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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:08 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The final waves of correction (b) for the European currencies decided to form an extension. Well, the deeper the falling the higher the rebound. If the supposition is correct in the nearest future we should expect correction (b) completion and beginning of the mid-term trend against the dollar in the shape of the second leg (c) of the final zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) [see scenario v.2, v.3-alt in Annual-07(2) ].
1. EUR/USDFor EUR survey wave counting refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0807. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave [5] of c of (b) extension keeps forming, it approaches the critical level. I expect correction (b) completion confirmed and new uptrend start forming in the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle (c) of [z].
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of this currency refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0807. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave (5) of [C] of y of (b) extension approaches the critical level. I expect correction (b) completion confirmed and new uptrend start forming in the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle (c) of [z].
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of this currency refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0807. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Downward impulse [iii] of C is supposed to be forming.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of this currency refer to Annual-07(2) and Месячном-0807. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave [5] of c of (b) extension overcame wave a of (b) ending, that's why we may consider supposed flat (b) to be extended. I expect correction (b) completion to be confirmed and new downtrend to start forming in the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle (c) of [y].
4. USD/CHFUnfortunately, anticipation of possible incompleteness of downward zigzag for EUR-JPY and GBP-JPY, described in article EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, has been proved. Supposed (and possible) ending of zigzag has turned out to be just the first wave of the final impulse of this zigzag. The only thing to do now is to wait for downward correction completion to be confirmed. Adjusted wave counting markings are given below.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart of EUR/JPY.



Figure 6. Wave counting on 720 min chart of GBP/JPY.


Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 16, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:09 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Yesterday JPY reached the projected area having confirmed supposed scenario v.2 [see Annual-07(2) ]. The European currencies keep forming the final waves of supposed correction (b). If the supposition is correct in the nearest future we should expect correction (b) completion and beginning of the mid-term trend against the dollar in the shape of the second leg (c) of the final zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) [see scenario v.2, v.3-alt in Annual-07(2) ].
1. EUR/USDFor EUR survey wave counting refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0807. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave [5] of c of (b) extension keeps forming, it approaches the critical level. I expect correction (b) completion confirmed and new uptrend start forming in the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle (c) of [z].
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of this currency refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0807. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave (5) of [C] of y of (b) extension approaches the critical level. I expect correction (b) completion confirmed and new uptrend start forming in the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle (c) of [z].
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of this currency refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0807. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on the weekly chart.

The price has entered the projected area for 25 points confirming the accepted scenario v.2.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

According to the adjusted variant of the wave counting downward impulse [iii] of C may be forming.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of this currency refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0807. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

Wave [5] of c of (b) extension overcame wave a of (b) ending, that's why we may consider supposed flat (b) to be extended. I expect correction (b) completion to be confirmed and new downtrend to start forming in the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle (c) of [y].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
August 17, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:10 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
1.EUR/USDFor EUR survey wave counting refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.




Scenario v.3 hasn’t been annuled yet. The latest uptrend may be interpreted as a double zigzag (iv).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of this currency refer to Annual-07(2) и Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.



The pound practically replicates the euro’s “moves”. Scenario v.3 hasn’t been annuled yet. The latest uptrend may be interpreted as a double zigzag (iv).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of the JPY refer to Annual-07(2) и Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Admittedly in the context of the scenario v.2 of the JPY a downward impulse C is forming.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of the CHF refer to Annual -07(2) и Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart..



Possibly the wave (y) of [e] has started already
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 03, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:10 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Last week the price moves in a rather narrow range, increasing the number of variants of probable wave counting. This bifurcation point was mentioned in the Monthly-0907. I hope in the nearest future it will become clear which of two scenarios the price will prefer. Up until that time I will have to consider both variants.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of the EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.




Scenario v.3 hasn’t been annuled yet. The latest uptrend may be interpreted as a double zigzag (iv). If the supposition is true the wave (v) of [c] must develop in the shape of downward (double) zigzag, having reached all the confirming levels and without breaking the critical level.



At the same time practically horizontal pattern of the last week may be interpreted in the form of incomplete correction iv of (a) of the scenario v.3-alt. If it is so, the final upward impulse or diagonal triangle may reach the 1.38 mark.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of the GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.



