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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:34 | 显示全部楼层
Tuesday, May 10th

FDG FRACTAL RECAP




TZOO is on a Fractal Watch for Now only Not a buy yet


1:42 pm



12:25 pm




ELN UPDATE
Also -I don't believe ELN has topped out yet.  I think it finished a 3 and
now is in 4 with a 5 to go.  1 up was @1.60 and if 5 at leat equals 1 then
form where it is trading today (6.20 area) then it will get to the 7.50 to
8.50 range - which by the way is where your fractal suggests it should go.




9:23 am Update

I'll be out of the office this morning , will return at 12:00 pm

SUBSCRIBERS:
PLEASE CHECK YOUR EMAIL TODAY.
I'LL BE CHANGING THE PASSWORDS FOR THE SITE ....... TRIAL SUBSCRIBERS WILL NEED TO SIGN UP WITH PAYPAL   (Click Here  Investment Services )  TO CONTINUE TO RECEIVE ACCESS TO THE SITE. THANKS

In addition, due to subscriber's request, I plan on expanding the number of stocks for the Stock Fractal Service.

It seems to be very popular and a good learning experience for investors. There are literally hundreds of opportunities available every day in all the financial markets.

There will also be plans to include both "short term" and "intermediate term" stock fractals ---- for the longer term investor .........

I do receive alot of email on particular stocks from visitors. Due to time restraints it is not always possible for me to answer or analyze a particular stock setup. So I decided to offer another service for subscribers to address newly found structures in a stock:

A fractal hotline will be implemented shortly via a chat room where subscribers can ask questions on a stock fractal. I'll supply more information shortly on the web site. The pricing scale will be nominal --- perhaps $20.00 per 5 minutes that includes charts and an opinion for the direction of a path for a stock.

An institutional service will also be offered for fund managers and institutional clients. More information will be coming shortly on this premium service.

HANK

Chart of PCLN - noticed after hours activity.   - go to 4-27 and follow it 4-29
bottom - then see it iterate to 5-9.  After hours it fell to 24.70 area
which fits the fractal.  It should bounce to 26.25 area and then retest 25
area before it bottoms and then moves higher.  

I'm updating TASER today ......... nothing wrong with taking a profit .... or 50/50
This rise will bring a Top that should continue the Intermediate decline for the stock  .. that's my view
It did have a 15% rise ........... that does not happen to often ,,,,
There are so many other stocks one can look at ...........




4:00 pm Update

Look at TASR - hitting on all cylinders.  UP 15.78 %
ET UP 6.5 % today !




Also -I don't believe ELN has topped out yet.  I think it finished a 3 and
now is in 4 with a 5 to go.  1 up was @1.60 and if 5 at leat equals 1 then
form where it is trading today (6.20 area) then it will get to the 7.50 to
8.50 range - which by the way is where your fractal suggests it should go.




Finally -for now - I think FDG is headed to the 78 area.  


ET now up 6.37 %   11:49 am Update


Newer subscribers should review the index archive for the fractal path on TZOO
It appears there may be a Upward correction --- rally for the stock

10:53 am update
ET  UP 5 % this morning !
Look at the below Fractal chart  on ET Financial --- amazing ...
The chart was posted over the weekend for subscribers ....



10:36 am Update

TASER up 4 % again this morning .............. still rallying from its F4 trigger for higher prices !

GOOGLE is getting toppy here
The below chart is the Base Fractal


The week's big earnings
Monday: Priceline.com (Research) is expected to report earnings of 20 cents per share, according to a consensus of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial/First Call. That's up from the 11 cents the company earned a year ago. (Is it a buy, sell or hold?)

Tuesday: Cisco Systems (Research) is expected to have earned 22 cents per share, up from 19 cents a year ago.

Wednesday: Walt Disney (Research) likely earned 31 cents per share, according to forecasts, versus 26 cents per share a year ago.

Thursday: Target (Research) is expected to have earned 53 cents per share, up from 48 cents a year ago;

Wal-Mart Stores (Research) is expected to have earned 56 cents per share, six cents more than a year ago;

Dell (Research) is expected to report earnings of 37 cents per share, versus 28 cents a year ago.

