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【翻译】MMA金融占星8月1日周预测
来自:MACD论坛(bbs.shudaoyoufang.com)
作者:gerade
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随便翻译的。大家随便看看。
实在没啥时间,今天上班翻的。
REVIEW AND PREVIEW
回顾及前瞻
It was a strange week for equity markets around the world, as several made new multi-month highs, while others fell a little short, and still others were even down. However, “strange” is a description often associated with Uranus. “Divergence” is yet another. Last week ended with Uranus turning retrograde. It was strange, and filled with market divergences.
这是奇怪的一周对于全球的股票市场,因为几个市场创了多月新高,但是其他市场下跌了一会,还有另外一些甚至下跌。然而,奇怪常常是和天王星相关的描述。背离(分歧)是另外一个。上周以天王星逆行结束。这是一个奇怪充满市场分歧的一周。
In the USA, for instance, the S&P futures made a new all-time high to start the week and ended the week near to those highs. On Friday, July 29, the NASDAQ Composite soared to its highest level since early December 2015. This is not so unusual because the NASDAQ is ruled by Uranus. But the DJIA kept falling all week even as the other indices were rising. The DJIA was testing its lowest level in two weeks on Friday.
在美国比如,S&P期货以创了历史新高开始一周,以接近这一新高结束这周。在7月29日周五,纳斯达克指数创了其从2015年12月以来的最高水平。这是如此的不同寻常,因为纳斯达克被天王星主宰,但是道琼斯指数仍然整周保持下跌,即使其他指数在上扬。道琼斯指数在周五测试它近两周的最低水平。
In Europe, all stock indices were strong, with each of those we track making multi-month highs during the week. Several Asian and Pacific Rim markets did the same, but not so in China or Japan.
在欧洲,所有股市指数都非常的强,我们跟踪的每个指数都在本周创了多月新高。几个亚洲和环太平洋市场类似,除了中国和日本
Thus, we have cases of intermarket bearish divergence in various stock indices of the world as Uranus turns retrograde. We are also headed to a new moon in Leo on Tuesday, the same day that Mars enters Sagittarius. In other words, markets could reverse any day now, especially the NASDAQ and other highly exposed tech indices.
因此,当天王星逆行时,我们有了在全球不同的股市指数交叉市场熊市分歧的案例。当火星进入射手的同一天,我们也在周二遇到了在狮子座的新月。用别的话说,市场现在可以在任何一天反转,特别是纳斯达克以及其他和技术指数相关的市场。
Gold and Silver also exhibited a rather remarkable week, which was what we expected. That is, major cycle lows formed July 21-25, and then, as we are near the end of Mars in Scorpio, a sharp rally unfolded. Crude Oil, however, continued its multi-week decline, with prices now testing $40/barrel, its lowest level in over three months.
黄金和白银也呈现了一个不错的一周,这是我们意料之中的。这个是主要周期低点已经在7月21日到25日行程,然后我们接近火星在天蝎座,一个强烈的上攻展开。但是原油继续多周的下跌,价格现在测试40美刀/桶,三个月以来的最低水平。
The big story in financial markets last week, however, had to do with currencies. Consistent with our call that the Fed would not raise interest rates before the election, and instead would do everything possible to be accommodative –making sure the economy and stock markets exhibit signs of strength going into the election – the FOMC announcement last week reflected exactly that thought. There would be no change, no increase, in short-term interest rates for the present. On that news, the Dollar fell hard against most major currencies, especially the Japanese Yen, Euro, and Swiss Franc. As stated in last week’s column, “Why is this important? Because if the Dollar makes a new yearly high (back to or above the 100.51 high of December 2, 2015), it fits a 16-year cycle pattern whereby the Republicans win the White House. Do I think this will happen? No. I think the Federal Reserve is doing everything in its power to prevent that. They are orchestrating a scenario where the stock market continues to soar and people will feel a “wealth effect” from new stock market highs, thereby diminishing the Republican (and Donald Trump’s) argument that the economy is lousy. The Fed is getting everything it wants in this regard, and will continue to do so. The only problem is that the Dollar is not cooperating and falling from these policies, thereby supporting the bottom line of USA multi-national corporations.” But last week, that changed. It makes you wonder when Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump proclaims, “… the system is rigged.” Nevertheless, rigged or not, you cannot win if you don’t play the game.
