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【翻译】MMA金融占星5月7日周评
来自:MACD论坛(bbs.shudaoyoufang.com)
作者:gerade
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本帖最后由 gerade 于 2016-5-8 02:31 编辑
Review and Preview :
回顾与前瞻
"Donald Trump said Tuesday he would 'most likely' replace Federal Reserve Board Chairwoman Janet Yellen if elected". - David Harrison, "Trump: I'd likely Seek New Fed Chief", Wall Street Journal, May 6, 2016.
“唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)周二说如果他当选,他会换掉美国联邦储备委员会主席 珍妮特•耶伦” -- David Harrison “特朗普说:我很有可能寻求新的美联储主席”,华尔街日报,2016年5月6日。
"If you think the battle between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump could be nasty, just wait until he starts on Janet Yellen with her natal full moon falling opposite his natal Mars on his Ascendant". Our second YouTube interview on "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures", at :(我删掉啦) March 25, 2016.
在我们2016年3月25日发布的YouTube系列“不可思议的春天地心天象系列”的第二集(网址为:我删掉啦)的采访中提到:“如果你认为希拉里·克林顿和唐纳德·特朗普之间的战斗可能是肮脏的,请等待直到特朗普开始提及耶伦(就知道什么是肮脏了),耶伦的本命满月和特朗普的本命上升火星刚好对冲。”
World equity markets continued to fall last week from their 2016 highs of April 20-21, which was also an MAA three-star critical reversal period, and a time when Venus made its translation to the Uranus/Pluto square. On Friday's new Moon, May 6, stocks dropped to their lowest price since those highs of two weeks ago.
全球股市上周继续自2016年4月20-21日的高点的下跌,这也是一个MAA三星级的关键逆转时间,而金星也在同一时间和成90度的天王星/冥王星发生关联。在5月6日上周五,正好新月,股市自两周前的高点下跌至的最低价格。
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, fell from a high of 18,167 on April 20 to a low of 17,580 on Friday, May 6, after the nonfarm payroll reports showed an increase of only 160,000 jobs when expectations were for over 200,000. The market dropped, right to the extension of a former trendline as discussed in Part 1 of our YouTube series on "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures". The less-than-expected payroll numbers actually boosted stocks because
1) new jobs were still up, and
2) because the increase fell below expectations, it implies the Fed will not raise interest rates soon, despite their last announcement that they were cutting back from four increases to only two this year. Maybe there will be none prior to election now, again per our YouTube interviews. The Central Banks do not want Trump to win because he threatens their independence, as Andrew Jackson. However, as far as equity markets are concerned, not raising the rates will likely propel the economy and stocks onward and upward, maybe enough to take away that campaign advantage for Trump that the economy is weak, as covered in interview #2.
例如,5月6日上周五,在非农就业报告发布了同比增长仅为16万工作,而不是期望的超过20万个工作岗位的消息之后,道琼斯工业平均指数从4月20日18167跌至低点17580。市场下跌,正如在我们的YouTube系列“不可思议的春天地心天象系列”的第一集中讨论的一样,刚好是前趋势线的延伸。 低于预期的就业数据实际上提振股票市场因为:
1)新的就业机会仍在增长,
2)由于工作岗位增长低于预期,这意味着,美联储不会很快加息,尽管他们去年宣布,他们今年的加息会从四次减少到只有只有两次。同样如我们油管系列中说的,也许在竞选没有结束前一次都不会发生了。央行不想唐纳德·特朗普取得竞选的胜利,因为他会威胁行的独立性,如同安德鲁·杰克逊一样(安德鲁·杰克逊(Andrew Jackson,1767年3月15日─1845年6月8日)是美国第7任总统(1828-1836年))。如在包括在我们的油管系列二中所说,然而,就股市而言,不加息可能会推动经济和股市步步高升,也许足以带走特朗普(指责)经济疲软的竞选优势。
In other markets, Gold and Silver made new multi-month highs on Monday, May 2, then declined into Thursday-Friday, and then Gold rallied again to test $1300 on Friday. It acted very much like a typical Mercury retrograde (April 28-May 22), by first breaking to new cycle highs, then falling below daily support, then rallying up again. Under Mercury retrograde, it seems to shift momentum every 1-4 days, exhibiting first bullish, then bearish, signals along the way, which turn out to be fake-outs. Currencies are doing the same cosmic dance, exploding to new cycle highs early last week, then falling rather hard into the end of the week. The Trickster Mercury seems to get added energy from Mars, who is also retrograde now through June 29. Treasuries were strong all week, while Crude Oil traded in a $3.00 range.
