一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-地狱级炒手 - 〖期货技术交流〗 - MACD俱乐部_专业的技术分析交流

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 13:53

7/18/20067 18 06 Forgot this chart
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060718172342.0.pngI forgot to add this to previous post.

Posted by Chrisnyork at 7/18/2006 05:31:00 PM

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7 18 06 Some more decent shorts
I have become aware that when I say outloud my opinion of the market condition, that whatever I am thinking is usually a contrary indicator. Yesterday I spoke of looking for a bounce and until this afternoon shorts were very nice and my longs have been getting stopped out. Then over lunch I put up a chart showing my longer term target of 120 on SPY, and, the market bounces this afternoon.

Anyway, these longs were dubious but if the market had bounced this am I suppose they might've worked out.

NTAP: This was not a correct setup, but I thought if the market broke to the upside it was good risk reward to 29. But like UST I tightened this stop right away, and was rinsed. At first I thought I had missed the move to 29 but it ended up stalling at then going to the stop without hitting 29.
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060718172157.png
UST: I bought UST at higher highs which is usually not a good sign, the best trades I take are smaller bases within a larger base on the 5min or 15min and they then go on to hit new highs or lows. When the other longs I was in looked weak I decided to tighten all my stops since on my very best trades they never look back when they get going. So in worst case I was going to rinse myself but I thought this wasn't a bad decision on day two of tricky market consolidation. After rinsing the 47 area UST actually went into the target at the close.
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060718172213.png
STI: I started trying to get out of STI when it was trading at 78.95 area right after the breakout rolled over, along with the other longs I was in. It took my .15 to get a fill and I count myself lucky I got out at 78.81. I hate my fills currently with MB Trading on listed stocks.
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060718172257.png

RYL: This was more of a picture perfect setup, and not just because it worked out. There was a very nice base in the 30min chart that triggered a short on that time frame, then there was an OK consolidation on the 5min, the 1min entry was more risky because I sold into that drop to new lows. I kept my order at 35.99 even tho the price spiked .10 through that with no fill, and I got filled in that choppiness. Because of the larger time frame and 5min 20sma resistance right above I did not get nervous during the base I was stuck in. When the price reached 35.78 I asked in my journal "Add 35.78?" and the answer was yes, I also asked "Big Winner" which this would've been. My current plan is to try to get at least 2 to 1 on this nice trades which is a big improvement on what I used to get. I also am trying to identify as soon as possible if I "think" I am in a "Big Winner". If I turn out to be consistently correct in this judgement at a decent price, I might change my strategy on these "Big Winners" by perhaps adding shares or by holding them based on some other exit plan like my Risk Reward Do or Die 2. As it was I got nervous and took a partial early incorrectly, but I did hold half into the target, but even then I skimped on .18 as RYL went right to my price target and then further, this is a big problem I am trying to solve and recently my attempts at a solution have resulted in larger winning risk reward trades so I think I am on the right track.
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060718172311.png
TXN: My 1min entry on this was not ideal, but I also liked the 30min on this, it looked like a short pattern on that had triggered yesterday afternoon. When the SPY spiked into 11am I got nervous about giving up all my open gains on 3 positions over lunch, so I closed TXN. TXN didn't go to my price target tho it did go to 27.50.
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060718172327.png
MXIM: I bailed on this at the same time I closed TXN and took half off RYL. MXIM actually did later in the afternoon what I was afraid of it doing over lunch. In hindsight it might make sense to take partials in things like this, that way I leave open the possiblilty of still being in. The reason I took half RYL and didn't close was I was convinced RYL was the big winner. MXIM had a con in that the base I got into was already at new lows so I considered it more likely to fail. Again, MXIM had a nice 30min base it was dropping out of.

