usd/jpy
hi without description
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Dow Topping Out
For short or long carry traders, following the Dow has become a very important part of day to day analysis. Generally speaking, when the Dow is rallying, carry trades rally and vice versa because both are a measure of risk. However in scenarios like Friday where the Dow rallied and carry trades did not, it goes to show how weak demand may really be for the high yielding currency pairs. The fact that the Dow is sitting near significant resistance suggests that carry trades could resume their downtrend when traders return to the market tomorrow (Tuesday Sept 4)
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NZDJPY - a 5 wave rally from the bottom (this is a 5 minute chart). Look for a correction but this rally makes it likely that today - or at least the morning - will be a pro-carry day.
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usd/yen is up
hi all usd/yen is up ti 114.75 t2 115.00
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usd/ yen is up
hi all following post no:485 usd/ yen is up of course with half look to DOW
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usd/yen
hi all i see that usd/yen will go above 115.90 or even 116.30
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usd/yen still is up
hi all follower post 495 usd/yen end pullback and will go to 116.30 or 117.20
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correction 4 wave
hi all i see that usd/yen has occurring in the a trend with long wave length because usd/yen has pti =19
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It looks like 114.00 has taken shape as considerable support on the short-term time frame. That carves an additional 50 points off the range that I drew yesterday. So, now if range conditions persist, I only have 200 points of room to play with. Clearly not optimal conditions for good range trading.
On the upside, perhaps this brings us closer to a break out move. Looking at the Nikkei and S&P500, we are starting to get some technical pressure that could bring into view a breakout on their part side. And if the risk correlations still hold, a break in equities could very well mean a break in USDJPY.
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Low risk long opportunity in the USDJPY. Enter now, stop below 114 (113.95 or so), and target is above 117.12 (118.00)
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I think it's only a matter of time before this thing busts. I'm sure market makers are salivating at the chance to pick up dead money on 116.10-116.20 stops. My bias is to the topside here, with a break above 116.00 eyeing extension towards 117.00 by conservative estimates. As per Jamie's analysis, 118.12 represents the stiffest resistance, with a failure there to encourage a flip to short.
http://www.dailyfx.com/export/sites/dailyfx/story-images/2007/10/dailyfx_reports/techs/10.02.07techs3.gif
usd/yen
hi all i said my post no 503 and 506 that usd/yen is correction 4 wave .i think not that yen have enough power for exit from this line .yen have difficult with this peak
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usd/yen is down
hi all i said (my post no:565)usd/yen is correction 4 wave .yen have diffficult with this peak(117.20).someone is that tell to me ,why yen must weak against usd now?thanks 4 your cooperation and have a nice time bi bi
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usd/yen up or down?
hi all previous to this ,i said yen hasnot enough power for exit from line and must fall but until where 113 or 112 or 111 .at any rate yen can not go below 111.00 because Boj will interfere in market .if we see yen is falling therfore aud and nzd must fall.
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USDJPY has taken a hit off of Chinese comments that they would diversify into "stronger currencies." With much of China's $1.4+ trillion in FX reserves speculated to be held in US dollars, the markets have not taken the commentary lightly. USDJPY has targeted support at 113.80, and while the Chinese official has clarified his words and said he didn't mean for the markets to buy Euros, USD has yet to show much of a recovery.
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hi all i think that we are arguing about an pair (usdyen)that alone main artery this country for continuation life is only exports. therefore strengthening yen against usd have decrease exports after.for example two or three month front boj(governor) said in the event that yen go under 110.00 we will control market .up chart show to us previously this worked .two pullback from my point of view is interference boj for control market .we must see that usdyen will go above 113.80-1140.00 .but treade on an pair (usdyen)that have interference by itself reserve bank is good?
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Looks like we have a little dollar rally coming off this Morningstar reversal
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It looks like this Bullish engulfing has set off a dollar rally, as the appetite for risks starts to creep back into the markets, with a strong Black Friday in the US.
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Trade recomendations:
buy 108.80, take profit 110.05, stop loss 108.15
http://img61.imageshack.us/img61/5918/jpyh4fc1.gif
USD/JPY Reversal To me, the bearish trend which started from 117.92 has finished at 107.51. We can easily count the 5 wave and the 3rd one was extended. the length of the 1st and the 5th waves are almost equal. So I am waiting a reversal making 107.51 bottom..Have a good trade.
Enes
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Given this bounce from multi-year trendline support, I'd say the risks are far greater to the upside for USDJPY. However, volatility still remains high, leaving carry trades vulnerable to sharp drops. I do think we'll see that equities will stabilize a bit in the next week or two, but then we face the Dec 11 FOMC meeting. Yikes...
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I supposed forming the right shoulder of a “head & shoulders” shape on this pair at 109.35 level, this scenario is not cancelled for the time being. If the pair won’t go up from this level, its target will become the support at 108.16.
http://img219.imageshack.us/img219/5003/usdjpyh4lg5.gif
As supposed, the pair formed a “head & shoulders” shape, the neck line was broken and now the pair’s target is 113.48. But then again let’s take a look over other main pairs and not to be so sure, that this shape will work properly. If the neck line will be broken top-down (110.85), the pair will have a great chance to drop at 108.23.
http://img223.imageshack.us/img223/7824/usdjpyh4lx2.gif
http://img70.imageshack.us/img70/9892/usdjpyd1by3.gif