但是,上周金融市场的大故事,必须和货币相关。和我们的一起一致,在选举前,联邦不会升息,并且反而会尽一切可能的对市场有所帮助,在选举前,使经济和股市表现出强势的信号。联邦公开市场委员会上周的申明反应了以上思想。当前短期利率不会有变化,不会增长。其他新闻,美元对于主要货币强烈的下跌,特别是日元,欧元和瑞士法郎。上期中说道“为什么这个很重要,因为如果美元创了年度新高(回到或者高于2015年12月2日的100.51的高点)它和共和党将赢得白宫的16年周期匹配。我想这会发生吗?不,我觉得美联储将用尽它的力量去阻止这个的发生。他们正在合奏一幕股市继续扬升,人们将从股市新高感觉到财富效应,从而减弱共和党(还有特普朗)关于经济很糟的论据。美联储将得到它想在这方面得到的一切,并继续这么做。唯一的问题是美元并不配合,从这些政策脱落,因而支持美国多国合作的底线。”但是上周,这个改变了。你在想什么时候共和党总统候选人特普朗宣称“这个系统被操纵了”不论如何,操纵或者没有,你不能取胜,如果你不参与这个游戏。(这个比赛)
SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS
短期预测(地心天象)
We are in a crazy cosmic time band now that will last through mid-September, where strange things can happen, where almost anything can happen. Not only is Uranus turning retrograde right now on July 29, but on Tuesday, August 2, there will be a new moon in Leo as Mars leaves Scorpio and enters Sagittarius. As stated last week, “… on August 2, Mars will begin an 8-week sojourn through Sagittarius, which acts a lot like Uranus. This implies there will be more records broken, in sports and financial markets. In most cases observed in the past (but not in all cases), Mars in Sagittarius is favorable for stocks, but not so favorable for precious metals, at least not while in the early degrees.” In terms of mundane matters, this combination continues to warn about dangerous conditions in the world, via terrorism or acts of nature. It doesn’t get any less combustible when heliocentric Mercury enters Sagittarius on August 9, which often corresponds to powerful moves in precious metals. But will those sharp moves be up or down this time? With Mars in Sagittarius, it can first go one way and then the other.
现在我们在一段疯狂的宇宙时间段,将持续到9月中,这期间奇怪的时间可能发生,几乎任何事情可以发生。不仅这是现在7?29日天王星逆行,而且是8月2日周二,将有狮子座新月,同时火星离开天蝎进入射手。如上周所说“8月2日,祸心将开始为期8周的射手座逗留,这个表现的很像天王星。这表示在体育和金融市场有很多记录将被打破。观察过去大多数情况(不是所有的情况),火星在射手座将对股市不错,但是对贵金属不那么好,至少在开始的几度不那么好。”在世俗师父方面,这个组合将继续对全球危险的情况预警,通过恐怖主义或者自然现象。在8月9日经常伴随着贵金属的强烈运动的日心水星进入射手座之前,这种情况不会减弱。但是这次这些强烈运动将是向下还是向上呢?当火星在射手座时,他们将先向一个方向,然后在反向。
Equally important will be the period around August 13 when Saturn turns direct, and Venus squares Saturn on the same day, and then squares Neptune the day after. Venus rules love and money. Neptune rules love. Saturn rules “loss” or “lack of.” It is the same old story: no money, no love. In terms of market psychology, this could correlate with a broken agreement that was expected to yield a huge profit. No agreement, no money. It is so “heartbreak hotel.”
在此期间同样重要的是8月13日在同一天发生土星顺和行金星土星相刑,然后一天之后金星海王星相刑。金星掌管爱情和金钱。海王掌管爱情。土星掌管损失和匮乏。这是个老故事:没有金钱,没有爱情。在市场心理学方面,这个可以和一个被破坏的协议相关,该协议层预期产生巨额的利润。没有协议,没有金钱。这是”伤心的旅馆“(猫王的歌)
LONG-TERM THOUGHTS AND MUNDANE ASTROLOGY
长期思考及世俗占星
Near-zero interest rates aren't good for the economy in the long run, bond guru Bill Gross said Wednesday. That's because low rates hinder the ability of savers to earn a return on their money, and that impedes investment, he said. "Capitalism can't really thrive," the manager of the Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund said in an interview on CNBC. "Ultimately in terms of real economic growth, an economy needs certainly a positive interest rate and maybe even a close to positive real interest rate in order to function normally," he said. -Michael Fox, CNBC, July 27.
