搜索
楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

  [复制链接]
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:46 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Supposedly the local corrective price movement in the favor of the US dollar is drawing to an end. If this is the case this week may bring the beginning of a powerful price movement against the dollar and be rather profitable. There remains for us to wait for the confirmation of this supposition.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The whole construction that has been forming since March can be easily represented in the form of an extended horizontal correction 4 (refer to section 3.8 of my book). If the supposition is true several closing touches are needed for its completion and this week the beginning of the price rise is expected in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5). There remains for us to wait for the confirmation of this supposition.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

The price may not have enough strength to complete the second leg of the supposed zigzag 4 in the form of a full diagonal triangle [c] of 4. In this case a diagonal triangle with a truncated fifth (v) of [c] of 4 may form. Thus this week it is natural to expect the beginning of upward wave 5 in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle. There remains for us to wait for the confirmation of this supposition.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

In the area of the 108 mark there is a strong resistance level where the completion of wave C of (Y) of 4 can be expected. If this is the case several closing touches are needed for its completion and this week it is natural to expect the beginning of the price decline in the form of an impulse or diagonal triangle (wave [5]). There remains for us to wait for the confirmation of this supposition.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The whole construction that has been forming since March can be easily represented in the form of a completing double three 4 (zigzag [w], zigzag [x], flat [y]). If this is the case several ending touches are needed for its completion and this week the beginning of the price decline in the form of an impulse or diagonal triangle is expected (wave 5). There remains for us to wait for the confirmation of this supposition.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 16, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:47 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The price only swayed against the dollar so far. But the wave counting doesn’t rule out that the correction is completed and a new mid-term trend is starting. At the same time the confirmatory levels aren’t passed leaving an opportunity for further correction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Supposedly wave 4 in the form of an extended horizontal correction is completed. But is is necessary to wait for the confirmation of this. If the supposition is true the price rise in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle is expected in the near term (wave 5).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

It is possible that the price hasn’t has enough strength to complete the second leg of the supposed zigzag 4 in the form of a full diagonal triangle [c] of 4 and it has formed a diagonal triangle with truncated fifth (v) of [c] of 4. If this is the case the price rise in the form of a large impulse or a diagonal triangle is expected in the near term (wave 5). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of this.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

It isn’t ruled out that a strong resistance level in the area of the 108 mark will become an insuperable barrier for wave C of (Y) of 4. If this is the case it is natural to expect forming of downward wave [5] in the form of a large zigzag (ordinary/double/triple). There remains for us to expect the confirmation of this.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Supposedly wave 4 in the form of a double three is completed. It is necessary to wait for the confirmation of this. If this is the case the price decline in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle is expected in the near term (wave 5).
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 17, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:48 | 显示全部楼层
The beginnings of this informal holiday are found in 1988, when students and professors of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (San Francisco, USA) decided to celebrate March 14 (3.14 in American date format) as Pi Day (due to π being equal to roughly 3.14).
Robert Prechter (the president of Elliott Wave International) with his friends decided to follow this funny tradition and suggested to celebrate the holiday of wavers— Phi Day [ (pronounced «fie»)]. As Phi = ~ 0.618, it is celebrated on June 18 (6.18 in American date format). As it isn’t a secret that this very proportion and its derivatives lie at the root of the relationships of wave patterns.
On this day it would be good to remember a genius Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci , who gave strict mathematical appearance to the Golden ratio.
Let me wish you a Happy Phi Day, dear wavers!
Yours respectfully,
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 18, 2008
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Wave 4 in the form of an extended horizontal correction may be completed. But it is necessary to expect the confirmation of this. If this is the case the price rise in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle is expected in the near term (wave 5).

Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

On the both charts a strong resistance level at 1.53 can be seen, which may become an insuperable barrier for the price.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

It is possible that the price hasn’t had enough strength to complete the second leg of the supposed zigzag 4 in the form of a full diagonal triangle [c] of 4 and it has formed a diagonal triangle with a truncated fifth (v) of [c] of 4. If this is the case the price rise in the form of a large impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5) is expected in the near term. There remains to expect the confirmation of this.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

On the both charts strong resistance levels can be seen at 1.94..93, that may become an insuperable barrier for the price.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

Wave [4] may be completed. If the supposition is true it is natural to expect forming of a downward wave [5] in the form of a large zigzag (ordinary/double/triple) in the near term. There remains to expect the confirmation of this.