If I had ignored TXN and followed my plan correctly on RYL and MXIM I would've closed twice as much gain. I think exiting early on NTAP, UST and STI was not the wrong thing to do, because those almost immediately moved against me, and I knew they were not perfectly correct and without futures support they were likely to stop me. But exiting TXN, MXIM and RYL early was wrong because while they were a little slow to get going, they otherwise did not actually move more than .10 against me, and in fact where I closed them they were actually performing as I wanted. Contrast this with UST which just looked risky and I seemed to have bought the high of the day, NTAP moved slowly higher after I got in and looked like possible rounding highs and STI just dropped right after I got in. My point is that I am trying to find a middle ground between holding original stops do or die, or, getting out of things that look like they are less than perfect. Do or die with original stops has never been successful for me other than an experiment to see what it's like to do so, and getting right out of things less than perfect makes me get rinsed out of trades that just needed a little time to work out. I hope this isn't a lost cause but, I am convinced that with experience and a level headed assesment of market conditions, I will be able to respond correctly between trades that seem to be failing, and ones that are just working out slowly.

Posted by Chrisnyork at 7/18/2006 05:29:00 PM

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J. M. Hurst cycle analysis on SPY 7 18 06
I thought I would post some charts of this JM Hurst cycle work I do on SPY as a proxy for the direction of the market and where I can expect support or resistance. This helps me with an intraday bias overall, and is sort of fun and strange. These charts are from Page 99 of his book, go look it up:
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/hurst%20spy.pngThis shows that the cycle is now down until SPY 120 area.

http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/hurst%20spy2.pngThis is all of the cycle work I've done the last few years. I tested other sma periods and 60 in fact seems to work well for the larger swings I wanted to track. Cool stuff, just another tool though, and maybe more of a frame of reference to think about larger time frames in the market, then some sort of money making magic tool.

Posted by Chrisnyork at 7/18/2006 01:25:00 PM

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7/17/20067 17 06 Some stats from today
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/stats.0.png

The above is some data I collect from my trades, those are the trades I did today. Actual RR mean what my actual Risk Reward result was from the trade. Max RR means the maximum risk reward available calculated from the farthest the trade went in my favor. Current Correct Plan is what my results would've been if I had followed my plan completely correctly.

Posted by Chrisnyork at 7/17/2006 08:48:00 PM

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7 17 06 Narrow range, waiting for bounce
With impending middle east war, North Korea sailing missles around, oil coming off of record highs, I would've thought there would be a rally today. Instead there was narrow range day. At 2p SPY seemed to break out of a trend channel but there was no follow through. There was a rinse to lows and then a bounce back within the range, so overall no direction. From what came up on my scanner, and in terms of what kind of setups worked best, today there was a short bias intraday.

First up is PTEN:
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060717164309.0.pngThis came up on my scanner for new 3 month lows. This had a few cons, it has already had a few days of downside, but I thought from looking at the base break on the 30min chart that triggered on friday morning, that there was room for this to go lower. The next support I see on the daily is the 200sma on the weekly chart. This already had a wide range move intraday when I shorted at 9.50a, which is one reason I used a wide stop. I should've passed on this and waited for a better timed entry. After I got stopped out there was one at about 10.15a. I got stopped out like an idiot because I tightened my stop to above that base in the 24.35 area, when my original stop was 24.42 which was never hit. Even though in this case the tight stop took me out of the trade, I often find using these sort of earlier reversal bases gets me out of losing trades early.

Next up is LCAV:
http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7013/233/400/20060717164328.0.png
This was the big winner. I even wrote in my journal Big Winner after this started moving in my favor, and asked "add shares at 45.65?" which would've been a yes. I need to study this more though. Anyway, I currently am trying to hold these kind of trades to 2 to 1 risk reward, at which point I allow myself to take profits. I know I leave profits on the table, but, up until recently I was unable even to get winning trades with risk reward higher than 1, so this is my devils bargain. This also was extended to the downside on the daily. This is what I mean about a short bias intraday. The two nicest looking trades I got involved with were shorts where the daily was extended to the downside. LCAV gave up all it's gains later, but then closed near 45 anyway. So even though SPY was chopping around, the only decent longs I saw but didn't trade were BIDU and HANS, but these two shorts were very good risk reward.

