一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-地狱级炒手 - 〖期货技术交流〗 - MACD俱乐部_专业的技术分析交流

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 09:59

Introduction

In this article renewed variants of European currencies wave counting are shown. The alternate variant with continuous wave (b), which has been described several times already, is the basic one.

Note
1. Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character. [*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316081941.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) is assuming the shape of the flat. In this case wave (b) may last up to the beginning of the next week and reach 1.2900. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316082027.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Impulse c of the supposed flat is forming.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316082109.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) is assuming the shape of the flat. In this case wave (b) may last up to the beginning of the next week and reach 1.2100-1.2150. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316082151.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Impulse c of the supposed flat is forming.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316082234.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) is assuming the shape of the extended flat. In this case wave (b) may last up to the beginning of the next week and reach 1.7600. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316082318.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Impulse c of the supposed extended flat is forming.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316082403.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Final wave of triangle is supposed to be forming. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue once wave 4 is completed in the shape of the triangle. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060316082448.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave is supposed to be forming in the shape of zigzag.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 16, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 10:01

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317073503.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) completes in the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2900. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317073548.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Impulse c forming of the supposed flat is almost completed.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Uptrend is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317073654.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) completes in the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2150. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317073736.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Impulse c forming of the supposed flat is almost completed.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Downtrend is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317073823.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) completes in the shape of the extended flat, it has almost reached 1.7600. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317073904.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Impulse c forming of the supposed extended flat is completing.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Downtrend is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317073948.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Forming of the final wave of triangle is supposed to be completing once 116.60 level has been reached. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue once wave 4 is completed in the shape of the horizontal triangle. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060317074028.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave forming is supposed to be completing in the shape of zigzag, the prevailing pattern for waves of triangle.

In the short-term plan wave completion is expected. Uptrend is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 17, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 10:05

Notice

From March 22, 5 p.m. Estern to March 29, 5 p.m. Eastern Elliott Wave International provides free week for the members of Club EWI. This time it deals with futures (refer to EWI's web page)

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084153.gif

In case you prefer other financial markets you may find theoretic materials useful for you (the latest issue of EWT's magazine is out on Friday):

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084239.gif
For newcomers. To become a member of Club EWI you should register at the end of EWI's web page for free. When registering the data should be entered in Roman letters and valid e-mail address should be specified.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084327.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) completes in the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2900. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084411.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Impulse c forming of the supposed flat is almost completed.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Uptrend is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084456.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) completes in the shape of the flat, having reached 1.22. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084535.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Impulse c forming of the supposed flat is almost completed.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Downtrend is expected to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084618.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) completes in the shape of the extended flat, it has almost reached 1.7600. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue once wave (b) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084656.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Impulse c forming of the supposed extended flat is completing.

In the short-term plan impulse c completion is expected. Downtrend is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084744.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Forming of the final wave of triangle is supposed to be completing (or it may be already completed !) once 116.60 level has been reached. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan confirmation of the triangle completion is expected, uptrend is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060320084838.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave forming is supposed to be completed in the shape of zigzag, the prevailing pattern for waves of triangle.

In the short-term plan confirmation of wave completion is expected. Uptrend is supposed to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 20, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 10:07

Introduction

Wave (b) of the final zigzag may be completed already. A series of identifiers signifies that it is possible. Though it is not confirmed yet.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321074746.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2900. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend forming is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321074826.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Two possible variants are shown in Figure 2. Impulse c forming of the supposed flat is almost completed (or already completed).

In the short-term plan confirmation of impulse c completion is expected. Uptrend is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321074912.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2200. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to form. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321074950.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 4. Impulse c forming is almost completed (or it may be already completed).

In the short-term plan confirmation of impulse c completion is expected. Downtrend is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321075036.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the extended flat, it has almost reached 1.7600. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321075117.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 6. Impulse c forming of the supposed extended flat is almost completed (or it may be already completed).