Figure 6. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-dt.

It isn’t ruled out that a strong resistance level at 108 will become an insuperable barrier for wave C of (Y) of 4.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Wave 4 in the form of a double three may be completed. It is necessary to expect the confirmation of this. If this is the case the price decline in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle is expected in the near term (wave 5).

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

On the both charts strong resistance levels at 1.06..05 can be seen, that may become an insuperable barrier for the price.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 18, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:49 | 显示全部楼层
The price so far has only swayed against the dollar. But the wave counting doesn’t rule out that the correction is completed and a new mid-term trend is starting. At the same time the confirmatory levels aren’t passed leaving an opportunity for continuation of the correction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Supposedly wave 4 in the form of an extended correction is completed. But so far there is no confirmation of this. If the supposition is true further price rise in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle is expected in the near term (wave 5).

Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

On the both charts we can see a strong resistance level at 1.53, wich may become an insuperable barrier for the price.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The price might have had not enough strength to complete the second leg of the supposed zigzag 4 in the form of a full diagonal triangle [c] of 4 and it has formed a diagonal triangle with a truncated fifth (v) of [c] of 4. If the supposition is true the price rise in the form of a large impulse or a diagonal triangle is expected in the near term (wave 5).
At the same time further development of downward wave (v) of [c] of 4 in the form of a zigzag structure for example a double zigzag isn’t ruled out so far.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

On the both charts we can see strong resistance levels at 1.94..93, which can become insuperable barrier for the price.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

Almost horizontal price movement this week tips the balance in the favor of forming of a local correction. If this is the case the ending short shoot up of the price(wave (v) of [v] of C) is needed for the completion of wave C of (Y) of [4].

Figure 6. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-dt.

It isn’t ruled out that a strong resistance level at 108 will become an insuperable barrier for wave C of (Y) of 4.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Wave 4 in the form of a double three may be completed. It is necessary to expect the confirmation of this. If the supposition is true further price decline in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5) is expected in the near term.

Figure 8. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

Strong resistance levels at 1.06..05, that may become an insuperable barrier for the price can be easily seen on the both charts.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 19, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:50 | 显示全部楼层
The beginning of a new trend against the dollar has been marked. But it can’t be considered irreversible as the confirmatory levels haven’t been passed yet and this leaves a possibility of further correction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Wave 4 in the form of an extended horizontal correction might be completed but so far there is no confirmation of this. If the supposition is true the further price rise in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5) is expected in the near term.

Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

A strong resistance level at 1.53 can be easily seen on the both charts which may become an insuperable barrier for the price.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Possibly the price didn’t have enough strength to complete the second leg of the supposed zigzag 4 in the form of a full diagonal triangle [c] of 4 and it formed a diagonal triangle with a truncated fifth (v) of [c] of 4. If the supposition is true the price rise in the form of a large impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5) is expected in the near term.
At the same time further development of downward wave (v) of [c] of 4 in the form of a zigzag structure for example in the form of a double zigzag isn’t ruled out.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

Strong resistance levels at 1.94..93, that may become an insuperable barrier for the price can be easily seen on the both charts.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

Almost horizontal construction that has formed during the last week may appear to be a correction in the form of downward zigzag. In this case the uptrend will continue forming its ending waves (refer to Daily-190608).
But as long as the critical level at 108.40 isn’t broken this zigzag can be interpreted as a forming downward wedge .

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

If the supposition is true wave C of (Y) of [4] is completed and the continuation of the downtrend (wave 5) in the form of a zigzag construction is expected.

Figure 7. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-dt.

It isn’t ruled out that a strong resistance level at 108 will become an insuperable barrier for wave C of (Y) of 4.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 8 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

Wave 4 in the form of a double three may be completed but so far there is no confirmation of this. If the supposition is true further price decline in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5) is expected in the near term.