Posted by Chrisnyork at 7/17/2006 04:55:00 PM

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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 14:47

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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 14:53

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:27

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全屏显示

Brett Steenbarger[*]年龄: 54[*]性别: 男[*]星座：处女座[*]生肖：马[*]行业：教育[*]职业： Psychologist[*]地点: Naperville : IL我的简介Author of The Psychology of Trading (Wiley, 2003), Enhancing Trader Performance (Wiley, 2006), and The Daily Trading Coach (Wiley, 2009) with an interest in using historical patterns in markets to find a trading edge. I am also interested in performance enhancement among traders, drawing upon research from expert performers in various fields. My email is steenbab @ aol. com (no spaces). Please, no emails soliciting advertising, republication of my posts, or link exchanges. See TraderFeed.com FAQ link.
兴趣[*]Short-term trading of stock index futures喜爱的电影[*]Cruxshadows "Winterborn" video[*]Rammstein "Stripped" video[*]VNV Nation "Legion" video[*]Peter Murphy "Cuts You Up" video[*]Rammstein "Du Hast" video[*]Type O Negative "Black Number One" video[*]Fields of the Nephilim "Love Under Will" video[*]My Morning Jacket video "One Big Holiday"[*]Ferry Corsten video "Watch Out"喜爱的音乐[*]Empire Hideous[*]Assemblage 23[*]Fields of the Nephilim[*]Rammstein[*]Cruxshadows[*]Clan of Xymox[*]Informatik[*]VNV Nation[*]Armin van Buuren[*]Johnny Cash "Hurt"[*]Metallica/Apoptygma Berzerk "Fade to Black"[*]Ministry "Every Day is Halloween"[*]Cure "More Than This"[*]Bush "Mouth (Stingray mix)"[*]Bowie "Wild Is The Wind"[*]Roxy Music "A Song for Europe"[*]Morrissey "Let Me Kiss You"[*]Bruderschaft "Forever"[*]Funker Vogt "Faster Life" (XPQ-21 mix)[*]Snog "Ballad"[*]Neil Young "Hurricane"[*]And Also the Trees "Flatlands"喜爱的书[*]The Fountainhead by Ayn Rand[*]New Pathways in Psychology by Colin Wilson[*]Greatness by Dean Keith Simonton[*]The Road to Excellence by K. Anders Ericsson我的博客群组成员Become Your Own Trading Coach TraderFeed

About Mehttp://4.bp.blogspot.com/_7VHLCUlm_9o/SZg9wk1j19I/AAAAAAAACOo/376mmEUmadE/S220/BRETTPIC.jpg
Brett Steenbarger Author of The Psychology of Trading (Wiley, 2003), Enhancing Trader Performance (Wiley, 2006), and The Daily Trading Coach (Wiley, 2009) with an interest in using historical patterns in markets to find a trading edge. I am also interested in performance enhancement among traders, drawing upon research from expert performers in various fields. My email is steenbab @ aol. com (no spaces). Please, no emails soliciting advertising, republication of my posts, or link exchanges. See TraderFeed.com FAQ link.
[*]► February (55) [*]Toward A Fresh Vision of Trader Coaching and Mento...[*]► January (58)[*]► 2008 (671) [*]► December (59)[*]► November (56)[*]► October (61)[*]► September (63)[*]► August (50)[*]► July (50)[*]► June (42)[*]► May (51)[*]► April (55)[*]► March (69)[*]► February (52)[*]► January (63)[*]► 2007 (703) [*]► December (53)[*]► November (53)[*]► October (61)[*]► September (59)[*]► August (61)[*]► July (58)[*]► June (50)[*]► May (66)[*]► April (70)[*]► March (61)[*]► February (61)[*]► January (50)[*]► 2006 (513) [*]► December (53)[*]► November (57)[*]► October (42)[*]► September (52)[*]► August (45)[*]► July (40)[*]► June (40)[*]► May (42)[*]► April (40)[*]► March (41)[*]► February (30)[*]► January (31)[*]► 2005 (33)

