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Monday, March 09, 2009Up to the Declining 5 DMAs
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbUj0f8E5jI/AAAAAAAADzw/pB1jsqVs59I/s400/5DMAs.png
Posted by Brian at 3/09/2009 10:12:00 AM
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Video From Sunday Evening
Sunday Night Sock Market Analysis Recording 3/8/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 3/09/2009 07:59:00 AM
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Memories
Wall Street people learn nothing and forget everything.
~Benjamin Graham
Posted by Brian at 3/09/2009 06:48:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Sunday, March 08, 2009Live Analysis Tonight
at 8 PM Eastern (scheduled for an hour). We will be discussing whether Friday's late day volume surge is the beginning of a more powerful move to come or what a failure would mean at this point. The Dow chart below shows that we are at a potentially important area where the market may find support, the charts of the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 are at similarly important levels. We will also analyze other sectors and some individual stocks for further clues as to what may be next for our markets and where the best opportunities may be. If there are stocks or sectors you would like covered please send your requests via twitter (no more than one per person). There is still some space left, you can REGISTER HERE This is a new (to me), higher quality service that ustream and my audio is working too (-:
**Tonight's session was recorded and is in the process of upload/ rendering at vimeo.com **
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbPE8PFBVqI/AAAAAAAADzo/5YGaNKrf_jk/s400/ltDOW.png
Posted by Brian at 3/08/2009 09:09:00 AM
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Friday, March 06, 2009Stock Market Close 3/6/09
No closing video today. I will be doing live analysis on Sunday at 8:00PM Eastern. Check back here over the weekend for details I will be using a new service.
REGISTER HERE Space is limited.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbGQaGQ6zGI/AAAAAAAADzg/ahDK6TzDb3U/s400/030609close.png
Posted by Brian at 3/06/2009 04:06:00 PM
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Buying Blindly
Goes completly against all I believe in. That is why I called my mom and told her to cancel the buy order...for now. I think the market can still decline precipitously before "the bounce" materializes. I told her that the QQQQ needs to trade below 25 before she should buy any position in QLD. We are down to important level, but we could still see a climactic flush. The dow is down 75 as I write this. There is no reason to be in a long trade yet.
Posted by Brian at 3/06/2009 01:22:00 PM
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If I am Wrong
she will still love me..
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbFNSx5_lSI/AAAAAAAADzY/uoWOV9al34M/s400/MOM.png
For the record, I told her to buy a 25% position in QLD if the DOW is down 100 today (approx 6495) She is not in yet. I will also tell her to take a loss if it goes lower. I AM NOT CALLING A BOTTOM, JUST A TRADABLE BOUNCE.
I mis-labeled that first level @9399, it is a 38.2% retracement.
Posted by Brian at 3/06/2009 11:20:00 AM
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Gotta Be Quick
The initial gap failed to hold and the market is back to the path of least resistance. With a declining 5 DMA all long trades should be scalps only.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbFFJ1SWLRI/AAAAAAAADzQ/geAA3d3fh-I/s400/QUICK.png
Posted by Brian at 3/06/2009 10:45:00 AM
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Early VWAPs HOlding
also above pivots
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbE3-OP2Y6I/AAAAAAAADzI/_tw5anIUB88/s400/earlyvwap.png
Posted by Brian at 3/06/2009 09:48:00 AM
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Newer Posts Older Posts Home
Friday, March 06, 2009For All The Hype
the reaction to the number is fairly quiet so far.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbEpvq2hKQI/AAAAAAAADzA/3fI2-oeOitg/s400/premakret.png
Posted by Brian at 3/06/2009 08:47:00 AM
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Panic
Fear cannot be banished, but it can be calm and without panic; it can be mitigated by reason and evaluation.
~Vannevar Bush
Posted by Brian at 3/06/2009 05:50:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Thursday, March 05, 2009Roadmap for Tomorrow?