Figure 9. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

Strong resistance levels at 1.06..05, that may become an insuperable barrier for the price can be easily seen on the both charts.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 20, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:50 | 显示全部楼层
The dollar is reluctant to give its ground that requires considering possible alternative variants of the wave counting. As any other scenarios they remain only a supposition until they are confirmed.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The construction that has been forming since the beginning of June can be presented in the form of an incomplete upward zigzag the first leg of which has assumed the shape of a wedge (a). If the supposition is true it is natural to expect the price decline in the form of an impulse (or a diagonal triangle) in the near term.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the supposed zigzag [z] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.53 or lower.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The construction that has been forming since the first half of June can be presented in the form of an almost completed zigzag that can be a part of a larger correction (refer to the Figure below). If the supposition is true it is natural to expect the price decline in the form of a zigzag structure in the near term.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

The high of this zigzag can be the ending of wave (iv) of [c] of 4 of diagonal triangle [c] of 4. In this case the projected targets for this diagonal triangle are seen in the area of 1.93.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

The construction that has been forming since the mid-June can’t be called unambiguous. If it isn’t added with another downward impulse it can be presented in the form of downward wedge (refer Daily-200608).
Otherwise it will easily transform into a corrective structure and in this case it is natural to expect the simultaneity of price movement with the alternative scenarios for the other currencies under consideration.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The construction that has been forming since the beginning of June can be presented in the form of an incomplete upward zigzag the first leg of which has assumed the shape of wedge (a). If this is the case it is natural to expect the price rise in the form of an impulse (or a diagonal triangle).

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the supposed zigzag [y] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.06 or higher.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 23, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:51 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the local strengthening of the dollar isn’t completed but it has entered the concluding stage.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the supposed zigzag [z] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.53 or lower.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The construction that has been forming since the beginning of June can pe presented as an incomplete downward zigzag the first leg of which has assumed the shape of wedge (a). If this is the case it is natural to expect the price decline in the form of an impulse (or a diagonal triangle) in the near term.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

As the supposed ending of wave (iv) of [c] of 4 has changed the value of the critical level for the diagonal triangle [c] of 4 — 1.9129 changes as well. The projected targets for this diagonal triangle are seen in the area of 1.93.
At the same time it isn’t ruled out that corrective wave (iv) may assume the shape of a triangle or some other extended horizontal correction.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The updated wave counting corresponds more exactly to the supposed strengthening of the dollar expected in the other currency pairs under consideration.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 180 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

It isn’t ruled out that wave C of (Y) of [4] is assuming the shape of an impulse with wave 1 in the form of a wedge. Please note that it is the fifth wave v of impulse (v) of that is truncated and not the fifth wave (v) of wedge .
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the supposed zigzag [y] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.06 or higher.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The construction that has been forming since the beginning of June can be presented in the form of an incomplete upward zigzag the first leg of which ahs assumed the shape of wedge (a). If this is the case it is natural to expect the further price rise on the form of an impulse (or a diagonal triangle) in the near term.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 24, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:52 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the local strengthening of the dollar isn’t completed but has entered the concluding stage.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the supposed zigzag [z] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.53 or lower.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-a.

If the supposition of a developing zigzag [z] is true it is natural to expect the further price decline in the form of an impulse in the near term.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the diagonal triangle are seen in the area of 1.93, if corrective wave (iv) doesn’t assume the shape of a triangle or some other extended horizontal correction.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3.

But taking into consideration the constancy with which the price has been stringing zigzag construction onto the virtual horizontal axis (1.96) since the end of 2007 it isn’t ruled out that a large horizontal triangle continues forming with its ending wave also in the form of a triangle.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The bastion 108 still holds the fort. But the wave counting doesn’t rule out its fall in the near term.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 180 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

Supposedly wave C of (Y) of [4] is assuming the form of an impulse with the first wave in the form of a wedge while its fourth wave [iv] in the form of a double three is completed. If the supposition is true the breach of the 108.19 level may mean further forming of the ending upward impulse [v] of C. The projected targets of its terminus are seen in the area of 110.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets of the supposed zigzag [y] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.06 or higher.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-a.

If the supposition of a developing zigzag [y] is true it is natural to expect the further price rise in the form of an impulse in the near term.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 25, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:53 | 显示全部楼层
The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday kept its key interest rates unchanged that weakened the US dollar’s attractiveness. On the charts the sentiment of the FX market participants appeared in the form of impetuous price movement against the US dollar for about 100 points.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the supposed zigzag [z] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.53 or lower.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-a.