Intermediate Fractal Model for E Trade ---------------  A trigger at F6








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All content, graphics and publications on this site are protected by U.S. copyright and international treaties and may not be copied without the written express permission of Trading Amazing Elliott Wave Fractals, which reserves all rights. Re-distribution of any of TAEWF's content and graphics for any purpose is strictly prohibited. The materials from the TAEWF's site are available for informational uses only, provided the content and/or graphics are not modified in any way, all copyright and other notices on any copy are retained, and written permission is granted by TAEWF..
As financial markets are subject to many influences and fluctuate due to many factors, no guarantees are made as to the accuracy of the information presented or distributed.  The operator of this site is not responsible for the manner in which the information is used by subscribers or readers.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:35 | 显示全部楼层
Stock Fractal Models for the Week of May 16th
"Fractals do indeed work" ........  Tom   ( A Long-Term Subscriber )

Monday, May 23rd


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:36 | 显示全部楼层
Stock Fractal Models for the Week of May 23rd
"Fractals do indeed work" ........  Tom   ( A Long-Term Subscriber )

Friday, May 27th

FDG may present a good shorting opportunity and a then a good buy
based on fractal chart  -if it continues the path.




Generally speaking - it would appear that thin volume due to the holidays
(big players are gone for the holidays - probably till Tuesday 5-31)  and
holding on to the big profits made in April and May till the end of the
month fits the Bradley turn date +/- a day for a good quick correction into
the 6-10 date.  Allso if King Fahd dies over the weekend investors are going
to be spooked until the status quo can be assured. It all fits.  It will be
interesting to watch the next couple of trading days.

EGHT





ALTI also spiked this morning.  Look at fractal which also had a spike.



GOOG should make its high this a.m  - shortly- it is so far
following the fractal.  Short term target should be 236 area which is 20 day
ma and also fits fractal.  It should pause around 248 the final leg down.






Thursday, May 26th
The reason for less charts lately is the lack of clarity for general stocks.


PCLN hits its target of $25.00


Wednesday, May 25th
No Posts

Tuesday, May 24th


11:07 am
TZOO Up again  1.30 % today ... now it stands above $34.00

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:36 | 显示全部楼层
Monday, May 23rd
2:08 pm Update

A subscriber asked me to look at TZOO for a possible breakout

TZOO is UP 10.60 % today .........   Now it is $34.11
Its Fractal Unfolds  !  WOW


9:33 am

Nature as we see it, is not a smooth world filled with objects such as boxes, spheres and circles. These objects do not appear anywhere in nature ---- they are all man made and NOT nature made. The world in which we live in is not smooth edged such as a line.  
The geometry of Euclid describes ideal shapes ....
What has been missing is a method to describe the shapes and objects of the real world ...... there are only non-uniform and rough shapes in the universe.
Fractal Geometry is the geometry that is used to define the irregular shapes in nature.
For example a tree is not smooth --- rather very irregular. It is not a box, sphere, cube or a line ..... it is very rough.
The stock is also very rough and not smooth ........ it has no box, sphere, cube or line characteristics.
-------- The Lines are Man Made ------ This is where traditional technical analysis fails for the investor
Instead of using traditional geometry e.g., plotting circles, lines, boxes etc, one must look into fractal geometry for the hidden order of the markets. The order can be found in the fractals.
As demonstrated through this web site .......... clearly defined fractals offer a more sane approach toward investing. You can actually --- visually see the fractals unfold ------ on any time frame.
Since fractals are infinite in detail and length ...... traditional linear analysis is not suited for plotting and forecasting the  next top or bottom for any financial market ......... Example --- The Elliott Wave Principle ....... although any system will be successful 50% of the time ......
Look at a typical chart of a stock ..... it is ragged and not smooth ....hence one can not define for example the rate of change for any parameter ,,,,,,, it is not possible .....
Numbers are no help either ...... one starts with a real number ...then go to integers .... then to rationals and then complex numbers ...............



Stock Fractal Models for the Week of May 16th

Friday, May 20th
1:45 pm
I'll be posting charts this evening .......




Thursday May 19th

VLO Update fails at F6 ------ will test 58 --- for a a lower F7


1:00 pm Update





FDG Update:
I'll post another chart on FDG shortly
Appears to be a retracement and then back up again .... could this kill the markets this summer with higher
oil and gas prices ?   It may fit the scenario for a top for the DOW
The $75.00 level was reached with accuracy .......

THE NEXT PATH




Wednesday, May 18th
12:41 pm
I'm reconfiguring my servers today, so the charts will be postponed until tonight
I'll also be posting a special updated fractal analysis on the markets tonight. It appears that the landscape is changing ...
Hank





Tuesday, May 17th

Taser is done for its run ...
TZOO may be heading down again ...
GOOGLE is still holding from its high


1:46 pm Update

VLO bounced today Exactly at F5 ! view the chart from yesterday



11:23 am





Monday, May 16th
I'm experiencing technical difficulties uploading this morning .... charts may be
limited today until this is resolved ......

