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发表于 2016-7-13 14:49
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下面是7月11日这周的,但是星译社没有翻译,而我这周也没时间翻译。
REVIEW AND PREVIEW
“The U.S. economy added 287,000 jobs last month, well above the expected 175,000. The jobs data is especially key since the shock slowdown in May hiring was one reason the Federal Reserve cited for leaving interest rates unchanged at its meeting last month…. The number was viewed as payback for a stunningly weak May report, which was revised even lower — from 38,000 to 11,000.” Patti Domm, “Jobs Report: Recession Fears Fade, But Blowout Number Not Enough to Move Fed” CNBC, July 8, 2016.
These kinds of lopsided numbers make you wonder if something is “rigged,” to borrow a phrase used by Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. Have we ever seen such a reversal in the jobs report in one month – from 11,000 to 287,000? It does demonstrate the importance of using moving averages, for if you average the last two months, it is only slightly less than 150,000 new jobs, which is not very strong.
On those numbers, stocks exploded. It makes our comments to clients, to readers of this column, and viewers of our recent YouTube interviews, look very good. Our premise laid out since March has been 1) the Federal Reserve Board would do whatever it took to make the economy look stronger and send the stock market soaring, 2) they would not raise rates because they wanted a rising stock market in order to create a “wealth effect” for voters headed into the November 2016 presidential election, and 3) US stock indices would soar to new all-time highs prior to the election. When you consider that the prior week saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average test 17,000, and by the close of trading this past week the DJIA was testing its yearly high of 18,167 and within 205 points of its all-time high of May 19, 2015, it demonstrates that our outlook was – is – on the mark.
Yet, when you see payroll numbers like these past two reports, you wonder – with Saturn square Neptune - if we are being told the real story. Saturn relates to facts. Neptune relates to distortions, even to the point of intentional misdirection, misinformation, or deception. It is not only in economic reports that we have to be concerned about honesty and accuracy. As stated time and time again, this aspect warns us not to believe anything we read, hear, or see. Disillusionment and deception are themes that are highlighted under Saturn square Neptune. Regardless of the causes – real or not, honest or not – there is no denying that many financial markets are on a tear. Stocks are nearing all-time highs, treasury yields and mortgage rates are at or near all-time lows, Gold and Silver are breaking out to multi-year highs.
Last week witnessed Gold soaring to 1377.50, its highest mark since March 2014 and right in line with our forecast made in our webinar on the Mid-Year Financial Markets Update, where we discussed Gold breaking out to trade between 1300-1500. We also discussed Silver breaking out to trade between 2100-2600. Last week, Silver soared to 2120, its highest level since July 2014. It may not be over, not as long as Mars remains in Scorpio (early August), and maybe even beyond that
SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS
“Imagine a planet with triple sunrises and sunsets every day for part of a year, and nonstop daylight at other times. Astronomers revealed such a place Thursday: a strange new world in the Constellation Centaurus that has not one, not two, but three suns.” Marcia Dunn, “Triple Sunrises, Sunsets, on This Planet, Associated Press, July, 2016
July can be described as a month of “Uranus particles and principles,” and according to astrological principles, Uranus is the most innovative and inventive planet in the solar system. It is the planet of discoveries, as well as a planet signifying reversals or breakouts of support and resistance in financial markets. It follows no expected path, coinciding with times that are shocking in their newsworthiness. Events occur that are highly unexpected and unpredictable.
Uranus signatures are highlighted throughout July. First, we had Venus make a translation (T-square) to the Uranus/Pluto square, June 30-July 7. Now we have the Sun making a similar translation (T-square) to Uranus and Pluto, July 7-16. On July 29, Uranus will turn retrograde (very powerful Uranus energies +/- one week), and on July 31, Venus will make a trine aspect to Uranus. This is a massive amount of powerful Uranian force, promising a month of highly combustible events. It may also correspond with a period of exciting new discoveries in science and space.