在其他市场,黄金和白银在5月2日周一,创了数月以来的新的高点,然后下跌至周四和周五,然后黄金上周五再度反弹,测试$ 1300的位置。这表现得很像一个典型的水星逆行(从4月28日至5月22日)(期间该发生的现象),首先突破周期新高,然后跌破日线支持,然后再次上攻。在水星逆行影响下,每隔1-4天运动方向会发生变化,先显示上涨信号,然后显示下跌信号,这些信号都是假的信号。货币也在跳着同样的宇宙之舞,上周快速上升至新周期的高点,然后迅速下跌持续到上周结束。骗子水星似乎得到来自火星的能量,火星现在也在逆行,直到6月29日结束。美国国债一周都很强势,而原油交易价格3美元的范围内震荡。
Short-Term Geocosmics & LONG-TERM THOUGHTS :
短期预测:
Our column last week stated, "... next week we will find a harmonious grand trine playing out between the Sun and Venus (in Taurus) to Jupiter and Pluto (in Virgo and Capricorn). That is an earth sign grand trine, which usually means "money". This favorable configuration starts May 3 and lasts through May 13.... This is one reason why it is not wise to get too bearish on the stock market. Yes, equities can fall into this period, especially given that Mercury is retrograding at 23 degrees of Taurus, which makes a hard aspect to the New York Stock Exchange chart (May 17, 1792, known as "The Buttonwood" chart). If they do continue to fall into this period, it suggests a strong rally will follow".
我们的专栏上周说:“…下周我们会找到一个和谐的大三角,在太阳和金星(金牛座)与木星及冥王星之间(分别在处女座和摩羯座)。这是一个土象星座大三角,这通常意味着“钱”。这种有利的星象在5月3日开始,持续至5月13日…这就是为什么对股市过分看空是不明智的。是的,股市可能在这一时期会下跌,特别是考虑到水星是在23度金牛座逆行,这和纽约证券交易所盘形成了一个硬相位(1792 5月17日,被称为“梧桐树”图)。如果他们在这个时间下跌,它表明一个强劲反弹将随之而来。”
Besides being in the middle of favorable Jupiter transits, which can give a temporary spike to stocks, there are other notable geocosmic signatures unfolding now. On Monday, Mercury will eclipse the Sun, a rare phenomenon that happens about 13 times per century. In the skies, it will look like a black speck crossing in front of the Sun for about 6-7 hours. If you are looking for it, use proper safety glasses. I am not sure that by itself will affect financial markets, but I think May 10 could, since that is when the midpoint to this Mercury retrograde period occurs, and midpoints of Mercury retrograde have a strong correlation to reversals in financial markets that did not reverse when Mercury turned retrograde on April 28, +/- 1 day.
除了处在好的木星过运期间可以令股市有一个临时的高峰,还有其他重要的地心天象正在展开。周一将发生水星凌日,这是个罕见的现象,每百年发生发生约13次。在天空中,它看起来像在太阳的前面有一个黑点经过,持续约6-7小时。如果你要观看它,请使用适当的安全防护眼镜。我不知道这一天文现象本身会如何影响金融市场,但我认为5月10日可能影响市场,因为这是这一水星逆行的中点,水星逆行的中点和当水星4月28日+/- 1天开启逆行时没有发生逆转的金融市场的逆转有着很强的相关性。
Another important cosmic occurrence this week occurs when heliocentric Mercury begins its 11-day journey through Sagittarius, May 13-24. This will be fascinating because that pairing usually corresponds to sharp price movements in metals and currencies (usually up), but it is occurring near the end of Mercury retrograde, which is a time that is usually not very volatile for financial markets. Which will dominate ? Or will we see both expressions manifest ?.
本周另一个重要的宇宙正在发生,日心角度,5月13日至24日水星开始其11天的经过射手座旅程。这将是有趣的,因为这个搭配通常对应于金属和货币价格大幅波动(通常是上涨),但这个发生在水星逆行快要结束之时,这是一个通常不是金融市场有着大幅波动的时间段。这将成为主导?或者,我们会看到两者都会呈现?
Longer-Term Geocosmic Signatures :
长期预测(地心宇宙天象)
" Key U.S. economic information may have been leaked ahead of its release, judging from the price moves in key equity and bond futures contracts, according to a study released Monday. The European Central Bank published a working paper arguing that seven out of 21 market-moving announcements show evidence of "substantial informed trading" before the official release time. The authors looked at price movements 30 minutes before that data's release and studied the movements in futures on the S&P 500 index and 10-year Treasury note. They did this on 21 indicators from January 2008 to March 2014..." Steve Goldstein, "U.S. Data is Being Leaked, ECB Study Suggests", Market Watch, May 2, 2016.