EGHT went a bit above the short term target of 1.60+ area  today and if the
fractal holds it should slide back down to the 1.45 area before it makes
it's major move up.

GOOG is following the fractals -should be another day
or two at the most before it heads down.









FDG Update down 5.23 % again today .... reached $75.00 target !




Next week's big earnings
Lowe's (Research) is expected to report fiscal first-quarter earnings of 76 cents per share Monday, according to a consensus of analysts surveyed by First Call. The home improvement retailer earned 57 cents a year earlier.
Lowe's rival Home Depot (Research) is seem posting income of 55 cents per share Tuesday, three cents more than a year earlier.
J.C. Penney (Research) also reports Tuesday, and is expected to have earned 61 cents per share, up from 38 cents a year earlier;
fellow retailer Staples (Research) is forecast to have income of 20 cents per share, three cents more than a year earlier.
Applied Materials (Research) reports fiscal second-quarter results after the close Tuesday and is expected to have put up profit of 17 cents per share, five cents less than the prior-year period.
Hewlett-Packard (Research) report its second-quarter results Tuesday evening and is expected to have earned 36 cents per share, two cents more than in the year-earlier period.
Gap (Research) reports Thursday evening. Its profit is seen tumbling to 30 cents a share, four cents less than the prior-year period.






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All content, graphics and publications on this site are protected by U.S. copyright and international treaties and may not be copied without the written express permission of Trading Amazing Elliott Wave Fractals, which reserves all rights. Re-distribution of any of TAEWF's content and graphics for any purpose is strictly prohibited. The materials from the TAEWF's site are available for informational uses only, provided the content and/or graphics are not modified in any way, all copyright and other notices on any copy are retained, and written permission is granted by TAEWF..
As financial markets are subject to many influences and fluctuate due to many factors, no guarantees are made as to the accuracy of the information presented or distributed.  The operator of this site is not responsible for the manner in which the information is used by subscribers or readers.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:37 | 显示全部楼层
Friday, June 10th




10:43 am Update
ENER Up 4 % this morning




A couple of perspectives on GOOG.  Everything seems to fit so far.  There is
a gap at 265 which is roughly where the 20 day moving average will be soon.  
It has bounced so far at every trendline.  See the chart.  Also if GOOG
completed A or 1 down yesterday, then it is in B with C to come.  If C =A
then the target is the gap area or even a little lower.  It is possible that
GOOG is in 4 of 1 down with 5 to go before a 2 begins.  This scenario would
be a longer term one with the possibility of  move down beyond the gap to
touch the 50 day ma.  The 20 and 50 day mas have held GOOG up nicely and
given its ability to generate revenue increases each quarter will likely
continue to do so.  The only way GOOG breaksdown is if it misses or just
meets the analysts numbers.

Also, the COMPX, NDX etc may have not hit F6 just yet.  I'm still looking
for 2020-2040 for a bottom for the COMPX.  Options expiration (triple
witching too) is next week and may create the dynamics to trade somewhat
lower.





Thursday June 9th

ENER UP 2.29 %   2:32pm Update

ENER is still in the fractal limits - the low that needs to hold is  16.25.  
The next day or two will tell.

FDG is moving down nicely but not sure where the buy area is.

ELN is on track to get to the $4-5 area, but it may still take a while. I'm
looking at a shorter term fractal that if it unfolds would get it down to
the buy area.

GOOG finally changed direction.  Down big the past 2 days.  I have seen
something in the GOOG chart that seems to be unfolding in this correction.  
The next day or two will tell me for sure.  If I'm correct then GOOG will
present either a good long buy at its 20 day moving average  or a good
short.

Wednesday, June 8th


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:38 | 显示全部楼层
Tuesday, June 7th

Although the chart below is not scaled, the same fractal
appears 3 times .....



Amazing ...













Monday, June 6th



Sun Update



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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:39 | 显示全部楼层
Friday, June 3rd






Amazon has not become clear yet ...


I view Sun as Bearish ..... it's in another iteration for lower prices ....






Wednesday June 1st



Tuesday, May 31st

Two Point Drop for Rimm

TZOO is reaching its target (36) from its base fractal.

It appears there may be a turn here ....


I'm watching FDG ...... for another turn down ........