The pound practically replicates the euro’s “moves”. Scenario v.3 hasn’t been annuled yet. The latest uptrend may be interpreted as a double zigzag (iv). If the supposition is true the wave (v) of [c] must develop in the shape of downward (double) zigzag, having reached all the confirming levels and without breaking the critical level.



At the same time practically horizontal pattern of the last week may be interpreted in the form of incomplete correction iv of (a) of the scenario v.3-alt. If it is so, the closing upward impulse or diagonal triangle may reach the 2.04 mark.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of the JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Admittedly in the context of the scenario v.2 for the JPY a downward impulse C is forming, and at the present time the correctional wave [ii] of C is forming.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of the CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Probably the wave (y) of [e] has started already, but the price fails to break out of the consolidation area 1.20-1.21, giving the possibility to interpret differently this section of the chart (see the Figure below).



As long as there is no confirmation of the wave [d] ending, there is always a possibility of its development.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 04, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:12 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Last week the price moves in a rather narrow range, increasing the number of variants of probable wave counting. This bifurcation point was mentioned in the Monthly-0907.
Wave picture practically hasn’t changed and remains widerange. But taking into consideration the fact that after price consolidation the trend continues, then scenarios with the dollar’s weakening in the near term slightly outweigh others.
I hope in the nearest future it will become clear which of two scenarios the price will prefer. Up until that time I will have to consider both variants.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of the EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.




Scenario v.3 hasn’t been annuled yet. The latest uptrend may be interpreted as a double zigzag (iv). If the supposition is true the wave (v) of [c] must develop in the shape of downward (double) zigzag, having reached all the confirming levels and without breaking the critical level.
At the moment the wave picture on the smaller charts doesn't give any saving hint (see the Figure below).



Lately as you see there have been only zigzags with increasing amplitude. Such picture easily fits both scenarios under consideration (see the Figure below). However in the near term the preferred price movement is upward.



At the same time practically horizontal pattern of the last week may be interpreted in the form of incomplete correction iv of (a) of [d] or (x) of [d] of the scenario v.3-alt. If it is so, the final upward impulse or diagonal triangle may reach the 1.38 mark.
The wave picture on smaller wave levels doesn’t contradict this supposition (see the Figure below).



Possibly an extended horizontal correction is forming (see the tables 3-1 and 3-2 in my book). If the supposition is true in the near term preferred price movement is only upward.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of the GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.



The pound practically replicates the euro’s “moves”. Scenario v.3 hasn’t been annuled yet. The latest uptrend may be interpreted as a double zigzag (iv). If the supposition is true the wave (v) of [c] must develop in the shape of downward (double) zigzag, having reached all the confirming levels and without breaking the critical level.
At the moment the wave picture on the smaller charts gives a small hint in favor of the alternative variant (see the Figure below).



The stockade from zigzags with decreasing amplitude speaks most likely in favor of alternative variant, i.e. the dollar will continue its decline (see the Figures below).



Practically horizontal pattern of the last week may be interpreted in the form of incomplete correction iv of (a) of [d] or (x) of [d] of the scenario v.3-alt. If it is so, the closing upward impulse or diagonal triangle may reach at least the 2.04 mark.
The wave picture on the smaller wave levels confirms this supposition (see the Figure below).



An extended horizontal correction may be forming (refer to the tables 3-1 and 3-2 in my book). If the supposition is true in the near term the preferred price movement is only upward.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of the JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 9 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Admittedly in the context of the scenario v.2 for the JPY a downward impulse C is forming, and at the present time the correctional wave [ii] of C is forming.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of the CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 10 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.



Probably the wave (y) of [e] has started already, but the price fails to break out of the consolidation area 1.20-1.21, giving the possibility to interpret differently this section of the chart (see the Figure below).



As long as there is no confirmation of the wave [d] ending, there is always a possibility of its development.
Taking into consideration the expected trend direction for other European currencies this scenario at the moment is the most probable.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 5, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:13 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The pairs under consideration are still in the quite narrow price range. Though suppositions that the US dollar may start falling begin to confirm (see Daily-050907).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Zigzags keep forming an extended correction confirming my yesterday's supposition (see Daily-050907). It is not so important what pattern will form in the long run. The most important thing is what place in the pattern of the higher degree it takes (see the text at table 3-2 of my bookand the next chart).