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:35

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/R82ejAAwDEI/AAAAAAAABEM/-rJX3qRVGoo/S1600-R/AT2.PNG

-------SUCCESSFUL SPECULATION BEGINS WITH OBJECTIVE OBSERVATION-------

Monday, March 23, 2009Stock Market Close Charts 3/23/09
The Nasdaq is up nearly 4% for the year and the financials have erased half of their YTD losses with this months 24.74% rally and they are now down "only" 24% in 2009! I had a great powder day today, but I cannot help but wonder how I would have done if, instead of floating on fresh snow, I was trading. The market will be here after my week off, but today's upside move was enough for me to temporarily wonder...

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScgPzZD7tYI/AAAAAAAAD4g/vtCu3xXy3HI/s400/032309close.png

Today's trading saw a wobbly start after the large gap higher, but quickly reclaimed VWAP and never looked back. These charts are a great example of why daytrades should generally be done in the direction of the VWAP for the day.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScgPwaLJisI/AAAAAAAAD4Y/0BeZQMCZz2w/s400/mondayvwap.png

We have been observing the Volume Weighted Average Price since the gap higher on March 10 and you can see why the average price since "the bottom" remains a key benchmark to observe.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScgPrsjpVvI/AAAAAAAAD4Q/zTcaiDi-Pe4/s400/vwapfrmgap.png

P

Volume Weighted Average Price
It is too early to make the call that the bullishness is over with the markets remain above the Volume Weighted Average Prices (VWAP) since the rally began on the 10th (blue horizontal lines), but there are clear reasons to be cautious. Breaking those VWAP levels (which are constantly changing with new data points) would put the average buyer at a loss and give control back to sellers. The uptrend lines, pointed out yesterday, have been broken int he SPY and the XLF and it is looking like the QQQQ and IWM have put in lower highs. Keep a close eye on the XLF, it has lead the market for the last 18 months and its relative weakness is reason to be concerned.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScOsoeFnlFI/AAAAAAAAD34/ww7PTFmVLcQ/s400/10MIN.png

Posted by Brian at 3/20/2009 10:40:00 AM
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Self Control
Any fool can criticize, condemn, and complain but it takes character and self control to be understanding and forgiving.
~Dale Carnegie

Posted by Brian at 3/20/2009 06:05:00 AM
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Labels: quotes

Thursday, March 19, 2009Stock Market Close 3/19/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScLyMn1K-VI/AAAAAAAAD3o/GIB2op-dgzE/s400/031909close.png

No video this evening.

Posted by Brian at 3/19/2009 09:32:00 PM
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30 Minute Trendlines
The 30 minute charts below show the magnitude of the recent rallies. A break of the uptrend lines could lead to a more meaningful pullback towards the prior resistance levels.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScKSaZc43_I/AAAAAAAAD3g/pbdXhIARPgE/s400/trendlines.png

Posted by Brian at 3/19/2009 02:41:00 PM
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:36

Thursday, March 19, 2009Tiring
Markets seem to be getting tired after yesterday's larger volume move. The trend is still higher and there are 1854 advancing stocks vs 1054 decliners right now, so the short side should be approached cautiously.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScJd_jzTY0I/AAAAAAAAD3Y/PRIHDF2HA_o/s400/10minTH.png

Charts Ahead of the Fed

The rising 5 day moving averages show the path of least resistance continues to be higher in the intermediate term. Early short sellers are learning the same lessons that the early buyers below the declining 5 DMAs learned over the last month, it doesn't pay to fight the trend. With the Federal Reserve statement coming at 2:15PM the primary objective should be risk management and making sure you have a strategy to realize long side gains of the last week.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/ScEi3EmG_RI/AAAAAAAAD3I/z0PIoPo_b8c/s400/where.png

Where has the market come from? Large rally of the last week has not seen any real profit taking.

