学习。
:*22*: :*22*:
原帖由 marine0307 于 2009-8-17 16:27 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
不知道是不是老普画的
老普的书是常放在案头，但这个图不能认同，除了1浪4浪重叠的问题外：
一、6124下来画成5浪，其中部分子浪内部形态就会很牵强。我也想把它画成5浪，1年了硬是没画得出来。
二、看似很 ...
这是老普去年底画的图，今年都过去一大半了。老普能画出5浪，您没画出来，看来你们俩用的方法不一样。
好象是那环球什么上面的？
Last month we said that the explosive volume during China’s advance in February indicated a third wave. Volume can again help us to confirm the wave count. Volume during the March and April advance has so far been less than February’s advance. Elliott Wave Principle observes that “in a normal fifth wave below Primary degree, volume tends to be less than in the third wave” .The 2005-2007 rally in the Shanghai Composite displays at least a few examples of this phenomenon. Notice how volume trailed off at the end of wave (1), wave 1 of (3), and at the end of wave 5 itself. Since that pattern is occurring again, the impulse up from the November lows in China is likely to be in its terminal stage. New volume highs in the rally would suggest that wave 5 is extending, asElliott Wave Principle also states, “If volume in an advancing fifth wave of less than Primary degree is equal to or greater than that in the third wave, an extension of the fifth is in force.”
1 l5 p/ m6 v* D7 y$ _! e2 z$ }
Another indication that China’s mood may be nearing a point of temporary excess was the news on March 6 that the nation’s stock market regulators “may soon end a moratorium on initial public offerings after the Shanghai Composite Index rallied 20 percent this year to become the world’s best-performing stock benchmark.” The authorities had imposed the ban in September after the index had fallen more than 60% to become the world’s then worst-performing stock benchmark. Elliott Wave International has long demonstrated how government is “the ultimate trend-follower,” because it reacts to trends only after they are mostly over. If the regulators give their signal soon, it could be a short-term sell for Chinese stocks.# z: Y* o/ }7 e9 Y3 e6 ?+ L- u/ Z
In labeling the advance an impulse, we ignore the slight intraday overlaps of the bottom of wave 4 with the top of wave 1 in the Shanghai Composite. We feel comfortable doing that because many other Chinese general indexes, including the CSI 300, the Shenzhen Composite, and the Shenzhen Small & Medium Enterprise (SME) Index, all show no overlap and have advanced in clearly impulsive patterns. Wave 5 may hit our long-standing minimum target at 2700, near the top of the trend channel. If it doesn’t do so now, it should do so later in wave B. The SME Index’s advance may end near the 61.8% retracement of the 2007-2008 decline.The small-cap growth index’s rapid rebound is encouraging for
the long-term in China. Following the 1973-1974 bear market, the Nasdaq Index may have foretold the next growth cycle by recovering to new all-time highs in 1979, three years before the Dow Jones Industrial Average. For the long-
发现普大师看空不是一点半点，刚刚看到好像说道指要下400？——没错，没少零，:mad:
原帖由 亡灵法师 于 2009-8-17 22:45 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
好象是那环球什么上面的？
Last month we said that the explosive volume during China’s advance in February indicated a third wave. Volume can again help us to confirm the wave count. Volume dur ...
不知大师知不知道银行放出天量资金和大小非天量解禁的事。
原帖由 sar 于 2009-8-18 09:25 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
不知大师知不知道银行放出天量资金和大小非天量解禁的事。
大师应该不知道也管不了。
不过大师确定：只要中国的股民知道就行了。:*29*:
所以他只画波浪。
原帖由 haoyoo 于 2009-8-18 09:47 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
大师应该不知道也管不了。
不过大师确定：只要中国的股民知道就行了。:*29*:
所以他只画波浪。
此种情况下，用成交量判断浪型有没有可能发生偏差？
"银行放出天量资金和大小非天量解禁"
这些资金眼里也只有涨跌。
赚的少了他也不卖。
赚的多了还更想多。
没有解禁的时候他的心态跟指数一样，解禁了心态还是跟指数一下。
1块钱的成本能够熬10年，不在乎再熬10年。
我们都是没钱人，用没钱的心态在度这些有钱的爷们。
有个笑话：
大清朝的农姑说，我要是西太后就好了，天天吃红烧肉。
:*29*:
以农姑的身份永远猜不到西太后吃啥。只能以她吃到的红烧肉来衡量。
偶发的图跟普莱切特的图几乎一样，偶的帖子违规，老普的图就加精，甚吗世道:*29*: :*29*: :*29*:
原帖由 wvxe 于 2009-8-18 10:31 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
偶发的图跟普莱切特的图几乎一样，偶的帖子违规，老普的图就加精，甚吗世道:*29*: :*29*: :*29*:
我见过刘德华穿西服配旅游鞋，我也见过农民工穿西服配旅游鞋，一个叫时尚，一个叫老土。
[ 本帖最后由 sar 于 2009-8-18 10:54 编辑 ]
原帖由 sar 于 2009-8-18 10:49 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
我见过刘德华穿西服配旅游鞋，我也见过农民工穿西服配旅游鞋，一个叫时尚，一个叫老土。
:*29*: :*29*:
原帖由 sar 于 2009-8-18 10:49 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
我见过刘德华穿西服配旅游鞋，我也见过农民工穿西服配旅游鞋，一个叫时尚，一个叫老土。
解释的经典。
原帖由 sar 于 2009-8-18 10:49 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
我见过刘德华穿西服配旅游鞋，我也见过农民工穿西服配旅游鞋，一个叫时尚，一个叫老土。
这句话比老普的图还经典*d:1*
原帖由 sar 于 2009-8-17 16:10 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
存在于1浪和A浪中的引导倾斜三角形，1、4重叠，结构为5-3-5-3-5模式。
我也想用倾斜来解释，的确没倾斜啊？:*19*:
原帖由 老山东 于 2009-8-18 14:52 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
我也想用倾斜来解释，的确没倾斜啊？:*19*:
老普画图时有走倾斜的可能，现在看来不像，但整个的形态没有出来不好下定论，现在也不说不是倾斜，毕竟还在规则之内。
原帖由 sar 于 2009-8-18 15:12 发表 http://bbs.macd.cn/static/image/common/back.gif
老普画图时有走倾斜的可能，现在看来不像，但整个的形态没有出来不好下定论，现在也不说不是倾斜，毕竟还在规则之内。
看普的图1~4重叠且不倾斜这不已是出了规则吗？:*19*:
:*22*: :*22*: :*22*:
类似的图，我也画过，而且比普氏还早。就我自己的画法，有两点说明一下：
1 1664不是浪A的终点，1664后面的那个十字星才是
2 浪B的子浪A1的终点不是2100，是2031，A4的最低点是2037
按照《艾略特波浪理论－－市场行为的关键》第２３页最后一行，第一章.驱动浪小节，原文如下：“最常见的驱动浪是推动浪。在推动浪中，浪４不会进入浪１的区域（重叠）”，即１／４不重叠，不是２／４不重叠
[ 本帖最后由 大地飞鹰 于 2009-8-18 16:00 编辑 ]