The chart below is complete fiction beyond the close at 68.80 on Thursday. I have sketched in 4 possible scenarios for trading tomorrow. See explainations below the chart.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbB3ALpg3cI/AAAAAAAADy4/yP-V4YWHc30/s400/SPY4Scenaios.PNG
Scenario 1- Red Line
The market gaps significantly higher (near the 5DMA) digests the move a bit and then rockets higher after a brief dip below the VWAP. The market continues higher into the close as shorts scramble to cover and new cash comes in from the sidelines.
Scenario 2- Blue Line
The market gaps higher, excited longs chase the strength but the market slowly churns and breaks below the daily VWAP which causes longs to liquidate and shorts (including me at this point) pile in to exploit the further weakness. In this scenario prices close near the low and the market continues to be vulnerable to this tortuous selloff. See song below.
Scenario 3- Black Line
The Market gaps down towards S1 and buyers immediately show up and pressure shorts to cover on "bad news" The market pauses briefly below daily pivot (which is also prior support from 3/3 which was resistance on 3/5) After the brief consolidation which takes prices below VWAP, buyers re-emerge and pressure shorts into the close.
Scenario 4- Green Line
This is the one I like best in spite of small long position. The market gaps down near S1 rallies for about 10 minutes then falls below VWAP and takes out the morning low. This lower low occurs on lighter volume and the market recovers back above VWAP (this is where I load up with stops below morning low). Shorts realize they had their chance to buy at low prices, they chase and that brings sidelined cash to the party. The market goes positive, stalls a bit, sucks in more shorts then rockets higher into the close.
I am hoping for one of the bullish outcomes, but gotta keep an open mind to all outcomes because bear markets continue on broken hope. Any of these scenarios is possible or the market could do something completely outside of what I have outlined. The point is to be prepared for anything, forget what YOU think of the jobs number, listen to the market. We are down at important levels here and if the market is going to experience a BEAR MARKET RALLY, this is a likely area where it will emerge from. When I trade tomorrow I will have an open mind. VWAP will be a big factor in how I decide to trade as it will tell me in real time who (buyers or sellers) has control of the session. More important than VWAP, economic numbers, pivot levels, moving averages, etc. will be the same things that keep traders alive to pay increasing taxes (editorial comment) each day; EMOTIONAL CONTROL, POSITION SIZING, RISK MANAGEMENT AND DISCIPLINE.
Nothing here is meant as a prediction it is just meant to show the thought process at an important level.
Boulevard of Broken Dreams seems appropriate until tomorrow...
Posted by Brian at 3/05/2009 07:06:00 PM
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Stock Market Video Analysis 3/5/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbBDQt8wR9I/AAAAAAAADyo/gUMrtoUhC4I/s400/030509close.png
My buddy Joe from UPSIDETRADER has been more right about the financials than ANYONE, even Meredith Whitney. It is one thing to call it (as Meredith has) and completely different to TRADE it. Much respect for Joe.
When it feels as bad is it does in the market I could not help but break my guidelines (there are no rules) and get a little long near the close. I am actually hoping the market gaps lower, I have plenty of ammo for any potential reversal but bought some "just in case" upside exposure. There is ZERO technical evidence of a turn, but I smell fear. I do not want to encourage anyone to do anything reckless with their money, we are still in a vicious bear market. Small share size and risk management will keep you in the game when you make mistakes (and we all do).
Posted by Brian at 3/05/2009 05:39:00 PM
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Still No Bullish Clues
even on the charts for just today, looks like we are going lower still. Only a big volume push above those VWAPs would change my opinion for today.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbAiwcdXaeI/AAAAAAAADyg/Imy-WxPImsY/s400/nohopehere.png
Posted by Brian at 3/05/2009 02:06:00 PM
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No Signs
of the bottom that so many people are looking for. Would be great to see a high volume flush still.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa_ueWXj_mI/AAAAAAAADyY/a_d2bQC8WHg/s400/10min.png
Posted by Brian at 3/05/2009 10:23:00 AM
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What Stocks Are Worth
I rarely think the market is right. I believe non dividend stocks aren’t much more than baseball cards. They are worth what you can convince someone to pay for it.
