correction is supposed to be assuming the shape of running triple three, that is the prior pattern in the many-months impulse (refer to New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market).

According to the alternative variant, running triple three may have been completed already and wave (5) may be forming in the shape of a diagonal triangle.

Robert Prechter has his own view at possible wave counting of this currency pair (refer to Figure 7 below). His team's counting may be found in the Internet.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222084305.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting of Robert Prechter's team on the weekly chart.

Only one of these variants is correct. May be, it is Robert Prechter's one.

7. GBP/JPY

Though the first target was tested and the seconf one is almost reached, forecasted 25 figures may be still ahead ( Another 25+ figures are possible).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051222084548.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on the weekly chart.

Wave forming of the global horizontal triangle is almost completed. Current extended correction is supposed to be assuming the shape of expanding triangle, that is the prior pattern in zigzag А-В-С (refer to New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.

According to the alternative scenario horizontal triangle may have been completed already and wave C may be forming in the shape of diagonal triangle.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“…“Imaginary Skewer”...[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember, 22, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:40

Ad

I'd like to tell those who are fond of Wave Analysis, that the next DWA you will find on January, 2006. Happy Christmas and Happy New Year! I wish your trading strategies and plans were wise, profits – frequent and losses – miserable.

According to the Chinese calendar, the next year will be the year of the Dog. That is why my and my wife's pets, Pekinese dogs Evridica and Exotica, also wish you happy holidays! ;))

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223071847.jpg

Wish You Good Luck!

Best Regards, Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com

Final Charts of December Forecasts and of Forecasts for 2005.

1. Final Charts of December Forecasts

Forecasted in MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005 price movement remains valid. Trend reverse for the European currencies was above the key pulse point on December, 14, 2005 (refer to Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian). The results are shown in Figures Cm, Em, Gm, Ym. For illustration purpose price movement schematic forecast is shown in the chart (red dashed line).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072005.gif

Figure Сm. Final Daily Chart of December, 2005 Forecast.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072045.gif

Figure Em. Final Daily Chart of December, 2005 Forecast.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072125.gif

Figure Gm. Final Daily Chart of December, 2005 Forecast.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072208.gif

Figure Ym. Final Daily Chart of December, 2005 Forecast.

2. Final Charts of the Forecasts for 2005.

Forecasted in Annual-05 (in Russian) price movement remains valid. Results are shown in Figures Cy, Ey, Gy, Yy. For illustration purpose price movement schematic forecast is shown in the chart (red dashed line).

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072305.gif

Figure Сy. Final Weekly Chart of the Forecast for 2005.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072345.gif

Figure Ey. Final Weekly Chart of the Forecast for 2005.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072422.gif

Figure Gy. Final Weekly Chart of the Forecast for 2005.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0512/051223072503.gif

Figure Yy. Final Weekly Chart of the Forecast for 2005.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2005 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]“Imaginary Skewer”[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]At the Crossroad[*]New Wave Pattern and New Classification of Extended Corrections in the FOREX Market.[*]MONTHLY Wave Analysis, December, 2005[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comDecember 23, 2005The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:41

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06 (in Russian)[*]Monthly-0106 (in Russian)

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110072814.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat with wave (с) in the form of the impulse. Wave X low is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110072906.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) low is the critical level for this scenario.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110072950.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat with wave (с) in the form of the impulse. Wave X high is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110073033.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) high is the critical level for this scenario.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110073120.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the flat with wave (с) in the form of the impulse. Wave X high is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110073203.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming, impulse (c) completion is not confirmed yet. Supposed high of impulse (c) is the critical level for this scenario.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110073251.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the simple zigzag Wave X low is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060110073330.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming, impulse (c) completion is not confirmed yet. Impulse (c) supposed low is the critical level for this variant.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]FOREX forecast, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian)[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary, 10, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:42

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06 (in Russian)[*]Monthly-0106 (in Russian)

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111072805.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat with wave (с) in the form of the impulse. Wave X low is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111072858.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) low is the critical level for this scenario. Rebound (expected wave ii) is favorable for long positions opening.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111072944.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat with wave (с) in the form of the impulse. Wave X high is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111073054.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) high is the critical level for this scenario. Rebound (expected wave ii) is favorable for short positions opening.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111073145.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the flat with wave (с) in the form of the impulse. Wave X high is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111073230.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming, impulse (c) completion is not confirmed yet. Supposed high of impulse (c) is the critical level for this scenario. Alternative variant is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111073321.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the simple zigzag Wave X low is the critical level for the main scenario.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060111073406.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming, impulse (c) completion is not confirmed yet. Impulse (c) supposed low is the critical level for this variant. Alternative variant is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian)[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary 11, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:43

Introduction

In case the supposition is correct, the third impulse wave in favor of the dollar is expected to be formed. This is the most profitable wave in the classical impulse.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06 (in Russian)[*]Monthly-0106 (in Russian)

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112072709.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112073703.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) ending is the critical level for this scenario. Expected wave ii is favorable for long positions opening.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112072838.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112072920.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) ending is the critical level for this scenario. Expected wave ii is favorable for short positions opening.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112073001.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the flat. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112073043.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) ending is the critical level for this scenario. Expected wave ii is favorable for short positions opening. Alternative variant is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112073139.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the simple zigzag Waves X and endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060112073219.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming, impulse (c) completion is not confirmed yet. Impulse (c) supposed ending is the critical level for this variant. Expected wave ii is favorable for long positions opening. Alternative variant is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106 (in Russian)[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysis (in Russian)Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary 12, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:44

Introduction

By this time expected waves i and of iii of a new trend for CHF and EUR are almost equal in length (the third wave has reached 100% of the length of the first wave). You may remember, in case you have read Robert Balan's book, that the author considered this point to be critical (refer to the alternate variants on the 480M chart).

