搜索
楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

  [复制链接]
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present







And I'll close this week out with a bizarre 4+ minutes with Bill Gates and Jerry Seinfeld, which was just released this week. Actually, I think it's pretty funny. Adios!


Posted: 06:16 上午 | No comments! Be the first! | Permalink
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:20 | 显示全部楼层
九月 08, 2008 - 10:22 上午I Was Stupid to Go Long the Ags and EnergyI had said the macro trend was that ags were going to be the last bull market to collapse. I should have stuck with that. Instead, I paid too much heed to what I thought was a EUR/USD bottoming out and its potential effect. I lost some money trying to be bullish on ags and energy. Some of these have been battered a lot already, but I think there could be lots more to fall.

    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present









Posted: 10:22 上午 | No comments! Be the first! | Permalink
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:21 | 显示全部楼层
九月 02, 2008 - 03:31 下午Utter Rally FailureToday went very well. I was somewhat concerned before the market opened, because the buying public seems to have swallowed the notion "oil down=equities up" hook, line, and sinker. The Dow blasted higher, soaring over 200 points as oil and gold got pummeled.
It didn't take me long to realize I was going to be OK. About an hour into the trading day, the Dow was still up 170 points, but my portfolio was up handsomely. It is a very, very good sign for a bear to have a lot of green in the portfolio in the face of 170 points up on the Dow. So, naturally, when the Dow actually lost every single point of its gain and went into the red. my portfolio went from green to mega-green. It was an awesome day.
I've been talking about the Euro's fall for weeks now. Maybe we're in for a pause at around the 1.44 level.


    Original
  • Present







The broken trendline, first pierced in mid-August, is proving to be critically important. As good as today was, things are going to get sensational until we can break this series of higher lows.


    Original
  • Present







The "watched pot" of $UTIL isn't boiling yet, but it's getting there. I love this chart!
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:22 | 显示全部楼层
The "watched pot" of $UTIL isn't boiling yet, but it's getting there. I love this chart!


    Original
  • Present







Check out the honkin' big bearish engulfing pattern on the $COMPQ. It is noteworthy that there is no similar series of higher lows here - - - today marked the lowest price in weeks.


    Original
  • Present







As for how much farther gold will keep falling, that's hard for me to say; looking at $XAU, it was almost too easy calling for a plunge when it was at $155 last week. Judging by these lines, another $10 down looks very likely.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:23 | 显示全部楼层
As for how much farther gold will keep falling, that's hard for me to say; looking at $XAU, it was almost too easy calling for a plunge when it was at $155 last week. Judging by these lines, another $10 down looks very likely.


    Original
  • Present







OIH is somewhat easier to judge. I am going to hold on to these puts until about the $165 level.


    Original
  • Present







I offer the following charts without additional commentary; they represent to me my favorites among my holdings right now.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:23 | 显示全部楼层
I offer the following charts without additional commentary; they represent to me my favorites among my holdings right now.


    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present









    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:25 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:26 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:27 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:27 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:29 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present







The only really big economic news this week is going to be Friday morning's employment report. For me, the good news is that the plunge in oil prices excited the bulls, but it let them down. This is the kind of market we need in order to push lower - - - providing, literally, a slope of hope.

Posted: 03:31 下午 | No comments! Be the first! | Permalink
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:30 | 显示全部楼层
八月 25, 2008 - 01:59 下午Then I Woke UpIn this weekend's  I wrote, "Zooming in to the intraday level, however, you can see how technically perfect all this price action has been. An ascending wedge, a break, and a perfect retracement to the underside. I would be very, very surprised (and disappointed) if we didn't see a down day on Monday."
Well, I was neither surprised nor disappointed. I got the "one-two punch" I was hoping for............a drop across the board in oil, gold, and equities. The notion that these are inversely correlated is, in my opinion, total nonsense, and I am positioned as such. Today's 241 point drop on the Dow was welcome, and the last three days of this week are packed with important economic reports.
Observant readers may notice that my  have dropped from something like 95% to 77%. The reason for this is that we've changed how this is calculated. Last week, a reader pointed out what he felt was a mathematical flaw in the calculation; I agreed, and I asked an engineer to correct it. This has been corrected, but still, the figures shown are not bad! Please keep in mind my about this figure, no matter what it says.
Today I'm simply going to show you my favorite current positions. I've got a total of 109 - - yes, 109! - - positions, every single one of them bearish. But here are my jumping-up-and-down favorite ones.........

    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present



金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:32 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:32 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:34 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:35 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:36 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:38 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-29 16:40 | 显示全部楼层
    Original
  • Present








    Original
  • Present








Posted: 01:59 下午 | No comments! Be the first! | Permalink
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 立即注册

本版积分规则

本站声明:MACD仅提供交流平台,请交流人员遵守法律法规。
值班电话:18209240771   微信:35550268

举报|意见反馈|手机版|MACD俱乐部

GMT+8, 2025-8-6 01:32 , Processed in 0.043779 second(s), 9 queries , MemCached On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

© 2001-2017 Comsenz Inc.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表