~Mark Cuban
Posted by Brian at 3/05/2009 06:45:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Wednesday, March 04, 2009Stock Market Video Analysis 3/4/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa7y2gkqcQI/AAAAAAAADyQ/RfHGdI1L8cs/s400/030409close.png
Here is the article I wrote with VWAP info, it is in the current issue of SFO MAGAZINE I get asked a lot if I am aware of any free source of VWAP info and I am not **I just received and email saying Quotetracker does, I have not and do not plan on confirming myself, I use www.realtick.com
I will be doing a free online educational seminar similar to recent NYC presentation APRIL 21 from 6:30- 8:00 PM Eastern. It is a long way off but already filling up. If you sign up today, you will receive auto email reminders.
Posted by Brian at 3/04/2009 03:50:00 PM
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Short Term Improvements
but the market is broken and all rallies should be viewed as trading opportunities only.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa6np0qSGgI/AAAAAAAADyI/Pysrmgcck4g/s400/worktodo.png
Posted by Brian at 3/04/2009 11:08:00 AM
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009Very Long Term Fiboncacci Dow Jones
I personally do not place any emphasis on 5448, it will be interesting to see if the market is attracted to that level before this bear market is over.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa5-koEvrrI/AAAAAAAADyA/4DlD1VmEIwM/s400/fiblevels.png
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa5-hcXvRxI/AAAAAAAADx4/5v5WsgHYjQ4/s400/DOWfibalphatrends.png
This is not a forecast, just an interesting observation.
Thanks to the reader (Dmitry) who sent me THIS ARTICLE which got me to look at the Dow this way.
Posted by Brian at 3/04/2009 08:03:00 AM
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Labels: fibonacci
Knowledge
All men by nature desire knowledge.
~Aristotle
Posted by Brian at 3/04/2009 06:38:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Tuesday, March 03, 2009Bear vs Bull On Wall St
Posted by Brian at 3/03/2009 10:32:00 PM
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Stock Market Trend Analysis 3/3/09
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa2g08rUg8I/AAAAAAAADxo/RvDmKWhjfv4/s400/030309close.png
Posted by Brian at 3/03/2009 04:26:00 PM
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Lots of Work
still needs to be done with all the prior support levels now hovering as potential levels of resistance.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa1tYpcoe4I/AAAAAAAADxg/bviQOUTxflw/s400/10min.png
Posted by Brian at 3/03/2009 12:48:00 PM
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No Bottom
in sight.
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sa1WfrjayEI/AAAAAAAADxY/gc0_359spYc/s400/bottomlesspit.png
Posted by Brian at 3/03/2009 11:10:00 AM
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Negotiation
Patience may be a virtue, but in negotiating it is a weapon of incalculable power. If you can outwait the other side, you can usually out-negotiate them.
~Mark H. McCormack
Posted by Brian at 3/03/2009 06:34:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Monday, March 02, 20091929 vs 2007
I have made numerous posts showing the bear market of 1929 to 1932 SEE THIS POST
and an astute reader, who didn't want credit (NT) put together the excellent chart below for me. I will let the chart do the talking.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaxwJYxmLCI/AAAAAAAADxQ/ePW-s0ckvPc/s400/alphatrends3208.png
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 06:44:00 PM
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Stock Market Video Analysis 3/2/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaxOoPA2vhI/AAAAAAAADxI/Uhseo0xb1lg/s400/030209close.png
Future live events will be held at 8:30 PM Eastern, thanks for the feedback.
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 04:32:00 PM
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Monday, March 02, 2009Long Term SPY Chart
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SawQphckd8I/AAAAAAAADxA/lVvrFdlQYfI/s400/LONGTERM.png
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 12:00:00 PM
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Collapse
Zero evidence of a turn. If a rally emerges it will be fast but volume will be a good clue.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SawMBOyLRsI/AAAAAAAADw4/rR6eEPVsDl0/s400/collapse.png
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 11:40:00 AM
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Pre Market SPY & QQQQ Charts
68-69.00 still seems reasonable for SPY
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SavmgcFZimI/AAAAAAAADww/QvOtyPno1ns/s400/premkt.png
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 08:59:00 AM
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Problems
Problems are only opportunities in work clothes.