Moreover he believed that in case the price overpasses 110% level, it is a hard evidence of impulse further development. He recommended to be aggressive and increase profitable positions in this situation.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0106

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly-0106. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-idc.ru/files/0601/060113085053.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat. In case the price does not overpass 110% level, alternate variant is probable (in the lower part of the chart). Waves X and ii endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-idc.ru/files/0601/060113085129.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for this scenario. Wave iii can reach 262% level, which is at strong resistance.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060113085206.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of a rough flat. In case the price does not overpass 110% level, alternate variant is probable (in the upper part of the chart). Waves X and ii endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060113085247.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for this scenario. Wave iii can reach 262% level, which is at strong resistance.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060113085331.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the flat. In case prices will move in accordance with the alternative variant, it may turn into a double zigzag. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060113085427.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Impulse (c) ending is the critical level for this scenario. Expected wave ii is favorable for short positions opening.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060113085510.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the simple zigzag Waves X and endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term perspective uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060113085550.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming, impulse (c) completion is not confirmed yet. Impulse (c) supposed ending is the critical level for this variant. Expected wave ii is favorable for long positions opening.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106
[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary 13, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:45

Friday, 13 :) prevented the price from breaking Robert Balan's 110% level (refer to Daily Wave Analysis, January 13. 2006).

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0106

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, January, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074430.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Depth of the price fall confirms the alternate variant. Wave may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag. Wave X ending is the critical levels for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend upward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074513.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

To complete wave short impulse c completion is supposed to be required.

In the short-term plan impulse c is expected to be completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074556.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Previous critical level break confirms the alternate scenario. Wave may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag. Wave X ending is the critical levels for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend downward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074638.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

To complete wave short impulse c completion is supposed to be required.

In the short-term plan impulse c is expected to be completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074726.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of the flat. Wave X ending is the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend downward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074809.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Final wave of impulse (с) may be not completed yet.
In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074851.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave is assuming the shape of the simple zigzag Wave X ending is the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend upward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060116074937.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

Final wave of impulse (c) may be not completed yet.
In the short-term plan impulse (c) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106
[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary 16, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:46

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0106

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, January, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060117073150.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag. Wave X ending is the critical levels for this scenario.

On the whole the forecasts are the same. Though the fact that the price intersected the second critical point (wave b ending) may be an indication of many-week uptrend beginning without forming of the forecasted bottom.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend upward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060117073231.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag. Wave X ending is the critical levels for this scenario.

On the whole the forecasts are the same. Though the fact that the price intersected the second critical point (wave b ending) may be an indication of many-week downtrend beginning without forming of the forecasted top.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend downward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060117073313.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave is supposed to be assuming the shape of the flat. Wave X ending is the critical levels for this scenario.

On the whole the forecasts are the same. Though the fact that the price intersected the second critical point (wave iv ending) may be an indication of many-week downtrend beginning without forming of the forecasted top.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend downward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060117073359.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave is assuming the shape of the simple zigzag. Wave X ending is the critical levels for the main scenario.

On the whole the forecasts are the same. Though the fact that the price intersected the second critical point (expected wave iv ending) may be an indication of many-week uptrend beginning without forming of the forecasted bottom.

In the mid-term plan wave completion and trend upward reverse are expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary 17, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:47

Introduction

Within the last several days (e.g. refer to Daily Wave Analysis, January 13. 2006) two opposite variants of wave counting were described. Indeed, depending on the current wave picture either the main or the alternate variant became more valid. Currently neither of them is fully confirmed, though the scale again turned on behalf of the dollar.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0106

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, January, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060118090856.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the rough flat. First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Wave iii of (a) may reach 262% point near strong resistance at 1.3200. Waves X and ii endings are the critical levels for this scenario. The alternate variant is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060118090948.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the rough flat. First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Wave iii of (a) may reach 262% point near strong resistance at 1.1800. Waves X and ii endings are the critical levels for this scenario. The alternate variant is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060118091048.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the rough flat. First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Wave iii of (a) may reach 262% point near strong resistance at 1.7200. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for this scenario.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060118091144.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the simple zigzag. First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for the main scenario.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary 18, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 06:47

Introduction

Within the last almost ten days price is in a state of dynamical equilibrium. Even its minute movement may change the wave picture absolutely. In such moments alternative variants abruptly become more significant.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternative variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0106

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, January, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081440.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the rough flat. First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Waves X and b or ii endings are the critical levels for this scenario. The alternate variant is shown in the lower part of the chart.

Extended correction, formed within the last several days, may be an indication of upward zigzag (a) or (w) developing, rather than impulse.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081533.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave c or iii may reach 262% point near strong resistance at 1.3200.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue, wave picture is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081622.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the rough flat. First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Waves X and b or ii endings are the critical levels for this scenario. The alternate variant is shown in the upper part of the chart.

Extended correction, formed within the last several days, may be an indication of downward zigzag (a) or (w) developing, rather than impulse.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081704.gif

Figure 4 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Wave c or iii may reach 262% point near strong resistance at 1.1800.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue, wave picture is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081745.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the flat. First waves of a downtrend are supposed to be forming. Wave iii of (a) may reach 262% point near strong resistance at 1.7200. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for this scenario. The alternate variant is shown in the upper part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081830.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave iii may reach 262% point near strong resistance at 1.7200.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to continue, wave picture is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to MONTHLY Wave Analysis, 0106. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081915.gif

Figure 7 . Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave assumed the shape of the simple zigzag. First waves of an uptrend are supposed to be forming. Waves X and endings are the critical levels for this scenario. The alternate variant is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue, wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0601/060119081957.gif

Figure 8 . Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue, wave picture is expected to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, 0106[*]Wave Counting Marking (in Russian)[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comJanuary 19, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

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