一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

GBPJPY monthly
I am wondering what might be next week for this pair...... a lot of long red candles, and some congestion at .618. The January candle met three .786 measurements and price bounced higher.....

What do you feel may be in store for this pair in coming days.?
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hefeiddd

Fib Cycles
This week will be interesting as there are several cycle dates due...
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hefeiddd

Gbpjpy
some fib bounces.....
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Bullish pattern
Although this pair seems to be in a free fall... there may be some resistance to the fall at this area......
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Gbpjpy
This pattern has offered some good results so far.....
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hefeiddd

Overlapping Patterns
Sunday nights are quiet times.....!!
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hefeiddd

Patterns
these are common. some give nice results and some are less than satisfactory
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Bearish 5.0 pattern
AB = CD

Apparently you should be able to short at D, we will have to observe....
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hefeiddd

using fibs for entries.....
take fibs from several time frames to evaluate entries, esp .618, 1.618. 2.618. those three indicate some great entries and exits.

Tomorrow I will post a couple actual entries using this.
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hefeiddd

Audusd
I have on this chart many sets of fib lines, with numbers ending in .618 done in red.

I accentuate the red ones as they produce the most significant and regular reverses...

Fib clusters on indicate where support or resistance may be lurking....

Old fib lines are as good as new ones..... price seems to react to them no matter how long ago they originated.....

I like having the lines on the one hour chart as they give me some insight as to what is happening and also what may be coming....

With a quick glance at this chart, one can see how influential the fibs are on price....
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Bullish Butterfly
I should have posted this a coup0le hours ago as it appeared.... lol
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Here is a Bearish Butterfly pattern that I was able to see. I post it for your input.

What I had defined as a 1-2-3 pattern appears to be a failed 1-2-3 pattern as price crosses back below point 'B'. Point D was a 127% Fibo extension of the swing from points 'A' and 'B'.

Point 'D' is where we would SELL with a STOP slightly above point 'X'.

This is a loose translation of the Gartley as I do not have the Fibonacci measurements between the points that would classify this as a hard and fast Gartley. I know some analytical types are cringing at this moment.

But alternate ways of applying Fibonacci open up many trading opportunities. We may be learning these together.
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hefeiddd

AUDUSD 5 minute
This chart has some of the indicators that I like to use.... Stochs and Macd.

The reason that I want to gain proficiency with Fib tool is to support what I am using already....

And it is easy to see that the Fib lines can add a lot to my decision making process.

I didn't use a full chart of the other system as it would cover the fibs..... However, I am really pleased to see what the fibs show......

This will help me a lot..
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EURAUD daily
Bullish Butterfly pattern.....

Having the Fib Clusters on here makes it a bit difficult to look at, however, there is a substantial benefit in seeing potential resistance and support.

And sure enough, the fib clusters are pointing out potential reversal areas.
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hefeiddd

Great charts. GBP/JPY has been a difficult one to trade. The overall trend is down. GBP/JPY failed to break the 38.2% retracement north.

A break of the 203.60 low could open up 195.00.

See the attached chartAttached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

AUD/USD could not be overcome 61.8% Fibonacci level despite positive data and rising interest rates.

Price finished its encounter with 61.8% level with a Harami candlestick pattern (long Blue candlestick followed by a smaller red candlestick that is completely engulfed by the Tall blue candle-wicks can be excluded)

Candlestick patterns have greater significance at Fibonacci support or resistance levels.Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Cable Targeting 2.0500
As the Bank of England left rates unchanged at 5.25% as fears of inflation prevent the an anticipated cut, GBP/USD has broken to the upside.

Plunging to a London Session low of 1.9720, cable rebounded aggressively at the 38.2% Fibonacci level on a 4 hour chart. The pair then took out the 1.9971 February 27th high to close up 2.0097.

The pair looks poised to hit the 100% extension target of 2.0350 and the 127% extension target of 2.0515.

See the attached chart.
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EUR/NZD targeting 1.9500
As the EURO takes the currency spotlight hitting all time highs versus the dollar, it is also making aggressive moves in the crossrate world.

From the February 25th low of 1.8188, EUR/NZD has rallied to the 1.9178 high of March 2nd.

A strong pull back to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of 1.8804 resulted in a bounce as Euro Kiwi bears attempt to drive the pair lower were rejected by strong buying. This buying pressure broke through the March 2nd with conviction closing up 153 pips for the day.

This breakout opens up the 1.9500 area.

Learn more about trading with Fibonacci Price levels by taking the FXCM 8-Day Intensive Powercourse: http://www.fxcm.com/fxcourse-portal.jsp
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hefeiddd

I think I posted this a day or so ago. but this is updated and concurs with your idea.

While the purists may insist on perfection and compliance. there are many instances where the rules may not be met but price behaves in the desired manner.....

And there is no 100 per cent perfect application.... all systems have failures.... our job is to make the best of what Mr Market presents and come out of it with a win...

Many of the supposed formations and patterns that I see do not conform exactly but they work.... on the other hand. a number of precise patterns fail.

I think that is what makes trading so exciting.... no matter how well prepared we think we are. there is a chance of being wrong....
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Audusd
here is a weird looking bearish pattern on 15 minute
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hefeiddd

$dji
This chart offers some room for discussion....

I see a - & S on there...., the magenta line touches the shoulders....., there is a set of parallel lines there. the channel is close to being broken. and there is a set of Fib lines....

Is there anything that I am missing...... what can we add to this for our purposes......
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$DJI weekly
Added downsloping parallels and calculated - & S target.... top of head to neck line is 1429 and that, subtracted from neckline. 12851. equals 10422, I double checked the arithmetic... LOL.....

The down move will meet resistance for sure at 10670..... there is a fib line and also four lows in that area....

There is such a correlation between this and GBPJPY that I think studying this is quite relevant to our day jobs..

Perhaps readers of the thread can add some input to this......
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hefeiddd

AUDUSD 15 minute
Butterfly from this morning.......

Somehow price seems to know the numbers....!
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EURUSD daily
This one may have some significance due to the 1.618..

For sure we will follow this as days pass.!!
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hefeiddd

AUDUSD 240 minute
Couple looks.....

There may be an AB = CD happening....
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Pattern
this one is not a 'by the book' edition.....

Interesting to observe that when popular ratios appear.... trend changes can occur
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hefeiddd

Audusd
This shows an entry and what I am waiting for on the next entry.....

Because present price action may be a retrace. I will wait for a clear higher low to form.....
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Audusd
and here is the next entry after the retracement
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hefeiddd

eur/gbp
looks like we have a butterfly on the daily chart thats about to come down soon. dont know why they didnt call them evil eyes. think that makes a lot more sense considering the market isnt anyones friend, unless they can do a george sorus like he did to the gbp in the 90s. in addition to the eyes, we have divergence, according to the 10 period rsi.
moe
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hefeiddd

What is very striking about your chart is that the Dow is making lower swing highs and lower swing lows. It has failed to make new highs. This is the definition of a down trend.
This is much more than a simple retrace; it appears to be a Reversal of trend.

See the attached chart:Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

The GBP/AUD has been i n a 8 month down trend. Recently, price has made a lower swing low but MACD fails to make a lower low. MACD lines actually form a double bottom. MACD divergence forecasts higher prices, it does not tell when it will happen nor how far this retracement will last.

A break of the old swing high at 2.2022 and the red down trend line could open up 2.2815.

See the attached chart:Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Gbpjpy
Bullish Butterfly
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