Where does it have the potential to go before it is likely to meet a source of supply which may slow the ascent? Current levels have been important support/resistance recently.

"Mom Trade" CLOSED

For those who have been following along, this trade has been closed.

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sb_7pkWn7DI/AAAAAAAAD2w/ywWoXnt39C8/s400/MomTrade.png

Posted by Brian at 3/17/2009 03:35:00 PM
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Short Squeeze Coming in SNDA?
I'm long a little.

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sb_MRr51mvI/AAAAAAAAD2g/ZGE2cRNd888/s400/SNDAvwapshort.png

Posted by Brian at 3/17/2009 12:13:00 PM
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:37

Tuesday, March 17, 2009Quiet Consolidation
The markets are digesting the gains of the last week above the rising 5 day moving averages (orange line). The blue lines on the charts below are the VWAPs since the uptrends began one week ago today. The average price from the rally is a key intermediate term psychological level as it represents the average price for longs and shorts for that period of time. Holding above VWAPs could get shorts to reconsider their bets and cover which would entice more sidelined cash to the long side. Falling below VWAP may cause shorts to get more aggressive as they realize they have won back control of the trend and further pressure would be added as longs liquidate. The trends on longer timeframes are still lower so odds favor a failure but the message isn't clear enough at this point to be aggressive either way. When there is no clear edge, cash is a position if you are not skilled enough to scalp on shorter term timeframes.

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sb_C4gy78XI/AAAAAAAAD2Y/q8nZj3WtTYg/s400/vwapMOVEalphatrends.png

Posted by Brian at 3/17/2009 11:23:00 AM
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Luck of the Irish
Never iron a four-leaf clover, because you don't want to press your luck.
~Unknown

If you're enough lucky to be Irish, you're lucky enough!
~Irish Saying

Posted by Brian at 3/17/2009 05:39:00 AM
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Labels: quotes

Monday, March 16, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 3/16/09
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sb61Zpa4qVI/AAAAAAAAD2Q/fS-lholZrtY/s400/031609close.png

Posted by Brian at 3/16/2009 04:23:00 PM
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Retracement Levels
The financials led the market lower and now they are experiencing the strongest bounce from the lows. The XLF is at the 61.8% retracement level and at the area of prior support, now is the time to be very defensive with longs, this is where we have POTENTIAL for resistance to be found. The short term momentum is too strong to short, but but in the interest of maintaining a strong defensive position I had my Mom cancel the stop that was in place at 2830 and instead sell that part of the position at 28.80 to lock in a gain of $2.10. She is still holding 25% of the original position which was purchased at 2670.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sb6Htn43nJI/AAAAAAAAD2I/Zd0PQ8WZo_Y/s400/30min.png

Posted by Brian at 3/16/2009 01:01:00 PM
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Uptrends Remain Intact
The short term uptrends remain intact but they are quite extended at these levels, be sure to have a plan in place to lock in profits. I told my Mom to put a stop on half the remaining balance at 28.30 in the QQQQ, if stopped out she will have 25% of the original position from 26.70

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sb5oKL7yspI/AAAAAAAAD2A/ts3yKi3nSnk/s400/uptrendsintact.png

Posted by Brian at 3/16/2009 10:53:00 AM
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Mathematical or Intuitive
There are two types of minds - the mathematical, and what might be called the intuitive. The former arrives at its views slowly, but they are firm and rigid; the latter is endowed with greater flexibility and applies itself simultaneously to the dive.
~Blaise Pascal

Posted by Brian at 3/16/2009 06:19:00 AM
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Labels: quotes

Sunday, March 15, 2009Stock Market Analysis Video 3/15/09
Here is the video of tonight's live session. I will be working to get the audio perfected for future events.