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

If the supposition about forming of the horizontal extended correction is confirmed further uptrend, which will finish wave [d], should be expected after its completion.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

The pound practically replicates the euro’s moves. Elementary corrections keep forming an extended correction confirming my yesterday's supposition (see Daily-050907). It is not so important what pattern will form in the long run. The most important thing is what place in the pattern of the higher degree it takes (see the text at table 3-2 of my bookand the next chart).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

If the supposition about forming of the horizontal extended correction is confirmed further uptrend, which will finish wave [d], should be expected after its completion.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Admittedly in the context of scenario v.2 for JPY a downward impulse C is forming, and at the present time corrective wave [ii] of C is forming. I can hardly say what shape it will take though judging by uncertainty of the current movement we are in wave (b) of [ii].

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

According to a possible variant of the wave counting downward local trend of wave (b) of [ii] may continue.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt2.

Price still continues its corrective movement within 1.20-1.21 channel. It gives rise to a variety of the marking variants and does not allow a scenario to be chosen (see the next charts).

Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt2.

Wave (x) of [e] may be assuming a more complicated shape than it was expected.

Figure 9. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Though downward wave [d] of X may keep forming.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 6, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:14 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Local horizontal correction, which trapped the currencies within quite a narrow price range, is almost completed. Suppositions that USD may weaken soon are confirmed. Though the size of this movement may be different. Two main variants of this trend are considered here.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Zigzags keep forming an extended correction. It is not so important what pattern will form in the long run. The most important thing is what place in the pattern of the higher degree it takes (see the text at table 3-2 of my bookand the next chart).

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

If the supposed triangle (Picture 1) is an opposite corrective wave then it is most probable that after its completion a local uptrend will continue in the shape of the double zigzag, completing wave [d].

Figure 3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt.

If the supposed triangle (Picture 1) is an active final wave of the global correction then after its completion a global uptrend will keep forming in the shape of the double zigzag Z of (B) [see article Let's Analyse Zigzag Wave Construction].
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

The pound practically replicates the euro’s moves. Elementary corrections keep forming an extended correction. It is not so important what pattern will form in the long run. The most important thing is what place in the pattern of the higher degree it takes (see the text at table 3-2 of my bookand the next chart).

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

If the supposed skewed triangle (Picture 4) is an opposite corrective wave then it is most probable that after its completion a local uptrend will continue in the shape of the double zigzag, completing wave [d].

Figure 6. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt.

If the supposed skewed triangle (Picture 4) is an active final wave of the global correction then after its completion a global uptrend will keep forming in the shape of the double zigzag Z of (B) [see article Let's Analyse Zigzag Wave Construction].
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

It is quite possible that from the mid of August JPY has been forming a horizontal triangle.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

If the supposition is correct this triangle may be the fourth wave (iv) of impulse . In this case after completion of the horizontal correction downtrend should be expected to continue in the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle, completing impulse .

Figure 9. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2.

According to the wave picture the fourth wave [iv] of C may be forming and expected price fall may be more significant than in case of the scenario shown in Picture 8.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 10 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Price still continues its corrective movement within 1.20-1.21 channel. It gives rise to a variety of the marking variants. According to one of them a horizontal extended correction may form, e.g. a triangle. It is not so important what pattern will form in the long run. The most important thing is what place in the pattern of the higher degree it takes (see the text at table 3-2 of my bookand the next chart).

Figure 11. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

If the supposed triangle (Picture 10) is an opposite corrective wave then it is most probable that after its completion a local downtrend will continue in the shape of the (double) zigzag, completing wave [d].

Figure 12. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt2.

If the supposed triangle (Picture 10) is an active final wave of the global correction then after its completion a global downtrend will keep forming in the shape of the double zigzag Y of (B) [see article Let's Analyse Zigzag Wave Construction].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 7, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:29 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Taking into consideration the latest changes of the wave pictures we may suppose that USD local weakening, which is the last but one wave of the current half-a-year correction for the European currencies, is forming (see Daily-070907).
Those traders who have opened positions against the dollar last week (see Daily-050907), may close them in the short-term perspective and open positions in favor of the dollar or take some profit intending to accumulate positions in the mid-term plan.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Zigzags keep forming an extended correction. Supposedly, this is an expanding horizontal triangle. The final (double) zigzag e of (x) should form for it to complete.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Once the expanding triangle completes local uptrend should continue in the shape of the zigzag, finishing wave [d]. Projections of wave [d] ending should be better built once the triangle completes.

