hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:14

Eurcad
Keep yours eyes peeled on EURCAD... I smell Free Money... LOL
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14400&stc=1&d=1210254682

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:15

As a contrary view:Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14405&stc=1&d=1210264593

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2008-5-12 15:23 编辑 ]

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:16

here is my chart...bottom line: bearish below 1.5594..first target at 1.5050Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14406&stc=1&d=1210266540

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:21

eurchf
Good day all,

It looks like a short term long position in the eur/chf. I'm not one for bucking the trend but it does not want to go below my iii . Please tell me if you have a different/ better count, I'm sure I missed something. A really tight stop is in order

Gordon
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14410&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1210280032

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:22

I closed my short EURCHF position for now, as per my chart, below.
Will wait for the end of the correction. The correction that I labeled a-b-c seems little shallow, I will expect another zig zag up before the trend down resumes.
MikeAttached Thumbnailshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14411&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1210282930






Aud Usd
It looks like an interesting setup in AUDUSD, see the chart.
Since yesterday we traced nice 5 waves down, followed by a W-X-Y correction to 61.8% fib.
Now we are starting a descent into wave 3, by the looks of it.
All on board!
Mike
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14412&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1210283810

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:24

Usdjpy
Looks like someone let the Bears in here !

Anyone have a decent count for the short term ?
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14413&stc=1&d=1210284194

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:25

Brad
i believe that the USDJPY correction is wave 2 and it will take a form of a W-X-Y double zig-zag that will take us to 104.40 area, but we will need to count the subwaves, once they develop.
BTW: Fib 50% is at 104.50

MikeAttached Thumbnailshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14418&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1210287757

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:27

Hey Brad, how about this one ?Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14416&stc=1&d=1210287204 http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14417&stc=1&d=1210287410

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:27

cable
EG or anyone trading cable,

I am still in favour of an up move to complete wave B before substantial down move. I know the price action is not in favour of my view but cable has been known for making surprises.

Anyways I think we are close in terms of completion of wave (C) of B of B. It's all on the charts bellow. The more detailed picture on 4H shows that wave (C) would be equal to wave (A) at 1.9362 area which is also the previous low.


In my books that would be a good long entry if it gets there. Anyone agree ?
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14419&stc=1&d=1210289656 http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14420&stc=1&d=1210289666

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:29

Here is what I think may be happening to the EUR/GBP according to the count I have below. I believe we are entering into a wave C which should take us down to fill in the gap between .7810-.7816. We should also test the trend line drawn of the April 23rd high that the pair broke through around .7800.
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14428&stc=1&d=1210296198

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:30

JimboFX

THANK you for putting up that chart. I am still stuck with 2 old long trades from the 1.99 levels. I managed to earn some from the moves yesterday prior to the news and a little more during the news doing scalps based on other systems.

I honestly am still looking for a clearer direction in my wave counts. This B of the BIGGER B seems to be playing out now as per the guideline found on PRECHTER"S book.

IN post # 3836 on page 456, I have explained part of my initial assesment on CABLE"S wave count believing that it was supposed to come down to 1.9545 still prior to going up to finish BIG "B" wave.

However, I still allowed some room for myself incase my count was in error when I started trading long even though 1.9545 was not yet achieved. this was 80% retrace of "A". HOWEVER, I just realized now that the minimum for a "B" to qualify as a "B" of a FLAT is at least 90% retrace of "A" as I review the guideline.

It was more like applying the guideline on the big "B" without applying the same guideline on the internal structure of the big "B" itself.

big "B" internal structure was /is supposed to be a flat or a triangle too. having finished a 3 wave structure up to 2.0396 from 1.9337 at nearly 61.8% retrace of big "A", this still cannot be the end of big "B" but most likely just the 1st leg of the whole structure.

SO a retrace down is inorder for the " b " of this big "B", which i thought was at 80% ( 1.9545 ) but now verified to be a must @ 90% retrace @ 1.9443 or lower down to 132.8% ( 1.8932 ) if this was an irregular FLAT.

I am now looking for an opportunity to go SHORT while my old longs are recovering.

HOPEFULLY , attached chart would be able to illustrate what I am saying here.

EGhttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/images/smilies/smile.gif

PS.

Today may see CABLE move up to the DAILY PIVOT @ 1.9600 or up to 1.9653 @ the Murrey Math strong resistance level before it starts dropping again. something I use when I can't have a clear wave count on the lower time frames.

PS 2...
just a heads up for those watching patterns. a harmonic/PESAVENTO Bullish pattern is developing on the 4 hour chart which actually shows a potential reversal to the upside as early as 1.9530 level. and to as low as 1.9273

but with EW counts we could see that we can have that reversal as early as the 90% retrace @ 1.9443
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14429&stc=1&d=1210300365 http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14430&stc=1&d=1210301506

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:31

Update on #7074
Last night I posted a chart on the EURUSD in an attempt to offer a contrary to Jamie's view. However, it turned out to be another bullish count I am now updating. Therefore, I would like someone to post a bearish one. Thank you
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14432&stc=1&d=1210309487

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:32

Here is a possible short-term count:Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14435&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1210317627

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:33

I made the same count before I saw yours. Here it is. The crosses with EUR and GBP have similar wave counts, I believe.
The 102.69 level is totally critical - it is possible, if it holds, to see another upswing to 106.xxAttached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14437&stc=1&d=1210326876

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:34

EURUSD is testing a potential resisting trendline RIGHT NOW....the rally has unfolded in 3 legs to this point. I am bearish as long as price is below 1.5594 (previous peak). Bearish potential in coming weeks is enormous...1.50 and below.
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14438&stc=1&d=1210327211

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:34

The USDCAD makes a strong case for USD strength to resume soon also. Risk is well defined at just below parity. I have not labeled the waves....but they are very clear here. Bigger picture, the drop to .9997 could have ended as a truncation (wave Y to complete W-X-Y from 1.0324).
Attached Imageshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14439&stc=1&d=1210327403

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:36

Eur/Usd -

Why Does it matter if everyone believes the Dollar has bottomed or not?

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Here is a look at what may be occuring ........http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/images/smilies/smile.gif
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Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14451&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1210344692

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:37

Bummer Market, I never did see your original chart posting on this. (Still can't find it.)

By the way, how do you quote a message keeping the charts in tact?

Here's what may be happening according to AGET:

http://i30.tinypic.com/2hq6n84.jpg

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:38

EURUSD 15 minute
For comparison only. Counts always subject to change.

http://i31.tinypic.com/2ic8i07.jpg

hefeiddd 发表于 2008-5-12 15:39

Nice chart. Here is another view I just worked up. Like an ABC correction to the .382 correction level of the entire drop from 1.60 that:

1. Is either already complete
2. May have another B leg down
3. May be moving up now to complete the C legAttached Thumbnailshttp://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/attachment.php?attachmentid=14455&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1210353270
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