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All content, graphics and publications on this site are protected by U.S. copyright and international treaties and may not be copied without the written express permission of Trading Amazing Elliott Wave Fractals, which reserves all rights. Re-distribution of any of TAEWF's content and graphics for any purpose is strictly prohibited. The materials from the TAEWF's site are available for informational uses only, provided the content and/or graphics are not modified in any way, all copyright and other notices on any copy are retained, and written permission is granted by TAEWF..
As financial markets are subject to many influences and fluctuate due to many factors, no guarantees are made as to the accuracy of the information presented or distributed.  The operator of this site is not responsible for the manner in which the information is used by subscribers or readers.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:40 | 显示全部楼层
Monday, June 27th











Looks like Tzoo is headed back down to 31.50 area?  Looks like the move from
the high mirrors the first move and correction off the bottom?


TZOO down 2% still falling from 38


ENER is up 6.91 % today !


Amazingly  GOOGLE is advancing today (up 3 points)  ....... looks like a final swing up for Top




AGEN has reached its buy area this morning.  It should base here before any
move up.  5.20 should be the stop - it's just below the most recent low.




Thursday June 23rd












On GOOG I was looking for a decline and a test of the highs
Then the stock may be prime for the Trade of the Year if it
remains within the defined fractal boundaries !






EYET and BGO Update Today
RIMM Update  ..... Up 10 points from its trigger at 71 several weeks ago



A Trader's Paradise   AGEN

This fractal would allow a trader to buy and sell multiple times over the
course of a month or so.  It is low priced enough to trade larger positions
to make up for the sideways action in the early stages  of the fractal
expansion.

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:41 | 显示全部楼层
Wednesday, June 22nd

RIMM up 7.02 % UP 5 points @ 79 +

Listen to the Interview on Ike's show about my projection for RIMM
2:34pm Update


12:29 pm Update

RIMM Update WOW !


Hank - Bought 250 shares  of RIMM at 76 - sold at 78 in less than 45 min.

Tom

congratulations of RIMM..thats TZOO..GOOG...ENER..and now RIMM ...now. I have once in a while posted in Mark Young's room..http://www.traders-talk.com...complimenting some  (only a few) services that i like....Mark Young is a good friend of Ike...i would like to compliment you in that room.. MIKE

Great call on RIMM I sold a little early!  Rick

Look at EYET  -  it started its move up - set to open higher again this
morning.  So far it is acting like ENER - a move up - rest a bit -move
up again, etc


Tuesday, June 21st
ENER Update









Monday June 20th

There is a very similar pattern unfolding for GOOG with that of 2-2 to 2-4
of this year. you zoom and expand those 2 days you will see what I am seeing. Check it out . It may be nothing  -but if GOOG holds 276 Monday  then it is possible.  The other scenario is a
repeat of the 1-2 to 1-24 chart where GOOG hugged its 20 day ma right back
up to test and break by a few $ its most recent high.  Bottom line:  If GOOG
does'n break down on Monday or Tuesday at the latest I think that GOOG
retests its high of 300.


ENER has been unbelievable - 16.25 to almost 20 in 7 trading days for a 23%
gain.  Annualize that return   Traders don't need many trades like this to make a lot of money during the course of a year.  Just add up the gains this year alone with the fractal charts of TASR
ELN TZOO RIMM FDG SIRI RHAT PCLN  and EGHT and it could have made some
traders rich.





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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:41 | 显示全部楼层
Friday, June 17th

ENER is touching 20 today ............ time for some profit taking


TZOO falling like a rock from my target at 38 + as expected !



Support here is near 70 with a target of 78 +
71 was the entry point





Thursday, June 16th
1:15 pm Update

RIMM is up 2.82 % on its fractal trigger today !



ENER is up again today  .......  4.12 % on its fractal model !



GOOG is still struggling .........



TZOO retreats from 38.00
Here's the Base Fractal Point Set that maps the current path for TZOO --- perfect





TASR is testing the 10.50 support for a potential decline


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:42 | 显示全部楼层
Wednesday, June 15th
1:15 pm Update

TZOO Update up 6.27 %  like a rocket !
Thank you Sally a subscriber who asked me to look at TZOO weeks ago
GOOG down almost 8  Points today !

12:39 pm Update

AGEN is still within the fractal limits  -the next day or so will confirm.  
If it holds near the low today of 5.35 then it will be a buy.

GOOG is following the most recent fractal chart - it should hit 265 (where
the gap is) and trade siedways to up for a while then make a final dip to
@260.  That would complete the fractal.