Figure 3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt.

The survey picture of the supposed half-a-year extended correction XX may look as it is shown in the picture.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

The pound practically replicates the euro’s moves. Zigzags keep forming an extended correction. Supposedly, this is a skewed triangle. The final (double) zigzag e of (x) should form for it to complete.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Once the skewed triangle completes local uptrend should continue in the shape of the zigzag, finishing wave [d]. Projections of wave [d] ending should be better built once the triangle completes.

Figure 6. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt.

The survey picture of the supposed half-a-year extended correction XX may look as it is shown in the picture.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

Due to the fact that the price has left the supposed horizontal triangle we may suppose that either a downward diagonal triangle (v) of is forming or wave (iv) of continues. The first variant seems to be more preferable for me as it coincides with the current scenarios of the European currencies.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

The so called Elliott's double retracement (see picture 2-8 of my book) will complete the ending of the supposed diagonal triangle (v) of .

Figure 9. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2.

The survey picture of the supposed wave of C may look as it is shown in the picture.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 10 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 10. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Due to the fact that the price has left the horizontal channel we may suppose that either a downward diagonal triangle is forming as the final leg of the zigzag (see the next charts) or the correction continues as a part of wave [e]. The first variant seems to be more preferable for me as it coincides with the current scenarios of the European currencies.

Figure 11. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposedly, zigzag (y) of [d] is almost completed with approximately equal legs. If the supposition is correct once wave [4] of c completes local downtrend should keep forming in the shape of the (double) zigzag finishing diagonal triangle c of (y) of [d].

Figure 12. Wave counting on the daily chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

The survey picture of the supposed a-year-and-a-half extended correction X in the shape of the skewed triangle is given in article Let's Analyse Zigzag Wave Construction. In Figure 12 only its supposed wave [d] in the shape of the double zigzag is given.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 10, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The supposition, mentioned in Daily-100907, describes possible nearest perspective of the pairs under consideration. The only thing we should do is to follow it expecting the current scenario to be either confirmed or cancelled.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Once the supposed expanding triangle completes local uptrend should be expected to continue in the shape of the zigzag, completing wave [d]. Projections of wave [d] ending should be better built once the triangle completes.
Impetuous and narrow wave d of (x) in the shape of the zigzag of this counting makes me uneasy. It may turn out to be an impulse, which makes me keep in hand some alternate scenarios.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposedly an extended horizontal correction is forming in the shape of the expanding triangle. The final (double) zigzag e of (x) should form for it to complete.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Once the skewed triangle completes local uptrend should be expected to continue in the shape of the zigzag, completing wave [d]. Projections of wave [d] ending should be better built once the triangle completes.
The last zigzag d of (x) may become an impulse, which makes me keep in hand some alternate scenarios.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposedly an extended horizontal correction is forming in the shape of the skewed triangle. The final (double) zigzag e of (x) should form for it to complete.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Supposedly, the final wave (v) of impulse is forming in the shape of the diagonal triangle. The so called Elliott's double retracement (see picture 2-8 of my book) will complete the diagonal triangle.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

According to the wave structure on the smaller wave degrees downward diagonal triangle (v) of may be forming.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposedly, zigzag (y) of [d] is almost completed with approximately equal legs. If the supposition is correct, once wave [4] of c completes local downtrend should be expected to continue in the shape of the (double) zigzag, completing diagonal triangle c of (y) of [d].
Impetuous and narrow wave [3] of c of (y) of this counting makes me uneasy. Moreover, the whole horizontal correction, which has been forming from the mid of July, may be treated as a single alternate correction.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to the wave structure on the smaller wave degrees downward diagonal triangle may be forming.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 11, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:50 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
On the whole, expectations remain the same (see daily charts in Daily-100907). Though we can look at the current marking from a bit different point of view due to EUR steady rise.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Yesterday's expectations were confirmed. Falling headily the price reached the historical maximum of the euro. Supposedly, ending of wave [d] of skewed triangle XX starts forming. We should wait for it to be confirmed.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

The euro rise pulled GBP. May be the ending of wave [d] of the running triangle XX starts forming. Let's wait for it to be confirmed.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Supposedly, the final wave (v) of impulse is forming in the shape of the diagonal triangle. The so-called Elliot's double retracement will complete the ending of the diagonal triangle (see picture 2-8 of my book).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate scenario of variant 3-alt2.