In the short-term plan confirmation of impulse c completion is expected. Downtrend is supposed to start forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321075222.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Forming of the final wave of triangle is supposed to be completed. Wave ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060321075304.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave forming is supposed to be completed in the shape of zigzag, the prevailing pattern for waves of triangle.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 21, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 10:13

Introduction

Wave (b) ending of the final zigzag has specified. Critical level for the current counting passes through it. I hope that the level will resit.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322075623.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2900. Wave (b) ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan uptrend forming is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322075701.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. First waves of uptrend are forming. Supposed wave i will continue till the price fixing around the trend line.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322075741.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2200. Wave (b) ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322075827.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. First waves of downtrend are forming. Supposed wave i will continue till the price fixing around the trend line.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322075906.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the extended flat, it has almost reached 1.7600. Wave (b) ending is the critical level.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322075943.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. First waves of downtrend are forming. Supposed wave i will continue till the price fixing around the trend line.

In the short0term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322080029.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 is supposed to be completed in the shape of the triangle. This wave ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060322080108.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave forming is supposed to be completed in the shape of zigzag, the prevailing pattern for waves of triangle.

First waves of uptrend are forming. Supposed wave (i) will continue till the price fixes around the trend line.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 22, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 10:15

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323072545.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2900. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting. Final impulse (c) is forming.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323072632.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. First waves of uptrend are forming. Wave pattern of impulse i is already completed. In case it is not extended corrective wave ii will be forming in the nearest future.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming once wave ii completes. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323072713.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the flat, having reached 1.2200. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting. Final impulse (c) is forming.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323072753.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. First waves of downtrend are forming. Wave pattern of impulse i is already completed. In case it is not extended corrective wave ii will be forming in the nearest future.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming once wave ii is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323072838.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Wave (b) assumed the shape of the extended flat, it has almost reached 1.7600. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current wave counting. Final impulse (c) is forming.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is supposed to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323072918.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. First waves of downtrend are forming. Wave pattern of impulse i is already completed. In case it is not extended corrective wave ii will be forming in the nearest future.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming once wave ii is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323073000.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 is supposed to be completed in the shape of the horizontal triangle. This wave ending is the critical level for the current counting. Final impulse 5 is forming.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060323073040.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave (ii) of uptrend is forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue once wave (ii) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 23, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 10:35

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 10:51

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060327074227.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060327074309.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060327074352.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060327074445.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 is supposed to be completed in the shape of the horizontal triangle. This wave ending is the critical level for the current counting. Final impulse 5 is forming. The alternate variant is shown in the lower part of the chart.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 27, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-4-13 10:52 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:00

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074136.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074227.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave ii of upward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming once wave ii completes. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074312.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074354.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Wave ii of downward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming once wave ii is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074433.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 5. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074518.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave ii of downward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming once wave ii is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074603.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 is supposed to be completed in the shape of the horizontal triangle. This wave ending is the critical level for the current counting. Final impulse 5 is forming.

Alternate variants of wave counting are shown in this chart.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060328074647.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave (ii) of upward impulse (or diagonal triangle) is forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming once wave (ii) is completed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 28, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:35

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329074632.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329074718.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave ii of upward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329074805.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329074850.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Wave iii of downward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329074931.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 5. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329075014.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave iii of downward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329075059.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 is supposed to be completed in the shape of the horizontal triangle. This wave and wave (ii) endings are the critical level for the current counting. Final impulse 5 is forming.

Alternate variants of wave counting are shown in this chart.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060329075143.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave (iii) of upward impulse (or diagonal triangle) is forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 29, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:37

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082141.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082225.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave iii of upward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082306.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082346.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Wave iii of downward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082429.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 5. Final impulse (c) of zigzag is forming. Wave ii ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082513.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave iii of downward impulse is forming.

In the short-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082600.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 is supposed to be completed in the shape of the horizontal triangle. Wave (ii) ending is the critical level for the current counting. Final impulse 5 is forming.

