提供中文美国USDA农产品每月报告,有需求的进

期货战争1949

提供中文美国USDA农产品每月报告,有需求的进

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SUGAR:  Projected U.S. sugar supply for fiscal year 2010/11 is
increased 101,000 short tons, raw value, from last month, due to
higher beginning stocks and production. Beet sugar production is
increased 80,000 tons based on higher forecast U.S. sugarbeet
production.  Forecast U.S. sugarcane production is little changed
from last month.  Sugar use is increased 275,000 tons in line with
the increase for 2009/10.



For 2009/10, U.S. supplies are increased 141,000 tons, due to
higher production and imports.  Louisiana cane sugar production is
increased 35,000 tons based on expectations of an early start to
the 2010-crop harvest in September.  Imports are increased
105,000 tons, with 135,000 tons more from Mexico and high-tier
imports more than offsetting increased shortfall under the tariff rate
quota.  Total use is increased 120,000 tons to reflect the stronger-
than-expected pace of deliveries in recent months.  Ending stocks
are increased 21,000 tons.



For Mexico, 2010/11 ending stocks are lowered 64,000 metric tons,
raw value, due to higher domestic use more than offsetting slightly
higher beginning stocks.  Mexico=s 2009/10 beginning stocks are
increased to reflect recently released government data, while
increased domestic use and exports are nearly offsetting.



白糖：由于一开始较高的库存量和生产量，自上个月以来，预计2010/11年度美国食糖供应原始值增加101,000短吨（1短吨=0.907吨）,。基于美国甜菜预测增产，细白糖生产增加产量8万吨。预计美国甘蔗产量几乎没有变化。白糖消费增加27.5万吨同2009/10年度增加一致。
相对于2009/10年度, 由于高产和进口，美国供应增加141,000吨,。路易斯安那州蔗糖产量增加了3万5千吨基于预期的2010年九月农作物丰收提前开始。进口增加10万5000吨，13万5000吨或更多来自墨西哥和在配额之下频繁的更多的进口用来抵消税率的增加。总体消费增加12万反映了几个月强劲超预期的交货进度。期末库存增加21,000余吨。
由于较高的国内消费的抵消增长较慢的原始库存。墨西哥2010/11期末库存原始值降低64,000吨, 墨西哥2009/10年度期初库存增加反映在最近政府的数据上，国内消费的增加和出口要几乎相抵。

期货战争1949

Soybean exports for 2010/11 are increased 50 million bushels to
1.485 billion reflecting strong early season sales and a projected
increase in global import demand, especially for China.  Soybean
ending stocks are projected at 350 million bushels, down 10 million
from last month as higher export demand more than offsets the
increased supply.



Soybean exports for 2009/10 are projected at a record 1.495 billion
bushels, up 25 million from last month reflecting strong shipments
in the final weeks of the marketing year.  The increase is partly
offset with a lower residual, leaving ending stocks projected at 150
million bushels, down 10 million.  Other changes for 2009/10
include reduced use of soybean oil for biodiesel and increased
soybean oil exports.  Season ending soybean oil stocks are
projected record high at 3.21 billion pounds.



Prices for soybeans and products are all raised this month,
supported by strong prices for corn and wheat.  The U.S. season-
average soybean price range for 2010/11 is projected at $9.15 to
$10.65 per bushel, up 65 cents on both ends of the range.  The
soybean meal price is projected at $270 to $310 per short ton, up
$20 on both ends of the range.  The soybean oil price range is
projected at 37.5 to 41.5 cents per pound, up 1 cent on both ends
of the range.  



2010/11年度大豆出口量增加了50万蒲式耳（一蒲式耳等于27.216公斤）至1.485亿反映强烈的季节销售和全球需求增长预计,尤其是中国。大豆期末库存预计3.5亿蒲式耳,相比上月减少1000万蒲式耳由于较高的的出口需求抵消了供应的增加。
2009/10大豆出口量被预计达到创纪录的1.495亿蒲式耳，从上月25万的增加反映货物的销售旺盛势头在最后几个星期的年度销售。这种增长部分抵消较低的剩余，预计期末库存保持1.5亿蒲式耳水平，减少1000万蒲式耳。2009/10年度考虑其它变化包括减少使用大豆油的生物柴油及提高大豆的石油出口，产季结束豆油库存预计达到3.21亿镑新高。
本月大豆和相关产品价格都有所提高,得益于玉米和小麦的价格增长的支撑，美国2010/11产季平均大豆价格范围预计在9.15美元到10.65美元每蒲式耳，上下范围波动在65美分左右，豆粕价格预计在270美元到310美元每短吨（1短吨=0.907吨），上下范围波动在20美元。豆油波动价格预计在37.5到41.5美分每磅（1磅 = 0.4536 公斤），上下范围波动1美分

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