根据星期一公布的一项研究表明,“关键的美国经济信息可能已经被提前泄露了,这可以从关键的股票和债券期货合约的价格变动中得到判断。欧洲中央银行发表了一份工作文件,认为21个市场中的七个市场波动的公告提供了证据,证明在正式发布时间之前存在“大量知情交易”。该作者查找了在数据的发布30分钟前的价格变动,并研究了期货交易的标普500指数和10年期国债的价格变动。他们对2008年一月至2014年3月期间的21个市场指标进行了研究 --Steve GoldStein,“欧洲央行的研究表明美国数据被(提前)泄露”,市场观察,2016年5月2日。
"As stated before, Neptune can be sneaky, lurking invisibly behind the shadows as if part of the environment itself, while it goes about its subterfuge. It concocts ways to not be seen, and discretion is held in the highest regard in order to carry out a plot that others cannot see or discover easily. Neptune is stealth-like. When this behavior is applied to financial markets (or valuable jewelry, art, or financial portfolios), it can lead to such activities as thievery, bribery, embezzlement, hoaxes, and manipulation in order to make a financial fortune dishonestly. It can manifest as manipulation of financial markets. There have been several cases leading to charges of insider trading lately, but this may begin a new round of actual market manipulation by large firms, and even governments". Forecast 2016 Book, written by Raymond Merriman, November 2015.
“如前所述,海王星可以偷偷摸摸的,无形之中潜伏在阴影背后,就像环境的一部分。它可以不被看到,高度慎重以进行阴谋,使别人无法看到或不容被发现。海王星可以像隐形了一样。当这种行为方式应用于金融市场(或贵重珠宝,艺术品,或者金融投资组合),它可以导致盗窃、贿赂、挪用公款、恶作剧和操纵等活动,,从而不诚实的获得金融财富。它可以表现为操纵金融市场。最近已经有几起案件作为内幕交易而进行指控,而这可能是由大型企业甚至政府开始了新一轮的市场操纵。 -- 《2016年预测》,雷蒙德·梅里曼2015年11月著。
Life during the 36-year Saturn/Neptune waning square cycle has certainly been... strange, especially following the Uranus/Pluto waxing square of 2012-2015. Sometimes it seems overwhelming when you try to put together just how remarkable and bizarre these years have been, and continue to be today. It is hard to comprehend because we are living in it. When you are going through the experience, it is difficult to be objective about it. It is as if you need some time and distance away from the experience to realize just how profound it is. Did anyone imagine the emergence of ISIS before this period ? Or that there would be a USA election between someone like Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who both possess the highest disapproval ratings of any two candidates running for the office of presidency ever ? With Saturn/Neptune in hard aspect, the core psychological issue to navigate is "trust versus mistrust". Who can you trust ? This was supposed to be an election about character and trust. Instead, it has become a contest between two characters that are both mistrusted by the majority of Americans.
生活在长达36年的土星/海王星衰弱四分周期期间肯定是…奇怪的,特别是紧跟着2012-2015年天王星/冥王星扩张四分周期。有时候,当你试图把这些年来直到今天所发生的卓越和奇异的市场拼在一起的时候,它似乎是势不可挡的。很难理解,因为我们生活在它中间。当你正在经历时,你很难被客观对待它。这就好像你需要一段时间和距离,去体会它是多么的深刻。谁能这个时期之前想象到ISIS的出现?或者谁能想象会有一个像克林顿希拉里和唐纳德特普朗这样都拥有最高的不赞成率的两位候选人来进行总统选举?当土星/海王星处在凶(硬)相位,核心的心理问题是“信任与不信任”。你相信谁?这应该是一个关于角色和信任的选举。但是,它已成为一个大多数美国人都不信任的角色之间竞赛了。
On top of that, we now learn what has been suspected all along : financial markets may be manipulated - taken advantage of - by those who pay for access to government data just before those announcements are made public, and which sharply affect market prices right afterwards. By engaging in this dishonest behavior (Saturn square Neptune), they gain an unfair advantage over others, which amounts to thievery (also a negative manifestation of Saturn square Neptune).