~ Henry J Kaiser
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 06:53:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Saturday, February 28, 2009Video Trend Analysis 2/28/09
I apologize, there was a problem recording the audio rather than recording it again tune in tomorrow live.
Live chart analysis SUNDAY 6:30 PM Eastern
CONTINUED AUDIO ISSUES FORCED ME TO CANCEL, SORRY FOR ANY INCONVENIENCE
Message me on twitter with ideas you would like to see reviewed, only one per person please.
Posted by Brian at 2/28/2009 10:07:00 AM
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Friday, February 27, 2009Stock Market Close 2/27/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SahVFXr55lI/AAAAAAAADwo/A3qxQmJNgiI/s400/022709close.png
Video will be later today, or maybe tomorrow.
Posted by Brian at 2/27/2009 04:02:00 PM
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Stabilizing
Markets are stabilizing after taking out the lows but is still too early to buy with any confidence.
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SagYf62S6_I/AAAAAAAADwg/5L2sikVgaAk/s400/stabilizing.png
Posted by Brian at 2/27/2009 11:44:00 AM
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Traders Tax Update
Here is an email I received in response to the post about the traders tax.
hey brian, i am a board member with the boston securities traders association. we met with congressman barney frank last thursday to discuss the ftt proposal. he assured us that it was off the table for this presidential cycle (the next 4ish years.) he said that the only way it would be enacted is if wall street doesn't pay back its share of tarp funds. our stance (obviously) is that it would be extremely detrimental to the mkt efficiency and also to our local economy as it would damage the mutual fund industry by having a fee that would increase the expense ratio on funds at a time when profits are scarce.
our other agenda items were the short sale ban and the uptick rule.
thx for all you do. i am an institutional trader covering some big mutual funds and hedge funds. you ideas are extremely insightful.
hope that info helps.
looking gross out there today...good luck.
-g
fyi, i bought your book.
Are we going to see it today? Remain nimble.
Anatomy Of A One Punch Knockout - Watch more free videos
Posted by Brian at 2/27/2009 08:38:00 AM
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Hope
When hope is taken away from a people moral degeneration follows swiftly after
~Pearl S. Buck
Posted by Brian at 2/27/2009 06:23:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
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Monday, March 02, 2009Long Term SPY Chart
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SawQphckd8I/AAAAAAAADxA/lVvrFdlQYfI/s400/LONGTERM.png
Zero evidence of a turn. If a rally emerges it will be fast but volume will be a good clue.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SawMBOyLRsI/AAAAAAAADw4/rR6eEPVsDl0/s400/collapse.png
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 11:40:00 AM
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Pre Market SPY & QQQQ Charts
68-69.00 still seems reasonable for SPY
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SavmgcFZimI/AAAAAAAADww/QvOtyPno1ns/s400/premkt.png
Posted by Brian at 3/02/2009 08:59:00 AM
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Markets are stabilizing after taking out the lows but is still too early to buy with any confidence.
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SagYf62S6_I/AAAAAAAADwg/5L2sikVgaAk/s400/stabilizing.png
Posted by Brian at 2/27/2009 11:44:00 AM
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Posted by Brian at 2/27/2009 06:23:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
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Wednesday, February 25, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/25/09
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaW29m7KwsI/AAAAAAAADwQ/9qb-15lagxE/s400/022509close.png
Stock Market Trend Analysis 2/25/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 2/25/2009 04:23:00 PM
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Financials Leading
the market higher, for now....
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaWkfXUNSHI/AAAAAAAADwI/KKz2kG2cqm0/s400/long.png
Posted by Brian at 2/25/2009 03:05:00 PM
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10 Minute Charts
show why those 5 DMAs are worth watching closely. It is interesting that the financaials appear to be be finding support at the 5 DMA after the other markets rally attempts were rejected from the 5DMA. If the lows for today hold we may see anothe push up to the 5DMAs. Risks obviously remain high for longs.
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaVxCSX3cvI/AAAAAAAADwA/X5M81V4i-YE/s400/10min.png
Posted by Brian at 2/25/2009 11:23:00 AM
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Fitness
Physical fitness is not only one of the most important keys to a healthy
body; it is the basis of dynamic and creative intellectual activity.