10:22 am Update

Stop at 71 for RIMM at its fractal point for protection
ENER reaches its target at 18 +
GOOG down 6 points today as suggested by its fractal
TZOO reaches my target today UP 3.81 %



AGEN


Tuesday, June 14th

Update 10:01 am

ENER is up 2.94 % again this morning
GOOG is deciding to go lower ....... for a dip down

Today I have a large influx of new subscribers that I will
have to manage the usernames and passwords. Consequently
I may not be able to post charts for today, since I run the entire
web site by myself. Hopefully I will get caught up this afternoon.
Please check back at that time.

Here is the link to the MarketViews.tv interview I had with
Ike Iossif over the weekend.

For the benefit of new subscribers: The mapped path for TZOO :
The stock is up over 5% today !











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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:43 | 显示全部楼层
Monday, June 13th

A fractal count for GOOG


12:39 PM UPDATE




The Fractal Order for Break Outs !






XIDEW

LWAY




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All content, graphics and publications on this site are protected by U.S. copyright and international treaties and may not be copied without the written express permission of Trading Amazing Elliott Wave Fractals, which reserves all rights. Re-distribution of any of TAEWF's content and graphics for any purpose is strictly prohibited. The materials from the TAEWF's site are available for informational uses only, provided the content and/or graphics are not modified in any way, all copyright and other notices on any copy are retained, and written permission is granted by TAEWF..
As financial markets are subject to many influences and fluctuate due to many factors, no guarantees are made as to the accuracy of the information presented or distributed.  The operator of this site is not responsible for the manner in which the information is used by subscribers or readers.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:44 | 显示全部楼层
Saturday, July 2nd







Friday, July 1st






Note: If you have a fractal question, please post it on the fractal forums. I
then will have a chance to answer your inquiry.

During the trading session, it is just too difficult.


12:42 PM UPDATE

This could / may lead to bounce ---- an upward 2nd wave correction --- and then back down again ....
This would fit the projection for the other markets attempt to rally for another failure
Review the current SPX fractal that calls for another rally to 1200 + and then fails again
It all fits !

Again we are viewing     "Decaying Fractals"    for most stocks and indices !

Note --- 5th waves can extend and get longer ------------


GOOG is headed for its 20 day ma which today is at 288.20 - at the very
least is should rest there - and unless  the buyers step up big time  then
it may likely hit the 276 target  - that is where the next big resistance
level is.






RIMM'S BASE FRACTAL SET IS MAPPING A BOTTOM AT F5 FOR THE COPY FRACTAL POINT SET.
WAITING FOR A BOTTOM ENTRY POINT AT F5
THE TRADE SETUP IS TO WAIT FOR F5 TO ARRIVE IN THE FRACTAL
THEN PLACE A STOP AT THE LOWER END OF THE COPY FRACTAL NEAR 70
THE 70 AREA IS YOUR FRACTAL BOUNDARY.
A TRADER CAN GO LONG WITH THE STOCK OR BUY CALL OPTIONS.
THIS IS YOUR MAP FOR A TRADE ON THE STOCK.



THESE ARE THE FRACTAL RULES :

IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A "MAP"   -----------  YOU DON'T DO A TRADE.
IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A "MAP"   -------  YOU DO NOT INVEST.



YOU "NEED THE FRACTAL POINTS" SETS FOR PARAMETERS ON ENTRY AND EXIT POINTS ......
DON'T INVEST BLINDLY   -------- OR WITHOUT A SYSTEM --- OTHERWISE YOU WILL LOSE MONEY



As of today 287.50.  But the 50 day ma is at @258 today.  In a few days it
will be in the 260-265 range.  So, please remember that GOOG has dropped
through its 20 day ma before - depending on volume.

It is possible that at the 20 day  ma GOOG will basically go sideways before another decline.  Selling volume
will be the key.  If its heavy then there won't be much of a bounce.  I guess it will be important to watch this fractal unfold.
Thursday, June 30th

RIMM is unfolding perfectly so far off the low this morning - a sharp steady
bounce to up near the  $5.50 area.  Now there should be another decline to
the 71-72 area before the move up.


Rimm hit the buy target this a.m.     Should bounce some then retest low
again at which point it should be a buy with a stop at 70.25 to 70.50

goog is in 4 with 5 to come.  I agree - with the likely
target being the 20 day ma - which has supported GOOG up till now.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:45 | 显示全部楼层
goog is in 4 with 5 to come.  I agree - with the likely
target being the 20 day ma - which has supported GOOG up till now.