At the same time wave (b) of [z] continues its developing and is approaching the limit mark of 78%. Supposedly it is assuming the shape of a double zigzag.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets of the diagonal triangle are seen in the area of 1.93, if corrective wave (iv) doesn’t assume the shape of a triangle or some other extended horizontal correction.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3.

But taking into consideration the constancy with which the price has been stringing zigzag construction onto the virtual horizontal axis (1.96) since the end of 2007 it isn’t ruled out that a large horizontal triangle continues forming with its ending wave also in the form of a triangle.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

The bastion 108 still holds the fort. But the wave counting doesn’t rule out its fall in the near term.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 180 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

Wave C of (Y) of [4] is assuming the shape of an impulse with wave one in the form of a wedge while its wave four [iv] supposedly continues forming in the form of a triple three. The projected targets for this impulse are seen in the area of 110.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

The projected targets for the supposed zigzag [y] of 4 are seen in the area of 1.06 or higher.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-a.

At the same time wave (b) of [y] so far continues forming in the form of a double three and again it is approaching the 62% mark.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 26, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
The fact that the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday kept its key interest rates unchanged weakened the US dollar’s attractiveness for the participants of the FX market. This may become the key factor of the price movement in the coming weeks and again turn the balance in the favor of the main variant (refer to Daily-200608).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

In the framework of the main variant wave 4 in the form of an extended horizontal correction is completed (in this case in the form of a triple three). If this is the case further price rise in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5) is expected in the near term. But the confirmatory levels haven’t been passed yet and consequently the alternate scenarios aren’t cancelled.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3.

After yesterday’s shoot up of the price the whole upward construction that has been forming since the mid-June can be easily presented in the form of a developing wedge ?. If it doesn’t transform into a double zigzag (wave [d]?, marked with grey color), then we may suppose with certainty that a large horizontal triangle 4 is completed.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-dt.

The bastion 108 has held the fort so far. It may mean the continuation of the new stage of the US dollar weakening in the framework of the main scenario. But the confirmatory levels haven’t been passed yet and consequently the alternate scenarios aren’t cancelled.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0608. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

In the framework of the main scenario wave 4 in the form of a double three is completed. If this is the case further price decline in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle (wave 5) is expected in the near term. But the confirmatory levels haven’t been passed and consequently the alternate scenarios aren’t cancelled.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 27, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
Possible movement scenarios of the currencies under consideration for July 2008 are given in Monthly-0708.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate variant wave 4 is developing in the form of an extended horizontal correction (in this case in the form of a triple three). If the supposition is true the price decline to 1.54 in a zigzag mode is expected in the near term.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart..

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

The whole upward construction that has been forming since the mid-June can be easily presented in the form of a developing wedge ?. If it doesn’t transform into a double zigzag (wave [d]?, marked with grey color), it is possible to supposes with certainty that a large horizontal triangle 4 is completed.
If this supposition of the completion of triangle 4 is true the price decline to 1.96 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near-term.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The bastion 108 has held the fort. But price failed to overcome even the lower border of the upward trend channel not to mention the confirmatory levels of the main variant. Consequently the alternate variant isn’t cancelled. Moreover RSI hints that a smart bounce up off the channel border should be expected at least.
If the supposition about developing of diagonal triangle C of (Y) of 4 is true the price rise to 110 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of alternate variant wave [x] of 4 is developing in the form of an almost horizontal correction (possibly in the form of a double three). If the supposition is true the price rise to 1.06 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
June 30, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:55 | 显示全部楼层
Possible scenarios of movement of the currencies under consideration for July 2008 are given in Monthly-0708.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave 4 is developing in the form of an extended horizontal correction (in this case in the form of a triple three). Supposedly its development has entered the ending stage.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the development of the ending wave [z] has already started. If this is the case the price decline to 1.54..1.53 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