Alternate variants of wave counting are shown in this chart.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060330082638.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120M chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Wave (iii) of upward impulse (or diagonal triangle) is forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 30, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:37

Introduction

EUR and CHF broke the critical level, GBP and JPY are still in a sideways movement. It makes me think that it is the last but one corrective wave (wave (B)) which continues (for JPY – wave 4), rather than the final wave.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0306

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060331071600.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 1. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060331071644.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 2. Wave (b) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060331071726.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Two possible variants of wave counting are shown in Figure 3. Wave ii ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to keep forming. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0603/060331071809.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Several variants of wave counting of the final part of the chart are shown in Figure 4.

Wave 4 may keep forming. In this case wave of 4 is assuming the shape of the horizontal triangle, forming nine-wave horizontal triangle.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly Wave Analysis, March, 2006[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comMarch 31, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:41

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:42

Introduction

Corrective wave (b) forming is almost completed on the European currencies. JPY completes wave 4 forming in the shape of the horizontal triangle. Fortunately it can not last forever.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0406

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060404080026.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060404080122.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060404080205.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Wave c ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060404080248.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 in the shape of the horizontal triangle keeps forming. Wave ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly-0406[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comApril 4, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:43

Introduction

As prices approach critical levels (especially EUR and GBP) alternate variants, described in the previous reports, may become valid.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0406

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060405085103.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. Alternate variant is shown in Figure 2 below.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060405085244.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on daily chart.

From the end of last year downward wave (B) or (X) is forming according to the alternate variant.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060405085334.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. Alternate variant is shown in Figure 4 below.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060405085413.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on daily chart.

From the end of last year upward wave (B) or (X) is forming according to the alternate variant.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060405085458.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 5. Wave c ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. Alternate variant is shown in Figure 6 below.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060405085538.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on daily chart.

From the end of last year upward wave (B) or (X) is forming according to the alternate variant.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060405085625.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 in the shape of the horizontal triangle keeps forming. Wave ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly-0406[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comApril 5, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:44

Introduction

Yesterday alternate variants of counting on daily charts of the European currencies were described (refer to Daily Wave Analysis, April 5, 2006). Taking into consideration the fact that EUR is near the critical level of the main variant and the fact that GBP broke the local critical point I will describe alternate variants on smaller time-frame.

The main variants described in the previous reports are still valid.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0406

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060406085306.gif

Figure 1. Alternate wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible alternate variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Wave X ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060406085359.gif

Figure 2. Alternate wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible alternate variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave X ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060406085441.gif

Figure 3. Alternate wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible alternate variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Wave X ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan downtrend is expected to begin. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the 480M chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060406085524.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480M chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 in the shape of the horizontal triangle keeps forming. Wave ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly-0406[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comApril 6, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:45

Introduction

1). Yesterday EUR price exceeded the confirmation level for the alternate variant at several pips.
2). Today is the limit projected date for the main variant of wave counting (refer to Monthly-0206, Monthly-0306, Monthly-0406).

Moreover there are several additional signals of trend change formed on the European currencies. So it may serve as another reason of the main scenarios substitution for the alternate ones. Though in any case price fixing behind the corresponding level is the only confirmation of it.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0406

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on daily chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060407080933.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on daily chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Wave X ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan this scenario is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on daily chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060407081013.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on daily chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave X ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan this scenario is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on daily chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060407081056.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on daily chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Wave X ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan this scenario is expected to be confirmed. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on daily chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060407081153.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on daily chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 may continue in the shape of the horizontal triangle. Wave ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly-0406[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comApril 7, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:46

Introduction

In today's article Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA) current wave counting on weekly and daily charts are described in details. Wave counting on smaller time-frames are given below.

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0406

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060410095228.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan wave (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060410095323.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan wave (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060410095406.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Wave (c) ending is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan triangle completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060410095457.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 chart.

Possible JPY movement was described in details in Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis).

Wave 4 may continue in the shape of the horizontal triangle. Wave ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly-0406[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comApril 10, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:47

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0406

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090254.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting. Wave (ii) is supposed to be assuming the shape of the zigzag, deep correction characteristic of the second impulse waves.

In the mid-term plan wave (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090333.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave (ii) is assuming the shape of the zigzag.