Google appears to have finished a 4th upward correction today on the daily fractal charts. It's decline should continue into a final 5th wave down .......



I would like to point today out the big drop this morning for RIMM , that the fractal model accurately projected
We are very close to an entry point to go Long









The      "Principle of Recursive Similarity"    and   Fractal Scaling    pointed to the Top for Google
It can be seen on the yearly charts and on the weekly charts !





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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:45 | 显示全部楼层
Wednesday June 29th

GOOGLE:  Trade of the Year Candidate !



Look at RIMM after hours.  It broke to the downside just like the
fractal suggested.  The only question remaining is will it hold the 71 area.


3:13 pm Update
Google is down over 9 points, I think I need a drink.

2:59 Pm Update

Google down 2.06 %  Ouch


2:17 pm Update

Google Collapses
Down 5.27 Points !

A 12 POINT GAIN FOR A DECLINE !





1:30 pm Update :

The Power of Fractals !

Google down 4.15 points   (1.41%)   ---- Breaks 300
WOW !
Perfect Iteration !


NEWS:
Due to the numerous requests from new subscribers for
information on the dynamics of trading with fractals, I have decided
to offer a web presentation on Saturday July15th. It will cover the basics of using
fractals for trading on any time frame. I'll show the steps of fractal identification
through the actual trade setup.

This will be offered Free of Charge to all Paid Subscribers.

Non subscribers will need to register and pay a nominal fee for the session.

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11:21 am Update:



RIMM going to the Moon ????

INTERMEDIATE FRACTAL PROJECTION BASED ON RIMM'S PAST FRACTAL BEHAVIOR IS POINTING TO HIGHER PRICES.
THROUGH THE CREATION OF A FRACTAL POINT SET FROM A BASE FRACTAL ----- THE DARKER BLUE BOX ON THE BELOW CHART ------ A FRACTAL PROJECTION IS THEN CREATED FOR A FUTURE PATH.
ONE CAN ZOOM IN ON THE BASE AND ALIGN THE TURNING POINTS WITH ACCURACY FOR THE FUTURE. THIS METHOD IS CALLING FRACTAL SCALING.
ALL FRACTAL BEHAVIOR ITERATES AND EXPANDS

IN FACT, ANY POINT ALONG THE CHART ONE CAN SCALE A FRACTAL.
WHEN THE STOCK REACHES A PROJECTED POINT SET, THAT BECOMES A CONFIRMATION FOR ACTION.
A BASE FRACTAL FROM A STOCK CAN ALSO MAP THE MARKET. FOR EXAMPLE, IF RIMM FOLLOWS THIS BELOW MODEL, A PULLBACK IS EXPECTED THEN AN EXTENDED RALLY TO NEW HIGHS. THE NDX AND NASDAQ SEEM TO BE FOLLOWING THE SAME PROJECTION. THIS BEHAVIOR ALSO FITS THE STRUCTURE FOR GOOGLE.








Bingo !

Great Call on XMI.  Almost jumped at the 1075 puts at 4...should have
done that.  My story has always been full of "if" and "should."

Noticed you very correctly recommended GOOG longs to exit at 308.  I
notice Cramer is calling for 350.  Are the fractals ready to issue a
short based on today's reversal?

Also, what do you mean by SHORT OF THE YEAR for GOOG...u looking at
100-150 points tankage in it this year?

thnx much   ..................F
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:46 | 显示全部楼层
hank I shorted goog at 308

thanks

Rick


USE THE FRACTAL POINTS SETS ( F5 ) AS A STOP FOR PROTECTION <----------------------  !



Tuesday June 28th

NEWS:
Together with Aegean Capital Group Inc., a model portfolio will be
created and monitored to gauge the fractal performance for both
stocks and indices.

Specific entry and exit points will be displayed for subscribers on this web site.
Profits and Losses will be recorded for all fractal trades for a  period of 6 months.

We are very excited to offer this service to subscribers.
More details will be announced shortly.






10:54 am Update ..




Google hit my target (305-308) , I would take profits here today ...

Studying a short entry point .....   NOT YET !

hank,

I sold my goog yesterday had calls and made 4k. I am not looking to squeeze every penny when using options in this market. i am happy camper! now where do we short goog? the fractal that you showed us it would head south at about 308. is this our roll over target?

thanks

rick




Hank - Let me know when you think GOOG has topped out.  I have some longs
and I want to sell.  While I have an idea where we are on the fractal you
have on the site - I'm not sure enough.  Given today's sharp rise I would
say we are near the top, but it just seems to have so much momentum that I
want an extra set of eyes to help me exit.    I know we both called for
305-308 - but do you think that will be the area based on the ratios or
proportions of this rise vs. the base fractal?
I'm studying the charts now ......