接近0的利率对于长期经济不好,周三债券大师Bill Gross说道。因为低利率阻碍了储蓄者从他们的钱获得回报,这将阻碍投资,他说。“资本主义不能真正存活”,Janus全球无约束债券基金经理Michael Fox在接受CNBC的采访时说道。“对于真正的经济增长而言,经济肯定需要一个正的利率,甚至一个接近正的实际利率(实际利率是指剔除通货膨胀率后储户或投资者得到利息回报的真实利率。),从而正常工作--CNBC,7月27日
These near-zero interest rates are a by-product of the 36-year Saturn/Neptune waning square, as described in our Forecast 2016 Book. The last of three passages of this aspect will be completed on September 10, the day after Jupiter leaves Virgo and enters Libra for the next 13 months.
这些接近0的利率是36年土星海王星出相相刑(即270度)的副产品,如我们2016年预测书中描述的。这个相位的三段中的最后一段将在9月10日完成,一天之后,木星离开处女座,在其后的13个月待在天秤座
However, getting to the middle of September will be a rocky road from here. On the political front, Hillary Clinton became the first female to be nominated to the USA presidency by a major political party last week. That too is a characteristic of Uranus being highlighted (first time ever type of events). However, this was not a surprise. It had been expected for several months. But what will be very interesting is the choice of American voters on November 8. Will they choose a party whose candidates have their natal Sun making a grand trine to the nation’s Venus/Jupiter conjunction in early Cancer (Clinton and Kaine)? Or will they choose a party whose candidates have natal their Sun conjunct the USA Mars, square Neptune (Trump and Pence)? We will be discussing this in our next YouTube video, possibly to be conducted this week. Either one could win, with the polls showing a wide range of disparity already. The LA Times/USC poll shows Trump now ahead by 7%. The Economist/YouGov poll shows Clinton ahead by 5%. The average of all polls, shown by Real Clear Politics, has Trump ahead 45.6% to 44.7% as of July 27. Already, the polls, like the markets, are showing signs of great divergence.
然而,从现在到9月中将是一段崎岖的道路。在政治前线,上周希拉里成为被主要政党提名为美国总统候选人的第一位雌性(gerade异常讨厌希拉里)。这也是被高亮的天王星的一个特性(首次类型事件)但是,这并不奇怪。这个已经被预期了几个月了。但是真正有趣的是美国选民在11月8日的选择。他们将选择一个候选人的本命太阳和国家的相合在巨蟹前几度的金星木星形成大三角的政党吗?(希拉里和凯恩)或者他们将选择一个候选人的本命太阳和美国的火星相合,海王星相刑(特普朗和本士)的政党吗?我们将在下一个油管视频总进行讨论,可能在本周进行。不论哪方取胜,民意调查都已经显现出大范围的不一致。洛杉矶时报/USC的民意调查显示特普朗已经领先7%。经济学人/ YouGov的民意调查显示,希拉里领先了5%。所有民意调查的均值,Real Clear Politics显示,特普朗在7月27日以45.6%对44.7%领先。民意调研,如同市场,已经显示极大的分歧的信号。
Everything is so Uranian as we end July. But I don’t know if we should celebrate, for August will be so Saturnian. Be prepared to see a lot of the past brought up, for that is what Saturn does. It makes you accountable for decisions and actions made in the past. At least Uranus (July) made us think about the future – historic, but strange.
一切都如此的天王星,当我们结束七月。但是我不知道我们是否应该庆祝。八月将非常的土星。准备好看到很多过去将被提及,因为这就是土星(干的)。它让你为过去所作出的决定和行为负责。至少天王星(7月)让我们思考未来 - 历史的,但奇怪的。
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参与人数 3 | 奖励 +33 |
热心 +15 |
金币 +30 |
时间 |
理由
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车场
| + 8 |
+ 3 |
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2016-8-19 09:39 |
看完楼主的帖子,我的心情竟是久久不能平复!太棒了! |
xmhenry
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2016-8-7 15:32 |
感谢分享^_^ |
雨都孟军
| + 24 |
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2016-8-1 21:11 |
感谢分享^_^ |
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