Supposedly, zigzag (y) of [d] is almost completed with approximately equal legs. If the supposition is correct, once wave [4] of c completes, local downtrend should be expected to continue in the shape of the (double) zigzag, completing diagonal triangle c of (y) of [d].
Narrow and impetuous wave [3] of c of (y) worries me in this marking. Moreover, the whole horizontal correction, forming from the mid of July, may be treated as a single alternate correction.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 12, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:50 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
On the whole, expectations remain the same (see daily charts in Daily-100907). Though we can look at the current marking from a bit different point of view due to EUR steady rise.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Rising headily the price reaches new historical maximums. Supposedly, ending of wave [d] of skewed triangle XX is forming. We should wait for it to be confirmed.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Seven one-rank upward waves from the beginning of September may be either a completed correction or an incomplete impulse. Taking into consideration an impetuous rise and a narrow trend channel the second variant is more logic. Then several final waves should form for impulse (c) of [d] to complete.
In this case wave [d] may be presented in the shape of a simple zigzag with almost equal legs, which followed the alternation guidelines for zigzags (see page 140 of my book).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

The euro rise pulled GBP. Supposedly, the ending of wave [d] of the running triangle XX is forming. Let's wait for it to be confirmed.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Forming of diagonal triangle (c) of zigzag [d] may be almost completed.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Supposedly, the final wave (v) of impulse is forming in the shape of the diagonal triangle. The so-called Elliot's double retracement will complete the ending of the diagonal triangle (see picture 2-8 of my book).

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

One of possible variants of this area marking is given in the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Because of the impetuous fall of CHF we should look for more appropriate variants of marking. The ending of wave [d] of skewed triangle X may be forming.
In this case wave (y) of [d] may be depicted as a simple zigzag with correct proportions, which followed alternation guidelines for zigzags (see page 140 of my book).

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Seven one-rank downward waves from the beginning of September may be either a completed correction or an incomplete impulse. Taking into consideration an impetuous fall and a narrow trend channel the second variant is more logic.
Then several final waves should form for impulse c of (y) of [d] to complete.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 13, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:51 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The wave ending, formed yesterday by the pairs under consideration, may be the ending of the last but one wave of the many-month correction. Of course, this supposition should be confirmed.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to the wave picture, wave [d] may be completed or will complete in the nearest future.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] is a simple zigzag with almost equal legs which followed alternation guidelines for zigzags (see page 140 of my book).

Figure 3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposedly, wave [d] of the skewed triangle XX is completed. Let's wait for it to be confirmed.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to the wave picture, wave [d] may be completed or will complete in the nearest future.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] is a simple zigzag with correct proportions.

Figure 6. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposedly, wave [d] of the running triangle XX is completed. Let's wait for it to be confirmed.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

According to the wave picture, wave iv of (v) of may be completed or will complete in the nearest future.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Supposedly, final wave (v) of impulse is forming in the shape of the diagonal triangle. The ending of the diagonal triangle will be completed by the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see picture 2-8 of my book).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 9 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 9. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to the wave picture, wave [d] may be completed or will complete in the nearest future.

Figure 10. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave [d] is a simple zigzag with almost equal legs which followed alternation guidelines for zigzags (see page 140 of my book).

Figure 11. Wave counting on the daily chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposedly, wave [d] of the skewed triangle X is completed (see article Let's analyze zigzag wave construction). Let's wait for it to be confirmed.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 14, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 17:52 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Supposedly, the last but one wave of the many-month correction of the European currencies is completed. Though this supposition should be confirmed.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to the wave picture on smaller wave-degrees, wave [d] may be completed or will complete in the nearest future.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] is a simple zigzag with almost equal legs which followed alternation guidelines for zigzags (see page 140 of my book). This supposition should be confirmed.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposedly, wave [d] is completed, final wave [e] of the running triangle XX is forming (see the next chart).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] is a simple zigzag with correct proportions. Though according to the alternate variant wave [d] is not completed yet.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

