一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:02

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:03

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:04

If stochastic rolls over...

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:05

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:06

This is a good example of how trading without stops can actually benefit you. In most cases, using the opposing Keltner band as an exit target will give you a profit or, at worst, a reasonable stop exit. Even if the market drops below what most people would set as a stop loss, it usually rebounds to give you a better Keltner exit. Balancing against this are the few days when the market breaks out of the range and the Keltner exit is not triggered before a 10~20 point loss. These days MUST be figured in to your calculations for which stop method you prefer to use.

This shows the current correction as a standard Fibonacci .382 retrace. As you can see, there is good support at the .382 retracement level of 844...

Notice the market has gapped down...

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:07

This shows the Market Profile VPC from May 18 at 818.20.
Note also a secondary pennant at 821.10, which is the current support in the market.

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:07

Note how prices touched 827 on Friday. That was the Seed Wave target
(see second chart below).

Fibonacci Seed Wave

This chart shows the Fibonacci Wave 3 target based upon the initial push up on May 16. The target for the third wave is typically 1.382~1.618x the top of the first wave, as shown here. Also, typically the size of the third wave is equal to the size of the first wave - though this is less important.

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:08

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:09

Add on to previous trade if already short...

The 822.90 POC that was traded through on May 1 may offer reasonable resistance
because the market dropped through so quickly. If you are looking for al ong in this area,
822.90 might be a good place. Otherwise, look for 814.60 for longs and 835.7 for shorts...

Market gapped below 833.30 VPC so NTR is revised accordingly...

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:09

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:10

ER triggered long during the overnight trading session, so the
current long signal at market open would be invalidated.
Actually it is entirely at the trader's discretion. Most important to be
consistent with your trading rules.

short signal approaching @ vpc

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:11

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:11

Fibonacci Wave3 target hit; possible extension to Wave5? Target would be
2.23~2.62x the size of the original seed wave.

hefeiddd · 发表于 2008-4-20 07:12

Here you have several choices. After the trade moves in your direction but not sufficiently enough to trigger an exit, then moves back towards the original entry point, you can take a break-even stop. Another option is to simply hold and wait for a keltner exit signal. If another long is triggered in the meantime, as shown below, you could add to the existing trade. These are just choices. They are entirely up to you.