Thus, it was no wonder that astronomers exploring the universe reported the discovery of this incredible new planet in the constellation of Centaurus. Last week also coincided with the Juno space probe’s arrival into Jupiter’s orbit. It was also reported that June 2016 was the hottest June ever recorded in the USA, led by record heat temperatures in Arizona and Utah. Our Forecasts 2016 Book also reported that we expected this to be a very hot summer, driving grain prices sharply higher, which has been the case. But now here we are in July, and the records and discoveries and outrageous behavior of humans (and nature) show no sign of letting up. In fact, they may all intensify, perhaps right through much of August as Mars will conjunct Saturn in the fire sign of Sagittarius, August 24.
These cosmic patterns suggest that financial markets will continue to be wild, with both new records being set in many financial markets (all-time highs, lows), with sharp reversals along the way to these records. The idea with Uranus is: the higher they (prices) go, the harder they fall when done. In this case, I am not sure they will fall that hard before the election, for some of these record-breaking performances are supported by the decisions of central banks to continue with their unorthodox policies in order to assure that stock and bond markets remain robust, at least until the USA election. It is also part of the conspiracy of Saturn and Neptune to engineer a political outcome that assures the survival of central banks (or so they think). But you have to wonder what will happen in 2017-2019 when Uranus makes its first 1/8 harmonic to its 171-year conjunction of 1993. This will be the primary focus of our MMA Investment Retreat in March 2017.
LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS AND MUNDANE ASTROLOGY
“Deep dislike for the two leading presidential candidates is creating an opening for third party hopefuls… a new Wall Street Journal/NBC poll shows. Libertarian Gary Johnson (former governor of New Mexico whose term expired with very high approval ratings for turning that state’s economy around) and Green Party Candidate Jill Stein together drew backing from 16% of those … surveyed.” – Peter Nicholas, “New Poll Finds Opening for Third Party Candidates,” Wall Street Journal, June 28, 2016.
With all these Uranus themes highlighted in July, and given the very high levels of distrust for both Hilary Clinton (now at 66%) and Donald Trump (now at 63%), it may be of interest to note the rising support for a third party candidate. In the recent poll cited above, former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson, now has 11% support of likely voters, and Jill Stein 5%. This is remarkable when you consider that the Libertarian’s bid for the presidency in 2012 received less than 1% of the popular vote. Now he is at 11%. If Johnson reaches 15%, he will gain a very coveted seat on the debate stage with Trump and Clinton. And then who knows what will happen, given the way this elections season has unfolded (not just in the USA, but elsewhere, like Great Britain, contrary to all odds). This is the nature of Uranus. It surprises everyone. Unexpected swings gain much greater momentum than anyone expected. Pollsters and pundits alike are proven wrong.
Not only is this a month highlighting the shocking quality of Uranus, but Saturn (government) is in Sagittarius (abundance), suggesting that another party –a third party - candidate could affect the outcome, or maybe even become the outcome, strange as it may seem right now. Democrats and Republicans both say that a vote for a third party candidate is a wasted vote. But in 2016, that conventional wisdom (like all “conventional wisdom” this year) could be turned on its head.
Don’t rule it out. Don’t rule any possibility out when Uranus reigns. And don’t underestimate the “Power of the People,” with Pluto in Capricorn. They want change. They want reform. It used to be “Give us the Truth or Get Out of the way.” Now it is “Give us Justice, or Pay the Consequences.” Maybe soon it will be “Give us Liberty or Get Out of the Way.”
It wasn’t a good week for Hillary Clinton, as the FBI clearly rebuked her as “extremely careless,” and the hearings illustrated why the public thinks she is a liar and privileged. It wasn’t a good week for Donald Trump, as once again he blew an opportunity to capitalize on her “bad news week” by focusing on personal squabbles with those in his own party.
However, Venus and Mercury go into Leo this week, so it is a very good time to fall in love, have a romance, and enjoy good parties. Oh, one last thing, maybe stay clear of dangerous situations, and refrain from discussing politics. Cupid would approve.
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