Stock Market Live Analysis 031509 from brian shannon on Vimeo.

Posted by Brian at 3/15/2009 10:34:00 PM
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Friday, March 13, 2009Stock Market Video Analysis 3/13/09
I will be doing a live event again this Sunday March 15 at 8PM Eastern you can REGISTER HERE Last Sunday's event did fill up so be sure to register early. Once again, NO EMAILS if there is a stock (ONLY ONE PER PERSON) you would like me to look at, twitter requests ONLY, thanks. I built a cool little recording booth today which should make recording and uploading the event easier than it has been.

I got the idea for this recording technique from the place my son and I have been taking guitar lessons together. If you are musician JAMSPACEUSA is a great resource for lessons, recording or jamming in a studio environment. I wish their website was better at showing all the cool stuff they offer, but who am I to criticize a website, I'm still using blogger!

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sbq9u9lAItI/AAAAAAAAD14/nnyQgrwwC68/s400/031309close.png

Have a great weekend.

Posted by Brian at 3/13/2009 04:11:00 PM
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Time To Digest?
It is looking like we could be in for a choppy session as the market digest the recent large gains.

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbpyWSEPtyI/AAAAAAAAD1w/5L4mKd0nUFk/s400/30minfri.png

Posted by Brian at 3/13/2009 10:48:00 AM
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:39

Thursday, March 12, 2009Stock Market Video Analysis 3/12/09
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sbluui67EII/AAAAAAAAD1o/DAe9PbUSUMw/s400/031209close.png

Stock Market Trend Analysis 3/12/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.

Posted by Brian at 3/12/2009 04:19:00 PM
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Mom Out of Half
We remain in a bear market and it is prudent to realize profits on long positions.

Here was THE ENTRY for this trade.

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SblPmQLGaXI/AAAAAAAAD1g/UrlGxa0As2s/s400/MOMouthalf.png

Posted by Brian at 3/12/2009 02:07:00 PM
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Textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern
The Russell 2000 (IWM) has broken the downtrend line which has been intact since Feb 6. At the same time it has completed an inverse head and shoulders pattern with price now at the important neckline. A move above the neckline would project a continued rally equal to the height of the head to the neckline (blue arrows) near 41. The 41.00 level is also an approximate 50% retracement of the decline from Feb 6 high to the recent low. Also shown on the chart are the 5 day MA (red) 10 DMA (blue) and 20 DMA (greeen). The primary trend remains lower so be sure to protect profits and let the market action dictate how long to hold. Be prepared for anything.

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sbk3cN8Zq9I/AAAAAAAAD1Y/4pbqnZBPu3c/s400/IWM.png

Posted by Brian at 3/12/2009 12:25:00 PM
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3 Day VWAPs Held
The VWAP from the move which began on Tuesday held as support and now the markets are back up to key levels of prior support. Mom's stop on QQQQ is now at 27.42 which would lock in approximately one dollar from entry.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbkdyMiO5DI/AAAAAAAAD1I/zEYsvSqDe3Y/s400/30minth.png

Posted by Brian at 3/12/2009 10:35:00 AM
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The Battle Rages On
You have to be prepared for all scenarios.

Posted by Brian at 3/12/2009 08:48:00 AM
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Obstacles
Obstacles are things a person sees when he takes his eyes off his goal.
~E. Joseph Cossman

Posted by Brian at 3/12/2009 05:58:00 AM
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Labels: quotes

Wednesday, March 11, 2009Stock Market Video Analysis 3/11/09
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sbgd8y6dFTI/AAAAAAAAD04/rNnaWbId67g/s400/031109close.png

The chart below is of the SPY, everything in the yellow box is completely made up. It is not a prediction, just a scary (if you aren't prepared for it) scenario that could occur. As mentioned in the video, I have small long exposure, but I am not comfortable being long in a bear market.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbghJ62Au9I/AAAAAAAAD1A/Az9RUqrNKoI/s400/love2see.png

Stock Market Video Analysis 3/11/09 from brian shannon on Vimeo.