According to the wave picture on smaller time-frames wave iv of (v) of may complete in the nearest future.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Once wave iv of (v) completes diagonal triangle (v) of impulse may be expected to complete. The ending of the diagonal triangle will be completed with the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see picture 2-8 of my book).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to the wave picture on smaller time-frames wave [d] may be completed or will complete in the nearest future. Supposedly, uptrend may start with a wedge or a sequence of waves 1-2, 1-2.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave [d] may be a simple zigzag with correct proportions which followed alternation guidelines for zigzags (see page 140 of my book). Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 17, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 18:19 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Some recent uncertainty of the market participants in respect of the dollar may be triggered by expectations of a new interest rate of the US FRS (22:15 Moscow time).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX is a simple zigzag with almost equal legs. This supposition should be confirmed. According to the wave picture on smaller time-frames, wave [d] may be completed or will complete in the nearest future.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX is a simple zigzag with correct proportions. Supposedly, the final wave [e] of this triangle is forming.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Once wave iv of (v) completes diagonal triangle (v) of impulse may be expected to complete. According to the wave picture on smaller time-frames wave iv of (v) of may complete in the nearest future.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave (y) of [d] may be a simple zigzag with correct proportions. According to the wave picture on smaller time-frames wave [d] may be completed or will complete in the nearest future.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 18, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 18:27 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The European currencies gained momentum as the interest rate in the USA was cut by 0.5%. Thus, the last but one wave of the many-month correction of these currencies keeps forming.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented as a double zigzag with almost equal legs. We should wait for confirmation of this wave completion.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to possible variants of wave counting on smaller time-frames upward movement may be expected to continue in the shape of impulse c of (y) of [d].
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of running triangle XX may keep forming in the shape of the doubel zigzag with almost equal legs. We should wait for its completion confirmation.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames upward movement may be expected to continue in the shape of zigzag (y) of [d].
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Once wave (iv) of completes impulse may be expected to finish. According to the wave picture on smaller time-frames wave (iv) of may complete in the nearest future.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

The fact that upward movement is forming in the shape of double zigzag y of (iv) does not guarantee that wave (iv) completes as double three w-x-y may change into an extended correction.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave (y) of [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented in the shape of the double zigzag with almost equal legs. Let's wait for its completion confirmation.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames downward movement may be expected to continue in the shape of impulse (C) of [Y] of y of (y) of [d].
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 19, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 18:28 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Many-month correction for the European currencies keeps forming.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented as a double zigzag with almost equal legs. We should wait for confirmation of this wave completion.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames upward movement may be expected to continue in the shape of impulse c of (y) of [d].
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of running triangle XX may keep forming in the shape of the double zigzag with almost equal legs. We should wait for confirmation of its completion.
At the same time wave [d] may be completed already and wave [e] may be assuming the shape of some final extended correction.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames upward movement may be expected to continue in the shape of double zigzag (y) of [d].
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Once wave (iv) of completes impulse may be expected to finish. According to the wave picture on smaller time-frames wave (iv) of may complete in the nearest future.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

The fact that upward movement is forming in the shape of double zigzag y of (iv) does not guarantee that wave (iv) completes as double three w-x-y may change into an extended correction.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave (y) of [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented in the shape of the double zigzag with almost equal legs. Let's wait for its completion confirmation.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames downward movement may be expected to continue in the shape of the diagonal triangle (C) of [Y] of y of (y) of [d].
5. USD/CADIn article USD/CAD Possible Weakening till the Mid of 2009 possible scenarios of price movement were considered. Currently price fluctuations remain within the forecast (see pictures 9 and 10 below).

Figure 9. Final 240 min chart of USD/CAD.


Figure 10. Final daily chart of USD/CAD.


Figure 11. Wave counting on the daily chart of USD/CAD.

Supposedly, final wave 5 of (5) of global impulse [A] is forming. Possible levels of its completion are marked in the chart. The projected area of wave [v] of 5 of (5) of [A] completion should be specified once wave [iv] of 5 of (5) of [A] finishes.
At the same time according to the alternate variant wave 4 of (5) may keep forming in the shape of the running or extended flat.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 20, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 18:30 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Supposedly, the last but one stage of many-month correction forming for the European currencies is almost completed (see article Let's Analyse zigzag wave construction).
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented as a double zigzag with proportional legs. We should wait for confirmation of this wave completion.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag (y) of [d] may complete soon.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of running triangle XX may be completed, wave [e] may be assuming the shape of the zigzag or more complicated extended correction.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag (b) of [e] may complete soon.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Two possible variants of supposed wave completion are given in the chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 2.