In the short-term plan wave b of (ii) forming is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090415.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting. Wave (ii) is supposed to be assuming the shape of the zigzag, deep correction characteristic of the second impulse waves.

In the mid-term plan wave (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090500.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Wave (ii) is assuming the shape of the zigzag.

In the short-term plan wave b of (ii) forming is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090544.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 5. Wave ending is the critical level for it. Wave (e) is supposed to be assuming the shape of the zigzag, characteristic pattern of the waves of the horizontal triangle.

In the mid-term plan triangle completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090623.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave (e) may be assuming the shape of the zigzag.

In the short-term plan wave b of (e) forming is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090709.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave 4 may continue in the shape of the horizontal triangle. Wave ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060411090746.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Final wave of the impulse may be forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly-0406[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comApril 11, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-13 11:48

Note
[*]Once the opposite to the trend edge (base line or trend line) is tested any impulse or zigzag of any size may be considered to be completed. The inner wave counting of such a movement is of conventional character.[*]The error of the trend reversal points defining with the help of impulse method is about +/- 1..4 time units. Date on the weekly chart is the last day of the current week.[*]Often support and resistance levels, mentioned in the reports, are remote from the current price. In this case confirming or denying signals may be delayed. That is why in addition to the critical levels analysis inner structure analysis of the waves, moving in the same direction, should be used.[*]It should be remembered that EWA forecasts show the probable price movements. This report is subject to change and reveals the analyst opinion of the situation at the moment of its release.[*]Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides.[*]Survey wave counting, alternate variants and possible schematic price movements are given in:[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA)[*]Annual-06[*]Monthly-0406

1. USD/CHF

For CHF survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft for this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412083746.gif

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 1. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting. Wave (ii) is supposed to be assuming the shape of the zigzag, deep correction characteristic of the second impulse waves.

In the mid-term plan wave (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 2.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412083822.gif

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 2. Wave (ii) is assuming the shape of the zigzag.

In the short-term plan wave b of (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

2. EUR/USD

The above information about CHF is the mirror image of that one about EUR. For EUR survey wave counting refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412083903.gif

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 3. Wave ending is the critical level for the current counting. Wave (ii) is supposed to be assuming the shape of the zigzag, deep correction characteristic of the second impulse waves.

In the mid-term plan wave (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 4.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412083942.gif

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 4. Wave (ii) is assuming the shape of the zigzag.

In the short-term plan wave b of (ii) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

3. GBP/USD

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412084024.gif

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Possible variant of wave counting is shown in Figure 5. Wave ending is the critical level for it. Wave (e) is supposed to be assuming the shape of the double zigzag.

In the mid-term plan triangle completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 6.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412084101.gif

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 6. Wave (e) may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag.

In the short-term plan wave x of (e) completion is expected. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

4. USD/JPY

For survey wave counting of this currency refer to Monthly Wave Analysis, April, 2006 and Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA). Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412084150.gif

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave 4 in the shape of the horizontal triangle may be already completed. Wave ending of the triangle is the critical level for the current counting.

In the mid-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart. For more details refer to Figure 8.

http://www.alpari-forex.com/files/0604/060412084227.gif

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart.

One of possible variants of wave counting is shown in Figure 8. Final wave 5 of the impulse may be forming.

In the short-term plan uptrend is expected to continue. Wave picture is supposed to become clearer. Price movement schematic forecast and support/resistance levels are shown in the chart.

Reference

[*]Possible Perspectives of the Main Currency Pairs According to EWA (in Russian)[*]Possible Variants of Correction Development until March, 2006 (in Russian)[*]Imaginary Skewer[*]Key Levels, Which Open New Targets (in Russian)[*]Depth of the Current Retracement will specify further price movement (in Russian)[*]Project Targets for 2006-2007, USDJPY (Wave Analysis)[*]Possible nearest perspectives of the main currency pairs (EWA)[*]FOREX forecast, 2006[*]Monthly-0406[*]Wave Counting Marking[*]Wave analysisDmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.comApril 12, 2006The ideas given above are purely informational purpose only. This report was translated by Natalya.
Do not reproduce without explicit permission of Alpari Ltd

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