Posted by Brian at 3/11/2009 04:23:00 PM
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Digesting Gains
I am not expecting big direction in the broad markets as they digest yesterday's gains at key levels. Breadth remains strong with 2061 Advancers and 869 Decliners. A slight pullback would be welcome.

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbfUoPlxHvI/AAAAAAAAD0w/j9iVpizoXyk/s400/slowtrade.png

Posted by Brian at 3/11/2009 11:09:00 AM
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:40

Tuesday, March 10, 2009Video of Live Recording
still working on recording/ upload issues for longer videos. There is a gap of a few minutes between the first and second videos.

Live Analysis 3/10/09 Pt 1 from brian shannon on Vimeo.

Live Analysis 3/10/09 Part 2 from brian shannon on Vimeo.

Posted by Brian at 3/10/2009 10:53:00 PM
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Stock Market Video Analysis 3/10/09
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbbNQn1VB2I/AAAAAAAAD0g/_Jhc5s6TLlw/s400/031009close.png
At 9:00 PM Eastern, I will be doing a live 30 minute deeper look at the markets with ideas which look poised for movement, you can REGISTER HERE If you have any technical difficulties I will be unable to help you. The last session filled up, it is first come, first served. I will also take a look at the first 5 reader ideas that are sent to me via twitter, no emails please.

Make sure your screen is optimized for viewing with THIS FREE TOOL

****IF YOU SIGNED UP BEFORE 4:50pm EASTERN THE DATE WAS WRONG ON THE CONFIRMATION, YOU SHOULD RECEIVE A NEW SIGNUP LINK, IF NOT PLEASE RE-REGISTER, JUST GETTING USED TO THIS....****

Posted by Brian at 3/10/2009 04:32:00 PM
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5 Day MAs
are now flat to turning higher, see circles on charts below. The steep downtrends have been broken and today's volume gives us reason to be CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC over the next few days. If this rally is to turn into a larger bear market rally we will want to see the 5 DMAs hold as support. There are still many levels of potential resistance close by so be careful not to chase.

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/Sbarbtq2YHI/AAAAAAAAD0Y/eUpkeEq-0C8/s400/5dayup.png

Posted by Brian at 3/10/2009 02:01:00 PM
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Excellent Volume Pattern
so far today. The markets are getting a little extended short term but the pattern remains bullish. Mom's stop is now break even.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbaRH7hKbXI/AAAAAAAAD0Q/BAu3_sHgowM/s400/volumepattern.png

Posted by Brian at 3/10/2009 12:09:00 PM
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Impressive
Volume is confirming this move, it could be the start of something bigger... but we are still in a bear market.
I told my Mom to buy and her stop is below the low of the day.

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbZ0tDH0g9I/AAAAAAAAD0I/HXmGAf9PbFI/s400/stepback.png

Posted by Brian at 3/10/2009 10:09:00 AM
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The Abyss
If you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss will gaze back into you.
~Friedrich Nietzsche

Posted by Brian at 3/10/2009 06:53:00 AM
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Labels: quotes

Monday, March 09, 2009Stock Market Video Trend Analysis 3/9/09
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbV5h2ObVVI/AAAAAAAAD0A/5QzLaIcthLM/s400/030909close.png

Posted by Brian at 3/09/2009 04:17:00 PM
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Need to Hold Here
The initial rally fell short of the declining 5 DMA and now if these markets are going to rally they will need to hold that higher low. Tight stops on longs.

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_r_4bas-lh0U/SbU54BpVGFI/AAAAAAAADz4/4hqCP8K1Z_o/s400/rejected.png

Posted by Brian at 3/09/2009 11:44:00 AM
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:44

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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:55

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7 months ago

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:55

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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:56

http://images.vimeo.com/10/28/41/102841097/102841097_200x150.jpg NABI 072208 Trade
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:57

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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-3-24 15:58

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