~John F. Kennedy
Posted by Brian at 2/25/2009 06:01:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Tuesday, February 24, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/24/09
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaRlN842_AI/AAAAAAAADv4/OxHjbK72P-E/s400/022409close.png
Posted by Brian at 2/24/2009 04:39:00 PM
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Up To
the declining 5 day moving averages, wratchet up those stops if long.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaRI1pTQM6I/AAAAAAAADvw/pfPBs4RhIAc/s400/5DMA.png
Posted by Brian at 2/24/2009 02:21:00 PM
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Tuesday, February 24, 2009Downtrend Intact
The markets are experiencing a little bounce today, but it is nothing to get excited about for more than short term scalp trades.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaQfLbsjVCI/AAAAAAAADvo/B0A6vyDkryE/s400/intact.png
Posted by Brian at 2/24/2009 11:23:00 AM
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Backup Plan
The most successful people are those who are good at plan B.
~James York
Posted by Brian at 2/24/2009 06:50:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Monday, February 23, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/23/09
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaMVSaY0uPI/AAAAAAAADvg/PcQIXrEroYs/s400/022309close.png
Stock Market Technical Analysis 2/23/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 2/23/2009 04:22:00 PM
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Doubt
Believe those who are seeking the truth; doubt those who find it.
~Andre Gide
Posted by Brian at 2/23/2009 06:47:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Saturday, February 21, 2009Stock Market Video Analysis 2/21/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SaBhywXXPPI/AAAAAAAADvY/Djmx4HNfDag/s400/22109close.png
Stock Market Technical Analysis 2/21/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 2/21/2009 03:36:00 PM
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Friday, February 20, 2009Self Deceit
Nothing is easier than self-deceit. For what each man wishes, that he also believes to be true.
Demosthenes
Posted by Brian at 2/20/2009 06:45:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Thursday, February 19, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/19/09
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZ35WVVH2xI/AAAAAAAADvQ/-oisI_mLstg/s400/021909close.png
Posted by Brian at 2/19/2009 07:22:00 PM
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Leadership
A leader takes people where they want to go. A great leader takes people where they don't necessarily want to go, but ought to be.
~Rosalynn Carter
Posted by Brian at 2/19/2009 06:44:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Wednesday, February 18, 2009Stock Market Video Analysis 2/18/09
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZx8B2PoSeI/AAAAAAAADvI/4RDfxHkA-W8/s400/021809close.png
Posted by Brian at 2/18/2009 04:19:00 PM
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Wednesday, February 18, 2009The Burden of Proof
remains on the buyers, this market is deeply wounded and remains below prior levels of important support. You have to be open mined and very quick in this market.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZw9qI--xRI/AAAAAAAADu4/okiysxnnzp8/s400/deeplwounded.png
Posted by Brian at 2/18/2009 11:55:00 AM
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10 Minute Charts
Of the IWM, QQQQ and SPY show the Qs trying to hold on, but the SPY and IWM are stuck below yesterdays lows.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZwwFKEradI/AAAAAAAADuw/zg3cGrc9x8k/s400/10min.png
Posted by Brian at 2/18/2009 10:57:00 AM
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Action
Be slow in action and when you act be steady.
~Bias of Priene
Posted by Brian at 2/18/2009 06:41:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Tuesday, February 17, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/17/09
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZspKTnJ3gI/AAAAAAAADuo/vSQ9gYn5oQw/s400/021709close.png
UPDATE 5:45 PM EASTERN
the audio doesnt work, I have no clue why. I have just spent the last hour trying to figure it out but no luck so far. I really don't like computers.
Here's a new recording, different microphone (lower quality so the audio is probably bad, but it is better than no audio). I found it interesting that people emailed me to thank me for leaving the soundless video up, the feedback was that they found it educational to put their own words to what I was outlining on the chart.