Monday, June 27th

Fractal Watch on :
BZH, LEN, RYL

LEN was brought to my attention ........... a little late here but we can watch it for a breakout
Notice f1 to f3 is a mirror of F1 to F3 !  When you scale the 2 fractals they fit for an entry point





The RIMM fractal again pointed to a decline near 78
Today it is at 75 and going lower


TZOO is at 33 ..... fell from the 38 target as projected


ENER touching 23
Google climbing to 300 +

DEFINING ORDER IN CHAOS
Fractal 1 and Fractal 2 both share the same point sets ......
Fractal 2 expands from Fractal 1.
One uses the fractal point set from the base fractal to determine
the form of the expanded fractal.

This the method for determining order ( tops and bottoms ) for stocks.

THE TIME AND STRUCTURE DIMENSION IS ALWAYS DIFFERENT BUT SIMILAR.
THOUGH NOT IDENTICAL !  THIS IS THE KEY FOR TRADING SUCCESS.


All stocks are NOT smooth (linear) but rather pointed ....... they are
similar in form to the above curve chart.

BOTH stocks and markets exhibit this property, hence one can easily
use a stock path to map a market path ......










Looks like Tzoo is headed back down to 31.50 area.  Looks like the move from
the high mirrors the first move and correction off the bottom


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:49 | 显示全部楼层
Monday, July 18th


I will be interviewed by Ike Iossif and Friends this Saturday July 16th at 1:00 PM EST
The market dynamics for the past month will be discussed and what I
believe will happen during the rest of the summer for the financial markets.
The transcript will be posted on my web site http://www.elliottfractals.com and with
http://www.MarketViews.tv
Fractal Cycles are still pointing to a high and holding for Google


AAPL is at a critical juncture based on the fractal being followed - it is
at the point where it either rolls over for a further decline or it moves to
new highs - should know more this afternoon or Monday.

RIMM is still unfolding accrding to plan today.

Stopped out at F2 on MCD this morning for an entry point
a No Fill
No Damage done
This is the purpose of the fractal point set !




This is Your Base Fractal Point Set for MCD
It maps the path for the stock .......
Notice the Points f1 to f9    <<<<<<<<
One uses the points for entry and exit trades <<<<<<<<<<
Simply overlap and scale the base fractal against the copy fractal.
When this fractal construction is completed, you then have a map.
Today the stock is near f6 ----- that aligns with the $30.00 on the copy fractal.

WHEN I POST MY CHARTS "WITHOUT" THE FRACTAL POINT SET :
THIS MEANS I AM SIMPLY OBSERVING AND WATCHING A FRACTAL
TO DEVELOP  ------- YOU TAKE NO ACTION ON THE CHART ------

ONE CAN VIEW THIS TECHNIQUE AS A PROBLEM-BASED APPROACH
TOWARDS IDENTIFYING A SIMILARITY WITH THE FRACTAL ......

WHEN I LABEL THE FRACTAL POINT SETS ON A CHART E.G.,
A F1 TO F8  <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<  THESE POINTS BECOME ACTIONABLE:
YOU USE THE POINTS TO DETERMINE WHEN TO GO LONG AND WHEN TO SELL A POSITION -----------

THE FRACTAL PRINCIPLES OFFER TO THE INVESTOR OR  TRADER
A SANE, SYSTEMATIC AND LOGICAL APPROACH TO THE FINANCIAL
MARKETS.

THIS IS A INVESTMENT AND TRADING FRACTAL SYSTEM

AS WITH ANY SYSTEM IT WILL TAKE TIME TO LEARN AND TO
DEVELOP THE SKILLS NEEDED TO BECOME SUCCESSFUL.

YOU WILL NOT ACQUIRE THE EXPERTISE IN A WEEK OR TWO
IT TAKES TIME AND PRACTICE AND LOTS OF HOMEWORK.
THE BASE FRACTAL :

THE COPY FRACTAL:












Tomorrow is option day ................... it's going to be crazy ........... sit on the bench for Friday

Google is NOT clear , but it did make a small top for lower prices ,







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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:50 | 显示全部楼层
Thursday, July 14th

Trigger on Rimm UP 3.65% this afternoon !


