技术分析的终极真理__ I disagree

biobuck

技术分析的终极真理__ I disagree

来自：MACD论坛(bbs.shudaoyoufang.com) 作者：biobuck 浏览：7448 回复：50

金融帝国:
" 技术分析不是精确的科学，而是一种心态的锻炼，一种赌术的培养。"



The author mistakenly confused technical analysis with trading!

Techinical analysis is a science, a tool or a method that traders use to measure the (past) market behavior. Technical analysis is not about how to predict the market.  It can't predict what the market will do tomorrow or next week.  It only tells you what the market has been doing!  Technical analysis is about history, not future!!!  Technical analysis canbe used to indentify the possible resistance or support levels based on the price history.  For me, I only buy at support and sell at resistance(if price failed to penetrate the resistance)..

On the other hand, trading is an art!   Trading involves a method (tool, such as technical analysis), a plan(money management and risk control), and most importantly trading psychology (emotional control).  I can have the best  brushes in the world, but I still can't paint well.  However, a master painter can use ordinary paint and brushes to create a master peice!!  Trading is similar.  You could have the best indicators or charts, but you may not be a master trader!

Good Luck in your tading!

[ Last edited by 海杉 on 2005-3-15 at 08:30 ]

anhuil

试沙发。   纯支持！

聚散随缘

haha,I don't know what you are disagreeing. I surpose you disagreed with youself. Actually there are no important difference
in between your article and the article you disagreed.

金融帝国

Originally posted by 聚散随缘 at 2005-3-14 12:29
haha,I don't know what you are disagreeing. I surpose you disagreed with youself. Actually there are no important difference
in between your article and the article you disagreed.

哇,这里面都是人才呀,我真的自叹不如!这些英语我几乎一句看不懂:*3*:
缘兄能帮我翻译一下吗?谢谢

biobuck

Originally posted by 聚散随缘 at 2005-3-14 12:29
haha,I don't know what you are disagreeing. I surpose you disagreed with youself. Actually there are no important difference
in between your article and the article you disagreed.

TA=/ Trading!!!!  I was merely pointing out the difference between the two.  

" 技术分析不是精确的科学，而是一种心态的锻炼，一种赌术的培养。"  
Change it to
" Trading不是精确的科学，而是一种心态的锻炼，一种赌术的培养。"

TA is a science about the past!

The rest stuff from 金融帝国 was good!



Good luck with your trading!

[ Last edited by biobuck on 2005-3-14 at 14:14 ]

gliadiator

Originally posted by biobuck at 2005-3-14 13:29



TA=/ Trading!!!!  I was merely pointing out the difference between the two.  

" 技术分析不是精确的科学，而是一种心态的锻炼，一种赌术的培养。"  
Change it to
" Trading不是精 ...

:*9*::*9*:It is an absolute fact.

[ Last edited by gliadiator on 2005-3-14 at 14:07 ]

聚散随缘

Originally posted by biobuck at 2005-3-14 13:29



TA=/ Trading!!!!  I was merely pointing out the difference between the two.  

" 技术分析不是精确的科学，而是一种心态的锻炼，一种赌术的培养。"  
Change it to
" Trading不是精 ...

OK!So it is that word,not the whole article.I agree now.
Good luck with you too.

聚散随缘

Originally posted by 金融帝国 at 2005-3-14 12:57

哇,这里面都是人才呀,我真的自叹不如!这些英语我几乎一句看不懂:*3*:
缘兄能帮我翻译一下吗?谢谢

主帖的译文(翻得不好，各位包涵)：
“作者错误混肴了技术分析与交易。
技术分析是科学，是对(过去)市场行为进行测量的工具或方法，而非用于预测市场，它不能预测市场明天或下个星期要做什么，只能告诉你市场已经做了什么!它与过去有关，与将来无关!基于历史股价技术分析可用来找到可能的阻力位或支持位，对我来说，我只买在支持位而卖在阻力位(如果股价不能穿越阻力位的话)
而交易则是艺术!交易涉及方法(或工具，如技术分析)，计划(资金管理和风险控制)，而更重要则是交易心理(情绪控制)。我可以用世上最好的画笔仍然画不出好画，而大师可以用普通画笔创造出经典之作!!交易亦如是，你可以用最漂亮的指标和图表，但可能还是成不了交易大师!
祝你交易好运!”

谁怕谁

学习啊。哈哈

金融帝国

Originally posted by 聚散随缘 at 2005-3-14 16:53


主帖的译文(翻得不好，各位包涵)：
“作者错误混肴了技术分析与交易。
技术分析是科学，是对(过去)市场行为进行测量的工具或方法，而非用于预测市场，它不能预测市场明天或下个星期要做什么，只能告诉你市场 ...

谢谢缘兄的翻译!
同时也谢谢搂主的提醒!我对于我的用词不当向大家道歉!
     其实我的本意和搂主是一致的!我在文章中的一开始就说明了,技术分析属于统计学的范畴!我口误的那句话的本意是:技术分析的时候不是精确的科学..........也就是缘兄和搂主所说的"交易"
      不好意思,特此更正!

金融帝国

Originally posted by 金融帝国 at 2005-3-14 18:11

谢谢缘兄的翻译!
同时也谢谢搂主的提醒!我对于我的用词不当向大家道歉!
     其实我的本意和搂主是一致的!我在文章中的一开始就说明了,技术分析属于统计学的范畴!我口误的那句话的本意是:技术分析的时候不是精 ...

技术分析的"运用",打错了两个字!!!不好意思!

冰雪寒香

" Trading不是精确的科学，而是一种心态的锻炼，一种赌术的培养。"
这话很精典.各位也很认真,很难得的心态.

冰雪寒香

如果人与人的触摸,不过触摸的是电磁力,那么伟大的爱情还能比摸电门来的刺激吗?

金融帝国

Originally posted by 冰雪寒香 at 2005-3-14 18:28
如果人与人的触摸,不过触摸的是电磁力,那么伟大的爱情还能比摸电门来的刺激吗?

版主，这句话暗示什么意思呀？

时价

交易就象爱情精妙之至 细微之至 是精确的科学

儒峰

继续加深交流，好！

biobuck

Thank you  聚散随缘 for the translation!  

I noticed many people on this board paid too much attention to 技术分析 and forgot what 交易 is all about.
Thank you 金融帝国 for the good article!

"交易就象爱情精妙之至 细微之至 是精确的科学"
haha I don't know about that.
How about
"交易就象爱情精妙之至 细微之至 and full of risk.  You can get your heart broken_so be prepared! "

Good luck with your trading!

时价

Originally posted by 时价 at 2005-3-14 19:46
交易就象爱情精妙之至 细微之至 是精确的科学

随口说的 交易是精确的科学,肯定不对.


本意想说
交易要象爱情: 一颦一笑地脉脉传情 弦外之音地心领神会 到达细致精妙的程度.

时价

交易需要理论知识 实用经验 对主力长期跟踪揣摩,
以至于有了盘感  懂了实时盘的语言  到了心领神会的程度

yangjiangbo

高手，就是高手。