If upward wedge doesn’t transform into a double zigzag (wave [d]?, marked with grey color), we may suppose with certainty that a large horizontal triangle 4 is completed.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that corrective wave [ii] has already started to form. If this is the case the price decline to 1.96 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price so far has failed to overcome the lower border of the trend channel not to mention the confirmatory levels of the main variant. Consequently the alternate variant isn’t cancelled. Moreover RSI hints that a smart bounce up off the channel border should be expected at least.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending wave [v] of C has already started to form. If this is the case the price rise to 108..110 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave [x] of 4 completed in the form of an almost horizontal correction (possibly in the form of a double three). Supposedly the development of wave 4 has entered the ending stage.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending wave [y] has already started to form. If this is the case the price rise to 1.05..1.06 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 1, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:56 | 显示全部楼层
The period of tedious waiting has come — where will the price pendulum swing, what scenario will it prefer? So far I prefer the alternate variants but the final choice will be made by the price.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the development of the ending wave [z] has already started. If this is the case the price decline to 1.54..1.53 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

If upward wedge doesn’t transform into a double zigzag (wave [d]?, marked with grey color), we may suppose with certainty that a large horizontal triangle 4 is completed.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that corrective wave [ii] has already started to form. If this is the case the price decline to 1.96 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price so far has failed to overcome the lower border of the trend channel not to mention the confirmatory levels of the main variant. Consequently the alternate variant isn’t cancelled. Moreover RSI hints that a smart bounce up off the channel border should be expected at least.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending wave [v] of C has already started to form. If this is the case the price rise to 108..110 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave [x] of 4 completed in the form of an almost horizontal correction (possibly in the form of a double three). Supposedly the development of wave 4 has entered the ending stage.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending wave [y] has already started to form. If this is the case the price rise to 1.05..1.06 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 2, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:57 | 显示全部楼层
Mid-term expectations haven’t changed — a reversal of the local trend in the favor of the dollar is quite possible. But forming of the reversal area may take several days.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave 4 is developing in the form of an extended horizontal correction (in this case in the form of a triple three).

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The current wave counting doesn’t rule out that wave [xx] is completed. It is possible under condition that its ending wave [5] of c of (y) of [xx] doesn’t decide to form an extension (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) of [5].
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

If upward wedge doesn’t transform into a double zigzag (alternate wave [d], marked at the top of the Figure), we may suppose with certainty that a large horizontal triangle 4 is completed.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

Somewhat extended wave (v) of and rather corrective than impulsive formation after it increase chances of the alternate scenario (plotted at the top of the chart).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price so far has failed to overcome the lower border of the trend channel. Consequently the alternate scenario isn’t cancelled.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending wave [v] of C has already started forming. If this is the case the price rise to 108..110 in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave [x] of 4 completed in the form of an almost horizontal correction (perhaps in the form of a double three).

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The current wave counting doesn’t rule out that wave [x] is completed. It is possible under condition that its ending wave [5] of c of (y) of [x] doesn’t decide to form an extension (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) of [5].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 3, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:58 | 显示全部楼层
As U.S markets are closed Friday for a public holiday low activity should be expected on the FX market today in the afternoon.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave 4 is developing in the form of an extended horizontal correction (in this case in the form of a triple three). Supposedly the price has started to form the ending wave [z] of correction 4.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The current wave counting doesn’t rule out that wave [xx] is completed. If this is the case the price decline to the 1.54..1.53 mark in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term (wave [z]).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

If upward wedge doesn’t transform into a double zigzag (alternate wave [d], marked at the top of the Figure), we may suppose with certainty that the large horizontal triangle 4 is completed.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that corrective wave [ii] has already started forming. If this is the case the price decline to the 1.96 mark should be expected in the near term.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price so far has failed to overcome the lower border of the upward trend channel. Consequently the alternate scenario isn’t cancelled.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The wave counting doesn’t rule out that the ending wave [v] of C has already started forming. If this is the case the price rise to the 108..110 mark in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave [x] of 4 completed in the form of an almost horizontal correction (perhaps in the form of a double three). Supposedly the price has started to form the ending wave [y] of correction 4.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

The current wave counting doesn’t rule out that wave [x] is completed. If this is the case the price decline to the 1.05..1.06 mark in a zigzag mode should be expected in the near term (wave [y]).
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 4, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:59 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the ending waves of the correction are forming before a new stage of the US dollar weakening.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framework of the alternate scenario wave 4 is developing in the form of an extended horizontal correction (in this case in the form of a triple three). Supposedly the price has started to form the ending wave [z] of correction 4.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] may assume the form of a downward zigzag.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

