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一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 14:44 | 显示全部楼层
Karmo, this pair loves that 50 fib, as you point out day after day. Now do we bounce up and back to the 38 fib (211.77) or do we go down to test the 61 fib (187.49).

Maybe this pair is always searching for a 50 fib level, we just have to figure out which time frame she favors. I mean, now that she satisfied the monthly 50 fib, maybe she'll now go and satisfy the weekly 50 fib retrace to 255.47. I'm just thinking out loud.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 14:50 | 显示全部楼层
Looking at possible S/R levels.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 14:51 | 显示全部楼层
Monthly GBPJPY
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 14:52 | 显示全部楼层
Price Action on the Weekly: DBHLC (Bearish)
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Monthly GBPJPY
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 14:53 | 显示全部楼层
Possible S/R level 193.50
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 14:55 | 显示全部楼层
The other secanrio is that on open today it just drops 300 pips in no time and has NO retrace. The chances of this are slim . but if it does I would just cut the loss ( my stops for swing trading gbpjpy on a 2 hour are 200 pips)






175 ????
My monthly .. that rejectiong of 78.6 % fe was major , 1st target 191 ?

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:06 | 显示全部楼层
Price Action on the 4 hour: Inside Bar and DBHLC.
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Price Action and S/R Levels. I am now using the Gann hi/lo (10) and QQE (5) for trend direction. When using Price Action with the trend the higher the probablity these trades become. Meaning : Bullish Price Action in an uptrend. Bearish Price Action in a downtrend.

Daily, 4 hour and hourly: Gann and QQE bearish. QQE on the hourly was bullish but bearish on the 4 hour.

Only taking the bottom of this Inside Bar (candle) on the 4 hour.

Enter short at 194.50 Result half at +153 pips other half +71 pips.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:11 | 显示全部楼层
4 hour Inside Bar. Entered short at 193.66. Result loss -75 pips.

4 hour gann and QQE: bearish

1 hour gann choppy and 1 hour QQE bullish.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:12 | 显示全部楼层
Price Action same Inside Bar. Entered 194.89, top of Inside Bar.

4 hour gann: Bearish. QQE turning Bullish.

1 hour: (almost perfect Aus Strategy), Gann turns bullish. QQE bullish.

Result. Exited whole position before news for +463 pips
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:12 | 显示全部楼层
Current Price Action and S/R level.: Inside Bar 4 hour.

Daily and 4 hour gann Bearish. QQE neutral but below the 50 line.

1 hour at the gann and S/R level of 196.69. QQE neutral but below the 50 line.

I will only take the break on the bottom of the Inside Bar at 195.57.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:14 | 显示全部楼层
1 hour gann turned bullish. May take a hard break long off the S/R level of 196.69 with a tight s/l.

Higher time frames still bearish.

Update: Price broke the 196.69 and then fell back. Weak break for long trade. I need a strong break to go long.
No entry long.Attached Images





My 1st target is half of my postion 50 to 100 pips. The other half to b/e or depending on Price Action on the hourly.

Result: half postion +96 pips. Other half move to b/e.

Pin Bar on hourly. Price broke down from the Pin Bar and closed my b/e half at +64 pips.

Theme of my trades is to keep my loses small (or to zero) and giving my trades a chance to run for long term profits.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:15 | 显示全部楼层
Break of the Inside Bar at 195.57. Enter short at 195.51.
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Confirmation on the hourly gann and QQE.

A more comfortable trade knowing that its with the overall (higher time frames) down trend.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:15 | 显示全部楼层
Daily Pin Bar at the 61.8 Fib. Possible short term trend reversal or long term trend continuation on GBPUSD.
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Entered long at 1.9770 S/L 1.9720. 1st target 1.9880
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:17 | 显示全部楼层
Yes, I use the same rules for GU with gann and qqe. I also use Price Action as a guide force especially on higher time frame, because higher time frames Rule.

Although the gann and qqe show a down trend, the Daily Pin Bar (trend reversal formation) can not be ignored. Like Karmo, Fibs on higher time frame can show future movement.
I should have shown more patience (sorry karmo) and waited to enter at exactly 1.9757 (fib 61.8) instead of the 1.9770. Price kissed that fib and trend line on the money and started north.Attached Images





I've locked in at break even on my 1.9770 entry. I may add to my position at on a hard break and then support of the 1.9880 (top of the Pin Bar)

4 hour chart shows a spinning top (an indecision formation). A break down at the bottom of this candle, I will take half position in profits and other half will stay at break even.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:18 | 显示全部楼层
I have added to my winning position at 1.9885.Attached Images





Missed the break of the Inside Bar on the 4 hour. Looking for a retrace to enter long
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:19 | 显示全部楼层
Pin Bar on the Daily GBPUSD is showing it's true power.Attached Images





Entered at retrace and rebreak of the Inside Bar at 200.15 and 200.28
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:20 | 显示全部楼层
S/R level on the GBPUSD. Let's see how Price reacts.Attached Images





We have a Fib cluster at 2.0066 level. Strong S/R level. Price Action show me the way.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:20 | 显示全部楼层
The hourly gann and qqe may show the way, with hourly Price Action of course.
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I learned all my fib lessons from Karmo. Practise, Practise, Learn and Practise.

Did anyone catch this Pin Bar (4 hour) on a trend line? I missed it.

This set up doesn't get any easier then this.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:21 | 显示全部楼层
testing testing my 4hr charts
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yeahhhhhhhhhhhh. Thanks jarro, i have been batling with thos numbers 4 a long time now. was using 1500 by 1500
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ok, goodmorning all, morning jaroo. if u look back i posted my setups 4 trade yesterday and some bearish butterflies on Aus thread yesterday. As u guys can see GJ broke my range hard to d down side. i was so busy trading dat i couldnt make posts.made lots up pips. this is an updated chart. look at how GJ bounced up and down up fib lines to d pip. LOL. di is easier than pooing.

Jaroo thank 4 d fibs lesson.
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check this out, price action on fibs and some trendlines

can u read in between d lines
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[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-26 15:22 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-26 15:22 | 显示全部楼层
I'll stay with my 1.9770 and 1.9885 a little longer. Daily gann may stay broken to the upside. I have taken some profits off the table.

Price Action On Trendlines and Fibs : Powerful Stuff.Attached Images





They look the same, don't they. One is a 4 hour and the other is a Daily at different times, different pairs. This shows the power of Price Action (Pin bars) on trend lines.
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