Posted by Brian at 2/17/2009 04:26:00 PM
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Key Levels
of support have been broken and there is little evidence that a bounce is setting up. The market remains deeply wounded with just 215 advancing stocks and 2773 declining stocks.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZrbQpuLCQI/AAAAAAAADug/U73u_klCbR8/s400/ugly.png
Posted by Brian at 2/17/2009 10:42:00 AM
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Friday, February 13, 20095 Day Moving Averages
are often where the market finds sellers. Many of them are also at key levels of prior resistance. Upside may be limited ahead of the 3 day weekend.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZWSGYZ9MTI/AAAAAAAADuQ/8xKXEJDP-yE/s400/5dmas.png
Posted by Brian at 2/13/2009 10:30:00 AM
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Intelligence
No great genius has ever existed without some touch of madness.
~Aristotle
Posted by Brian at 2/13/2009 05:59:00 AM
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Thursday, February 12, 2009Stock Trading Ideas for 2/13/09
Review of some ideas, talk of money management and the triple levered funds.
Posted by Brian at 2/12/2009 10:23:00 PM
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Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/12/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZSTrt_cfPI/AAAAAAAADuI/PwziDerMt44/s400/021209close.png
There seems to be a problem with this video that is taking more time to process at youtube, please be patient.
Untitled from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 2/12/2009 04:33:00 PM
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Still Ugly
The markets continue to flirt with disaster and it seems as though buyers are playing a very dangerous game. The A/D is 740:2204 this afternoon could see a bigger breakdown.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZRniD_q5aI/AAAAAAAADuA/2NzF3EeduA4/s400/ugly.png
Posted by Brian at 2/12/2009 01:16:00 PM
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Salesmanship
The definition of salesmanship is the gentle art of letting the customer have it your way.
~Ray Kroc
Posted by Brian at 2/12/2009 06:06:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Wednesday, February 11, 2009Stock Trading Ideas Review 2/11/09
Review of previously mentioned stocks.
Posted by Brian at 2/11/2009 11:08:00 PM
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Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/10/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZNBhEOHklI/AAAAAAAADt4/6uFzOYmkm1g/s400/021109close.png
A lot of people have been mentioning that the triple leveraged funds from DIREXION do not trade as expected. Some people have gone so far as to call them a scam. I like to daytrade them because of the extraordinary volatility. If you read the prospectus, the funds are designed to correlate only on a daily basis.
From the prospectus "No Fund attempts to, and no Fund should be expected to provide returns which are a multiple of the return of the benchmark for periods longer than a single day." If you have traded these funds, you should have received a prospectus from your broker. See page 8 for a more detailed description of how how these funds work before you decide to trade them.
Technical Analysis Video 2/11/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 2/11/2009 04:27:00 PM
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Could get Ugly
Energy stocks (XLE) have broken the similar uptrend line. IWM seems most vulnerable to me.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZMcMN1jxfI/AAAAAAAADtw/9flW3vD42D0/s400/iwmseemsnext.png
Posted by Brian at 2/11/2009 01:40:00 PM
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Wednesday, February 11, 2009Trendlines
on the major indexes are holding, for now. Danger remains high.
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZL3bwVQnnI/AAAAAAAADto/tnxlyqH35tk/s400/holding4now.png
Posted by Brian at 2/11/2009 11:05:00 AM
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Endure It
What cannot be cured must be endured.
~Francois Rabelais
Posted by Brian at 2/11/2009 06:24:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Tuesday, February 10, 2009Stock Trading Ideas for 2/11/09
Ran a little longer than I wanted (about 15 minutes)
Stock Trading Idea for 2/11/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 2/10/2009 10:44:00 PM
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Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/10/09
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZHvq_yk5LI/AAAAAAAADtg/x5F-v4nHEJY/s400/021009close.png
Stock Market Trend Analysis 2/10/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
View in full screen mode by clicking on the icon with the four arrows in the lower right corner of the video.
Posted by Brian at 2/10/2009 04:32:00 PM
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Trendlines
, many of which have held from last years lows are back within striking distance again. The more times tested, more likely they are to fail.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZHR9awF8vI/AAAAAAAADtY/bV9nCWcbs1k/s400/Trendlines.png
Posted by Brian at 2/10/2009 02:12:00 PM
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Volatililty
is back. And that means there will be some great trades setting up on the short term timeframes today.