Supposedly price is forming corrective wave [ii] of 5 (or the ending wave [e] of a large triangle 4).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [ii] may assume the shape of a downward zigzag.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price so far has failed to overcome the lower border of the upward trend channel. Consequently the alternate scenario isn’t cancelled.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly wave [v] of C may assume the shape of an upward zigzag.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

In the framewaor of the alternate scenario wave [x] of 4 completed in the form of an almost horizontal correction (perhaps in the form of a double three).Supposedly the price is forming the ending wave [y] of correction 4.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [y] may assume the shape of an upward zigzag.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 7, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 11:59 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the ending waves of the correction are forming before a new stage of the US dollar weakening.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly the price is forming the ending wave [z] of the extended horizontal correction 4.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag with wave (b) of [z] also in the form of a zigzag.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

Supposedly the price is forming corrective wave [ii] of 5 (or the ending wave [e] of a large triangle 4).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag with wave (b) of [ii] also in the form of a zigzag.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price failed to overcome the lower border of the upward trend channel. Consequently the alternate scenario so far remains in force.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly wave [v] of C is assuming the shape of an upward zigzag with wave (b) of [v] also in the form of a zigzag.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly the price is forming the ending wave [y] of correction 4.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [y] is assuming the shape of an upward zigzag with wave (b) of [y] also in the form of a zigzag.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 8, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 12:00 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the ending waves of the correction are forming before a new stage of the US dollar weakening.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly price is forming the ending wave [z] of the extended correction 4.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [z] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

Supposedly the price is forming corrective wave [ii] of 5 (or the ending wave [e] of a large triangle 4).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [ii] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price failed to overcome the lower border of the upward trend channel. Consequently the alternate scenario remains in force.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly wave [v] of C is assuming the shape of an upward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [v] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly the price is forming the ending wave [y] of correction 4.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [y] is assuming the shape of an upward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [y] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 9, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.

金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 12:01 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the ending waves of the correction are forming before a new stage of the US dollar weakening.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly the price is forming the ending wave [z] of the extended correction 4.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag. In htis case wave-link (b) of [z] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case it opens good opportunities for short positions after the completion of correction (b).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

Supposedly the price is forming corrective wave [ii] of 5 (or the ending wave [e] of large triangle 4).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [ii] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case it opens good opportunities for short positions after the completion of correction (b).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price failed to overcome the lower border of the upward trend channel. Consequently the alternate scenario remains in force.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly wave [v] of C is assuming the shape of an upward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [v] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case it opens good opportunities for long positions after the completion of correction (b).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly the price is forming the ending wave [y] of correction 4.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [y] is assuming the shape of an upward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [y] may assume the shape of a flat or a double three. If this is the case it opens good opportunities for long positions after the completion of correction (b).
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 10, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 12:02 | 显示全部楼层
Supposedly the ending waves of the correction are forming before a new stage of the US dollar weakening.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly price is forming the ending wave [z] of the extended correction 4.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [z] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [z] may assume the shape of a double (or triple) three. If this is the case it opens good opportunities for short positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

Supposedly the price is forming corrective wave [ii] of 5 (or the ending wave [e] of a large triangle 4).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [ii] is assuming the shape of a downward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [ii] may assume the shape of a flat (or a double three). If this is the case it opens good opportunities for short positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

The price failed to overcome the lower border of the upward trend channel. Consequently the alternate scenario remains in force.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

Wave [v] of C may be assuming the shape of an upward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [v] may assume the shape of a horizontal triangle. If this is the case it opens good opportunities for long positions.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-08 and Monthly-0708. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Probable alternate.

Supposedly the price is forming the ending wave [y] of correction 4.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Probable alternate.

It isn’t ruled out that wave [y] is assuming the shape of an upward zigzag. In this case wave-link (b) of [y] may assume the shape of a double three. If this is the case it opens good opportunities for long positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference
Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
July 11, 2008
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 立即注册

本版积分规则

本站声明:MACD仅提供交流平台,请交流人员遵守法律法规。
值班电话:18209240771   微信:35550268

举报|意见反馈|手机版|MACD俱乐部

GMT+8, 2025-8-2 08:32 , Processed in 0.075080 second(s), 8 queries , MemCached On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

© 2001-2017 Comsenz Inc.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表