With some strains the last upward movement may be presented in the shape of the impulse c of (iv). Then its ending is a beginning of supposed final wave (v) and a critical level for the accepted scenario.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave (y) of [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented in the shape of the double zigzag with almost equal legs. Let's wait for its completion confirmation.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag [Y] of y of (y) of [d] may complete soon.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 21, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 18:31 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Supposedly, the last but one stage of many-month correction forming for the European currencies is almost completed (see article Let's Analyse zigzag wave construction).After confirmation of this supposition it is logically to expect local strengthening of the dollar in the form of the ending wave of the above mentioned correction.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented as a double zigzag with proportional legs. We should wait for confirmation of this wave completion.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag (y) of [d] may complete soon.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

It is not impossible that the wave [d] of running triangle XX has already been completed, and wave [e] may be assuming the shape of the zigzag or more complicated extended correction.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag (b) of [e] with approximately equal legs may complete soon.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Two possible variants of supposed wave completion are given in the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave (y) of [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented in the shape of the double zigzag with almost equal legs. Let's wait for its completion confirmation.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag [Y] of y of (y) of [d] may complete soon.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 24, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 18:32 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Supposedly, the last but one stage of many-month correction forming for the European currencies is almost completed (see article Let's Analyse zigzag wave construction).After confirmation of this supposition it is logically to expect local strengthening if the dollar in the form of the ending wave of the above mentioned correction.
Those who place orders proactively (refer to How to Apply EWA Forecasts ), must remember that such strategy is aggressive, with high risks. In this case it is simply necessary to place protective stop orders after that ending of the wave that you supposedly consider to be the turning point of a local or global trend.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented as a double zigzag with proportional legs. We should wait for confirmation of this wave completion.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag (y) of [d] may complete soon.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

It is not impossible that the wave [d] of running triangle XX has already been completed, and wave [e] may be assuming the shape of the zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [e] with a sweepy leg (c) of [e] or more complicated extended correction.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames it is not impossible that the second leg (c) of zigzag [e] will continue to form. In this case it may asume the shape of a sweepy impulse or diagonal triangle, keeping guideline of alternation for zigzags (refer to page 140 of my book).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Wave picture of the European currencies suggests a local strengthening of the dollar in the near term. Synchronous movement in the yen suggests alternate variant of counting, given on the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave (y) of [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented in the shape of the double zigzag with almost equal legs. Let's wait for its completion confirmation.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag [Y] of y of (y) of [d] may complete soon.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 25, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 18:36 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Supposedly, the last but one stage of many-month correction forming for the European currencies is almost completed (see article Let's Analyse zigzag wave construction). After confirmation of this supposition it is logically to expect local strengthening of the dollar in the form of the ending wave of the above mentioned correction.
Those who place orders proactively (refer to How to Apply EWA Forecasts ), must remember that such strategy is aggressive, with high risks. In this case it is simply necessary to place protective stop orders after that ending of the wave that you supposedly consider to be the turning point of a local or global trend.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

Supposed wave [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented as a double zigzag with proportional legs. We should wait for confirmation of this wave completion.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag (y) of [d] may complete soon.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-0907. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

It is not impossible that the wave [d] of running triangle XX has already completed, and wave [e] may be assuming the shape of the zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) of [e] with a sweepy leg (c) of [e] or more complicated extended correction.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant 3-alt.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames it is not impossible that the second leg (c) of zigzag [e] will continue to form. In this case it may asume the shape of a sweepy impulse or diagonal triangle, keeping guideline of alternation for zigzags (refer to page 140 of my book).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 2.

Wave picture of the European currencies suggests a local strengthening of the dollar in the near term. Synchronous movement in the yen suggests several alternate variants of counting one which is given on the chart.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual -07(2) and Monthly -0907. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

Supposed wave (y) of [d] of skewed triangle XX may be presented in the shape of the double zigzag with almost equal legs. Let's wait for its completion confirmation.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Local alternate variant of scenario 3-alt2.

According to a possible variant of wave counting on smaller time-frames zigzag [Y] of y of (y) of [d] may complete soon.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
September 26, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
金币:
奖励:
热心:
注册时间:
2006-7-3

回复 使用道具 举报

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