Markets are testing key levels here.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZGdoSxWELI/AAAAAAAADtQ/ADFHCC_T5wA/s400/willtheyhold.png
Posted by Brian at 2/10/2009 10:26:00 AM
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Uncertainty
In these matters the only certainty is that nothing is certain.
~Pliny the Elder 79 A.D.
Posted by Brian at 2/10/2009 06:13:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Monday, February 09, 2009Stock Trading Ideas Video 2/9/09
the password is "stocktwits.com"
Stock Trading Ideas for 2/10/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.
Posted by Brian at 2/09/2009 09:58:00 PM
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Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/9/09
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZCdPyBKXeI/AAAAAAAADtI/_6uJLMUVd_0/s400/020909close.png
I wrote an article about short term trading and the VWAP for SFO Magazine. The article will be in the April issue which should be available late Feb/ first couple days of March. If you order a FREE SUBSCRIPTION (US only) the first issue you receive should be the April one.
Posted by Brian at 2/09/2009 04:29:00 PM
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Monday, February 09, 2009Key Levels
of potential resistance are just ahead for the markets, do not let your guard down.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SZBY6x5RlSI/AAAAAAAADtA/PL5Ugvxwc0E/s400/keylevles.png
Posted by Brian at 2/09/2009 11:24:00 AM
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Dreams
I live for my dream and a pocketful of gold
~Robert Plant, Jimmy Page
Posted by Brian at 2/09/2009 05:43:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
Sunday, February 08, 2009Options Bets on Earnings
are very risky, but as we saw with PRGO last week, when they work the returns can be huge. I have uploaded a video with nine potential options plays on stocks reporting earnings this week. The video can be found on the book bonus tab of the BOOK WEBSITE Remember that the username and password are found on page 184 and you need to use lower case to login.
Posted by Brian at 2/08/2009 07:56:00 PM
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Stock Trading Ideas Video 2/8/09
Review of previously mentioned stocks and a few new ones.
Posted by Brian at 2/08/2009 03:49:00 PM
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Saturday, February 07, 2009SPY & USO Volatility January 09
See THIS POST for a comparison to SPY volatility in 2008 vs the last 11 years.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYx-H7WlNAI/AAAAAAAADsI/pRrfVXCLm0s/s400/SPYjan09vol.png
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYytcNoQ7zI/AAAAAAAADsw/NQsuaG3qvUc/s400/SPYjan09chart.png
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYx-NKH7KfI/AAAAAAAADsQ/LpkI5HC12ho/s400/USOjan09vol.png
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYytfY5G_dI/AAAAAAAADs4/GcbTzEUvmmI/s400/USOjan09chart.png
Posted by Brian at 2/07/2009 05:59:00 AM
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Labels: volatililty
Friday, February 06, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 2/6/09
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYyqOBL0fEI/AAAAAAAADso/uq9S6MDAY3Y/s400/doesabear.jpg
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYypcvQWlEI/AAAAAAAADsg/gAAjcOfHNRs/s400/020609close.png
Posted by Brian at 2/06/2009 04:19:00 PM
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Next Levels of Potential Resistance
on the 30 minute charts below.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYyCLt6e4NI/AAAAAAAADsY/GQROV51MYrQ/s400/30min.png
Posted by Brian at 2/06/2009 01:32:00 PM
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Continued Strength
The break past resistance has shown impressive upside follow through. The SPY and IWM are also past the key levels of resistance at 86 and 46 respectively. A close above those levels will be important. Also of note is the strength in retailers (RTH), homebuilders (XHB) and financials (XLF) above 9.40
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SYxhUc7_x8I/AAAAAAAADsA/4hV6xRRuTcs/s400/managerisk.png
Posted by Brian at 2/06/2009 11:08:00 AM
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Think First
Whatever failures I have known, whatever errors I have committed, whatever follies I have witnessed in public and private live, have been the consequences of action without thought.
~Bernard M. Baruch
Posted by Brian at 2/06/2009 05:41:00 AM
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Labels: quotes
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