最重要的是,我们现在搞清楚了一直怀疑的是什么:金融市场可能被操纵 ,被那些在数据公布之前就花钱获得了这些政府数据的人利用了,而这(一行为)随后极大地影响了市场价格。通过参与这种不诚实行为(土星四分(刑)海王星),他们获得了相比其他人不公平的优势,这相当于偷窃(也一种土星四分/刑海王星的负面表现)。
Who is paying for this information ? Who is agreeing to release it ? We probably won't know while the Saturn/Neptune aspect is in effect (through September 10), for Neptune is adept at hiding what it is doing, creating distractions away from the "hand in the cookie jar".
是谁付钱购买这些信息?是谁同意泄露这些信息?在土星和海王星的相位影响期间(到9月10日),我们可能不知道这些(的答案),因为海王星善于隐藏它在做什么,使别人不会发现它在干坏事。
The good news is that these transits will end, and the truth will eventually come out. With Pluto still in Capricorn through 2024, revelations of corruption will continue to come to the surface, and the public will continue to demand accountability and consequence. Right now, with Neptune having the ability to evade detection as well as accountability and consequence (domains of Saturn), these stealth-like activities will probably remain hard to discover.
好消息是,这些过运即将结束,真相最终会被发现。至2024年,冥王星都处于摩羯座,对腐败揭露会继续持续,公众将继续要求追究责任和后果。眼下,通过海王星的逃避检测以及责任和后果(土星域)的能力,这些隐藏的活动可能会难以被发现。
However, looking ahead to 2020, we note that Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto come together in Saturn's ruling sign of Capricorn. The shift from dishonesty, in a climate of distrust, will start to give way to a climate based upon honesty and trust, resulting in a much different election climate. People think that both political parties are on the verge of self-destruction, never to return to what they once were. I don't think so. I think in 2020, both parties will return to the higher standards of what they once were. Under the Capricorn stellium, the pendulum can radically shift back to the desire for unity and basic values that once made America great. That is what Capricorn does. That is what Saturn does when aligned with Jupiter (and Pluto). I think the election of 2020 will produce a leader that will go down as one of the great presidents in US history, along the lines of Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan, whether it is Elizabeth Warren or Paul Ryan.
然而,展望未来,在2020年,木星,土星,冥王星在土星主宰的摩羯座汇合。在不信任的气氛中的不诚实的情况,将开始让位于基于诚实和信任的气氛,从而造成了非常不同的选举环境。人们认为两个政党都在自我毁灭的边缘,再也无法回到他们曾经的状态。我不赞同这种看法。我认为在2020年,两党将恢复到比他们曾经有过的更高的标准。摩羯座的星簇影响之下(即木,土,冥王汇聚),钟摆将根本上回归曾经使美国伟大的基本价值观,以及统一的期望。这就是在摩羯座期间会发生的事。这就是土星与木星(和冥王星)相聚的时候会发生的事。我认为,2020年大选将产生一个领导者,他将成为美国历史上最伟大的总统之一,他会沿富兰克林·罗斯福和罗纳德·里根的路(前行),无论他是沃伦还是保罗·瑞安。
The election of 2016 is a catalyst for this shift. It is also a turning point in a long-term social cycle that started with the Uranus/Pluto conjunction of 1965-66. Back then, the world exploded socially, politically, financially, and then manifested in the stormy violent protests of the 1968 election season. In 2012-2015, the world likewise erupted into great violence as the Uranus/Pluto first quarter cycle unfolded, highlighted by violent protests leading into the 2016 election right after the Uranus/Pluto hard aspect (again). The USA and the world made it through that period, despite the doom and gloom that the end was near. The pendulum of vast social change will make it through this one too... I think. Being a Capricorn myself, I always believe history repeats itself, But I always worry that the great German philosopher Friedrich Hegel may be right too, when he wrote, "What experience and history teach us is this : that people and governments have never learned anything from history".
2016年大选是这一转变的催化剂。它也是自1965-66天王星/冥王星相合而开始的长期的社会循环的一个转折点。当时,世界上的社会,政治,经济上都在爆发,然后在1968年的选举季节期间如暴风雨的暴力抗议活动中体现出来了。在2012- 2015年,,在天王星/冥王星第一个四分之一周期期间展开之时,世界上也爆发出巨大的暴力,在天王星/冥王星发生硬相位(再次)后,2016年的选举中通过暴力抗议再次体现出来。美国和世界熬过了这个时期,尽管危困,但已接近尾声。庞大的社会变革的钟摆也将熬过这一阶段......我想。作为一个摩羯座,我始终相信历史会重演,但我总是担心,伟大的德国哲学家黑格尔可能也是正确。他写道,“经验和历史教给我们:人们和政府从来就没有从历史中学到任何东西“。
To be continued (next week).
(下周)未完待续。
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