3:09 pm Update on Google  

We watched 2.5X the top travel to 2.X the bottom and then rally to 1.6X for a top
The fractal time sequence cycle equation helps one to identify turning points

It is only a tool that Must be Used in conjunction with fractal point sets
But as you can see on the bottom chart it was quite accurate during the week.

Here is the formula :

X/2.5X/2X/1.6X-1.5X
X can represent : minutes, hours, days, weeks, months or years.





think there's good chance AAPL will bounce in the 40.50 area.  Just a
hunch.  If correct then it will test the high of today.

RIMM is right on target - should test 72.50 - 72.75 area at least - before a
possible correction before the bigger move up.

Generally though, Today might have been the 7-13 Bradley date + or - a day
and all that.  Seems to me that the markets have already priced in most of
the good earnings expectations already.  Markets are acting weak this
afternoon. Tomorrow is the end of options exp. and there may be a
consolidation/correction minor one probably) for several days.  Breadth is
negative which means the big cap stocks are the ones moving today and it
makes sense that there would be a breather for news to catch up to the
markets.  Finally, oil has dropped quite a bit so there is a whole lot of
good news to digest already.


This appears to be a small short term top for Google at 1.6X
The fractal is NOT clear at this point for any action



Fractal Watch on Sears Holding  -------- I am just observing with no recommendation yet on the stock


I'll add a better chart on Sears Holdings Corp



Rimm is making a good bottom here at 70   ---- One can buy here with a STOP at 70


Apple was posted last night , too late to jump in ........



One can use this as an entry point ............. for a 40 target ..... if pullback does not occur

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:50 | 显示全部楼层
Wednesday, July 13th
12:49 pm Update

From a Subscriber this Morning , thank you ... Hank

FYI and Thank You

I bought 4000 shares of EGHT last week at $1.49 sold Monday at $2.04.   Keeps
those cards and letters rolling....

B

$2,200.00 Profit on an Amazing Fractal Trade





11:57 am Update
Google made a bottom at 2X (exactly) --- meaning a rally for the next 5 days IF it breaks the 300 level ........





In terms of the Email Updates (been swamped in the last few weeks) they are now working and will be sent out whenever a clear opportunity arrives in a fractal. One was set this morning. If you did not get it, then you need to register by clicking on the email update image on the home page.

The chart below is an excellent "example" of the fractal time cycle. You'll notice these cycles which will be noted in future charts on the site.
Simply stated: fractals follow the pattern of X/2.5X/2X in relation to time.
On WPTE the advancing fractal was 5 days in duration (X) and then it decayed into 12.5 days (2.5X). The next cycle to be expected is another 10 days (2X).





Tuesday, July 12th

10:54 am Update


Trigger at 9.8 ..... Up over 4 %


RIMM is building a Base here at 70 ------  The STOP is 70 to go Long


The Fractal Time Sequence is projecting lower prices into 2X (Wednesday).
Notice how exact the tops are at X/2.5X




Monday, July 11th

RIMM is building a Base here at 70 ------  The STOP is 70 to go Long




1:10 PM Update ......
Google down over 4.97 points now



Caution :
Bearish Google is down over 2 points while the NASDAQ is up over 20 points !


The Fractal Cycles are pointing to a change trend this week .... so I would
capture the some profits on these stocks ...


11:59 AM UPDATE ON TZOO:  Up 6.24 %
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 15:51 | 显示全部楼层
THE TZOO FRACTAL UNFOLDS PERFECTLY !






The Power of Stock Fractals :



WOW
10:53 am Update .... EGHT Rockets Higher ......  UP 10.70 % ... UP TWO  POINTS



10:25 am Update

Google Update ........ it appears a 3rd wave down should start soon ....... if the
Fractal Cycles and Bradley Turn Dates kick in on Wednesday --- then a nice correction.
It's fractal has been Unfolding almost perfectly !

TZOO looks like it wants to go higher UP 2.57 % today --- Trigger at F3
Perfect ...


Rimm is getting close to a buy ..... not yet

Google is now down 2.33 points ---- a good sign for lower prices


A Decay Fractal should develop next for Google at 2X


10:01 am Update on EGHT


THE POWER OF FRACTALS !

The EGHT Fractal Model was posted on Thursday ...........
The Buy area was recommended near the 1.4 area ------ view the base fractal chart below that identifies the entry point

On Friday this Stock Trade yielded an
Amazing  19.87% Gain IN ONE DAY !


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